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Population Change in the United States, Texas and Bexar County: Implications for Education, Heath and Socioeconomic Development Steve H. Murdock,

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Presentation on theme: "Population Change in the United States, Texas and Bexar County: Implications for Education, Heath and Socioeconomic Development Steve H. Murdock,"— Presentation transcript:

1 Population Change in the United States, Texas and Bexar County: Implications for Education, Heath and Socioeconomic Development Steve H. Murdock, Director Hobby Center for the Study of Texas and Allyn and Gladys Cline Professor of Sociology Rice University San Antonio, Texas September 22, 2014

2 Total Population and Percent Population Change in Texas and the United States, 1850-2010
Total Population Percent Change Year Texas U.S. 1850 212,592 23,191,876 --- 1860 604,215 31,443,321 184.2 35.6 1870 818,579 39,818,449 35.5 26.6 1880 1,591,749 50,155,783 94.5 26.0 1890 2,235,527 62,947,714 40.4 25.5 1900 3,048,710 75,994,575 36.4 20.7 1910 3,896,542 91,972,266 27.8 21.0 1920 4,663,228 105,710,620 19.7 14.9 1930 5,824,715 122,775,046 24.9 16.1 1940 6,414,824 131,669,275 10.1 7.2 1950 7,711,194 150,697,361 20.2 14.5 1960 9,579,677 179,323,175 24.2 19.0 1970 11,196,730 203,302,031 16.9 13.4 1980 14,229,191 226,545,805 27.1 11.4 1990 16,986,510 248,709,873 19.4 9.8 2000 20,851,820 281,421,906 22.8 13.2 2010 25,145,561 308,745,538 20.6 9.7 Source: Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau decennial census April 1 of reported year.

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4 Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population
in the United States, Source: Passel, Jeffrey, D’Vera Cohn, and Anna Gonzalez-Barrera, “Population Decline of Unauthorized Immigrants Stalls, May Have Reversed,” Pew Hispanic Center, September 23, 2013

5 Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population
in Texas, Source: Passel, Jeffrey, D’Vera Cohn, and Anna Gonzalez-Barrera, “Population Decline of Unauthorized Immigrants Stalls, May Have Reversed,” Pew Hispanic Center, September 23, 2013

6 Ten States in the United States with the
Largest Numeric Population Increase Change State 2000 Population 2010 Population Numeric Percent United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7 Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6 California 33,871,648 37,253,956 3,382,308 10.0 Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 2,818,932 17.6 Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 1,501,200 18.3 North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,170 18.5 Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,385 24.6 Virginia 7,078,515 8,001,024 922,509 13.0 Washington 5,894,121 6,724,540 830,419 14.1 Colorado 4,301,261 5,029,196 727,935 16.9 Nevada 1,998,257 2,700,551 702,294 35.1 Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010. Source: U.S. Census Bureau

7 Ten States in the United States with the
Largest Percentage Population Increase Change State 2000 Population 2010 Population Numeric Percent United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7 Nevada 1,998,257 2,700,551 702,294 35.1 Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,385 24.6 Utah 2,233,169 2,763,885 530,716 23.8 Idaho 1,293,953 1,567,582 273,629 21.1 Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6 North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,170 18.5 Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 1,501,200 18.3 Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 2,818,932 17.6 Colorado 4,301,261 5,029,196 727,935 16.9 South Carolina 4,012,012 4,625,364 613,352 15.3 Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010. Source: U.S. Census Bureau

8 Ten Largest States in the United States Ranked by Population Size in 2013
April 1, 2000 April 1, 2010 July 1, 2013 Change Change Numeric % United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 316,128,839 27,323,632 9.7 7,383,301 2.4 California 33,871,653 37,253,956 38,332,521 3,382,303 10.0 1,078,565 2.9 Texas 20,851,028 25,145,561 26,448,193 4,294,533 20.6 1,302,632 5.2 New York 18,977,026 19,378,102 19,651,127 401,076 2.1 273,025 1.4 Florida 15,982,571 18,801,310 19,552,860 2,818,739 17.6 751,550 4.0 Illinois 12,419,927 12,830,632 12,882,135 410,705 3.3 51,503 0.4 Pennsylvania 12,280,548 12,702,379 12,773,801 421,831 3.4 71,422 0.6 Ohio 11,353,336 11,536,504 11,570,808 183,168 1.6 34,304 0.3 Georgia 8,186,653 9,687,653 9,992,167 1,501,000 18.3 304,514 3.1 Michigan 9,938,823 9,883,640 9,895,622 -55,183 -0.6 11,982 0.1 North Carolina 8,046,346 9,535,483 9,848,060 1,489,137 18.5 312,577 Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

9 Ten States in the United States with the Largest Numeric Population Increase, 2010-2013
April 1, 2000 April 1, 2010 July 1, 2013 Change Change Numeric % United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 316,128,839 27,323,632 9.7 7,383,301 2.4 Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 26,448,193 4,293,741 20.6 1,302,632 5.2 California 33,871,648 37,253,956 38,332,521 3,382,308 10.0 1,078,565 2.9 Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 19,552,860 2,818,932 17.6 751,550 4.0 North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 9,848,060 1,486,170 18.5 312,577 3.3 Colorado 4,301,261 5,029,196 5,268,367 727,935 16.9 239,171 4.8 Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 9,992,167 1,501,200 18.3 304,514 3.1 Washington 5,894,121 6,724,540 6,971,406 830,419 14.1 246,866 3.7 Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 6,626,624 1,261,385 24.6 234,607 New York 18,977,026 19,378,102 19,651,127 401,076 2.1 273,025 1.4 Virginia 7,078,515 8,001,024 8,260,405 922,509 13.0 259,381 3.2 Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

