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Population Change in Texas and the United States:

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1 Population Change in Texas and the United States:
Implications for Education and the Socioeconomic Future of Texas and The United States Steve Murdock Hobby Center for the Study of Texas Allyn and Gladys Cline Professor of Sociology Rice University United Way of Tarrant County Economic Summit February 10, 2015

2 Total Population and Percent Population Change in Texas and the United States, 1850-2010
Total Population Percent Change Year Texas U.S. 1850 212,592 23,191,876 --- 1860 604,215 31,443,321 184.2 35.6 1870 818,579 39,818,449 35.5 26.6 1880 1,591,749 50,155,783 94.5 26.0 1890 2,235,527 62,947,714 40.4 25.5 1900 3,048,710 75,994,575 36.4 20.7 1910 3,896,542 91,972,266 27.8 21.0 1920 4,663,228 105,710,620 19.7 14.9 1930 5,824,715 122,775,046 24.9 16.1 1940 6,414,824 131,669,275 10.1 7.2 1950 7,711,194 150,697,361 20.2 14.5 1960 9,579,677 179,323,175 24.2 19.0 1970 11,196,730 203,302,031 16.9 13.4 1980 14,229,191 226,545,805 27.1 11.4 1990 16,986,510 248,709,873 19.4 9.8 2000 20,851,820 281,421,906 22.8 13.2 2010 25,145,561 308,745,538 20.6 9.7 Source: Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau decennial census April 1 of reported year.

3 Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population
in the United States (in Millions), Source: Passel, Jeffrey and D’Vera Cohn, “Unauthorized Immigrant Totals Rise in 7 States, Fall in 14,” Washington, D.C. Pew Hispanic Center, November 18, 2014.

4 Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population
in Texas (in Millions), Source: Passel, Jeffrey and D’Vera Cohn, “Unauthorized Immigrant Totals Rise in 7 States, Fall in 14,” Washington, D.C.Pew Hispanic Center, November 18, 2014.

5 Ten States in the United States with the
Largest Numeric Population Increase Change State 2000 Population 2010 Population Numeric Percent United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7 Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6 California 33,871,648 37,253,956 3,382,308 10.0 Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 2,818,932 17.6 Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 1,501,200 18.3 North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,170 18.5 Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,385 24.6 Virginia 7,078,515 8,001,024 922,509 13.0 Washington 5,894,121 6,724,540 830,419 14.1 Colorado 4,301,261 5,029,196 727,935 16.9 Nevada 1,998,257 2,700,551 702,294 35.1 Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010. Source: U.S. Census Bureau

6 Total Population in Texas Metropolitan Statistical Areas
Ranked by Numerical Change Between 2000 and 2010 Total Population Change Metropolitan Statistical Area 2000 2010 Numeric % Houston-The Woodlands-Sugarland 4,693,161 5,920,416 1,227,255 26.1 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington 5,204,126 6,426,214 1,222,088 23.5 Austin-Round Rock 1,249,763 1,716,289 466,526 37.3 San Antonio-New Braunfels 1,711,703 2,142,508 430,805 25.2 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 569,463 774,769 205,306 36.1 El Paso 682,966 804,123 121,157 17.7 Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood 330,714 405,300 74,586 22.6 Brownsville-Harlingen 335,227 406,220 70,993 21.2 Laredo 193,117 250,304 57,187 29.6 College Station-Bryan 184,885 228,660 43,775 23.7 Tyler 174,706 209,714 35,008 20.0 Lubbock 256,250 290,805 34,555 13.5 Corpus Christi 403,280 428,185 24,905 6.2 Amarillo 228,707 251,933 23,226 10.2 Midland 120,755 141,671 20,916 17.3 Waco 232,093 252,679 20,586 8.9 Longview 194,042 214,369 20,327 10.5 Odessa 121,123 137,130 16,007 13.2 Sherman-Denison 110,595 120,877 10,282 9.3 San Angelo 105,781 111,823 6,042 5.7 Texarkana* 89,306 92,565 3,259 3.6 Beaumont-Port Arthur 400,162 403,190 3,028 0.8 Victoria 91,016 94,003 2,987 3.3 Abilene 160,245 162,252 2,007 1.3 Wichita Falls 151,524 151,306 -218 -0.1 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division Note: Metropolitan Statistical Areas as defined by U.S. OMB, Feb *Texas portion only. 6 6

7 Population, Population Change, and Percent Change in Texas Metropolitan Statistical Areas by Numeric Change, April 1, 2010 and July 1, 2012 Metropolitan Statistical Area April 1, 2010 July 1, 2012 Numeric Percent Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington 6,426,214 6,700,991 274,777 4.3 Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land 5,920,416 6,177,035 256,619 Austin-Round Rock 1,716,289 1,834,303 118,014 6.9 San Antonio-New Braunfels 2,142,508 2,234,003 91,495 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 774,769 806,552 31,783 4.1 El Paso 804,123 830,735 26,612 3.3 Killeen-Temple 405,300 420,375 15,075 3.7 Midland 141,671 151,662 9,991 7.1 Brownsville-Harlingen 406,220 415,557 9,337 2.3 Corpus Christi 428,185 437,109 8,924 2.1 Laredo 250,304 259,172 8,868 3.5 Odessa 137,130 144,325 7,195 5.2 Lubbock 290,805 297,669 6,864 2.4 College Station-Bryan 228,660 234,501 5,841 2.6 Amarillo 251,933 257,578 5,645 2.2 Tyler 209,714 214,821 5,107 Waco 252,772 256,317 3,545 1.4 San Angelo 111,823 114,854 3,031 2.7 Victoria 94,003 96,620 2,617 2.8 Longview 214,369 216,679 2,310 1.1 Abilene 165,252 166,963 1,711 1.0 Sherman-Denison 120,877 121,935 1,058 0.9 Beaumont-Port Arthur 403,190 404,180 990 0.2 Texarkana-Texarkana, AR 149,198 149,701 503 0.3 Wichita Falls 151,306 150,829 -477 -0.3 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division Note: Metropolitan Statistical Areas as defined by U.S. OMB, Feb

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9 Population Change in Texas Counties, April 1, 2010 – July 1, 2012
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012 Population Estimates. Population Change in Texas Counties, April 1, – July 1, 2012

10 Population and Population Change for Places in Ft. Bend County
Change Change * Geographic Area 2000 2010 2012^ Numeric Percent Arcola 1,048 1,642 1,658 594 56.7 16 1.0 Beasley 590 641 649 51 8.6 8 1.2 Cinco Ranch CDP 11,196 18,274 -NA- 7,078 63.2 Fairchilds 678 763 841 85 12.5 78 10.2 Fresno CDP 6,603 19,069 12,466 188.8 Katy 11,775 14,102 14,661 2,327 19.8 559 4.0 Kendleton 466 380 385 (86) -18.5 5 1.3 Meadows Place 4,912 4,660 4,709 (252) -5.1 49 1.1 Mission Bend CDP 30,831 36,501 5,670 18.4 Missouri City 52,913 67,358 69,020 14,445 27.3 1,662 2.5 Needville 2,609 2,823 2,868 214 8.2 45 1.6 New Territory CDP 13,861 15,186 1,325 9.6 Orchard 408 352 367 (56) -13.7 15 4.3 Pecan Grove CDP 13,551 15,963 2,412 17.8 Pleak 947 1,044 1,153 97 109 10.4 Richmond 11,081 11,679 11,807 598 5.4 128 Rosenberg 24,043 30,618 31,734 6,575 1,116 3.6 Simonton 718 814 824 96 13.4 10 Stafford 15,681 17,693 17,962 2,012 12.8 269 1.5 Sugar Land 63,328 78,817 82,480 15,489 24.5 3,663 4.6 Thompsons 236 246 272 4.2 26 10.6 Fulshear 716 1,134 1,883 418 58.4 749 66.0 Fort Bend 354,452 585,375 627,293 230,923 65.1 41,918 7.2 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013. ^ Population estimates are not available for unincorporated places. *27 Months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2012.

11 Ten Largest States in the United States Ranked by Population Size in 2014
April 1, April 1, July 1, Change Change Numeric % United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 318,857,056 27,323,632 9.7 10,111,518 3.3 California 33,871,648 37,253,956 38,802,500 3,382,308 10 1,548,544 4.2 Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 26,956,958 4,293,741 20.6 1,811,397 7.2 Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 19,893,297 2,818,932 17.6 1,091,987 5.8 New York 18,976,457 19,378,102 19,746,227 401,645 2.1 368,125 1.9 Illinois 12,419,293 12,830,632 12,880,580 411,339 49,948 0.4 Pennsylvania 12,281,054 12,702,379 12,787,209 421,325 3.4 84,830 0.7 Ohio 11,353,140 11,536,504 11,594,163 183,364 1.6 57,659 0.5 Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 10,097,343 1,501,200 18.3 409,690 North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 9,943,964 1,486,170 18.5 408,481 4.3 Michigan 9,938,444 9,883,640 9,909,877 -54,804 -0.6 26,237 0.3 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. Texas annualized change = 1.6% vs. US: 0.74% Assuming same annualized change for decade: Texas: 16% and US: 7.4%

12 Ten States in the United States with the Largest Numeric Population Increase, 2010-2014
April 1, April 1, July 1, Change Change Numeric % United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 318,857,056 27,323,632 9.7 10,111,518 3.3 Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 26,956,958 4,293,741 20.6 1,811,397 7.2 California 33,871,648 37,253,956 38,802,500 3,382,308 10.0 1,548,544 4.2 Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 19,893,297 2,818,932 17.6 1,091,987 5.8 Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 10,097,343 1,501,200 18.3 409,690 North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 9,943,964 1,486,170 18.5 408,481 4.3 New York 18,976,457 19,378,102 19,746,227 401,645 2.1 368,125 1.9 Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 6,731,484 1,261,385 24.6 339,467 5.3 Washington 5,894,121 6,724,540 7,061,530 830,419 14.1 336,990 5.0 Colorado 4,301,261 5,029,196 5,355,866 727,935 16.9 326,670 6.5 Virginia 7,078,515 8,001,024 8,326,289 922,509 13.0 325,265 4.1 Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

13 Ten States in the United States with the Largest Percentage Population Increase, 2010-2014
April 1, April 1, 2010 July 1, Change Change Numeric % United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 318,857,056 27,323,632 9.7 10,111,518 3.3 North Dakota 642,200 672,591 739,482 30,391 4.7 66,891 9.9 Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 26,956,958 4,293,741 20.6 1,811,397 7.2 Colorado 4,301,261 5,029,196 5,355,866 727,935 16.9 326,670 6.5 Utah 2,233,169 2,763,885 2,942,902 530,716 23.8 179,017 Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 19,893,297 2,818,932 17.6 1,091,987 5.8 Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 6,731,484 1,261,385 24.6 339,467 5.3 Nevada 1,998,257 2,700,551 2,839,099 702,294 35.1 138,548 5.1 Washington 5,894,121 6,724,540 7,061,530 830,419 14.1 336,990 5.0 South Dakota 754,844 814,180 853,175 59,336 7.9 38,995 4.8 South Carolina 4,012,012 4,625,364 4,832,482 613,352 15.3 207,118 4.5 Source: U.S. Census

