Population Change in the United States, Texas and Bexar County: Implications for Education, Heath and Socioeconomic Development Steve H. Murdock, Director Hobby Center for the Study of Texas and Allyn and Gladys Cline Professor of Sociology Rice University San Antonio, Texas September 22, 2014

Total Population and Percent Population Change in Texas and the United States, Total Population Percent Change YearTexasU.S. TexasU.S ,592 23,191, ,215 31,443, ,579 39,818, ,591,749 50,155, ,235,527 62,947, ,048,710 75,994, ,896,542 91,972, ,663, ,710, ,824, ,775, ,414, ,669, ,711, ,697, ,579, ,323, ,196, ,302, ,229, ,545, ,986, ,709, ,851, ,421, ,145, ,745, Source: Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau decennial census April 1 of reported year.

4 Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population in the United States, Source: Passel, Jeffrey, D’Vera Cohn, and Anna Gonzalez-Barrera, “Population Decline of Unauthorized Immigrants Stalls, May Have Reversed,” Pew Hispanic Center, September 23, 2013

5 Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population in Texas, Source: Passel, Jeffrey, D’Vera Cohn, and Anna Gonzalez-Barrera, “Population Decline of Unauthorized Immigrants Stalls, May Have Reversed,” Pew Hispanic Center, September 23, 2013

Change State 2000 Population 2010 PopulationNumericPercent United States281,421,906308,745,53827,323, Texas20,851,82025,145,5614,293, California33,871,64837,253,9563,382, Florida15,982,37818,801,3102,818, Georgia8,186,4539,687,6531,501, North Carolina8,049,3139,535,4831,486, Arizona5,130,6326,392,0171,261, Virginia7,078,5158,001,024922, Washington5,894,1216,724,540830, Colorado4,301,2615,029,196727, Nevada1,998,2572,700,551702, Ten States in the United States with the Largest Numeric Population Increase Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Change State 2000 Population 2010 Population NumericPercent United States281,421,906308,745,53827,323, Nevada1,998,2572,700,551702, Arizona5,130,6326,392,0171,261, Utah2,233,1692,763,885530, Idaho1,293,9531,567,582273, Texas20,851,82025,145,5614,293, North Carolina8,049,3139,535,4831,486, Georgia8,186,4539,687,6531,501, Florida15,982,37818,801,3102,818, Colorado4,301,2615,029,196727, South Carolina4,012,0124,625,364613, Ten States in the United States with the Largest Percentage Population Increase Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Ten Largest States in the United States Ranked by Population Size in 2013 StateApril 1, 2000April 1, 2010July 1, 2013 Change Change Numeric% % United States281,421,906308,745,538316,128,839 27,323, ,383, California33,871,65337,253,95638,332,521 3,382, ,078, Texas20,851,02825,145,56126,448,193 4,294, ,302, New York18,977,02619,378,10219,651, , , Florida15,982,57118,801,31019,552,860 2,818, , Illinois12,419,92712,830,63212,882, , , Pennsylvania12,280,54812,702,37912,773, , , Ohio11,353,33611,536,50411,570, , , Georgia8,186,6539,687,6539,992,167 1,501, , Michigan9,938,8239,883,6409,895, , , North Carolina8,046,3469,535,4839,848,060 1,489, , Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

Ten States in the United States with the Largest Numeric Population Increase, StateApril 1, 2000April 1, 2010July 1, 2013 Change Change Numeric% % United States281,421,906308,745,538316,128,839 27,323, ,383, Texas20,851,82025,145,56126,448,193 4,293, ,302, California33,871,64837,253,95638,332,521 3,382, ,078, Florida15,982,37818,801,31019,552,860 2,818, , North Carolina8,049,3139,535,4839,848,060 1,486, , Colorado4,301,2615,029,1965,268, , , Georgia8,186,4539,687,6539,992,167 1,501, , Washington5,894,1216,724,5406,971, , , Arizona5,130,6326,392,0176,626,624 1,261, , New York18,977,02619,378,10219,651, , , Virginia7,078,5158,001,0248,260, , , Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

StateApril 1, 2000April 1, 2010July 1, 2013 Change Change Numeric% % United States281,421,906308,745,538316,128,839 27,323, ,383, North Dakota642,237672,591723,393 30, , Texas20,851,02825,145,56126,448,193 4,294, ,302, Utah2,233,1832,763,8852,900, , , Colorado4,302,0865,029,1965,268, , , Florida15,982,57118,801,31019,552,860 2,818, , South Dakota754,858814,180844,877 59, , Arizona5,130,2476,392,0176,626,624 1,261, , Washington5,894,2816,724,5406,971, , , Alaska626,933710,231735,132 83, , Wyoming493,786563,626582,658 69, , Source: U.S. Census Bureau. Ten States in the United States with the Largest Percentage Population Increase,