10 Ten States in the United States with the Largest Percentage Population Increase, 2010-2013
April 1, 2000 April 1, 2010 July 1, 2013 Change Change Numeric % United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 316,128,839 27,323,632 9.7 7,383,301 2.4 North Dakota 642,237 672,591 723,393 30,354 4.7 50,802 7.6 Texas 20,851,028 25,145,561 26,448,193 4,294,533 20.6 1,302,632 5.2 Utah 2,233,183 2,763,885 2,900,872 530,702 23.8 136,987 5.0 Colorado 4,302,086 5,029,196 5,268,367 727,110 16.9 239,171 4.8 Florida 15,982,571 18,801,310 19,552,860 2,818,739 17.6 751,550 4.0 South Dakota 754,858 814,180 844,877 59,322 7.9 30,697 3.8 Arizona 5,130,247 6,392,017 6,626,624 1,261,770 24.6 234,607 3.7 Washington 5,894,281 6,724,540 6,971,406 830,259 14.1 246,866 Alaska 626,933 710,231 735,132 83,298 13.3 24,901 3.5 Wyoming 493,786 563,626 582,658 69,840 19,032 3.4 Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

11 Population and Population Change for Texas and the Twenty Largest Counties in Texas in 2013
Population Change Change * County 2000 2010 2013 Numeric Percent Texas 20,851,028 25,145,561 26,448,193 4,294,533 20.6 1,302,632 5.2 Harris County 3,401,139 4,093,165 4,336,853 691,320 20.3 243,688 6.0 Dallas County 2,216,808 2,367,636 2,480,331 151,331 6.8 112,695 4.8 Tarrant County 1,449,290 1,809,537 1,911,541 359,744 24.8 102,004 5.6 Bexar County 1,393,035 1,714,774 1,817,610 321,738 23.1 102,836 Travis County 811,776 1,024,331 1,120,954 212,490 26.2 96,623 9.4 Collin County 491,272 782,351 854,778 291,069 59.2 72,427 9.3 El Paso County 679,568 800,647 827,718 121,079 17.8 27,071 3.4 Hidalgo County 569,099 774,769 815,996 205,670 36.1 41,227 5.3 Denton County 433,065 662,604 728,799 229,549 53.0 66,195 10.0 Fort Bend County 354,286 584,686 652,365 231,089 65.2 67,679 11.6 Montgomery County 293,779 455,760 499,137 161,967 55.1 43,377 9.5 Williamson County 250,466 422,617 471,014 172,213 68.8 48,397 11.5 Cameron County 334,884 406,220 417,276 71,336 21.3 11,056 2.7 Nueces County 313,512 340,223 352,107 26,711 8.5 11,884 3.5 Brazoria County 241,805 313,137 330,242 71,361 29.5 17,105 5.5 Bell County 238,000 310,235 326,843 72,235 30.4 16,608 5.4 Galveston County 250,178 291,307 306,782 41,131 16.4 15,475 Lubbock County 242,644 278,831 289,324 36,187 14.9 10,493 3.8 Webb County 193,124 250,304 262,495 57,180 29.6 12,191 4.9 Jefferson County 251,968 252,273 252,358 305 0.1 85 0.0 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2013 and   Intercensal Estimates. *39 months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1,  Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University Certainly our largest counties continue to see growth. Smallest numeric growth: Jefferson. Smallest percent growth: Jefferson, Dallas, and Nueces.

12 Population and Population Change for the Twenty Counties in Texas with the Largest Numeric Increase from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013 Population Change Change * County 2000 2010 2013 Numeric Percent Harris County 3,401,139 4,093,165 4,336,853 691,320 20.3 243,688 6.0 Dallas County 2,216,808 2,367,636 2,480,331 151,331 6.8 112,695 4.8 Bexar County 1,393,035 1,714,774 1,817,610 321,738 23.1 102,836 Tarrant County 1,449,290 1,809,537 1,911,541 359,744 24.8 102,004 5.6 Travis County 811,776 1,024,331 1,120,954 212,490 26.2 96,623 9.4 Collin County 491,272 782,351 854,778 291,069 59.2 72,427 9.3 Fort Bend County 354,286 584,686 652,365 231,089 65.2 67,679 11.6 Denton County 433,065 662,604 728,799 229,549 53.0 66,195 10.0 Williamson County 250,466 422,617 471,014 172,213 68.8 48,397 11.5 Montgomery County 293,779 455,760 499,137 161,967 55.1 43,377 9.5 Hidalgo County 569,099 774,769 815,996 205,670 36.1 41,227 5.3 El Paso County 679,568 800,647 827,718 121,079 17.8 27,071 3.4 Hays County 97,918 157,112 176,026 59,189 60.4 18,914 12.0 Brazoria County 241,805 313,137 330,242 71,361 29.5 17,105 5.5 Bell County 238,000 310,235 326,843 72,235 30.4 16,608 5.4 Galveston County 250,178 291,307 306,782 41,131 16.4 15,475 Midland County 116,034 136,870 151,468 20,838 18.0 14,598 10.7 Ector County 121,124 137,132 149,378 16,006 13.2 12,246 8.9 Webb County 193,124 250,304 262,495 57,180 29.6 12,191 4.9 Nueces County 313,512 340,223 352,107 26,711 8.5 11,884 3.5 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2013 and   Intercensal Estimates. *39 months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1,  Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