14 Ten States in the United States with the Largest Percentage Population Increase, 2010-2013
April 1, 2000 April 1, 2010 July 1, 2013 Change Change Numeric % United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 316,128,839 27,323,632 9.7 7,383,301 2.4 North Dakota 642,237 672,591 723,393 30,354 4.7 50,802 7.6 Texas 20,851,028 25,145,561 26,448,193 4,294,533 20.6 1,302,632 5.2 Utah 2,233,183 2,763,885 2,900,872 530,702 23.8 136,987 5.0 Colorado 4,302,086 5,029,196 5,268,367 727,110 16.9 239,171 4.8 Florida 15,982,571 18,801,310 19,552,860 2,818,739 17.6 751,550 4.0 South Dakota 754,858 814,180 844,877 59,322 7.9 30,697 3.8 Arizona 5,130,247 6,392,017 6,626,624 1,261,770 24.6 234,607 3.7 Washington 5,894,281 6,724,540 6,971,406 830,259 14.1 246,866 Alaska 626,933 710,231 735,132 83,298 13.3 24,901 3.5 Wyoming 493,786 563,626 582,658 69,840 19,032 3.4 Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

15 Population and Population Change for Texas and the Twenty Largest Counties in Texas in 2013
Population Change Change * County 2000 2010 2013 Numeric Percent Texas 20,851,028 25,145,561 26,448,193 4,294,533 20.6 1,302,632 5.2 Harris County 3,401,139 4,093,165 4,336,853 691,320 20.3 243,688 6.0 Dallas County 2,216,808 2,367,636 2,480,331 151,331 6.8 112,695 4.8 Tarrant County 1,449,290 1,809,537 1,911,541 359,744 24.8 102,004 5.6 Bexar County 1,393,035 1,714,774 1,817,610 321,738 23.1 102,836 Travis County 811,776 1,024,331 1,120,954 212,490 26.2 96,623 9.4 Collin County 491,272 782,351 854,778 291,069 59.2 72,427 9.3 El Paso County 679,568 800,647 827,718 121,079 17.8 27,071 3.4 Hidalgo County 569,099 774,769 815,996 205,670 36.1 41,227 5.3 Denton County 433,065 662,604 728,799 229,549 53.0 66,195 10.0 Fort Bend County 354,286 584,686 652,365 231,089 65.2 67,679 11.6 Montgomery County 293,779 455,760 499,137 161,967 55.1 43,377 9.5 Williamson County 250,466 422,617 471,014 172,213 68.8 48,397 11.5 Cameron County 334,884 406,220 417,276 71,336 21.3 11,056 2.7 Nueces County 313,512 340,223 352,107 26,711 8.5 11,884 3.5 Brazoria County 241,805 313,137 330,242 71,361 29.5 17,105 5.5 Bell County 238,000 310,235 326,843 72,235 30.4 16,608 5.4 Galveston County 250,178 291,307 306,782 41,131 16.4 15,475 Lubbock County 242,644 278,831 289,324 36,187 14.9 10,493 3.8 Webb County 193,124 250,304 262,495 57,180 29.6 12,191 4.9 Jefferson County 251,968 252,273 252,358 305 0.1 85 0.0 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2013 and   Intercensal Estimates. *39 months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1,  Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University Certainly our largest counties continue to see growth. Smallest numeric growth: Jefferson. Smallest percent growth: Jefferson, Dallas, and Nueces.

16 Population and Population Change for the Twenty Counties in Texas with the Largest Numeric Increase from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013 Population Change Change * County 2000 2010 2013 Numeric Percent Harris County 3,401,139 4,093,165 4,336,853 691,320 20.3 243,688 6.0 Dallas County 2,216,808 2,367,636 2,480,331 151,331 6.8 112,695 4.8 Bexar County 1,393,035 1,714,774 1,817,610 321,738 23.1 102,836 Tarrant County 1,449,290 1,809,537 1,911,541 359,744 24.8 102,004 5.6 Travis County 811,776 1,024,331 1,120,954 212,490 26.2 96,623 9.4 Collin County 491,272 782,351 854,778 291,069 59.2 72,427 9.3 Fort Bend County 354,286 584,686 652,365 231,089 65.2 67,679 11.6 Denton County 433,065 662,604 728,799 229,549 53.0 66,195 10.0 Williamson County 250,466 422,617 471,014 172,213 68.8 48,397 11.5 Montgomery County 293,779 455,760 499,137 161,967 55.1 43,377 9.5 Hidalgo County 569,099 774,769 815,996 205,670 36.1 41,227 5.3 El Paso County 679,568 800,647 827,718 121,079 17.8 27,071 3.4 Hays County 97,918 157,112 176,026 59,189 60.4 18,914 12.0 Brazoria County 241,805 313,137 330,242 71,361 29.5 17,105 5.5 Bell County 238,000 310,235 326,843 72,235 30.4 16,608 5.4 Galveston County 250,178 291,307 306,782 41,131 16.4 15,475 Midland County 116,034 136,870 151,468 20,838 18.0 14,598 10.7 Ector County 121,124 137,132 149,378 16,006 13.2 12,246 8.9 Webb County 193,124 250,304 262,495 57,180 29.6 12,191 4.9 Nueces County 313,512 340,223 352,107 26,711 8.5 11,884 3.5 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2013 and   Intercensal Estimates. *39 months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1,  Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

17 Population and Population Change for the Twenty Counties in Texas with the Largest Numeric Increase from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013 Population Change Change * County 2000 2010 2013 Numeric Percent Harris County 3,401,139 4,093,165 4,336,853 691,320 20.3 243,688 6.0 Dallas County 2,216,808 2,367,636 2,480,331 151,331 6.8 112,695 4.8 Bexar County 1,393,035 1,714,774 1,817,610 321,738 23.1 102,836 Tarrant County 1,449,290 1,809,537 1,911,541 359,744 24.8 102,004 5.6 Travis County 811,776 1,024,331 1,120,954 212,490 26.2 96,623 9.4 Collin County 491,272 782,351 854,778 291,069 59.2 72,427 9.3 Fort Bend County 354,286 584,686 652,365 231,089 65.2 67,679 11.6 Denton County 433,065 662,604 728,799 229,549 53.0 66,195 10.0 Williamson County 250,466 422,617 471,014 172,213 68.8 48,397 11.5 Montgomery County 293,779 455,760 499,137 161,967 55.1 43,377 9.5 Hidalgo County 569,099 774,769 815,996 205,670 36.1 41,227 5.3 El Paso County 679,568 800,647 827,718 121,079 17.8 27,071 3.4 Hays County 97,918 157,112 176,026 59,189 60.4 18,914 12.0 Brazoria County 241,805 313,137 330,242 71,361 29.5 17,105 5.5 Bell County 238,000 310,235 326,843 72,235 30.4 16,608 5.4 Galveston County 250,178 291,307 306,782 41,131 16.4 15,475 Midland County 116,034 136,870 151,468 20,838 18.0 14,598 10.7 Ector County 121,124 137,132 149,378 16,006 13.2 12,246 8.9 Webb County 193,124 250,304 262,495 57,180 29.6 12,191 4.9 Nueces County 313,512 340,223 352,107 26,711 8.5 11,884 3.5 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2013 and   Intercensal Estimates. *39 months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1,  Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

18 Population and Population Change for the Twenty Counties in Texas with the Largest Percentage Change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013 Population Change Change * County 2000 2010 2013 Numeric Percent Loving 67 82 95 15 22.4 13 15.9 Andrews 13,002 14,786 16,799 1,784 13.7 2,013 13.6 Kendall 23,793 33,410 37,766 9,617 40.4 4,356 13.0 Hays 97,918 157,112 176,026 59,189 60.4 18,914 12.0 Fort Bend 354,286 584,686 652,365 231,089 65.2 67,679 11.6 Williamson 250,466 422,617 471,014 172,213 68.8 48,397 11.5 Martin 4,746 4,799 5,312 53 1.1 513 10.7 Midland 116,034 136,870 151,468 20,838 18.0 14,598 Denton 433,065 662,604 728,799 229,549 53.0 66,195 10.0 Montgomery 293,779 455,760 499,137 161,967 55.1 43,377 9.5 Travis 811,776 1,024,331 1,120,954 212,490 26.2 96,623 9.4 Collin 491,272 782,351 854,778 291,069 59.2 72,427 9.3 Comal 78,022 108,472 118,480 30,450 39.0 10,008 9.2 Hemphill 3,353 3,807 4,158 454 13.5 351 Crane 3,996 4,375 4,773 379 398 9.1 Dimmit 10,205 9,996 10,897 -209 -2.0 901 9.0 Ector 121,124 137,132 149,378 16,006 13.2 12,246 8.9 Guadalupe 88,856 131,537 143,183 42,677 48.0 11,646 Rockwall 43,023 78,337 85,245 35,314 82.1 6,908 8.8 McMullen 847 707 764 -140 -16.5 57 8.1 *Midland, Ector and Adjacent Counties in bold. *39 Months of Change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013.

19 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total
Population by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change NH White 10,933,313 11,397,345 464,032 4.2 10.8 52.4 45.3 Hispanic (All Races) 6,669,666 9,460,921 2,791,255 41.8 65.0 32.0 37.6 NH Black 2,364,255 2,886,825 522,570 22.1 12.2 11.3 11.5 NH Asian 554,445 948,426 393,981 71.1 9.2 2.7 3.8 NH Other 330,141 452,044 121,903 36.9 2.8 1.6 1.8 Total 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races.  All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L.  Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

20 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population
18 Years and Older by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change NH White 8,426,166 9,074,684 648,518 7.7 19.6 56.3 49.6 Hispanic (All Races) 4,282,901 6,143,144 1,860,243 43.4 56.1 28.6 33.6 NH Black 1,631,448 2,076,282 444,834 27.3 13.4 10.9 11.4 NH Asian 415,219 716,968 301,749 72.7 9.1 2.8 3.9 NH Other 209,327 268,659 59,332 28.3 1.8 1.4 1.5 Total 14,965,061 18,279,737 3,314,676 22.1 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races.  All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L.  Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

21 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population
Under 18 Years by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change NH White 2,507,147 2,322,661 -184,486 -7.4 -18.8 42.6 33.8 Hispanic (All Races) 2,386,765 3,317,777 931,012 39.0 95.1 40.5 48.3 NH Black 732,807 810,543 77,736 10.6 7.9 12.4 11.8 NH Asian 139,226 231,458 92,232 66.2 9.4 2.4 3.4 NH Other 120,814 183,385 62,571 51.8 6.4 2.1 2.7 Total 5,886,759 6,865,824 979,065 16.6 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races.  All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L.  Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

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26 Percent of Total Population Percent of Total Change
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change NH White 194,552,774 196,817,552 2,264,778 1.2 8.3 69.1 63.7 Hispanic (All Races) 35,305,818 50,477,594 15,171,776 43.0 55.5 12.5 16.3 NH Black 33,947,837 37,685,848 3,738,011 11.0 13.7 12.1 12.2 NH Asian 10,123,169 14,465,124 4,341,955 42.9 15.9 3.6 4.7 NH Other 7,492,308 9,299,420 1,807,112 24.1 6.6 2.7 3.0 Total 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races.  All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L.  Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