11 Population and Population Change for Texas and the Twenty Largest Counties in Texas in 2013 Population.Change Change * County NumericPercentNumericPercent Texas20,851,02825,145,56126,448,1934,294, ,302, Harris County3,401,1394,093,1654,336,853691, , Dallas County2,216,8082,367,6362,480,331151, , Tarrant County1,449,2901,809,5371,911,541359, , Bexar County1,393,0351,714,7741,817,610321, , Travis County811,7761,024,3311,120,954212, , Collin County491,272782,351854,778291, , El Paso County679,568800,647827,718121, , Hidalgo County569,099774,769815,996205, , Denton County433,065662,604728,799229, , Fort Bend County354,286584,686652,365231, , Montgomery County293,779455,760499,137161, , Williamson County250,466422,617471,014172, , Cameron County334,884406,220417,27671, , Nueces County313,512340,223352,10726, , Brazoria County241,805313,137330,24271, , Bell County238,000310,235326,84372, , Galveston County250,178291,307306,78241, , Lubbock County242,644278,831289,32436, , Webb County193,124250,304262,49557, , Jefferson County251,968252,273252, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2013 and Intercensal Estimates. *39 months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Population and Population Change for the Twenty Counties in Texas with the Largest Numeric Increase from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013 Population.Change Change * County NumericPercentNumericPercent Harris County3,401,1394,093,1654,336,853691, , Dallas County2,216,8082,367,6362,480,331151, , Bexar County1,393,0351,714,7741,817,610321, , Tarrant County1,449,2901,809,5371,911,541359, , Travis County811,7761,024,3311,120,954212, , Collin County491,272782,351854,778291, , Fort Bend County354,286584,686652,365231, , Denton County433,065662,604728,799229, , Williamson County250,466422,617471,014172, , Montgomery County293,779455,760499,137161, , Hidalgo County569,099774,769815,996205, , El Paso County679,568800,647827,718121, , Hays County97,918157,112176,02659, , Brazoria County241,805313,137330,24271, , Bell County238,000310,235326,84372, , Galveston County250,178291,307306,78241, , Midland County116,034136,870151,46820, , Ector County121,124137,132149,37816, , Webb County193,124250,304262,49557, , Nueces County313,512340,223352,10726, , Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2013 and Intercensal Estimates. *39 months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

13 Population and Population Change for the Twenty Counties in Texas with the Largest Percentage Increase from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013 Population.Change Change * County NumericPercentNumericPercent Loving County Andrews County13,00214,78616,7991, , Kendall County23,79333,41037,7669, , Hays County97,918157,112176,02659, , Fort Bend County354,286584,686652,365231, , Williamson County250,466422,617471,014172, , Martin County4,7464,7995, Midland County116,034136,870151,46820, , Denton County433,065662,604728,799229, , Montgomery County293,779455,760499,137161, , Travis County811,7761,024,3311,120,954212, , Collin County491,272782,351854,778291, , Comal County78,022108,472118,48030, , Hemphill County3,3533,8074, Crane County3,9964,3754, Dimmit County10,2059,99610, Ector County121,124137,132149,37816, , Guadalupe County88,856131,537143,18342, , Rockwall County43,02378,33785,24535, , McMullen County Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2013 and Intercensal Estimates. *39 months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Texas Regional Councils of Governments

Councils of Governments in Texas Ranked by Total Population in 2010: Total Population in 2000 and 2010; Numeric and Percent Change, ; and Percent of the State Population (2010) and State Population Change Total PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of State Council of Government Numeric% Population 2010 Change, North Central Texas5,309,2776,539,9501,230, Houston-Galveston4,854,4546,087,1331,232, Alamo Area1,807,8682,249,011441, Capital Area1,346,8331,830,003483, Lower Rio Grande Valley924,7721,203,123278, East Texas745,180829,74984, Rio Grande704,318825,913121, Coastal Bend549,012571,98722, Central Texas374,518449,64175, Panhandle402,862427,92725, Permian Basin376,672417,67941, South Plains377,871411,65933, South East Texas385,090388,7453, Deep East Texas355,862378,47722, Heart of Texas321,536349,27327, South Texas264,177330,59066, West Central Texas324,901327,3902, Brazos Valley267,085319,44752, Ark-Tex270,468281,94711, Nortex224,366222,860-1, Texoma178,200193,22915, Golden Crescent183,905188,6264, Middle Rio Grande154,381167,01012, Concho Valley148,212154,1925, State of Texas20,851,81825,145,5614,293,

Texas Metropolitan Statistical Areas

Total Population in 2000 and 2010 in Metropolitan Statistical Areas in Texas Ranked by Numerical Change, 2000 to 2010 Total Population Change Metropolitan Statistical Area Numeric% Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown4,715,4075,946,8001,231, Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington5,161,5446,371,7731,210, Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos1,249,7631,716,289466, San Antonio-New Braunfels1,711,7032,142,508430, McAllen-Edinburg-Mission569,463774,769205, El Paso679,622800,647121, Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood330,714405,30074, Brownsville-Harlingen335,227406,22070, Laredo193,117250,30457, College Station-Bryan184,885228,66043, Lubbock249,700284,89035, Tyler174,706209,71435, Corpus Christi403,280428,18524, Amarillo226,522249,88123, Waco213,517234,90621, Midland116,009136,87220, Longview194,042214,36920, Odessa121,123137,13016, Sherman-Denison110,595120,87710, San Angelo105,781111,8236, Abilene160,245162,2525, Victoria111,663115,3843, Texarkana*89,30692,5653, Beaumont-Port Arthur385,090388,7453, Wichita Falls151,524151, Source: U.S. Census Bureau *Reflects total population for Texas portion of MSA only.