13 Population and Population Change for the Twenty Counties in Texas with the Largest Percentage Increase from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013 Population Change Change * County 2000 2010 2013 Numeric Percent Loving County 67 82 95 15 22.4 13 15.9 Andrews County 13,002 14,786 16,799 1,784 13.7 2,013 13.6 Kendall County 23,793 33,410 37,766 9,617 40.4 4,356 13.0 Hays County 97,918 157,112 176,026 59,189 60.4 18,914 12.0 Fort Bend County 354,286 584,686 652,365 231,089 65.2 67,679 11.6 Williamson County 250,466 422,617 471,014 172,213 68.8 48,397 11.5 Martin County 4,746 4,799 5,312 53 1.1 513 10.7 Midland County 116,034 136,870 151,468 20,838 18.0 14,598 Denton County 433,065 662,604 728,799 229,549 53.0 66,195 10.0 Montgomery County 293,779 455,760 499,137 161,967 55.1 43,377 9.5 Travis County 811,776 1,024,331 1,120,954 212,490 26.2 96,623 9.4 Collin County 491,272 782,351 854,778 291,069 59.2 72,427 9.3 Comal County 78,022 108,472 118,480 30,450 39.0 10,008 9.2 Hemphill County 3,353 3,807 4,158 454 13.5 351 Crane County 3,996 4,375 4,773 379 398 9.1 Dimmit County 10,205 9,996 10,897 -209 -2.0 901 9.0 Ector County 121,124 137,132 149,378 16,006 13.2 12,246 8.9 Guadalupe County 88,856 131,537 143,183 42,677 48.0 11,646 Rockwall County 43,023 78,337 85,245 35,314 82.1 6,908 8.8 McMullen County 847 707 764 -140 -16.5 57 8.1 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2013 and   Intercensal Estimates. *39 months change from April 1, 2010 to July 1,  Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University All growth in Texas Triangle and in South Texas Border counties of Webb, Hidalgo (except Garza County in west Texas)

14 Texas Regional Councils
of Governments 14 14

15 Councils of Governments in Texas Ranked by Total Population in 2010: Total Population in 2000 and 2010; Numeric and Percent Change, ; and Percent of the State Population (2010) and State Population Change Total Population Population Change Percent of State Council of Government 2000 2010 Numeric % Population Change, North Central Texas 5,309,277 6,539,950 1,230,673 23.2 26.0 28.7 Houston-Galveston 4,854,454 6,087,133 1,232,679 25.4 24.2 Alamo Area 1,807,868 2,249,011 441,143 24.4 8.9 10.3 Capital Area 1,346,833 1,830,003 483,170 35.9 7.3 11.3 Lower Rio Grande Valley 924,772 1,203,123 278,351 30.1 4.8 6.5 East Texas 745,180 829,749 84,569 3.3 2.0 Rio Grande 704,318 825,913 121,595 17.3 2.8 Coastal Bend 549,012 571,987 22,975 4.2 2.3 0.5 Central Texas 374,518 449,641 75,123 20.1 1.8 1.7 Panhandle 402,862 427,927 25,065 6.2 0.6 Permian Basin 376,672 417,679 41,007 10.9 1.0 South Plains 377,871 411,659 33,788 1.6 0.8 South East Texas 385,090 388,745 3,655 0.9 1.5 0.1 Deep East Texas 355,862 378,477 22,615 6.4 Heart of Texas 321,536 349,273 27,737 8.6 1.4 South Texas 264,177 330,590 66,413 25.1 1.3 West Central Texas 324,901 327,390 2,489 Brazos Valley 267,085 319,447 52,362 19.6 1.2 Ark-Tex 270,468 281,947 11,479 1.1 0.3 Nortex 224,366 222,860 -1,506 -0.7 0.0 Texoma 178,200 193,229 15,029 8.4 0.4 Golden Crescent 183,905 188,626 4,721 2.6 Middle Rio Grande 154,381 167,010 12,629 8.2 0.7 Concho Valley 148,212 154,192 5,980 4.0 State of Texas 20,851,818 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6 100.0 15 15

16 Texas Metropolitan Statistical Areas
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17 Total Population in 2000 and 2010 in Metropolitan Statistical Areas
in Texas Ranked by Numerical Change, 2000 to 2010 Total Population Change Metropolitan Statistical Area 2000 2010 Numeric % Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 4,715,407 5,946,800 1,231,393 26.1 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington 5,161,544 6,371,773 1,210,229 23.4 Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos 1,249,763 1,716,289 466,526 37.3 San Antonio-New Braunfels 1,711,703 2,142,508 430,805 25.2 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 569,463 774,769 205,306 36.1 El Paso 679,622 800,647 121,025 17.8 Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood 330,714 405,300 74,586 22.6 Brownsville-Harlingen 335,227 406,220 70,993 21.2 Laredo 193,117 250,304 57,187 29.6 College Station-Bryan 184,885 228,660 43,775 23.7 Lubbock 249,700 284,890 35,190 14.1 Tyler 174,706 209,714 35,008 20.0 Corpus Christi 403,280 428,185 24,905 6.2 Amarillo 226,522 249,881 23,359 10.3 Waco 213,517 234,906 21,389 10.0 Midland 116,009 136,872 20,863 18.0 Longview 194,042 214,369 20,327 10.5 Odessa 121,123 137,130 16,007 13.2 Sherman-Denison 110,595 120,877 10,282 9.3 San Angelo 105,781 111,823 6,042 5.7 Abilene 160,245 162,252 5,007 3.1 Victoria 111,663 115,384 3,721 3.3 Texarkana* 89,306 92,565 3,259 3.6 Beaumont-Port Arthur 385,090 388,745 3,655 0.9 Wichita Falls 151,524 151,306 -218 -0.1 Source: U.S. Census Bureau *Reflects total population for Texas portion of MSA only. 17 17

18 Population, Population Change, and Percent Change in Texas Metropolitan Statistical Areas by Numeric Change, April 1, 2010 and July 1, 2012 Geographic Area April 1, 2010 July 1, 2012 Numeric Percent Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington 6,426,214 6,700,991 274,777 4.3 Houston-Woodlands-Sugar Land 5,920,416 6,177,035 256,619 Austin-Round Rock 1,716,289 1,834,303 118,014 6.9 San Antonio-New Braunfels 2,142,508 2,234,003 91,495 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 774,769 806,552 31,783 4.1 El Paso 804,123 830,735 26,612 3.3 Killeen-Temple 405,300 420,375 15,075 3.7 Midland 141,671 151,662 9,991 7.1 Brownsville-Harlingen 406,220 415,557 9,337 2.3 Corpus Christi 428,185 437,109 8,924 2.1 Laredo 250,304 259,172 8,868 3.5 Odessa 137,130 144,325 7,195 5.2 Lubbock 290,805 297,669 6,864 2.4 College Station-Bryan 228,660 234,501 5,841 2.6 Amarillo 251,933 257,578 5,645 2.2 Tyler 209,714 214,821 5,107 Waco 252,772 256,317 3,545 1.4 San Angelo 111,823 114,854 3,031 2.7 Victoria 94,003 96,620 2,617 2.8 Longview 214,369 216,679 2,310 1.1 Abilene 165,252 166,963 1,711 1.0 Sherman-Denison 120,877 121,935 1,058 0.9 Beaumont-Port Arthur 403,190 404,180 990 0.2 Texarkana-Texarkana, AR 149,198 149,701 503 0.3 Wichita Falls 151,306 150,829 -477 -0.3 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division Note: Metropolitan Statistical Areas as defined by U.S. OMB, Feb