27 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population
Under 18 Years by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change NH White 44,027,087 39,716,562 -4,310,525 -9.8 -228.4 60.9 53.5 Hispanic (All Races) 12,342,259 17,130,891 4,788,632 38.8 253.7 17.1 23.1 NH Black 10,610,264 10,362,183 -248,081 -2.3 -13.1 14.7 14.0 NH Asian 2,420,274 3,176,129 755,855 31.2 40.0 3.3 4.3 NH Other 2,893,928 3,795,702 901,774 47.8 4.0 5.1 Total 72,293,812 74,181,467 1,887,655 2.6 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races.  All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L.  Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

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30

31

32 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the
Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group 2000 2010 Numeric Percent NH* White 758,302 938,474 180,172 23.8 38.6 60.7 54.7 NH Black 96,746 120,510 23,764 24.6 5.1 7.7 7.0 Hispanic 327,760 538,313 210,553 64.2 45.1 26.2 31.4 NH Asian & Other 66,955 118,992 52,037 77.7 11.2 5.4 6.9 Total 1,249,763 1,716,289 466,526 37.3 100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in  *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

33 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the
Total Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group 2000 2010 Numeric Percent NH* White 161,723 182,346 20,623 12.8 17.5 51.0 41.9 NH Black 28,862 32,637 3,775 13.1 3.2 9.1 7.5 Hispanic 109,686 185,913 76,227 69.5 64.8 34.6 42.8 NH Asian & Other 16,751 33,864 17,113 102.2 14.5 5.3 7.8 Total 317,022 434,760 117,738 37.1 100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in  *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

34 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the
Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group 2000 2010 Numeric Percent NH* White 3,081,734 3,248,509 166,775 5.4 13.6 59.3 50.5 NH Black 707,490 941,599 234,109 33.1 19.2 14.7 Hispanic 1,121,442 1,758,738 637,296 56.8 52.2 21.5 27.4 NH Asian & Other 293,460 477,368 183,908 62.7 15.0 5.6 7.4 Total 5,204,126 6,426,214 1,222,088 23.5 100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in  *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

35 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the
Total Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group 2000 2010 Numeric Percent NH* White 735,112 699,178 -35,934 -4.9 -11.1 50.2 39.1 NH Black 227,185 277,206 50,021 22.0 15.4 15.6 15.5 Hispanic 410,193 661,960 251,767 61.4 77.5 28.1 37.1 NH Asian & Other 88,486 147,481 58,995 66.7 18.2 6.1 8.3 Total 1,460,976 1,785,825 324,849 22.2 100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in  *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

36 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population
by Race/Ethnicity for the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group 2000 2010 Numeric Percent NH* White 2,256,857 2,340,268 83,411 3.7 6.8 48.1 39.6 NH Black 781,159 996,221 215,062 27.5 17.5 16.6 16.8 Hispanic 1,352,393 2,096,532 744,139 55.0 60.7 28.8 35.4 NH Asian & Other 302,752 487,395 184,643 61.0 15.0 6.5 8.2 Total 4,693,161 5,920,416 1,227,255 26.1 100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in  *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

37 Percent of Total Change
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group 2000 2010 Numeric Percent NH* White 542,563 494,054 -48,509 -8.9 -16.5 39.8 29.8 NH Black 244,702 282,991 38,289 15.6 13.0 18.0 17.1 Hispanic 489,495 744,227 254,732 52.0 86.8 35.9 45.0 NH Asian & Other 85,634 134,692 49,058 57.3 16.7 6.3 8.1 Total 1,362,394 1,655,964 293,570 21.5 100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in  *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

38 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the
Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the San Antonio-New Braunfels Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group 2000 2010 Numeric Percent NH* White 696,316 773,807 77,491 11.1 18.0 40.7 36.1 NH Black 102,441 130,070 27,629 27.0 6.4 6.0 6.1 Hispanic 863,162 1,158,148 294,986 34.2 68.5 50.4 54.0 NH Asian & Other 49,784 80,483 30,699 61.7 7.1 2.9 3.8 Total 1,711,703 2,142,508 430,805 25.2 100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in  *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

39 Percent of Total Change
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the San Antonio-New Braunfels Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group 2000 2010 Numeric Percent NH* White 151,728 148,028 -3,700 -2.4 -4.1 31.2 25.7 NH Black 30,007 33,517 3,510 11.7 3.9 6.2 5.8 Hispanic 289,103 370,886 81,783 28.3 90.9 59.6 64.5 NH Asian & Other 14,784 23,139 8,355 56.5 9.3 3.0 4.0 Total 485,622 575,570 89,948 18.5 100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in  *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

40 POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONDITIONS

41 Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household
Income by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 16,026,542 8.3 $59,221 21,831,928 10.8 $53,988 Hispanic (All Races) 7,797,874 22.6 $44,079 12,583,542 24.8 $40,165 NH Black 7,970,165 $38,541 10,270,229 27.1 $33,568 NH Asian 1,241,291 12.6 $68,020 1,806,217 12.4 $67,142 Total 33,899,812 $54,966 47,330,502 15.3 $50,046 *In 2010 Dollars. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, American Community Survey Not all race/ethnic groups are shown here but are included in the total. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

42 Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median
Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 856,055 7.9 $61,542 1,111,251 9.5 $59,517 Hispanic (All Races) 1,658,434 25.4 $39,101 2,555,080 26.8 $37,087 Black 515,859 23.3 $38,378 717,458 24.7 $35,674 Asian 63,598 11.7 $65,633 120,601 12.6 $64,191 Total 3,117,609 15.4 $52,260 4,521,023 17.9 $48,615 *In 2010 Dollars. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, American Community Survey Not all race/ethnic groups are shown here but are included in the total. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

43 Median Household Income*
Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 52,995 7.0 $70,307 87,639 9.3 $64,893 Hispanic (All Races) 57,897 18.1 $50,599 139,333 25.6 $39,843 NH Black 15,932 17.8 $47,130 29,904 24.4 $38,465 Asian 6,502 15.6 $64,801 11,352 13.9 $67,317 Total 134,589 11.1 $63,905 274,801 15.9 $55,744 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

44 Median Household Income*
Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Dallas-Forth Worth-Arlington MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 168,399 5.5 $72,291 234,244 7.3 $66,611 Hispanic (All Races) 219,006 19.9 $46,782 419,024 23.7 $40,083 NH Black 134,474 19.7 $43,070 220,867 23.6 $37,539 Asian 19,165 10.0 $72,049 37,441 11.0 $70,006 Total 547,385 10.8 $63,245 934,827 14.6 $54,449 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

45 Median Household Income*
Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 142,906 6.2 $73,353 167,593 7.1 $72,480 Hispanic (All Races) 294,484 22.0 $43,087 533,716 25.2 $40,972 NH Black 167,271 $41,210 223,990 22.2 $39,638 Asian 25,338 11.4 $67,702 50,732 12.9 $67,333 Total 635,349 13.7 $58,497 986,220 16.5 $53,942 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

46 Median Household Income*
Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for San Antonio-New Braunfels MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 47,870 6.9 $63,329 57,496 7.4 $63,067 Hispanic (All Races) 182,882 21.5 $40,849 258,421 22.1 $41,439 NH Black 17,941 19.0 $42,457 24,354 18.5 $39,004 Asian 2,277 9.8 $53,032 4,778 11.1 $56,056 Total 252,311 15.1 $51,091 351,737 16.3 $50,225 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

47 Percent of the Population Age 25 and Older in the United States and Texas with Less Than High School Diploma/GED by Race/Ethnicity, 2010

48 Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma
Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos MSA, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White 663,675 3.6 17.7 30.2 48.6 NH Black 72,639 11.4 25.5 40.9 22.2 Hispanic 282,851 35.1 21.7 Asian 52,518 8.0 10.7 16.8 64.6 NH Other 18,051 3.2 23.4 38.6 37.1 Total 1,089,734 12.5 20.0 28.2 39.4 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

49 Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over
by Race/Ethnicity, Austin, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White 277,412 2.6 12.6 26.0 58.8 Black 39,246 12.1 26.7 39.3 19.6 Hispanic 150,364 38.8 24.3 19.1 17.7 Asian 27,243 6.6 10.8 13.3 69.3 NH Other 7,767 2.5 24.9 46.3 39.5 Total 502,032 14.4 17.3 24.6 43.7 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

50 Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma
Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, Dallas-Forth Worth-Arlington MSA, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White 2,267,968 6.4 22.3 32.4 38.9 NH Black 567,121 11.8 29.3 36.2 22.7 Hispanic 894,960 45.9 24.2 19.1 10.8 Asian 224,536 13.4 16.1 16.9 53.7 NH Other 66,717 10.0 18.6 37.9 33.6 Total 4,021,302 16.4 23.3 29.2 31.1 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

51 Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over
by Race/Ethnicity, Dallas, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White 268,234 4.8 14.5 23.5 57.2 NH Black 184,582 16.4 35.6 33.1 14.9 Hispanic 269,886 56.4 23.8 12.2 7.6 Asian 24,484 18.7 10.7 16.2 54.4 NH Other 12,662 11.2 14.2 36.5 38.1 Total 759,848 26.5 22.8 21.8 28.9 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

52 Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over
by Race/Ethnicity, Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White 1,690,388 6.6 22.8 31.8 38.7 NH Black 613,998 11.9 28.4 37.5 22.2 Hispanic 1,120,681 44.2 25.3 19.6 11.0 Asian 265,709 15.3 15.4 49.7 NH Other 47,502 9.7 19.4 38.6 33.5 Total 3,738,278 23.9 28.3 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

53 Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over
by Race/Ethnicity, Houston, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White 419,889 5.6 16.0 25.9 52.5 NH Black 308,640 15.5 31.6 34.9 18.0 Hispanic 501,734 50.9 22.8 16.4 9.8 Asian 91,939 15.8 15.0 17.1 52.1 NH Other 14,936 17.3 34.5 35.7 Total 1,337,138 25.7 22.1 23.9 28.3 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

54 Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over
by Race/Ethnicity, San Antonio-New Braunfels MSA, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White 563,081 6.2 21.8 33.8 38.2 NH Black 82,638 11.1 23.1 41.4 24.3 Hispanic 662,344 28.4 29.6 28.7 13.4 Asian 29,916 13.1 14.8 23.8 48.3 NH Other 16,495 5.6 18.6 38.0 34.3 Total 1,354,474 17.5 25.5 31.6 25.4 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

55 Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over
by Race/Ethnicity, San Antonio, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White 258,022 5.4 19.0 33.4 42.2 NH Black 50,168 12.9 24.3 41.8 21.0 Hispanic 488,603 28.7 29.9 12.7 Asian 20,093 11.7 15.2 21.4 51.6 NH Other 9,581 6.7 12.6 30.0 42.0 Total 826,467 19.8 25.6 30.8 23.7 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