Population, Population Change, and Percent Change in Texas Metropolitan Statistical Areas by Numeric Change, April 1, 2010 and July 1, 2012 Geographic AreaApril 1, 2010July 1, 2012NumericPercent Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington6,426,2146,700,991274, Houston-Woodlands-Sugar Land5,920,4166,177,035256, Austin-Round Rock1,716,2891,834,303118, San Antonio-New Braunfels2,142,5082,234,00391, McAllen-Edinburg-Mission774,769806,55231, El Paso804,123830,73526, Killeen-Temple405,300420,37515, Midland141,671151,6629, Brownsville-Harlingen406,220415,5579, Corpus Christi428,185437,1098, Laredo250,304259,1728, Odessa137,130144,3257, Lubbock290,805297,6696, College Station-Bryan228,660234,5015, Amarillo251,933257,5785, Tyler209,714214,8215, Waco252,772256,3173, San Angelo111,823114,8543, Victoria94,00396,6202, Longview214,369216,6792, Abilene165,252166,9631, Sherman-Denison120,877121,9351, Beaumont-Port Arthur403,190404, Texarkana-Texarkana, AR149,198149, Wichita Falls151,306150, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division Note: Metropolitan Statistical Areas as defined by U.S. OMB, Feb

PopulationChange Change * County NumericPercentNumericPercent Loving Andrews13,00214,78616,7991, , Kendall23,79333,41037,7669, , Hays97,918157,112176,02659, , Fort Bend354,286584,686652,365231, , Williamson250,466422,617471,014172, , Martin4,7464,7995, Midland116,034136,870151,46820, , Denton433,065662,604728,799229, , Montgomery293,779455,760499,137161, , Travis811,7761,024,3311,120,954212, , Collin491,272782,351854,778291, , Comal78,022108,472118,48030, , Hemphill3,3533,8074, Crane3,9964,3754, Dimmit10,2059,99610, Ector121,124137,132149,37816, , Guadalupe88,856131,537143,18342, , Rockwall43,02378,33785,24535, , McMullen *Midland, Ector and Adjacent Counties in bold. *39 Months of Change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, Population and Population Change for the Twenty Counties in Texas with the Largest Percentage Change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012 Population Estimates. Population Change in Texas Counties, April 1, 2010 – July 1, 2012

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* NumericPercent Percent of Total Change NH White10,933,31311,397,345464, Hispanic (All Races)6,669,6669,460,9212,791, NH Black2,364,2552,886,825522, NH Asian554,445948,426393, NH Other330,141452,044121, Total20,851,82025,145,5614,293, *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population 18 Years and Older by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* NumericPercent Percent of Total Change NH White8,426,1669,074,684648, Hispanic (All Races)4,282,9016,143,1441,860, NH Black1,631,4482,076,282444, NH Asian415,219716,968301, NH Other209,327268,65959, Total14,965,06118,279,7373,314, *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under 18 Years by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* NumericPercent Percent of Total Change NH White2,507,1472,322, , Hispanic (All Races)2,386,7653,317,777931, NH Black732,807810,54377, NH Asian139,226231,45892, NH Other120,814183,38562, Total5,886,7596,865,824979, *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* NumericPercent Percent of Total Change NH White194,552,774196,817,5522,264, Hispanic (All Races)35,305,81850,477,59415,171, NH Black33,947,83737,685,8483,738, NH Asian10,123,16914,465,1244,341, NH Other7,492,3089,299,4201,807, Total281,421,906308,745,53827,323,

*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population 18 and Older by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* NumericPercent Percent of Total Change NH White150,525,687157,100,9906,575, Hispanic (All Races)22,963,55933,346,70310,383, NH Black23,337,57327,323,6653,986, NH Asian7,702,89511,288,9953,586, NH Other4,598,3805,503,718905, Total209,128,094234,564,07125,435,

*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* NumericPercent Percent of Total Change NH White44,027,08739,716,562-4,310, Hispanic (All Races)12,342,25917,130,8914,788, NH Black10,610,26410,362, , NH Asian2,420,2743,176,129755, NH Other2,893,9283,795,702901, Total72,293,81274,181,4671,887,

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group NumericPercent Percent of Total Change NH* White161,723182,346 20, NH Black28,86232,637 3, Hispanic109,686185,913 76, NH Asian & Other16,75133,864 17, Total317,022434, , Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population 18 and Over by Race/Ethnicity for Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group NumericPercent Percent of Total Change NH* White596,579756, , NH Black67,88487,873 19, Hispanic218,074352, , NH Asian & Other50,20485,128 34, Total932,7411,281, , Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group NumericPercent Percent of Total Change NH* White758,302938, , NH Black96,746120,510 23, Hispanic327,760538, , NH Asian & Other66,955118,992 52, Total1,249,7631,716, , Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group NumericPercent Percent of Total Change NH* White735,112699, , NH Black227,185277,206 50, Hispanic410,193661, , NH Asian & Other88,486147,481 58, Total1,460,9761,785, , Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population 18 and Over by Race/Ethnicity for Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group NumericPercent Percent of Total Change NH* White2,346,6222,549, , NH Black480,305664, , Hispanic711,2491,096, , NH Asian & Other204,974329, , Total3,743,1504,640, , Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group NumericPercent Percent of Total Change NH* White3,081,7343,248, , NH Black707,490941, , Hispanic1,121,4421,758, , NH Asian & Other293,460477, , Total5,204,1266,426,214 1,222, Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group NumericPercent Percent of Total Change NH* White542,563494, , NH Black244,702282,991 38, Hispanic489,495744, , NH Asian & Other85,634134,692 49, Total1,362,3941,655, , Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population 18 and Over by Race/Ethnicity for Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group NumericPercent Percent of Total Change NH* White1,714,2941,846, , NH Black536,457713, , Hispanic862,8981,352, , NH Asian & Other217,118352, , Total3,330,7674,264, , Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group NumericPercent Percent of Total Change NH* White2,256,8572,340,268 83, NH Black781,159996, , Hispanic1,352,3932,096, , NH Asian & Other302,752487, , Total4,693,1615,920,416 1,227, Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under 18 by Race/Ethnicity for San Antonio-New Braunfels Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group NumericPercent Percent of Total Change NH* White151,728148,028 -3, NH Black30,00733,517 3, Hispanic289,103370,886 81, NH Asian & Other14,78423,139 8, Total485,622575,570 89, Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population 18 and Over by Race/Ethnicity for San Antonio-New Braunfels Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group NumericPercent Percent of Total Change NH* White544,588625,779 81, NH Black72,43496,553 24, Hispanic574,059787, , NH Asian & Other35,00057,344 22, Total1,226,0811,566, , Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for San Antonio-New Braunfels Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group NumericPercent Percent of Total Change NH* White696,316773,807 77, NH Black102,441130,070 27, Hispanic863,1621,158, , NH Asian & Other49,78480,483 30, Total1,711,7032,142, , Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