19 Population and Population Change for the Twenty Counties in Texas with the Largest Percentage Change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013 Population Change Change * County 2000 2010 2013 Numeric Percent Loving 67 82 95 15 22.4 13 15.9 Andrews 13,002 14,786 16,799 1,784 13.7 2,013 13.6 Kendall 23,793 33,410 37,766 9,617 40.4 4,356 13.0 Hays 97,918 157,112 176,026 59,189 60.4 18,914 12.0 Fort Bend 354,286 584,686 652,365 231,089 65.2 67,679 11.6 Williamson 250,466 422,617 471,014 172,213 68.8 48,397 11.5 Martin 4,746 4,799 5,312 53 1.1 513 10.7 Midland 116,034 136,870 151,468 20,838 18.0 14,598 Denton 433,065 662,604 728,799 229,549 53.0 66,195 10.0 Montgomery 293,779 455,760 499,137 161,967 55.1 43,377 9.5 Travis 811,776 1,024,331 1,120,954 212,490 26.2 96,623 9.4 Collin 491,272 782,351 854,778 291,069 59.2 72,427 9.3 Comal 78,022 108,472 118,480 30,450 39.0 10,008 9.2 Hemphill 3,353 3,807 4,158 454 13.5 351 Crane 3,996 4,375 4,773 379 398 9.1 Dimmit 10,205 9,996 10,897 -209 -2.0 901 9.0 Ector 121,124 137,132 149,378 16,006 13.2 12,246 8.9 Guadalupe 88,856 131,537 143,183 42,677 48.0 11,646 Rockwall 43,023 78,337 85,245 35,314 82.1 6,908 8.8 McMullen 847 707 764 -140 -16.5 57 8.1 *Midland, Ector and Adjacent Counties in bold. *39 Months of Change from April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013.

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21 Population Change in Texas Counties, April 1, 2010 – July 1, 2012
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012 Population Estimates. Population Change in Texas Counties, April 1, – July 1, 2012

22 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total
Population by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change NH White 10,933,313 11,397,345 464,032 4.2 10.8 52.4 45.3 Hispanic (All Races) 6,669,666 9,460,921 2,791,255 41.8 65.0 32.0 37.6 NH Black 2,364,255 2,886,825 522,570 22.1 12.2 11.3 11.5 NH Asian 554,445 948,426 393,981 71.1 9.2 2.7 3.8 NH Other 330,141 452,044 121,903 36.9 2.8 1.6 1.8 Total 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races.  All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L.  Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

23 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population
18 Years and Older by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change NH White 8,426,166 9,074,684 648,518 7.7 19.6 56.3 49.6 Hispanic (All Races) 4,282,901 6,143,144 1,860,243 43.4 56.1 28.6 33.6 NH Black 1,631,448 2,076,282 444,834 27.3 13.4 10.9 11.4 NH Asian 415,219 716,968 301,749 72.7 9.1 2.8 3.9 NH Other 209,327 268,659 59,332 28.3 1.8 1.4 1.5 Total 14,965,061 18,279,737 3,314,676 22.1 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races.  All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L.  Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

24 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population
Under 18 Years by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change NH White 2,507,147 2,322,661 -184,486 -7.4 -18.8 42.6 33.8 Hispanic (All Races) 2,386,765 3,317,777 931,012 39.0 95.1 40.5 48.3 NH Black 732,807 810,543 77,736 10.6 7.9 12.4 11.8 NH Asian 139,226 231,458 92,232 66.2 9.4 2.4 3.4 NH Other 120,814 183,385 62,571 51.8 6.4 2.1 2.7 Total 5,886,759 6,865,824 979,065 16.6 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races.  All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L.  Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

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29 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population
by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change NH White 194,552,774 196,817,552 2,264,778 1.2 8.3 69.1 63.7 Hispanic (All Races) 35,305,818 50,477,594 15,171,776 43.0 55.5 12.5 16.3 NH Black 33,947,837 37,685,848 3,738,011 11.0 13.7 12.1 12.2 NH Asian 10,123,169 14,465,124 4,341,955 42.9 15.9 3.6 4.7 NH Other 7,492,308 9,299,420 1,807,112 24.1 6.6 2.7 3.0 Total 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

30 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population
18 and Older by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change NH White 150,525,687 157,100,990 6,575,303 4.4 25.9 72.0 67.0 Hispanic (All Races) 22,963,559 33,346,703 10,383,144 45.2 40.8 11.0 14.2 NH Black 23,337,573 27,323,665 3,986,092 17.1 15.7 11.2 11.6 NH Asian 7,702,895 11,288,995 3,586,100 46.6 14.1 3.7 4.8 NH Other 4,598,380 5,503,718 905,338 19.7 3.6 2.2 2.3 Total 209,128,094 234,564,071 25,435,977 12.2 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

31 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population
Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change NH White 44,027,087 39,716,562 -4,310,525 -9.8 -228.4 60.9 53.5 Hispanic (All Races) 12,342,259 17,130,891 4,788,632 38.8 253.7 17.1 23.1 NH Black 10,610,264 10,362,183 -248,081 -2.3 -13.1 14.7 14.0 NH Asian 2,420,274 3,176,129 755,855 31.2 40.0 3.3 4.3 NH Other 2,893,928 3,795,702 901,774 47.8 4.0 5.1 Total 72,293,812 74,181,467 1,887,655 2.6 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