56 PROJECTIONS

57 (Resident population as of July 1, Number in thousands)
U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: Census 2010 and Projected for 2020 to 2060 Year (Resident population as of July 1, Number in thousands) Non-Hispanic Hispanic (any race) Total White alone Black alone Asian alone All other races 2010 196,818 37,686 14,465 9,299 50,478 308,746 2020 199,312 41,776 18,246 10,778 63,784 333,896 2030 198,818 45,452 22,044 13,502 78,655 358,471 2040 193,887 48,769 25,881 16,603 94,876 380,016 2050 186,334 51,988 29,583 20,166 111,732 399,803 2060 178,952 55,302 33,106 24,128 128,780 420,268 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census and 2012 National Projections

58 Numeric Change in U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2010 to 2060 (in millions)

59 Change in the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2010 to 2060

60 (Percent of total resident population as of July 1)
Age Distribution of the U.S. Population: Census 2010 and Projected 2020 to 2060 Age Group (Percent of total resident population as of July 1) 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 Under 5 years 6.5 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.9 5 to 19 years 20.4 18.8 18.6 18.1 17.8 17.7 20 to 44 years 33.6 33.0 32.3 31.5 31.6 31.3 45 to 64 years 26.4 24.9 22.6 23.3 23.7 23.2 65 years and over 13.1 16.8 20.3 21.0 20.9 21.9 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census and 2012 National Projections

61 Percent of each group's resident population as of April 1
Percent By Race and Hispanic Origin by Selected Age Groups for the U.S. Population : 2010 Age Group Percent of each group's resident population as of April 1 Non-Hispanic Hispanic (any race) Total White alone Black alone Asian alone All other races 63.8 12.2 4.7 3.0 16.3 100.0 Under 5 years 50.8 13.6 4.3 6.0 25.3 5 to 17 years 54.5 14.1 4.8 22.3 18 to 24 years 57.1 14.3 4.9 3.6 20.1 25 to 44 years 59.6 12.6 5.9 2.7 19.2 45 to 64 years 71.7 11.3 4.4 2.0 10.6 65 years and over 80.0 8.4 3.4 1.3 6.9 Elderly Age Groups 65 to 74 years 78.0 9.1 3.8 1.5 7.6 75 to 84 years 81.2 7.8 3.2 1.2 6.6 85 years and over 84.9 6.8 2.5 0.9 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census

62 Percent of each group's resident population as of April 1
Projected Percent By Race and Hispanic Origin by Selected Age Groups for the U.S. Population: 2060 Age Group Percent of each group's resident population as of April 1 Non-Hispanic Hispanic (any race) Total White alone Black alone Asian alone All other races 42.6 13.2 7.9 5.7 30.6 100.0 Under 5 years 30.9 13.0 6.6 9.9 39.6 5 to 17 years 33.6 6.8 9.0 37.4 18 to 24 years 35.8 7.2 7.7 36.1 25 to 44 years 39.0 13.5 8.5 6.0 33.0 45 to 64 years 45.3 13.4 8.7 4.4 28.2 65 years and over 55.8 12.5 2.7 21.3 Elderly Age Groups 65 to 74 years 52.5 13.6 8.0 3.1 22.8 75 to 84 years 56.7 11.7 2.5 21.2 85 years and over 62.7 10.9 6.7 2.1 17.6 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012 National Projections

63 Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Rates of Net Migration Year NH1 White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other2 Total Assuming Zero Net Migration 2010 11,397,345 2,886,825 9,460,921 1,400,470 25,145,561 2020 11,576,595 3,122,637 11,137,672 1,536,693 27,373,597 2030 11,501,020 3,280,941 12,869,753 1,638,249 29,289,963 2040 11,182,576 3,355,500 14,570,851 1,714,232 30,823,159 2050 10,766,622 3,366,528 16,191,150 1,728,206 32,052,506 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of  11,752,530 3,295,198 12,031,059 1,825,130 28,903,917 11,850,180 3,658,997 15,082,058 2,309,763 32,900,998 11,676,157 3,951,909 18,489,803 2,881,525 36,999,394 11,376,576 4,182,155 22,268,390 3,483,178 41,310,299 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  11,931,815 3,477,928 13,003,159 2,170,409 30,583,311 12,211,664 4,080,453 17,702,132 3,288,536 37,282,785 12,194,151 4,653,725 23,514,974 4,953,861 45,316,711 12,024,913 5,195,861 30,701,208 7,283,548 55,205,530 1NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

64 Percent of the Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Through 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Rates of Net Migration for the State of Texas Year NH1 White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other2 Total Assuming Zero Net Migration (Scenario 0.0) 2010 45.3 11.5 37.6 5.6 100.0 2020 42.3 11.4 40.7 2030 39.3 11.2 43.9 2040 36.3 10.9 47.2 2050 33.6 10.5 50.5 5.4 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of  (Scenario 0.5) 41.6 6.3 36.0 11.1 45.8 7.1 31.6 10.7 50.0 7.7 27.5 10.2 53.9 8.4 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  (Scenario 1.0) 39.0 42.5 32.8 47.5 8.8 26.9 10.3 51.9 21.8 9.4 55.6 13.2 1NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

65 Percent of Net Change in Population from 2010 to 2050 Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Scenarios of Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for State of Texas Race/Ethnicity Number Percent Assuming Zero Net Migration (Scenario 0.0) NH1 White -630,723 -9.1 NH Black 479,703 6.9 Hispanic 6,730,229 97.4 NH Asian & Other2 327,736 4.8 Total 6,906,945 100.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of  (Scenario 0.5) NH White -20,769 -0.1 1,295,330 8.0 12,807,469 79.2 NH Asian & Other 2,082,708 12.9 16,164,738 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  (Scenario 1.0) 627,568 2.1 2,309,036 7.7 21,240,287 70.7 5,883,078 19.5 30,059,969 1NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

66 Percent of the Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Percent of the Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity from 2030 to 2050 Assuming Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration Equal to for the State of Texas (Scenario 1.0) Age NH1 White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other2 Total 2010 <18 20.4 28.1 35.1 29.6 27.3 18-24 8.7 11.2 11.7 10.2 25-44 25.7 29.1 30.1 32.3 28.2 45-64 29.8 24.0 17.5 21.4 65+ 15.4 7.6 5.6 6.5 10.3 2030 19.3 23.4 29.7 21.7 24.9 7.5 9.6 10.8 11.5 23.0 27.2 29.9 31.6 27.5 24.3 24.2 19.8 24.1 22.2 25.9 15.6 9.8 11.1 15.8 2050 18.2 20.7 21.9 7.4 8.9 10.6 8.6 9.4 25.5 27.8 30.5 26.9 23.7 25.6 22.8 27.7 12.9 14.1 16.9 1NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

67 Percent of Age Group by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Percent of Age Group by Race/Ethnicity from 2030 to 2050 Assuming Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration Equal to for the State of Texas (Scenario 1.0) Age NH1 White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other2 Total 2010 <18 33.8 11.8 48.3 6.0 100.0 18-24 38.7 12.6 43.2 5.5 25-44 41.5 11.9 40.2 6.4 45-64 56.1 11.5 27.4 5.0 65+ 67.6 8.4 20.5 3.5 2030 25.4 10.3 56.6 7.7 25.5 10.9 53.0 10.6 27.3 10.8 51.7 10.1 36.0 12.0 42.4 9.6 53.6 29.4 6.2 2050 16.5 8.1 63.4 17.1 8.9 62.0 18.6 57.5 15.0 22.7 10.5 52.4 14.4 35.7 42.5 11.0 do about 5 groupings by median age from youngest 50 to oldest 50; old title: Percent of the Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Percent of the Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity from 2030 to 2050 Assuming Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration Equal to for the State of Texas (Scenario 1.0) 1NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

68 65 Years of Age and Older in
Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in Texas Counties, 2010 68

69 Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in Texas Counties, 2050*
* Assuming rates of net migration equal to

70 Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Harris County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 1,349,646 754,258 1,671,540 317,015 4,092,459 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 1,370,357 819,903 1,994,717 347,798 4,532,775 2030 1,342,716 858,777 2,316,580 363,946 4,882,019 2040 1,278,423 876,137 2,643,875 371,176 5,169,611 2050 1,198,102 876,475 2,946,940 370,587 5,392,104 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1,313,873 840,336 2,153,854 400,856 4,708,919 1,232,849 901,576 2,698,721 482,625 5,315,771 1,118,087 934,326 3,289,505 563,900 5,905,818 998,149 945,431 3,909,739 646,530 6,499,849 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1,255,205 856,198 2,319,477 459,092 4,889,972 1,113,765 921,946 3,099,887 637,362 5,772,960 944,770 935,982 3,927,987 851,405 6,660,144 784,522 905,382 4,767,431 1,115,138 7,572,473 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

71 Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Harris County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 33.0 18.4 40.8 7.7 100.0 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 30.2 18.1 44.0 2030 27.5 17.6 47.5 7.5 2040 24.7 16.9 51.1 7.2 2050 22.2 16.3 54.7 6.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 27.9 17.8 45.7 8.5 23.2 17.0 50.8 9.1 18.9 15.8 55.7 9.5 15.4 14.5 60.2 9.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 25.7 17.5 47.4 9.4 19.3 16.0 53.7 11.0 14.2 14.1 59.0 12.8 10.4 12.0 63.0 14.7 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

72 Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Dallas County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 784,693 518,732 905,940 158,774 2,368,139 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 785,498 570,153 1,107,349 177,105 2,640,105 2030 753,645 605,355 1,318,991 186,873 2,864,864 2040 701,895 627,756 1,545,129 193,673 3,068,453 2050 648,778 640,542 1,772,394 196,091 3,257,805 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 701,757 581,409 1,155,350 198,537 2,637,053 597,468 627,910 1,435,586 231,333 2,892,297 491,394 656,513 1,742,378 264,046 3,154,331 401,233 671,539 2,070,126 295,884 3,438,782 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 624,417 588,760 1,201,188 221,701 2,636,066 464,572 634,100 1,538,137 285,943 2,922,752 329,773 645,278 1,881,934 358,341 3,215,326 231,828 625,457 2,221,784 443,121 3,522,190 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

73 Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Dallas County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 33.1 21.9 38.3 6.7 100.0 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 29.8 21.6 41.9 2030 26.3 21.1 46.0 6.5 2040 22.9 20.5 50.4 6.3 2050 19.9 19.7 54.4 6.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 26.6 22.0 43.8 7.5 20.7 21.7 49.6 8.0 15.6 20.8 55.2 8.4 11.7 19.5 60.2 8.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 23.7 22.3 45.6 15.9 52.6 9.8 10.3 20.1 58.5 11.1 6.6 17.8 63.1 12.6 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

74 Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Bexar County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 519,123 118,460 1,006,958 70,232 1,714,773 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 528,196 128,549 1,146,274 77,163 1,880,182 2030 520,278 135,508 1,276,112 81,862 2,013,760 2040 501,507 139,706 1,389,461 84,628 2,115,302 2050 481,423 143,029 1,486,500 84,692 2,195,644 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 525,902 136,229 1,217,709 94,201 1,974,041 516,916 152,390 1,439,718 122,526 2,231,550 493,614 165,672 1,654,245 154,723 2,468,254 469,414 177,610 1,860,268 188,376 2,695,668 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 522,129 143,464 1,285,885 114,371 2,065,849 505,748 166,495 1,590,232 183,992 2,446,467 469,453 184,464 1,875,503 287,647 2,817,067 432,051 195,931 2,122,756 430,044 3,180,782 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