Percent of Texas Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2000

Percent of Texas Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2010

Percent of Texas Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2040*

Percent of United States Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2000

Percent of United States Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2010

Percent of United States Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2050

POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONDITIONS Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White16,026,5428.3$59,22121,831, $53,988 Hispanic (All Races)7,797, $44,07912,583, $40,165 Black7,970, $38,54110,270, $33,568 Asian1,241, $68,0201,806, $67,142 Total33,899, $54,966 47,330, $50,046 *In 2010 Dollars. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, American Community Survey Not all race/ethnic groups are shown here but are included in the total. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White856,0557.9$61,5421,111,2519.5$59,517 Hispanic (All Races)1,658, $39,1012,555, $37,087 Black515, $38,378717, $35,674 Asian63, $65,633120, $64,191 Total3,117, $52,260 4,521, $48,615 *In 2010 Dollars. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, American Community Survey Not all race/ethnic groups are shown here but are included in the total. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 52,9957.0$70,30787,6399.3$64,893 Hispanic (All Races) 57, $50,599139, $39,843 NH Black 15, $47,13029, $38,465 Asian 6, $64,80111, $67,317 Total 134, $63, , $55,744 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Dallas-Forth Worth-Arlington MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 168,3995.5$72,291234,2447.3$66,611 Hispanic (All Races) 219, $46,782419, $40,083 NH Black 134, $43,070220, $37,539 Asian 19, $72,04937, $70,006 Total 547, $63, , $54,449 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 142,9066.2$73,353167,5937.1$72,480 Hispanic (All Races) 294, $43,087533, $40,972 NH Black 167, $41,210223, $39,638 Asian 25, $67,70250, $67,333 Total 635, $58, , $53,942 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for San Antonio-New Braunfels MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 47,8706.9$63,32957,4967.4$63,067 Hispanic (All Races) 182, $40,849258, $41,439 NH Black 17, $42,45724, $39,004 Asian 2,2779.8$53,0324, $56,056 Total 252, $51, , $50,225 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over, United States, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More Non-Hispanic White 141,698, Hispanic* 27,313, Black 23,049, Asian 9,879, Other 2,347, Total204,288, *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non- Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non- Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More Non-Hispanic White 8,212, Hispanic* 5,063, Black 1,762, Asian 632, Other 101, Total15,772, *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non- Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non- Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos MSA, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White663, NH Black72, Hispanic282, Asian52, NH Other18, Total1,089, *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non- Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non- Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, Dallas-Forth Worth-Arlington MSA, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White2,267, NH Black567, Hispanic894, Asian224, NH Other66, Total4,021, *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non- Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non- Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White1,690, NH Black613, Hispanic1,120, Asian265, NH Other47, Total3,738, *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non- Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non- Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, San Antonio-New Braunfels MSA, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White563, NH Black82, Hispanic662, Asian29, NH Other16, Total1,354, *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non- Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non- Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

PROJECTIONS Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: Census 2010 and Projected for 2020 to 2060 Year (Resident population as of July 1, Number in thousands) Non-Hispanic Hispanic (any race) Total White aloneBlack aloneAsian alone All other races ,81837,68614,4659,29950,478308, ,31241,77618,24610,77863,784333, ,81845,45222,04413,50278,655358, ,88748,76925,88116,60394,876380, ,33451,98829,58320,166111,732399, ,95255,30233,10624,128128,780420,268 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census and 2012 National Projections

Numeric Change in U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2010 to 2060 (in millions)

Change in the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2010 to 2060

Age Distribution of the U.S. Population: Census 2010 and Projected 2020 to 2060 Age Group (Percent of total resident population as of July 1) Under 5 years to 19 years to 44 years to 64 years years and over Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census and 2012 National Projections

Percent By Race and Hispanic Origin by Selected Age Groups for the U.S. Population : 2010 Age Group Percent of each group's resident population as of April 1 Non-Hispanic Hispanic (any race) Total White alone Black alone Asian alone All other races Total Under 5 years to 17 years to 24 years to 44 years to 64 years years and over Elderly Age Groups 65 to 74 years to 84 years years and over Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census

Projected Percent By Race and Hispanic Origin by Selected Age Groups for the U.S. Population: 2060 Age Group Percent of each group's resident population as of April 1 Non-Hispanic Hispanic (any race)Total White alone Black alone Asian alone All other races Total Under 5 years to 17 years to 24 years to 44 years to 64 years years and over Elderly Age Groups 65 to 74 years to 84 years years and over Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012 National Projections

Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Rates of Net Migration 77 YearNH 1 WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & Other 2 Total Assuming Zero Net Migration ,397,3452,886,8259,460,9211,400,47025,145, ,576,5953,122,63711,137,6721,536,69327,373, ,501,0203,280,94112,869,7531,638,24929,289, ,182,5763,355,50014,570,8511,714,23230,823, ,766,6223,366,52816,191,1501,728,20632,052,506 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of ,397,3452,886,8259,460,9211,400,47025,145, ,752,5303,295,19812,031,0591,825,13028,903, ,850,1803,658,99715,082,0582,309,76332,900, ,676,1573,951,90918,489,8032,881,52536,999, ,376,5764,182,15522,268,3903,483,17841,310,299 Assuming Net Migration Equal to ,397,3452,886,8259,460,9211,400,47025,145, ,931,8153,477,92813,003,1592,170,40930,583, ,211,6644,080,45317,702,1323,288,53637,282, ,194,1514,653,72523,514,9744,953,86145,316, ,024,9135,195,86130,701,2087,283,54855,205,530 1 NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2 NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

Percent of the Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Through 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Rates of Net Migration for the State of Texas Year NH 1 WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & Other 2 Total Assuming Zero Net Migration (Scenario 0.0) Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of (Scenario 0.5) Assuming Net Migration Equal to (Scenario 1.0) NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2 NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

Percent of Net Change in Population from 2010 to 2050 Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Scenarios of Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for State of Texas 79 Race/EthnicityNumberPercent Assuming Zero Net Migration (Scenario 0.0) NH 1 White -630, NH Black 479, Hispanic 6,730, NH Asian & Other 2 327, Total 6,906, Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of (Scenario 0.5) NH White -20, NH Black 1,295, Hispanic 12,807, NH Asian & Other 2,082, Total 16,164, Assuming Net Migration Equal to (Scenario 1.0) NH White 627, NH Black 2,309, Hispanic 21,240, NH Asian & Other 5,883, Total 30,059, NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2 NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

Percent of the Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Percent of the Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity from 2030 to 2050 Assuming Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration Equal to for the State of Texas (Scenario 1.0) 80 AgeNH 1 WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & Other 2 Total 2010 < < < NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2 NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

Percent of Age Group by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Percent of Age Group by Race/Ethnicity from 2030 to 2050 Assuming Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration Equal to for the State of Texas (Scenario 1.0) 81 AgeNH 1 WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & Other 2 Total 2010 < < < NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2 NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

82 Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in Texas Counties,

Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in Texas Counties, 2050* 83 * Assuming rates of net migration equal to

Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Harris County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total ,349,646754,2581,671,540317,0154,092,459 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration ,370,357819,9031,994,717347,7984,532, ,342,716858,7772,316,580363,9464,882, ,278,423876,1372,643,875371,1765,169, ,198,102876,4752,946,940370,5875,392,104 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of ,313,873840,3362,153,854400,8564,708, ,232,849901,5762,698,721482,6255,315, ,118,087934,3263,289,505563,9005,905, ,149945,4313,909,739646,5306,499,849 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to ,255,205856,1982,319,477459,0924,889, ,113,765921,9463,099,887637,3625,772, ,770935,9823,927,987851,4056,660, ,522905,3824,767,4311,115,1387,572,473 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Harris County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Dallas County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total ,693518,732905,940158,7742,368,139 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration ,498570,1531,107,349177,1052,640, ,645605,3551,318,991186,8732,864, ,895627,7561,545,129193,6733,068, ,778640,5421,772,394196,0913,257,805 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of ,757581,4091,155,350198,5372,637, ,468627,9101,435,586231,3332,892, ,394656,5131,742,378264,0463,154, ,233671,5392,070,126295,8843,438,782 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to ,417588,7601,201,188221,7012,636, ,572634,1001,538,137285,9432,922, ,773645,2781,881,934358,3413,215, ,828625,4572,221,784443,1213,522,190 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Dallas County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Bexar County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total ,123118,4601,006,95870,2321,714,773 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration ,196128,5491,146,27477,1631,880, ,278135,5081,276,11281,8622,013, ,507139,7061,389,46184,6282,115, ,423143,0291,486,50084,6922,195,644 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of ,902136,2291,217,70994,2011,974, ,916152,3901,439,718122,5262,231, ,614165,6721,654,245154,7232,468, ,414177,6101,860,268188,3762,695,668 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to ,129143,4641,285,885114,3712,065, ,748166,4951,590,232183,9922,446, ,453184,4641,875,503287,6472,817, ,051195,9312,122,756430,0443,180,782 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Bexar County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Travis County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total ,64482,805342,76681,0511,024,266 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration ,46788,465411,77190,1501,132, ,21591,785478,73495,6891,202, ,78092,461549,628100,4351,256, ,48791,175616,939102,8021,297,403 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of ,58190,350439,296106,6561,200, ,84195,516545,978132,8721,348, ,25597,481666,649162,4691,484, ,61496,850794,234194,2661,630,964 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to ,72191,589467,601125,3491,273, ,74096,704614,488182,7101,508, ,42596,434777,758260,2431,732, ,90691,337944,620362,9571,990,820 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Travis County YearNH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

EDUCATION

Education Level Is Related to Employment and Earnings Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, June 2013/first quarter Unemployment Rate Median Weekly Earnings Median: $827 Overall Unemployment Rate: 7.6%