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36 Percent of Total Change
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group 2000 2010 Numeric Percent NH* White 161,723 182,346 20,623 12.8 17.5 51.0 41.9 NH Black 28,862 32,637 3,775 13.1 3.2 9.1 7.5 Hispanic 109,686 185,913 76,227 69.5 64.8 34.6 42.8 NH Asian & Other 16,751 33,864 17,113 102.2 14.5 5.3 7.8 Total 317,022 434,760 117,738 37.1 100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in  *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

37 Percent of Total Change
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population 18 and Over by Race/Ethnicity for Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group 2000 2010 Numeric Percent NH* White 596,579 756,128 159,549 26.7 45.8 63.9 59.0 NH Black 67,884 87,873 19,989 29.4 5.7 7.3 6.9 Hispanic 218,074 352,400 134,326 61.6 38.5 23.4 27.5 NH Asian & Other 50,204 85,128 34,924 69.6 10.0 5.4 6.6 Total 932,741 1,281,529 348,788 37.4 100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in  *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

38 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population
by Race/Ethnicity for Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group 2000 2010 Numeric Percent NH* White 758,302 938,474 180,172 23.8 38.6 60.7 54.7 NH Black 96,746 120,510 23,764 24.6 5.1 7.7 7.0 Hispanic 327,760 538,313 210,553 64.2 45.1 26.2 31.4 NH Asian & Other 66,955 118,992 52,037 77.7 11.2 5.4 6.9 Total 1,249,763 1,716,289 466,526 37.3 100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in  *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

39 Percent of Total Change
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group 2000 2010 Numeric Percent NH* White 735,112 699,178 -35,934 -4.9 -11.1 50.2 39.1 NH Black 227,185 277,206 50,021 22.0 15.4 15.6 15.5 Hispanic 410,193 661,960 251,767 61.4 77.5 28.1 37.1 NH Asian & Other 88,486 147,481 58,995 66.7 18.2 6.1 8.3 Total 1,460,976 1,785,825 324,849 22.2 100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in  *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

40 Percent of Total Change
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population 18 and Over by Race/Ethnicity for Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group 2000 2010 Numeric Percent NH* White 2,346,622 2,549,331 202,709 8.6 22.6 62.7 55.0 NH Black 480,305 664,393 184,088 38.3 20.5 12.8 14.3 Hispanic 711,249 1,096,778 385,529 54.2 43.0 19.0 23.6 NH Asian & Other 204,974 329,887 124,913 60.9 13.9 5.5 7.1 Total 3,743,150 4,640,389 897,239 24.0 100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in  *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

41 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population
by Race/Ethnicity for Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group 2000 2010 Numeric Percent NH* White 3,081,734 3,248,509 166,775 5.4 13.6 59.3 50.5 NH Black 707,490 941,599 234,109 33.1 19.2 14.7 Hispanic 1,121,442 1,758,738 637,296 56.8 52.2 21.5 27.4 NH Asian & Other 293,460 477,368 183,908 62.7 15.0 5.6 7.4 Total 5,204,126 6,426,214 1,222,088 23.5 100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in  *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

42 Percent of Total Change
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group 2000 2010 Numeric Percent NH* White 542,563 494,054 -48,509 -8.9 -16.5 39.8 29.8 NH Black 244,702 282,991 38,289 15.6 13.0 18.0 17.1 Hispanic 489,495 744,227 254,732 52.0 86.8 35.9 45.0 NH Asian & Other 85,634 134,692 49,058 57.3 16.7 6.3 8.1 Total 1,362,394 1,655,964 293,570 21.5 100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in  *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

43 Percent of Total Change
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population 18 and Over by Race/Ethnicity for Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group 2000 2010 Numeric Percent NH* White 1,714,294 1,846,214 131,920 7.7 14.1 51.5 43.3 NH Black 536,457 713,230 176,773 33.0 18.9 16.1 16.7 Hispanic 862,898 1,352,305 489,407 56.7 52.5 25.9 31.7 NH Asian & Other 217,118 352,703 135,585 62.4 14.5 6.5 8.3 Total 3,330,767 4,264,452 933,685 28.0 100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in  *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

44 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population
by Race/Ethnicity for Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group 2000 2010 Numeric Percent NH* White 2,256,857 2,340,268 83,411 3.7 6.8 48.1 39.6 NH Black 781,159 996,221 215,062 27.5 17.5 16.6 16.8 Hispanic 1,352,393 2,096,532 744,139 55.0 60.7 28.8 35.4 NH Asian & Other 302,752 487,395 184,643 61.0 15.0 6.5 8.2 Total 4,693,161 5,920,416 1,227,255 26.1 100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in  *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

45 Percent of Total Change
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Under 18 by Race/Ethnicity for San Antonio-New Braunfels Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group 2000 2010 Numeric Percent NH* White 151,728 148,028 -3,700 -2.4 -4.1 31.2 25.7 NH Black 30,007 33,517 3,510 11.7 3.9 6.2 5.8 Hispanic 289,103 370,886 81,783 28.3 90.9 59.6 64.5 NH Asian & Other 14,784 23,139 8,355 56.5 9.3 3.0 4.0 Total 485,622 575,570 89,948 18.5 100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in  *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

46 Percent of Total Change
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population 18 and Over by Race/Ethnicity for San Antonio-New Braunfels Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group 2000 2010 Numeric Percent NH* White 544,588 625,779 81,191 14.9 23.8 44.4 39.9 NH Black 72,434 96,553 24,119 33.3 7.1 5.9 6.2 Hispanic 574,059 787,262 213,203 37.1 62.5 46.8 50.2 NH Asian & Other 35,000 57,344 22,344 63.8 6.6 2.9 3.7 Total 1,226,081 1,566,938 340,857 27.8 100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in  *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

47 Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population
by Race/Ethnicity for San Antonio-New Braunfels Metropolitan Statistical Area, Texas 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Change Racial Group 2000 2010 Numeric Percent NH* White 696,316 773,807 77,491 11.1 18.0 40.7 36.1 NH Black 102,441 130,070 27,629 27.0 6.4 6.0 6.1 Hispanic 863,162 1,158,148 294,986 34.2 68.5 50.4 54.0 NH Asian & Other 49,784 80,483 30,699 61.7 7.1 2.9 3.8 Total 1,711,703 2,142,508 430,805 25.2 100.0 Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L.  Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) as defined by OMB in  *NH refers to nonHispanic values for categories labeled NH are only for the nonHispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races.