75 Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Bexar County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 30.3 6.9 58.7 4.1 100.0 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 28.1 6.8 61.0 2030 25.8 6.7 63.4 2040 23.7 6.6 65.7 4.0 2050 21.9 6.5 67.7 3.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 26.6 61.7 4.8 23.2 64.5 5.5 20.0 67.0 6.3 17.4 69.0 7.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 25.3 62.2 20.7 65.0 7.5 16.7 66.6 10.2 13.6 6.2 66.7 13.5 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

76 Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Travis County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 517,644 82,805 342,766 81,051 1,024,266 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 542,467 88,465 411,771 90,150 1,132,853 2030 536,215 91,785 478,734 95,689 1,202,423 2040 513,780 92,461 549,628 100,435 1,256,304 2050 486,487 91,175 616,939 102,802 1,297,403 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 564,581 90,350 439,296 106,656 1,200,883 573,841 95,516 545,978 132,872 1,348,207 558,255 97,481 666,649 162,469 1,484,854 545,614 96,850 794,234 194,266 1,630,964 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 588,721 91,589 467,601 125,349 1,273,260 614,740 96,704 614,488 182,710 1,508,642 598,425 96,434 777,758 260,243 1,732,860 591,906 91,337 944,620 362,957 1,990,820 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

77 Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Travis County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 50.5 8.1 33.5 7.9 100.0 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 47.9 7.8 36.3 8.0 2030 44.6 7.6 39.8 2040 40.9 7.4 43.7 2050 37.5 7.0 47.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 47.0 7.5 36.6 8.9 42.6 7.1 40.5 9.9 37.6 6.6 44.9 10.9 5.9 48.7 11.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 46.2 7.2 36.7 9.8 40.7 6.4 12.1 34.5 5.6 15.0 29.7 4.6 47.4 18.2 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

78 Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the North Texas Commission Region Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Assuming Zero Net Migration 2010 3,201,677 941,695 1,752,166 476,235 6,371,773 2020 3,291,525 1,028,019 2,106,960 523,718 6,950,222 2030 3,297,974 1,088,152 2,482,330 558,554 7,427,010 2040 3,216,851 1,119,388 2,864,710 587,879 7,788,828 2050 3,077,518 1,125,712 3,224,164 593,245 8,020,639 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of  3,298,699 1,111,747 2,344,307 630,752 7,385,505 3,332,280 1,276,615 3,094,667 809,194 8,512,756 3,304,370 1,423,723 3,989,821 1,034,284 9,752,198 3,222,986 1,550,341 5,026,409 1,276,403 11,076,139 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  3,318,505 1,201,696 2,617,034 756,979 7,894,214 3,404,731 1,505,257 3,916,152 1,175,231 10,001,371 3,470,600 1,840,462 5,733,710 1,845,815 12,890,587 3,491,754 2,200,328 8,243,463 2,832,462 16,768,007

79 Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the North Texas Commission Region Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Assuming Zero Net Migration 2010 50.2 14.8 27.5 7.5 100.0 2020 47.4 30.3 2030 44.4 14.7 33.4 2040 41.3 14.4 36.8 2050 38.4 14.0 40.2 7.4 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of  44.7 15.1 31.7 8.5 39.1 15.0 36.4 9.5 33.9 14.6 40.9 10.6 29.1 45.4 11.5 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  42.0 15.2 33.2 9.6 34.0 39.2 11.8 26.9 14.3 44.5 20.8 13.1 49.2 16.9

80 Percent Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected Population by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the North Texas Commission Region Period NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Assuming Zero Net Migration 2.8 9.2 20.2 10.0 9.1 0.2 5.8 17.8 6.7 6.9 -2.5 2.9 15.4 5.3 4.9 -4.3 0.6 12.5 0.9 3.0 -3.9 19.5 84.0 24.6 25.9 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of  18.1 33.8 32.4 15.9 1.0 14.8 32.0 28.3 15.3 -0.8 11.5 28.9 27.8 14.6 8.9 26.0 23.4 13.6 0.7 64.6 186.9 168.0 73.8 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  3.6 27.6 49.4 59.0 23.9 2.6 25.3 49.6 55.3 26.7 1.9 22.3 46.4 57.1 19.6 43.8 53.5 30.1 133.7 370.5 494.8 163.2

81 Percent of Net Change in the Population from Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the North Texas Commission Region Race Number Percent Assuming Zero Net Migration NH White -124,159 -7.5 NH Black 184,017 11.2 Hispanic 1,471,998 89.3 NH Asian & Other 117,010 7.1 Total 1,648,866 100.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One- Half of  21,309 0.5 608,646 12.9 3,274,243 69.6 800,168 17.0 4,704,366 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  290,077 2.8 1,258,633 12.1 6,491,297 62.4 2,356,227 22.7 10,396,234

82 Population by Race/Ethnicity and Age in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity and Age for 2030 to 2050 Assuming Zero Net Migration for the North Texas Commission Region Age Group NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 <18 21.6 29.4 37.6 30.9 27.8 18-24 7.8 10.3 11.8 9.1 9.4 25-44 27.5 30.5 33.1 33.7 30.0 45-64 23.4 14.4 20.6 24.0 65+ 13.1 6.4 3.1 5.7 8.8 2030 19.4 24.5 31.3 18.7 24.1 7.0 11.0 9.7 23.3 26.7 26.5 26.3 25.1 25.3 24.4 22.4 28.2 25.0 15.3 17.1 17.6 2050 18.1 21.9 29.1 17.0 23.0 6.9 8.5 10.1 6.6 8.3 22.9 25.5 25.2 22.0 24.2 23.9 24.3 19.6 22.3 19.8 16.0 30.1 22.2

83 Population by Race/Ethnicity and Age in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity and Age for 2030 to 2050 Assuming One-Half Rates of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity Specific Net Migration for the North Texas Commission Region Age Group NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 <18 21.6 29.4 37.6 30.9 27.8 18-24 7.8 10.3 11.8 9.1 9.4 25-44 27.5 30.5 33.1 33.7 30.0 45-64 23.4 14.4 20.6 24.0 65+ 13.1 6.4 3.1 5.7 8.8 2030 19.5 23.9 30.7 20.5 24.3 6.9 9.2 11.2 9.3 23.7 27.0 29.7 29.1 26.8 25.1 24.9 25.9 23.6 24.8 15.0 13.3 16.0 2050 18.0 20.9 28.0 20.3 23.2 8.5 10.5 7.9 8.9 23.0 25.5 27.7 27.1 25.2 20.7 24.5 22.7 28.2 19.9 20.2 19.3

84 Population by Race/Ethnicity and Age in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity and Age for 2030 to 2050 Assuming Rates of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity Specific Net Migration for the North Texas Commission Region Age Group NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 <18 21.6 29.4 37.6 30.9 27.8 18-24 7.8 10.3 11.8 9.1 9.4 25-44 27.5 30.5 33.1 33.7 30.0 45-64 23.4 14.4 20.6 24.0 65+ 13.1 6.4 3.1 5.7 8.8 2030 19.5 23.2 29.8 22.0 24.4 7.1 9.5 11.6 12.5 9.8 32.8 31.7 28.9 24.9 25.3 19.0 23.5 22.5 24.5 14.5 6.8 2050 18.0 19.9 26.7 22.7 23.3 6.9 8.6 10.9 8.9 22.9 26.1 30.3 31.6 28.4 23.9 26.0 21.4 28.3 19.4 10.7 13.3 15.9

85 Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the Collin County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Assuming Zero Net Migration 2010 493,492 64,715 115,354 108,780 782,341 2020 508,365 69,811 133,941 119,152 831,269 2030 516,399 73,283 153,550 128,110 871,342 2040 510,719 73,991 171,648 137,854 894,212 2050 484,219 71,344 184,896 140,045 880,504 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of  558,341 91,802 175,878 154,645 980,666 618,353 126,734 264,702 215,199 1,224,988 669,957 166,694 385,515 300,452 1,522,618 694,585 209,137 540,453 396,685 1,840,860 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  612,976 119,016 229,042 197,246 1,158,280 735,367 210,357 445,459 348,032 1,739,215 858,119 345,867 821,076 613,446 2,638,508 947,648 529,189 1,426,381 1,022,434 3,925,652

86 Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the Collin County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Assuming Zero Net Migration 2010 63.1 8.3 14.7 13.9 100.0 2020 61.2 8.4 16.1 14.3 2030 59.3 17.6 2040 57.1 19.2 15.4 2050 55.0 8.1 21.0 15.9 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of  56.9 9.4 17.9 15.8 50.5 10.3 21.6 44.0 10.9 25.3 19.7 37.7 11.4 29.4 21.5 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  52.9 19.8 17.0 42.3 12.1 25.6 20.0 32.5 13.1 31.1 23.2 24.1 13.5 36.3 26.0

87 Percent Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected Population by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Collin County Period NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Assuming Zero Net Migration 3.0 7.9 16.1 9.5 6.3 1.6 5.0 14.6 7.5 4.8 -1.1 1.0 11.8 7.6 2.6 -5.2 -3.6 7.7 -1.5 -1.9 10.2 60.3 28.7 12.5 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of  13.1 41.9 52.5 42.2 25.4 10.7 38.1 50.5 39.2 24.9 8.3 31.5 45.6 39.6 24.3 3.7 25.5 40.2 32.0 20.9 40.7 223.2 368.5 264.7 135.3 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  24.2 83.9 98.6 81.3 48.1 20.0 76.7 94.5 76.4 50.2 16.7 64.4 84.3 76.3 51.7 10.4 53.0 73.7 66.7 48.8 92.0 717.7 1136.5 839.9 401.8

88 Percent of Net Change in the Population from Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Collin County Race Number Percent Assuming Zero Net Migration NH White -9,273 -9.4 NH Black 6,629 6.8 Hispanic 69,542 70.8 NH Asian & Other 31,265 31.9 Total 98,163 100.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One- Half of  201,093 19.0 144,422 13.6 425,099 40.2 287,905 27.2 1,058,519 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  454,156 14.4 464,474 14.8 1,311,027 41.7 913,654 29.1 3,143,311

89 Population by Race/Ethnicity and Age in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity and Age for 2030 to 2050 Assuming Rates of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity Specific Net Migration for Collin County Age Group NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 <18 25.4 31.3 37.3 33.1 28.7 18-24 6.5 8.7 10.6 6.3 7.3 25-44 29.1 35.6 34.6 35.9 31.4 45-64 29.0 21.1 14.7 19.8 24.9 65+ 10.0 3.3 2.8 4.9 7.7 2030 17.6 20.1 25.5 20.7 20.6 10.4 12.6 13.0 9.7 25.0 28.6 34.1 27.9 28.3 27.4 28.9 21.5 25.7 25.8 23.7 12.0 12.7 15.6 2050 15.4 18.5 23.9 23.6 21.0 5.5 8.8 10.8 8.9 26.1 30.9 28.2 27.3 25.9 26.0 23.0 21.3 31.7 11.4 18.0 19.3