Mean Household Income by Race/Ethnicity, Educational Attainment, and Occupation In Texas in 2010 Occupations Less Than High School /GED Bachelor's Degree Graduate/ Prof Degree NH White Managerial & Professional$ 72,446$ 84,504$ 120,792$ 149,819 Technical, Sales, & Admin. 52,930 64, , ,471 Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers 55,079 68,247 94, ,057 Operatives and Laborers 48,819 61,211 77,581 89,720 Total 50,533 64, , ,714 NH Black Managerial & Professional$ 47,483$ 52,186$ 84,758$ 99,073 Technical, Sales, & Admin. 33,980 43,933 75,416 80,852 Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers 42,767 53,192 82,885 69,805 Operatives and Laborers 37,811 46,296 66,181 63,707 Total 31,072 42,465 78,933 94,490 Hispanic Managerial & Professional$ 52,178$ 61,992$ 88,036$ 116,400 Technical, Sales, & Admin. 40,131 50,127 81,005 91,155 Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers 42,302 51,527 63,695 63,345 Operatives and Laborers 41,273 47,455 54,282 57,806 Total 38,221 47,760 81, ,473 NH Asian & Other Managerial & Professional$ 84,172$ 73,016$ 103,737$ 130,603 Technical, Sales, & Admin. 52,764 60,719 86, ,469 Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers 54,594 63,451 70,778 92,041 Operatives and Laborers 47,939 49,015 60,895 65,074 Total 50,815 55,496 93, ,035 Source: Ruggles et al. 2010; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2010 Public Use Microdata Sample, 2011.

Percent of Population 25 Years of Age and Older in Texas Who Are High School Graduates and Higher or College Graduates and Higher by Race/Ethnicity, Educational Attainment Level NH White*NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal 1990 High School and Higher College and Higher High School and Higher College and Higher High School and Higher College and Higher * NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey, Census 2000, Summary File 3, Census of Population and Housing, 1990: Summary Tape File 3, 2012, 2002, 1990, 1991.

General Revenue Expenditures (in $2010) for Texas Public Elementary and Secondary Schools, Selected Education Programs, and Public Colleges and Universities, and Percent Change in Expenditures, 2000 and 2010 Expenditures Percent Change ProgramTotal Per Student Total Per Student Total Per Student Total Elementary and Secondary$29,237,537,256$7,308$36,491,096,511$7, Bilingual/ESL747,953,8271,5091,295,663,0241, Gifted and Talented311,414, ,034,6781, Special Education2,202,643,4054,5134,800,227,93310, Career and Technology Education*717,482, ,009,165, Total Public Colleges and Public Universities3,406,851,6074,079 3,746,005,0912, Note: Enrollment data based upon and school years. *Enrollment calculated from percentage distribution. Source: Texas Education Agency, , Elementary and Secondary Program Enrollment and expenditures, Academic Excellence Indicator System and State Profile Report; and , Public Education Information Management System Budget Report; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, and Public College and University Enrollment Database and 2000 and 2010, An Overview of Article III Senate Bill 1 81st Legislature, 2012.

Total Public Education (All Levels) and Public Elementary and Secondary School Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projections That Assume 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration for Texas YearNH a WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal Total Public Education (All Levels)* 20102,137,393832,2022,805,785348,7916,124, ,109,148874,2943,490,796533,0467,007, ,128,376955,1944,428,574682,1968,194, ,037,8041,028,9975,778,539973,9869,819, ,979,1091,095,3427,207,2061,469,75511,751,412 Public Elementary and Secondary Schools 20101,547,693632,4012,398,684269,0664,847, ,548,792646,7562,917,449406,7555,519, ,577,470706,2633,715,984480,5336,480, ,479,111754,1734,865,439726,4527,825, ,446,198798,1256,012,6771,109,4439,366,443 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Texas Education Agency, Enrollment in Texas Public Schools , 2011; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, Demographic Data for Public Community College and University Students for , * Excludes public health related educational institutions.

Percent of Total Public Education (All Levels), Public Elementary and Secondary School Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projections That Assume 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration for Texas YearNH WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & Other Total Public Education (All Levels)* Public Elementary and Secondary Schools Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Texas Education Agency, Demographic Data for Public School Students for , 2011;Texas Education Agency, Enrollment in Texas Public Schools , 2011; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board 2011, Demographic Data for Public Community College and University Students for , * Excludes public health related educational institutions. Note: Enrollment data based on school years.

Total Public Community College, Public University, and Total Public College and University Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projection that Assumes Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Texas YearNH White*NH BlackHispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal Public Community Colleges ,976130,786263,60037,261746, ,721149,167370,86858,999878, ,231163,939459,61892,6931,012, ,987181,123590,855117,6431,187, ,152196,248771,788170,6271,423,815 Public Universities ,72469,015143,50142,464529, ,63578,371202,47967,292608, ,67584,992252,972108,970701, ,70693,701322,245129,891806, ,759100,969422,741189,685961,154 Total Public Colleges and Universities ,700199,801407,10179,7251,276, ,356227,538573,347126,2911,487, ,906248,931712,590201,6631,714, ,693274,824913,100247,5341,994, ,911297,2171,194,529360,3122,384,969 * NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 Public College and University Enrollment Database, 2012.

Percent of Public Community College, Public University, and Total Public College and University Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projection that Assumes Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Texas YearNH White*NH BlackHispanic NH Asian & Other Public Community Colleges Public Universities Total Public Colleges and Universities Note: Enrollment data based upon school years. * NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 Public College and University Enrollment Database, 2012.