48 Percent of Texas Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2000
48

49 Percent of Texas Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2010
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50

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52 Percent of Texas Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2040*
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53 Percent of United States Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2000
Non-anglo populations primarily in younger ages Largest proportion of anglos in oldest ages 53

54 Percent of United States Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2010
Non-anglo populations primarily in younger ages Largest proportion of anglos in oldest ages 54

55

56 Percent of United States Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2050
By 2040, all but oldest ages will be majority non-Anglo In fact, Half of the population will be non-Anglo by 2042 and ½ of Children will be non-Anglo by 2023! 56

57 POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONDITIONS
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

58 Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household
Income by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 16,026,542 8.3 $59,221 21,831,928 10.8 $53,988 Hispanic (All Races) 7,797,874 22.6 $44,079 12,583,542 24.8 $40,165 Black 7,970,165 $38,541 10,270,229 27.1 $33,568 Asian 1,241,291 12.6 $68,020 1,806,217 12.4 $67,142 Total 33,899,812 $54,966 47,330,502 15.3 $50,046 *In 2010 Dollars. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, American Community Survey Not all race/ethnic groups are shown here but are included in the total. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

59 Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median
Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 856,055 7.9 $61,542 1,111,251 9.5 $59,517 Hispanic (All Races) 1,658,434 25.4 $39,101 2,555,080 26.8 $37,087 Black 515,859 23.3 $38,378 717,458 24.7 $35,674 Asian 63,598 11.7 $65,633 120,601 12.6 $64,191 Total 3,117,609 15.4 $52,260 4,521,023 17.9 $48,615 *In 2010 Dollars. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, American Community Survey Not all race/ethnic groups are shown here but are included in the total. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

60 Median Household Income*
Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 52,995 7.0 $70,307 87,639 9.3 $64,893 Hispanic (All Races) 57,897 18.1 $50,599 139,333 25.6 $39,843 NH Black 15,932 17.8 $47,130 29,904 24.4 $38,465 Asian 6,502 15.6 $64,801 11,352 13.9 $67,317 Total 134,589 11.1 $63,905 274,801 15.9 $55,744 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

61 Median Household Income*
Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Dallas-Forth Worth-Arlington MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 168,399 5.5 $72,291 234,244 7.3 $66,611 Hispanic (All Races) 219,006 19.9 $46,782 419,024 23.7 $40,083 NH Black 134,474 19.7 $43,070 220,867 23.6 $37,539 Asian 19,165 10.0 $72,049 37,441 11.0 $70,006 Total 547,385 10.8 $63,245 934,827 14.6 $54,449 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

62 Median Household Income*
Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 142,906 6.2 $73,353 167,593 7.1 $72,480 Hispanic (All Races) 294,484 22.0 $43,087 533,716 25.2 $40,972 NH Black 167,271 $41,210 223,990 22.2 $39,638 Asian 25,338 11.4 $67,702 50,732 12.9 $67,333 Total 635,349 13.7 $58,497 986,220 16.5 $53,942 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

63 Median Household Income*
Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for San Antonio-New Braunfels MSA, Texas, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* NH White 47,870 6.9 $63,329 57,496 7.4 $63,067 Hispanic (All Races) 182,882 21.5 $40,849 258,421 22.1 $41,439 NH Black 17,941 19.0 $42,457 24,354 18.5 $39,004 Asian 2,277 9.8 $53,032 4,778 11.1 $56,056 Total 252,311 15.1 $51,091 351,737 16.3 $50,225 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 4, American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

64 Educational Attainment for the Population
Age 25 and over, United States, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More Non-Hispanic White 141,698,750 9.3 29.2 30.1 31.4 Hispanic* 27,313,996 37.8 26.5 22.7 13.0 Black 23,049,274 17.9 31.8 32.4 Asian 9,879,433 14.5 16.0 19.5 50.0 Other 2,347,480 15.2 29.7 33.8 21.3 Total 204,288,933 14.4 28.5 28.9 28.2 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

65 Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over, Texas, 2010
Race/ Ethnicity Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More Non-Hispanic White 8,212,303 8.0 25.3 32.6 34.1 Hispanic* 5,063,779 40.4 25.8 22.2 11.6 Black 1,762,154 13.7 30.3 36.3 19.7 Asian 632,826 14.3 15.2 18.5 52.0 Other 101,060 9.3 23.1 46.9 20.8 Total 15,772,122 19.3 25.6 29.2 25.9 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

66 Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma
Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos MSA, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White 663,675 3.6 17.7 30.2 48.6 NH Black 72,639 11.4 25.5 40.9 22.2 Hispanic 282,851 35.1 21.7 Asian 52,518 8.0 10.7 16.8 64.6 NH Other 18,051 3.2 23.4 38.6 37.1 Total 1,089,734 12.5 20.0 28.2 39.4 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

67 Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma
Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over by Race/Ethnicity, Dallas-Forth Worth-Arlington MSA, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White 2,267,968 6.4 22.3 32.4 38.9 NH Black 567,121 11.8 29.3 36.2 22.7 Hispanic 894,960 45.9 24.2 19.1 10.8 Asian 224,536 13.4 16.1 16.9 53.7 NH Other 66,717 10.0 18.6 37.9 33.6 Total 4,021,302 16.4 23.3 29.2 31.1 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

68 Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over
by Race/Ethnicity, Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White 1,690,388 6.6 22.8 31.8 38.7 NH Black 613,998 11.9 28.4 37.5 22.2 Hispanic 1,120,681 44.2 25.3 19.6 11.0 Asian 265,709 15.3 15.4 49.7 NH Other 47,502 9.7 19.4 38.6 33.5 Total 3,738,278 23.9 28.3 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