90 Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the Dallas County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Assuming Zero Net Migration 2010 784,693 518,732 905,940 158,774 2,368,139 2020 785,498 570,153 1,107,349 177,105 2,640,105 2030 753,645 605,355 1,318,991 186,873 2,864,864 2040 701,895 627,756 1,545,129 193,673 3,068,453 2050 648,778 640,542 1,772,394 196,091 3,257,805 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of  701,757 581,409 1,155,350 198,537 2,637,053 597,468 627,910 1,435,586 231,333 2,892,297 491,394 656,513 1,742,378 264,046 3,154,331 401,233 671,539 2,070,126 295,884 3,438,782 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  624,417 588,760 1,201,188 221,701 2,636,066 464,572 634,100 1,538,137 285,943 2,922,752 329,773 645,278 1,881,934 358,341 3,215,326 231,828 625,457 2,221,784 443,121 3,522,190

91 Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the Dallas County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Assuming Zero Net Migration 2010 33.1 21.9 38.3 6.7 100.0 2020 29.8 21.6 41.9 2030 26.3 21.1 46.0 6.5 2040 22.9 20.5 50.4 6.3 2050 19.9 19.7 54.4 6.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of  26.6 22.0 43.8 7.5 20.7 21.7 49.6 8.0 15.6 20.8 55.2 8.4 11.7 19.5 60.2 8.6 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  23.7 22.3 45.6 15.9 52.6 9.8 10.3 20.1 58.5 11.1 6.6 17.8 63.1 12.6

92 Percent Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected Population by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Dallas County Period NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Assuming Zero Net Migration 0.1 9.9 22.2 11.5 -4.1 6.2 19.1 5.5 8.5 -6.9 3.7 17.1 3.6 7.1 -7.6 2.0 14.7 1.2 -17.3 23.5 95.6 37.6 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of  -10.6 12.1 27.5 25.0 11.4 -14.9 8.0 24.3 16.5 9.7 -17.8 4.6 21.4 14.1 9.1 -18.3 2.3 18.8 9.0 -48.9 29.5 128.5 86.4 45.2 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  -20.4 13.5 32.6 39.6 11.3 -25.6 7.7 28.1 29.0 10.9 -29.0 1.8 22.4 25.3 10.0 -29.7 -3.1 18.1 23.7 9.5 -70.5 20.6 145.2 179.1 48.7

93 Percent of Net Change in the Population from Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Dallas County Race Number Percent Assuming Zero Net Migration NH White -135,915 -15.3 NH Black 121,810 13.7 Hispanic 866,454 97.4 NH Asian & Other 37,317 4.2 Total 889,666 100.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One- Half of  -383,460 -35.8 152,807 14.3 1,164,186 108.7 137,110 12.8 1,070,643 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  -552,865 -47.9 106,725 9.2 1,315,844 114.0 284,347 24.6 1,154,051

94 Population by Race/Ethnicity and Age in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity and Age for 2030 to 2050 Assuming Rates of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity Specific Net Migration for Dallas County Age Group NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 <18 16.2 28.6 37.1 27.2 27.6 18-24 7.8 10.0 11.9 9.5 25-44 29.6 33.6 35.8 30.7 45-64 32.0 24.5 14.3 21.0 22.9 65+ 16.8 7.3 3.1 6.5 8.8 2030 18.5 25.7 33.1 23.7 28.2 5.4 8.4 10.4 8.6 9.1 22.8 25.1 30.6 34.7 28.5 24.3 24.0 18.8 24.4 21.4 29.0 7.1 12.8 2050 16.9 23.6 31.4 21.3 27.8 8.1 10.5 6.8 9.3 25.9 24.7 28.8 35.9 22.4 23.2 20.4 29.4 10.8 10.9 13.7

95 Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the Denton County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Assuming Zero Net Migration 2010 426,887 54,034 120,836 60,857 662,614 2020 452,878 59,294 142,899 67,087 722,158 2030 467,981 62,511 165,519 72,172 768,183 2040 471,589 63,731 187,428 76,893 799,641 2050 461,520 62,802 205,303 78,019 807,644 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of  481,205 73,889 184,583 88,310 827,987 529,006 97,327 276,811 125,393 1,028,537 566,006 123,560 403,004 175,625 1,268,195 586,121 150,855 565,068 233,915 1,535,959 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  509,967 91,842 237,286 114,603 953,698 590,791 150,299 456,825 212,626 1,410,541 661,119 234,056 837,517 388,830 2,121,522 708,065 342,003 1,444,621 672,509 3,167,198

96 Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the Denton County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Assuming Zero Net Migration 2010 64.4 8.2 18.2 9.2 100.0 2020 62.7 19.8 9.3 2030 60.9 8.1 21.5 9.4 2040 59.0 8.0 23.4 9.6 2050 57.1 7.8 25.4 9.7 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of  58.1 8.9 22.3 10.7 51.4 9.5 26.9 12.2 44.6 31.8 13.8 38.2 9.8 36.8 15.2 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  53.5 24.9 12.0 41.9 32.4 15.1 31.2 11.0 39.5 18.3 22.4 10.8 45.6 21.2

97 Percent Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected Population by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Denton County Period NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Assuming Zero Net Migration 6.1 9.7 18.3 10.2 9.0 3.3 5.4 15.8 7.6 6.4 0.8 2.0 13.2 6.5 4.1 -2.1 -1.5 9.5 1.5 1.0 8.1 16.2 69.9 28.2 21.9 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of  12.7 36.7 52.8 45.1 25.0 9.9 31.7 50.0 42.0 24.2 7.0 27.0 45.6 40.1 23.3 3.6 22.1 40.2 33.2 21.1 37.3 179.2 367.6 284.4 131.8 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  19.5 70.0 96.4 88.3 43.9 63.6 92.5 85.5 47.9 11.9 55.7 83.3 82.9 50.4 7.1 46.1 72.5 73.0 49.3 65.9 532.9 1095.5 1005.1 378.0

98 Percent of Net Change in the Population from Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Denton County Race Number Percent Assuming Zero Net Migration NH White 34,633 23.9 NH Black 8,768 6.0 Hispanic 84,467 58.2 NH Asian & Other 17,162 11.8 Total 145,030 100.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One- Half of  159,234 18.2 96,821 11.1 444,232 50.9 173,058 19.8 873,345 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  281,178 11.2 287,969 11.5 1,323,785 52.9 611,652 24.4 2,504,584

99 Population by Race/Ethnicity and Age in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity and Age for 2030 to 2050 Assuming Rates of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity Specific Net Migration for Denton County Age Group NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 <18 24.1 27.9 37.0 32.2 27.5 18-24 9.5 14.3 12.8 10.4 10.6 25-44 29.8 35.1 33.9 34.1 31.3 45-64 19.7 13.8 18.7 23.7 65+ 9.1 3.0 2.5 4.6 6.9 2030 19.9 18.8 25.7 20.3 21.7 8.6 12.7 13.3 14.8 11.5 25.5 32.8 34.4 32.1 30.2 23.8 24.8 20.5 23.0 22.7 22.2 10.9 6.1 9.8 13.9 2050 18.4 16.2 23.4 21.2 21.0 8.0 10.8 9.3 9.7 23.6 31.6 33.1 30.0 22.1 27.3 23.1 23.9 23.5 17.6 11.1 12.5 15.8

100 Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the Tarrant County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Assuming Zero Net Migration 2010 937,135 262,522 482,977 126,400 1,809,034 2020 969,556 283,893 572,116 137,146 1,962,711 2030 973,696 299,495 667,237 145,976 2,086,404 2040 952,866 305,333 759,178 152,728 2,170,105 2050 917,796 302,092 838,461 152,449 2,210,798 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of  935,007 311,143 639,591 160,667 2,046,408 906,218 357,619 838,801 198,160 2,300,798 852,460 395,752 1,062,007 242,240 2,552,459 788,282 422,882 1,301,694 284,341 2,797,199 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  898,252 338,457 713,378 186,678 2,136,765 829,034 416,495 1,041,683 266,449 2,553,661 735,847 483,183 1,431,251 382,718 3,032,999 637,354 526,350 1,865,942 531,954 3,561,600

101 Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the Tarrant County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Assuming Zero Net Migration 2010 51.8 14.5 26.7 7.0 100.0 2020 49.4 29.1 2030 46.7 14.4 32.0 2040 43.9 14.1 35.0 2050 41.5 13.7 37.9 6.9 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of  45.7 15.2 31.3 7.9 39.4 15.5 36.5 8.6 33.4 41.6 9.5 28.2 15.1 46.5 10.2 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  42.0 15.8 8.7 32.5 16.3 40.8 10.4 24.3 15.9 47.2 12.6 17.9 14.8 52.4 14.9

102 Percent Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected Population by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Tarrant County Period NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Assuming Zero Net Migration 3.5 8.1 18.5 8.5 0.4 5.5 16.6 6.4 6.3 -2.1 1.9 13.8 4.6 4.0 -3.7 -1.1 10.4 -0.2 15.1 73.6 20.6 22.2 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of  32.4 27.1 13.1 -3.1 14.9 31.1 23.3 12.4 -5.9 10.7 26.6 10.9 -7.5 6.9 22.6 17.4 9.6 -15.9 61.1 169.5 125.0 54.6 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  -4.1 28.9 47.7 18.1 -7.7 23.1 46.0 42.7 19.5 -11.2 16.0 37.4 43.6 18.8 -13.4 8.9 30.4 39.0 -32.0 100.5 286.3 320.8 96.9

103 Percent of Net Change in the Population from Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Tarrant County Race Number Percent Assuming Zero Net Migration NH White -19,339 -4.8 NH Black 39,570 9.8 Hispanic 355,484 88.5 NH Asian & Other 26,049 6.5 Total 401,764 100.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One- Half of  -148,853 -15.1 160,360 16.2 818,717 82.9 157,941 16.0 988,165 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  -299,781 -17.1 263,828 15.1 1,382,965 78.9 405,554 23.1 1,752,566

104 Population by Race/Ethnicity and Age in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity and Age for 2030 to 2050 Assuming Rates of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity Specific Net Migration for Tarrant County Age Group NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 <18 21.4 31.1 38.3 32.1 28.0 18-24 8.1 10.2 11.7 10.0 9.6 25-44 27.3 30.4 32.2 30.7 29.3 45-64 30.0 22.5 14.6 24.2 65+ 13.2 5.8 3.2 8.9 2030 21.1 22.6 23.6 24.9 7.2 9.4 11.6 13.8 10.1 24.8 28.5 34.8 32.7 30.3 23.1 26.2 17.6 21.2 23.8 13.3 6.7 8.7 13.5 2050 20.6 19.1 26.9 24.7 24.3 7.6 11.1 9.7 9.8 25.7 25.8 31.2 33.2 29.7 28.2 24.1 22.9 18.8 8.3

105 Percent of Total Population Percent of Total Change
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Northeast Region, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change NH White 39,327,262 38,008,094 -1,319,168 -3.4 -76.6 73.4 68.7 Hispanic (All Races) 5,254,087 6,991,969 1,737,882 33.1 100.9 9.8 12.6 NH Black 5,784,768 6,049,443 264,675 4.6 15.4 10.8 10.9 NH Asian 2,102,977 3,033,441 930,464 44.2 54.0 3.9 5.5 NH Other 1,125,284 1,234,293 109,009 9.7 6.3 2.1 2.2 Total 53,594,378 55,317,240 1,722,862 3.2 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races.  All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L.  Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