Year Total Public Elementary and Secondary Total Community Colleges Total Public Universities Total Public Colleges and Universities 2010$36,491,096,511$1,202,291,349$2,543,713,742$3,746,005, ,548,738,5631,415,064,2752,923,433,5044,338,497, ,778,679,3811,630,404,0293,369,225,9354,999,629, ,902,311,2421,912,412,0533,873,133,8875,785,545, ,503,872,5422,292,777,5564,615,597,8406,908,375,396 Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Education Agency, Academic Excellence Indicator System, and , State Profile Report, 2012; Texas Education Agency, and Public Education Information Management System Budget Report, 2012; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 An Overview of Article III Senate Bill 181st Legislature 2010, 2012, Sources and Uses of Funds Universities, Health-Related Institutions, Lamar State Colleges and Texas State Technical Colleges FY 2010, Education Expenditures (All Sources in $2010) for Total Public Elementary and Secondary Schools and Colleges and Universities in Texas in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Population Projection that Assumes Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Rates of Net Migration

Number of Students with Financial Need Unmet by Household Resources Enrolled at Public Colleges and Universities in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Population Projection that Assumes Rates of Net Migration (1.0 Scenario)

Percent Change in Projected Number of Students with Financial Need Unmet by Household Resources Enrolled at Public Colleges and Universities in Texas in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes Rates of Net Migration (1.0 Scenario) YearNH White*NH BlackHispanic NH Asian & Other Total Public Community Colleges Public Universities Total Public Colleges and Universities * NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 Financial Aid Database, 2013.

Percent Change in Socioeconomic Resources Compared to Percent Change in Households, Household Change: 127.6%

Per Capita Income in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households

Projections of Incidences of Disease/Disorders and Percent Change in Incidences of Disease/Disorders in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration, 2010–2050 YearNH* WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal Number of Incidences ,400,777 7,595,342 17,072,316 2,592,13461,660, ,891,233 9,970,823 25,851,970 4,393,09178,107, ,207,165 12,437,276 37,560,027 7,255,39697,459, ,072,929 14,796,133 52,332,506 11,200,174119,401, ,713,269 17,009,228 71,280,514 17,007,539146,010,550 Percent Change in Incidences 2010– – – – – Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from National Center for Health Statistics 2012c.

Projected Percent of the Prevalence of Selected Diseases/Disorders in Texas by Race/Ethnicity and Type of Disease/Disorder for Adults (18 Years of Age and Older) for 2010 and 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration NH* White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Disease/Disorder High Blood Pressure Coronary Heart Disease Angina Pectoris Heart Attack Other Heart Condition/Disease Stroke Emphysema Asthma Asthma Attack Past Year Ulcer Ulcer Past Year Cancer Diabetes Hay Fever Past Year Sinusitis Past Year Chronic Bronchitis Past Year Weak/Failing Kidneys Past Year Liver Condition Past Year Pregnancy related Ever Worn Hearing Aid Vision Impairment Blindness Lost All Teeth Sad Past Month Nervous Past Month Restless Past Month Hopeless Past Month Everything an Effort Past Month Worthlessness Past Month Total Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from National Center for Health Statistics 2012c.

Projections of the Prevalence of Conditions Associated with Disabilities and Percent Change in Prevalence of Conditions Associated with Disabilities in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration YearNH* WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal Number of Incidences 20102,540,162603,7211,107,393178,5054,429, ,022,918849,9401,809,414334,4316,016, ,491,4011,148,4562,896,541600,1448,136, ,737,4761,453,1174,370,046997,08210,557, ,711,2281,710,4726,230,8011,584,24913,236,750 Percent Change in Incidences 2010– – – – – Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from National Center for Health Statistics 2012c.

Health Care Personnel in Texas by Specialty and Race/Ethnicity in 2010 (Actual) and Simulated to Reflect 2010 and Projected 2050 Population Distribution by Race/Ethnicity Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration Health PersonnelNH* WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal Panel A: 2010 Actual Physicians 38,7112,3166,5355,89353,455 Dentists 16, ,5113,73924,103 Optometrists 1, ,077 Pharmacists 11,4562,8961,8824,19420,428 Registered Nurses 116,39118,13721,12420,846176,498 Veterinarians 5, ,728 Podiatrists Total 191,58224,54532,48435,545284,156 Projected to Reflect Population's Race/Ethnicity Distribution Panel B: 2010 Distribution Physicians 24,2166,14720,0992,99353,455 Dentists 10,9182,7729,0631,35024,103 Optometrists 1, , ,077 Pharmacists 9,2542,3497,6811,14420,428 Registered Nurses 79,95420,29766,3639,884176,498 Veterinarians 2, , ,728 Podiatrists Total 128,72232,678106,84315,913284,156 Panel C: 2050 Distribution Physicians 23,517 10,140 59,979 14,240107,876 Dentists 11,487 4,953 29,296 6,95552,691 Optometrists 1, ,441 1,0547,987 Pharmacists 11,129 4,799 28,385 6,73951,052 Registered Nurses 81,105 34, ,855 49,109372,041 Veterinarians 1, , ,946 Podiatrists ,443 Total 130,808 56, ,620 79, ,036 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived Texas Department of State Health Services 2012b.

Enrollment of Texas Residents in Texas Health Related Institutions by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Numeric and Percent Change in Projected Enrollment to 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration YearNH* WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal Health Related Institutions ,2091,5103,3223,26318, ,0271,8034,8305,10021, ,5032,0126,4238,48226, ,0862,2267,93510,54530, ,7872,44610,59714,82337,653 Numeric Change 2010– ,5081,8373, – ,5933,3824, – ,5122,0634, – ,6624,2786, – ,27511,56019,349 Percent Change 2010– – – – – Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board 2011c.