69 Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over
by Race/Ethnicity, San Antonio-New Braunfels MSA, Texas, 2010 Race/ Ethnicity* Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More NH White 563,081 6.2 21.8 33.8 38.2 NH Black 82,638 11.1 23.1 41.4 24.3 Hispanic 662,344 28.4 29.6 28.7 13.4 Asian 29,916 13.1 14.8 23.8 48.3 NH Other 16,495 5.6 18.6 38.0 34.3 Total 1,354,474 17.5 25.5 31.6 25.4 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

70 PROJECTIONS Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

71 (Resident population as of July 1, Number in thousands)
U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: Census 2010 and Projected for 2020 to 2060 Year (Resident population as of July 1, Number in thousands) Non-Hispanic Hispanic (any race) Total White alone Black alone Asian alone All other races 2010 196,818 37,686 14,465 9,299 50,478 308,746 2020 199,312 41,776 18,246 10,778 63,784 333,896 2030 198,818 45,452 22,044 13,502 78,655 358,471 2040 193,887 48,769 25,881 16,603 94,876 380,016 2050 186,334 51,988 29,583 20,166 111,732 399,803 2060 178,952 55,302 33,106 24,128 128,780 420,268 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census and 2012 National Projections

72 Numeric Change in U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2010 to 2060 (in millions)

73 Change in the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2010 to 2060

74 (Percent of total resident population as of July 1)
Age Distribution of the U.S. Population: Census 2010 and Projected 2020 to 2060 Age Group (Percent of total resident population as of July 1) 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 Under 5 years 6.5 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.9 5 to 19 years 20.4 18.8 18.6 18.1 17.8 17.7 20 to 44 years 33.6 33.0 32.3 31.5 31.6 31.3 45 to 64 years 26.4 24.9 22.6 23.3 23.7 23.2 65 years and over 13.1 16.8 20.3 21.0 20.9 21.9 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census and 2012 National Projections

75 Percent of each group's resident population as of April 1
Percent By Race and Hispanic Origin by Selected Age Groups for the U.S. Population : 2010 Age Group Percent of each group's resident population as of April 1 Non-Hispanic Hispanic (any race) Total White alone Black alone Asian alone All other races 63.8 12.2 4.7 3.0 16.3 100.0 Under 5 years 50.8 13.6 4.3 6.0 25.3 5 to 17 years 54.5 14.1 4.8 22.3 18 to 24 years 57.1 14.3 4.9 3.6 20.1 25 to 44 years 59.6 12.6 5.9 2.7 19.2 45 to 64 years 71.7 11.3 4.4 2.0 10.6 65 years and over 80.0 8.4 3.4 1.3 6.9 Elderly Age Groups 65 to 74 years 78.0 9.1 3.8 1.5 7.6 75 to 84 years 81.2 7.8 3.2 1.2 6.6 85 years and over 84.9 6.8 2.5 0.9 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census

76 Percent of each group's resident population as of April 1
Projected Percent By Race and Hispanic Origin by Selected Age Groups for the U.S. Population: 2060 Age Group Percent of each group's resident population as of April 1 Non-Hispanic Hispanic (any race) Total White alone Black alone Asian alone All other races 42.6 13.2 7.9 5.7 30.6 100.0 Under 5 years 30.9 13.0 6.6 9.9 39.6 5 to 17 years 33.6 6.8 9.0 37.4 18 to 24 years 35.8 7.2 7.7 36.1 25 to 44 years 39.0 13.5 8.5 6.0 33.0 45 to 64 years 45.3 13.4 8.7 4.4 28.2 65 years and over 55.8 12.5 2.7 21.3 Elderly Age Groups 65 to 74 years 52.5 13.6 8.0 3.1 22.8 75 to 84 years 56.7 11.7 2.5 21.2 85 years and over 62.7 10.9 6.7 2.1 17.6 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012 National Projections

77 Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Rates of Net Migration Year NH1 White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other2 Total Assuming Zero Net Migration 2010 11,397,345 2,886,825 9,460,921 1,400,470 25,145,561 2020 11,576,595 3,122,637 11,137,672 1,536,693 27,373,597 2030 11,501,020 3,280,941 12,869,753 1,638,249 29,289,963 2040 11,182,576 3,355,500 14,570,851 1,714,232 30,823,159 2050 10,766,622 3,366,528 16,191,150 1,728,206 32,052,506 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of  11,752,530 3,295,198 12,031,059 1,825,130 28,903,917 11,850,180 3,658,997 15,082,058 2,309,763 32,900,998 11,676,157 3,951,909 18,489,803 2,881,525 36,999,394 11,376,576 4,182,155 22,268,390 3,483,178 41,310,299 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  11,931,815 3,477,928 13,003,159 2,170,409 30,583,311 12,211,664 4,080,453 17,702,132 3,288,536 37,282,785 12,194,151 4,653,725 23,514,974 4,953,861 45,316,711 12,024,913 5,195,861 30,701,208 7,283,548 55,205,530 1NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

78 Percent of the Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Through 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Rates of Net Migration for the State of Texas Year NH1 White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other2 Total Assuming Zero Net Migration (Scenario 0.0) 2010 45.3 11.5 37.6 5.6 100.0 2020 42.3 11.4 40.7 2030 39.3 11.2 43.9 2040 36.3 10.9 47.2 2050 33.6 10.5 50.5 5.4 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of  (Scenario 0.5) 41.6 6.3 36.0 11.1 45.8 7.1 31.6 10.7 50.0 7.7 27.5 10.2 53.9 8.4 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  (Scenario 1.0) 39.0 42.5 32.8 47.5 8.8 26.9 10.3 51.9 21.8 9.4 55.6 13.2 1NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