106 Percent of Total Population Percent of Total Change
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Northeast Region, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change NH White 8,697,548 7,469,614 -1,227,934 -14.1 171.8 66.7 60.6 Hispanic (All Races) 1,702,090 2,133,781 431,691 25.4 -60.4 13.0 17.3 NH Black 1,740,364 1,563,301 -177,063 -10.2 24.8 13.3 12.7 NH Asian 507,100 673,096 165,996 32.7 -23.2 3.9 5.5 NH Other 400,681 493,400 92,719 23.1 -13.0 3.1 4.0 Total 13,047,783 12,333,192 -714,591 -5.5 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races.  All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L.  Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

107 Percent of Total Population Percent of Total Change
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Midwest Region, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change NH White 52,386,131 52,096,633 -289,498 -0.6 -11.4 81.4 77.8 Hispanic (All Races) 3,124,532 4,661,678 1,537,146 49.2 60.7 4.9 7.0 NH Black 6,437,060 6,843,367 406,307 6.3 16.0 10.0 10.2 NH Asian 1,187,645 1,713,429 525,784 44.3 20.7 1.8 2.6 NH Other 1,257,408 1,611,894 354,486 28.2 14.0 2.0 2.4 Total 64,392,776 66,927,001 2,534,225 3.9 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races.  All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L.  Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

108 Percent of Total Population Percent of Total Change
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Midwest Region, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change NH White 12,525,389 11,172,169 -1,353,220 -10.8 260.5 75.2 69.3 Hispanic (All Races) 1,157,274 1,772,526 615,252 53.2 -118.4 7.0 11.0 NH Black 2,097,634 1,989,272 -108,362 -5.2 20.9 12.6 12.3 NH Asian 322,798 433,818 111,020 34.4 -21.4 1.9 2.7 NH Other 544,571 760,323 215,752 39.6 -41.5 3.3 4.7 Total 16,647,666 16,128,108 -519,558 -3.1 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races.  All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L.  Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

109 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total
Population by Race/Ethnicity for South Region, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change NH White 65,927,794 68,706,462 2,778,668 4.2 19.4 65.8 60.0 Hispanic (All Races) 11,586,696 18,227,508 6,640,812 57.3 46.4 11.6 15.9 NH Black 18,766,614 21,578,475 2,811,861 15.0 19.6 18.7 18.8 NH Asian 1,900,258 3,170,814 1,270,556 66.9 8.9 1.9 2.8 NH Other 2,055,458 2,872,485 817,027 39.7 5.7 2.1 2.5 Total 100,236,820 114,555,744 14,318,924 14.3 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races.  All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Areas Defined by Office of Management and Budget, 2008. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

110 Percent of Total Population Percent of Total Change
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for South Region, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change NH White 14,645,128 13,795,299 -849,829 -5.8 -38.2 57.3 49.6 Hispanic (All Races) 3,804,446 6,040,053 2,235,607 58.8 100.6 14.9 21.7 NH Black 5,880,858 6,001,210 120,352 2.0 5.4 23.0 21.6 NH Asian 463,792 750,996 287,204 61.9 12.9 1.8 2.7 NH Other 772,679 1,201,199 428,520 55.5 19.3 3.0 4.3 Total 25,566,903 27,788,757 2,221,854 8.7 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races.  All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Areas Defined by Office of Management and Budget, 2008. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

111 Percent of Total Population Percent of Total Change
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for West Region, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change NH White 36,911,587 38,006,363 1,094,776 3.0 12.5 58.4 52.8 Hispanic (All Races) 15,340,503 20,596,439 5,255,936 34.3 60.1 24.3 28.6 NH Black 2,959,395 3,214,563 255,168 8.6 2.9 4.7 4.5 NH Asian 4,932,289 6,547,440 1,615,151 32.7 18.5 7.8 9.1 NH Other 3,054,158 3,580,748 526,590 17.2 6.0 4.8 5.0 Total 63,197,932 71,945,553 8,747,621 13.8 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races.  All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L.  Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

112 Percent of Total Population Percent of Total Change
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for West Region, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change NH White 8,159,022 7,279,480 -879,542 -10.8 -97.7 47.9 40.6 Hispanic (All Races) 5,678,449 7,184,531 1,506,082 26.5 167.4 33.3 40.1 NH Black 891,408 808,400 -83,008 -9.3 -9.2 5.2 4.5 NH Asian 1,126,584 1,318,219 191,635 17.0 21.3 6.6 7.4 NH Other 1,175,997 1,340,780 164,783 14.0 18.3 6.9 7.5 Total 17,031,460 17,931,410 899,950 5.3 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races.  All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L.  Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

113 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Metropolitan Central City Counties in the United States, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Chg NH White 139,254,963 139,518,137 263,174 0.2 1.2 65.0 59.0 Hispanic (All Races) 31,556,176 44,653,790 13,097,614 41.5 59.4 14.7 18.9 NH Black 28,330,045 31,671,771 3,341,726 11.8 15.2 13.2 13.4 NH Asian 9,531,410 13,577,516 4,046,106 42.5 18.3 4.4 5.7 NH Other 5,563,357 6,855,391 1,292,034 23.2 5.9 2.6 2.9 Total 214,235,951 236,276,605 22,040,654 10.3 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

114 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Metropolitan Central City Counties in the United States, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Chg NH White 30,849,683 27,506,006 -3,343,677 -10.8 -172.4 55.9 48.2 Hispanic (All Races) 10,972,723 15,001,612 4,028,889 36.7 207.7 19.9 26.3 NH Black 8,908,601 8,775,212 -133,389 -1.5 -6.9 16.2 15.4 NH Asian 2,275,874 2,973,879 698,005 30.7 36.0 4.1 5.2 NH Other 2,144,258 2,833,831 689,573 32.2 35.6 3.9 5.0 Total 55,151,139 57,090,540 1,939,401 3.5 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

115 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Metropolitan Suburban Counties in the United States, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Chg NH White 15,112,253 16,655,521 1,543,268 10.2 50.1 82.4 77.7 Hispanic (All Races) 1,117,114 2,003,979 886,865 79.4 28.8 6.1 9.4 NH Black 1,505,667 1,797,953 292,286 19.4 9.5 8.2 8.4 NH Asian 240,705 420,072 179,367 74.5 5.8 1.3 2.0 NH Other 368,250 547,655 179,405 48.7 2.6 Total 18,343,989 21,425,180 3,081,191 16.8 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

116 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Metropolitan Suburban Counties In the United States, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Chg NH White 3,777,831 3,750,909 -26,922 -0.7 -5.8 78.0 70.7 Hispanic (All Races) 406,567 731,989 325,422 80.0 70.5 8.4 13.8 NH Black 450,858 481,080 30,222 6.7 6.5 9.3 9.1 NH Asian 59,990 101,098 41,108 68.5 8.9 1.2 1.9 NH Other 145,255 237,254 91,999 63.3 19.9 3.0 4.5 Total 4,840,501 5,302,330 461,829 9.5 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

117 in the United States, 2000 and 2010
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Non-Metropolitan Counties in the United States, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Chg NH White 40,185,558 40,643,894 458,336 1.1 20.8 82.3 79.6 Hispanic (All Races) 2,632,528 3,819,825 1,187,297 45.1 53.9 5.4 7.5 NH Black 4,112,125 4,216,124 103,999 2.5 4.7 8.4 8.3 NH Asian 351,054 467,536 116,482 33.2 5.3 0.7 0.9 NH Other 1,560,701 1,896,374 335,673 21.5 15.3 3.2 3.7 Total 48,841,966 51,043,753 2,201,787 4.5 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

118 in the United States, 2000 and 2010
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Non-Metropolitan Counties in the United States, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Chg NH White 9,399,573 8,459,647 -939,926 -10.0 -183.1 76.4 71.8 Hispanic (All Races) 962,969 1,397,290 434,321 45.1 84.6 7.8 11.9 NH Black 1,250,805 1,105,891 -144,914 -11.6 28.2 10.2 9.4 NH Asian 84,410 101,152 16,742 19.8 3.3 0.7 0.9 NH Other 604,415 724,617 120,202 19.9 23.4 4.9 6.1 Total 12,302,172 11,788,597 -513,575 -4.2 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

119 Numeric Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected Population by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Fort Bend County Time Period NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2,906 6,320 19,470 7,647 36,343 1,940 5,183 20,942 7,135 35,200 -5,179 -700 17,474 4,628 16,223 -13,261 -5,402 12,641 -1,869 -7,891 -13,594 5,401 70,527 17,541 79,875 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 24,083 33,960 59,354 43,169 160,566 20,166 37,082 78,794 55,573 191,615 15,885 38,847 100,577 66,261 221,570 6,270 38,505 120,599 69,283 234,657 66,404 148,394 359,324 234,286 808,408 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 47,972 66,783 108,368 85,549 308,672 42,599 84,671 173,357 136,788 437,415 38,997 106,214 269,638 205,731 620,580 29,468 127,792 390,738 285,903 833,901 159,036 385,460 942,101 713,971 2,200,568

120 Percent of Net Change in the Population from Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Fort Bend County Race/Ethnicity Number Percent Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration NH White -13,594 -17.0 NH Black 5,401 6.8 Hispanic 70,527 88.3 NH Asian & Other 17,541 22.0 Total 79,875 100.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 66,404 8.2 148,394 18.4 359,324 44.4 234,286 29.0 808,408 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 159,036 7.2 385,460 17.5 942,101 42.8 713,971 32.4 2,200,568

121 TEXAS EDUCATION

122 Education Level Is Related to Employment and Earnings
Unemployment Rate Median Weekly Earnings Median: $827 Overall Unemployment Rate: 7.6% Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, June 2013/first quarter 2013

123 Mean Household Income by Race/Ethnicity,
Educational Attainment, and Occupation In Texas in 2010 Occupations Less Than High School /GED Bachelor's Degree Graduate/ Prof Degree NH White Managerial & Professional $ 72,446 $ 84,504 $ 120,792 $ 149,819 Technical, Sales, & Admin. 52,930 64,179 112,843 130,471 Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers 55,079 68,247 94,875 119,057 Operatives and Laborers 48,819 61,211 77,581 89,720 Total 50,533 64,975 114,698 144,714 NH Black $ 47,483 $ 52,186 $ 84,758 $ 99,073 33,980 43,933 75,416 80,852 42,767 53,192 82,885 69,805 37,811 46,296 66,181 63,707 31,072 42,465 78,933 94,490 Hispanic $ 52,178 $ 61,992 $ 88,036 $ 116,400 40,131 50,127 81,005 91,155 42,302 51,527 63,695 63,345 41,273 47,455 54,282 57,806 38,221 47,760 81,548 108,473 NH Asian & Other $ 84,172 $ 73,016 $ 103,737 $ 130,603 52,764 60,719 86,039 105,469 54,594 63,451 70,778 92,041 47,939 49,015 60,895 65,074 50,815 55,496 93,474 123,035 Source: Ruggles et al. 2010; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2010 Public Use Microdata Sample, 2011.