Projected Enrollment of Texas Residents in Texas Health Related Institutions by Race/Ethnicity in 2050 Using Alternative Enrollment Rate Assumptions Race/Ethnicity Assuming 2010 Enrollment Differentials Assuming NH* White Enrollment Rates for Minority Groups NH* White9,787 NH Black2,4463,357 Hispanic10,59722,671 NH Asian & Other14,823 Total37,65350,638 Source: Projections by the authors and data and rates derived from Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board 2011c.

Physician Contacts, Days of Hospital Care, and Number of Nursing Home Residents in Texas by Age of Patient and Associated Costs for 2010 (in Thousands of 2010 Dollars) and Projected for 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration Age of PatientNumber Costs (in thousands) Physician Contacts and Total Costs 2010 <1811,436,718$ 1,700,928 18–5426,366,7875,540,646 55–6410,250,9112,361,205 65–748,592,3971,983, ,306,0781,649,922 Total63,952,89113,236, <1822,065,761$ 3,281,735 18–5454,167,90211,373,952 55–6422,394,7105,158,420 65–7426,846,5306,197, ,508,4576,889,684 Total155,983,36032,901,777 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from National Center for Health Statistics 2011, 2012b, 2012a; C. Caffrey et al.2012.

Physician Contacts, Days of Hospital Care, and Number of Nursing Home Residents in Texas by Age of Patient and Associated Costs for 2010 (in Thousands of 2010 Dollars) and Projected for 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration Age of Patient Number Costs (in thousands) Hospital Days and Associated Costs 2010 <181,017,380$ 1,474,016 18–443,037,8946,078,908 45–64 5,645,16114,152, ,860,2206,426,277 Total 12,560,65528,131, <18 1,962,618$ 2,843,509 18–44 6,294,83312,596,130 45–64 13,834,18234,682, ,281,08727,592,866 Total34,372,72077,714,979 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from National Center for Health Statistics 2011, 2012b, 2012a; C. Caffrey et al.2012.

Physician Contacts, Days of Hospital Care, and Number of Nursing Home Residents in Texas by Age of Patient and Associated Costs for 2010 (in Thousands of 2010 Dollars) and Projected for 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration Age of PatientNumber Costs (in thousands) Nursing Home Residents and Monthly Costs –6410,021$ 31,716 65–74 8,1995,950 75–84 24,59777, , ,813 Total 91,099288, –6420,191$ 63,905 65–74 25,622 81,094 75–84 94,147297, , ,622 Total 386,918 1,224,596 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from National Center for Health Statistics 2011, 2012b, 2012a; C. Caffrey et al

CHIP Recipients in Texas, Percent Change in Projected Recipients, Percent of Recipients by Race/Ethnicity, and Net Change in Recipients, Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration, 2010–2050 Year/ Period NH* White NH BlackHispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal Panel A: CHIP Recipients ,95972,463352,02528,455574, ,24177,828431,81142,199675, ,83684,859543,42950,350802, ,79990,636704,97175,353987, ,20995,904866,631112,7231,189,467 Panel B: Percent Change in Projected CHIP Recipients 2010– – – – – Panel C: Percent of CHIP Recipients by Race/Ethnicity Panel D: Number and Percent of Net Change in CHIP Recipients, 2010–2050 NumberPercent NH White-7, NH Black 23, Hispanic 514, NH Asian & Other 84, Total 614, Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Health Management Associates 2012a; Texas Health and Human Services Commission 2013a.

Medicaid Recipients in Texas, Percent Change in Projected Recipients, Percent of Recipients by Race/Ethnicity, and Net Change in Recipients, Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration, 2010–2050 Year/ Period NH* White NH BlackHispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal Panel A: Medicaid Recipients ,484599,3181,942,83377,8323,358, , ,1992,485,323126,4694,071, ,516779,8973,263,488191,2145,031, ,817864,7064,256,531303,6166,205, ,659943,9015,386,378468,1107,565,048 Panel B: Percent Change in Projected Medicaid Recipients 2010– – – – – Panel C: Percent of Medicaid Recipients by Race/Ethnicity Panel D: Number and Percent of Net Change in Medicaid Recipients, 2010–2050 NumberPercent NH White28, NH Black 344, Hispanic 3,443, NH Asian & Other 390, Total 4,206, Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Health Management Associates 2012b; Texas Health and Human Services Commission 2013b.

Total Costs and State Costs (in Thousands of 2010 Constant Dollars) for Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) and Medicaid in Texas by Race/Ethnicity of Recipients in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration YearNH WhiteNH BlackHispanic NH Asian & OtherTotal a Panel A: CHIP Total costs 2010$ 231,593.5$ 137,603.3$ 668,476.4$ 54,034.5$ 1,091, , , ,031, , ,523, , , ,645, , ,258,733.3 State costs , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,538.5 Panel B: Medicaid Total costs 20105,980,855.34,853, ,734, , ,199, ,450,846.56,316, ,430,429.71,548, ,746, ,209,039.87,644, ,623,351.73,791, ,268,026.4 State costs 20101,783,556.01,447,448.14,692, ,976.68,111, ,923, ,883, ,881, , ,150, ,851, ,279, ,008,957.61,130, ,270,791.3 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services 2013; Health Management Associates 2012a, 2012b; Texas Health and Human Services Commission 2013b. a Total costs computed from unrounded values.

Mean Household Income in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households

Mean Consumer Expenditures in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households

Percent of All Households in Poverty in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households

Aggregate Household Income (in $Billions) in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households Billions

Aggregate Consumer Expenditures (in $Billions) in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households Billions

Aggregate State Tax Revenues (in $Billions) in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households Billions

The mark of a truly educated man is to be moved deeply by statistics. George Bernard Shaw

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