124 Percent of Population 25 Years of Age and Older in Texas Who Are High School Graduates and Higher or College Graduates and Higher by Race/Ethnicity, Educational Attainment Level NH White* NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 1990 High School and Higher 81.5 66.2 44.6 79.1 72.1 College and Higher 25.2 12.0 7.3 41.3 20.3 2000 87.2 75.8 49.3 80.7 75.7 30.0 15.3 8.9 47.8 23.2 2010 92.0 86.4 59.6 87.1 34.1 19.7 11.6 46.0 25.9 * NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey, Census 2000, Summary File 3, Census of Population and Housing, 1990: Summary Tape File 3, 2012, 2002, 1990, 1991.

125 General Revenue Expenditures (in $2010) for Texas Public Elementary and Secondary Schools, Selected Education Programs, and Public Colleges and Universities, and Percent Change in Expenditures, 2000 and 2010 Expenditures Percent Change 2000 2010 Program Total Per Student Total Elementary and Secondary $29,237,537,256 $7,308 $36,491,096,511 $7,527.28 24.8 3.0 Bilingual/ESL 747,953,827 1,509 1,295,663,024 1,662 73.2 10.1 Gifted and Talented 311,414,735 930 418,034,678 1,136 34.2 22.2 Special Education 2,202,643,405 4,513 4,800,227,933 10,779 117.9 138.8 Career and Technology Education* 717,482,374 969 1,009,165,942 982 40.7 1.4 Total Public Colleges and Public Universities 3,406,851,607 4,079 3,746,005,091 2,935 10.0 -28.1 Note: Enrollment data based upon and school years. *Enrollment calculated from percentage distribution. Source: Texas Education Agency, , Elementary and Secondary Program Enrollment and expenditures, Academic Excellence Indicator System and State Profile Report; and , Public Education Information Management System Budget Report; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, and Public College and University Enrollment Database and 2000 and 2010, An Overview of Article III Senate Bill 1 81st Legislature, 2012.

126 Selected Characteristics of Texas Education
2nd in Total Student Enrollment [4.9 million students ( )] 1 1st in Total Student Enrollment Growth [ to (806,781)]1 1st in Hispanic Student Enrollment Growth [ to (752,272)]1 42nd in Instruction and Instruction-Related Expenditures per Pupil ($5,443)2 43rd in Total Per Pupil Expenditures ($8,350)2 28th in Pupils per Teacher (14.7)1 28th in Average Freshman Graduation Rates for public secondary schools, (75.4%)3 Ranked Last in the Percent of People 25 years and over Who have Completed High School [81.1% (including Equivalency)]4 30th in Percent of People 25 Years and Over Who Have Completed a Bachelor’s Degree (26.4%)5 1National Center for Education Statistics, The Condition of Education, 2012 2National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), National Public Education Financial Survey, FY 2008. 3National Center for Education Statistics, Core of Common Data (CCD) 4American Community Survey, 2011, Table GCT 1501 5American Community Survey, 2011, Table GCT 1502

127 Selected Characteristics of Texas Education (2)
Selected Characteristics of Texas Education (2) 12th in Percent of People below Poverty Level in the Past 12 Months (18.5%)6 10th in Percent of Children below Poverty Level in the Past 12 months (26.6%)7 41st in Percent of 18- to 24- Year Olds enrolled in Colleges and Universities (39.6%)8 46th in the Percent of Public High School Teachers Teaching with a Major in their Main Assignments (71.9%)9 Between 2000 and 2010, Texas Student Age Population (Ages 5-17) Grew by a 67,522 People Per Year (or 675,220 between )10 In 2010, 4,937,351 children were of school age (Age 5-17), up from 4,262,131 (a 15.8% increase)10 6American Community Survey, 2011, Table GCT 1701 7American Community Survey, 2011, Table GCT 1704 8United States Education Dashboard, Data Derived from American Community Survey Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) data 9National Center for Education Statistics, Schools and Staffing Survey, 10U. S. Census Bureau, 2000 & 2010 Decennial Census

128 Total Public Education (All Levels) and Public Elementary and Secondary School Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projections That Assume 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration for Texas Year NHa White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Total Public Education (All Levels)* 2010 2,137,393 832,202 2,805,785 348,791 6,124,171 2020 2,109,148 874,294 3,490,796 533,046 7,007,284 2030 2,128,376 955,194 4,428,574 682,196 8,194,340 2040 2,037,804 1,028,997 5,778,539 973,986 9,819,326 2050 1,979,109 1,095,342 7,207,206 1,469,755 11,751,412 Public Elementary and Secondary Schools 1,547,693 632,401 2,398,684 269,066 4,847,844 1,548,792 646,756 2,917,449 406,755 5,519,752 1,577,470 706,263 3,715,984 480,533 6,480,250 1,479,111 754,173 4,865,439 726,452 7,825,175 1,446,198 798,125 6,012,677 1,109,443 9,366,443 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Texas Education Agency, Enrollment in Texas Public Schools , 2011; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, Demographic Data for Public Community College and University Students for , 2011. *Excludes public health related educational institutions.

129 Percent of Total Public Education (All Levels), Public Elementary and Secondary School Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projections That Assume 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration for Texas Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Public Education (All Levels)* 2010 34.9 13.6 45.8 5.7 2020 30.1 12.5 49.8 7.6 2030 26.0 11.7 54.0 8.3 2040 20.8 10.5 58.8 9.9 2050 16.8 9.3 61.3 12.6 Public Elementary and Secondary Schools 31.9 13.0 49.5 5.6 28.1 52.9 7.3 24.3 10.9 57.3 7.5 18.9 9.6 62.2 15.4 8.5 64.2 11.9 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Texas Education Agency, Demographic Data for Public School Students for , 2011;Texas Education Agency, Enrollment in Texas Public Schools , 2011; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board 2011, Demographic Data for Public Community College and University Students for , 2011. *Excludes public health related educational institutions. Note: Enrollment data based on school years.

130 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projection that Assumes 2000-2010
Total Public Community College, Public University, and Total Public College and University Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projection that Assumes Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Texas Year NH White* NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Public Community Colleges 2010 314,976 130,786 263,600 37,261 746,623 2020 299,721 149,167 370,868 58,999 878,755 2030 296,231 163,939 459,618 92,693 1,012,481 2040 297,987 181,123 590,855 117,643 1,187,608 2050 285,152 196,248 771,788 170,627 1,423,815 Public Universities 274,724 69,015 143,501 42,464 529,704 260,635 78,371 202,479 67,292 608,777 254,675 84,992 252,972 108,970 701,609 260,706 93,701 322,245 129,891 806,543 247,759 100,969 422,741 189,685 961,154 Total Public Colleges and Universities 589,700 199,801 407,101 79,725 1,276,327 560,356 227,538 573,347 126,291 1,487,532 550,906 248,931 712,590 201,663 1,714,090 558,693 274,824 913,100 247,534 1,994,151 532,911 297,217 1,194,529 360,312 2,384,969 * NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 Public College and University Enrollment Database, 2012.

131 and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Texas
Percent of Public Community College, Public University, and Total Public College and University Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projection that Assumes Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Texas Year NH White* NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Public Community Colleges 2010 42.2 17.5 35.3 5.0 2020 34.1 17.0 6.7 2030 29.3 16.2 45.4 9.1 2040 25.1 15.3 49.8 9.8 2050 20.0 13.8 54.2 12.0 Public Universities 51.9 13.0 27.1 8.0 42.8 12.9 33.3 11.0 36.3 12.1 36.1 15.5 32.3 11.6 40.0 16.1 25.8 10.5 44.0 19.7 Total Public Colleges and Universities 46.2 15.7 31.9 6.2 37.7 38.5 8.5 32.1 14.5 41.6 11.8 28.0 45.8 12.4 22.3 12.5 50.1 15.1 Note: Enrollment data based upon school years. * NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 Public College and University Enrollment Database, 2012.

132 Education Expenditures (All Sources in $2010) for
Total Public Elementary and Secondary Schools and Colleges and Universities in Texas in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Population Projection that Assumes Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Rates of Net Migration Year Total Public Elementary and Secondary Total Community Colleges Total Public Universities Total Public Colleges and Universities 2010 $36,491,096,511 $1,202,291,349 $2,543,713,742 $3,746,005,091 2020 41,548,738,563 1,415,064,275 2,923,433,504 4,338,497,779 2030 48,778,679,381 1,630,404,029 3,369,225,935 4,999,629,964 2040 58,902,311,242 1,912,412,053 3,873,133,887 5,785,545,940 2050 70,503,872,542 2,292,777,556 4,615,597,840 6,908,375,396 Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Education Agency, Academic Excellence Indicator System, and , State Profile Report, 2012; Texas Education Agency, and Public Education Information Management System Budget Report, 2012; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 An Overview of Article III Senate Bill 181st Legislature 2010, 2012, Sources and Uses of Funds Universities, Health-Related Institutions, Lamar State Colleges and Texas State Technical Colleges FY 2010, 2012.

133 Number of Students with Financial Need Unmet by Household Resources Enrolled at Public Colleges and Universities in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in and Projected to 2050 Using the Population Projection that Assumes Rates of Net Migration (1.0 Scenario)

134 Public Community Colleges Total Public Colleges and Universities
Percent Change in Projected Number of Students with Financial Need Unmet by Household Resources Enrolled at Public Colleges and Universities in Texas in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes Rates of Net Migration (1.0 Scenario) Year NH White* NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Public Community Colleges -4.8 14.1 40.7 58.3 22.7 -1.2 9.9 23.9 57.1 17.9 0.6 10.5 28.6 26.9 19.8 -4.3 8.4 30.6 45.0 22.9 -9.5 50.1 192.8 357.9 112.9 Public Universities -5.1 13.6 41.1 58.5 -2.3 24.9 61.9 17.3 2.4 10.2 27.4 19.2 15.9 -5.0 7.8 31.2 46.0 20.9 -9.8 46.3 194.6 346.7 93.8 Total Public Colleges and Universities 13.8 40.8 58.4 20.4 -1.8 9.2 24.3 60.0 17.6 1.6 10.4 28.1 22.3 18.1 -4.7 8.1 30.8 45.6 22.0 -9.7 48.3 193.4 351.3 104.0 * NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 Financial Aid Database, 2013.

135 Percent Change in Socioeconomic Resources Compared to Percent Change in Households, 2010 - 2050
Household Change: 127.6%

136 Per Capita Income in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households

137 Mean Consumer Expenditures in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households

138 Percent of All Households in Poverty in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households

139 Aggregate Household Income (in $Billions) in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households Billions

140 Aggregate Consumer Expenditures (in $Billions) in and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households Billions

141 Aggregate State Tax Revenues (in $Billions) in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households Billions

142 Percent Change in Socioeconomic Resources Compared to Percent Change in U. S. Households,

143 The mark of a truly educated man is to be moved deeply by statistics.
George Bernard Shaw

144 For more information. including. Purchase information,. contact:
For more information including Purchase information, contact: Texas A&m press Fax: or go to: So were is the growth?

145 Website: http://hobbycenter.rice.edu
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