79 Percent of Net Change in Population from 2010 to 2050 Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Scenarios of Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for State of Texas Race/Ethnicity Number Percent Assuming Zero Net Migration (Scenario 0.0) NH1 White -630,723 -9.1 NH Black 479,703 6.9 Hispanic 6,730,229 97.4 NH Asian & Other2 327,736 4.8 Total 6,906,945 100.0 Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of  (Scenario 0.5) NH White -20,769 -0.1 1,295,330 8.0 12,807,469 79.2 NH Asian & Other 2,082,708 12.9 16,164,738 Assuming Net Migration Equal to  (Scenario 1.0) 627,568 2.1 2,309,036 7.7 21,240,287 70.7 5,883,078 19.5 30,059,969 1NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

80 Percent of the Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Percent of the Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity from 2030 to 2050 Assuming Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration Equal to for the State of Texas (Scenario 1.0) Age NH1 White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other2 Total 2010 <18 20.4 28.1 35.1 29.6 27.3 18-24 8.7 11.2 11.7 10.2 25-44 25.7 29.1 30.1 32.3 28.2 45-64 29.8 24.0 17.5 21.4 65+ 15.4 7.6 5.6 6.5 10.3 2030 19.3 23.4 29.7 21.7 24.9 7.5 9.6 10.8 11.5 23.0 27.2 29.9 31.6 27.5 24.3 24.2 19.8 24.1 22.2 25.9 15.6 9.8 11.1 15.8 2050 18.2 20.7 21.9 7.4 8.9 10.6 8.6 9.4 25.5 27.8 30.5 26.9 23.7 25.6 22.8 27.7 12.9 14.1 16.9 1NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

81 Percent of Age Group by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Percent of Age Group by Race/Ethnicity from 2030 to 2050 Assuming Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration Equal to for the State of Texas (Scenario 1.0) Age NH1 White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other2 Total 2010 <18 33.8 11.8 48.3 6.0 100.0 18-24 38.7 12.6 43.2 5.5 25-44 41.5 11.9 40.2 6.4 45-64 56.1 11.5 27.4 5.0 65+ 67.6 8.4 20.5 3.5 2030 25.4 10.3 56.6 7.7 25.5 10.9 53.0 10.6 27.3 10.8 51.7 10.1 36.0 12.0 42.4 9.6 53.6 29.4 6.2 2050 16.5 8.1 63.4 17.1 8.9 62.0 18.6 57.5 15.0 22.7 10.5 52.4 14.4 35.7 42.5 11.0 do about 5 groupings by median age from youngest 50 to oldest 50; old title: Percent of the Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Percent of the Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity from 2030 to 2050 Assuming Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration Equal to for the State of Texas (Scenario 1.0) 1NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values shown are only for the non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. 2NH Asian & Other category includes non-Hispanic persons who identify themselves as belonging to two or more race groups.

82 65 Years of Age and Older in
Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in Texas Counties, 2010 82

83 Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in Texas Counties, 2050*
* Assuming rates of net migration equal to

84 Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Harris County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 1,349,646 754,258 1,671,540 317,015 4,092,459 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 1,370,357 819,903 1,994,717 347,798 4,532,775 2030 1,342,716 858,777 2,316,580 363,946 4,882,019 2040 1,278,423 876,137 2,643,875 371,176 5,169,611 2050 1,198,102 876,475 2,946,940 370,587 5,392,104 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1,313,873 840,336 2,153,854 400,856 4,708,919 1,232,849 901,576 2,698,721 482,625 5,315,771 1,118,087 934,326 3,289,505 563,900 5,905,818 998,149 945,431 3,909,739 646,530 6,499,849 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1,255,205 856,198 2,319,477 459,092 4,889,972 1,113,765 921,946 3,099,887 637,362 5,772,960 944,770 935,982 3,927,987 851,405 6,660,144 784,522 905,382 4,767,431 1,115,138 7,572,473 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

85 Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Harris County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 33.0 18.4 40.8 7.7 100.0 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 30.2 18.1 44.0 2030 27.5 17.6 47.5 7.5 2040 24.7 16.9 51.1 7.2 2050 22.2 16.3 54.7 6.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 27.9 17.8 45.7 8.5 23.2 17.0 50.8 9.1 18.9 15.8 55.7 9.5 15.4 14.5 60.2 9.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 25.7 17.5 47.4 9.4 19.3 16.0 53.7 11.0 14.2 14.1 59.0 12.8 10.4 12.0 63.0 14.7 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

86 Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Dallas County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 784,693 518,732 905,940 158,774 2,368,139 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 785,498 570,153 1,107,349 177,105 2,640,105 2030 753,645 605,355 1,318,991 186,873 2,864,864 2040 701,895 627,756 1,545,129 193,673 3,068,453 2050 648,778 640,542 1,772,394 196,091 3,257,805 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 701,757 581,409 1,155,350 198,537 2,637,053 597,468 627,910 1,435,586 231,333 2,892,297 491,394 656,513 1,742,378 264,046 3,154,331 401,233 671,539 2,070,126 295,884 3,438,782 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 624,417 588,760 1,201,188 221,701 2,636,066 464,572 634,100 1,538,137 285,943 2,922,752 329,773 645,278 1,881,934 358,341 3,215,326 231,828 625,457 2,221,784 443,121 3,522,190 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

87 Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Dallas County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 33.1 21.9 38.3 6.7 100.0 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 29.8 21.6 41.9 2030 26.3 21.1 46.0 6.5 2040 22.9 20.5 50.4 6.3 2050 19.9 19.7 54.4 6.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 26.6 22.0 43.8 7.5 20.7 21.7 49.6 8.0 15.6 20.8 55.2 8.4 11.7 19.5 60.2 8.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 23.7 22.3 45.6 15.9 52.6 9.8 10.3 20.1 58.5 11.1 6.6 17.8 63.1 12.6 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

88 Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Bexar County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 519,123 118,460 1,006,958 70,232 1,714,773 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 528,196 128,549 1,146,274 77,163 1,880,182 2030 520,278 135,508 1,276,112 81,862 2,013,760 2040 501,507 139,706 1,389,461 84,628 2,115,302 2050 481,423 143,029 1,486,500 84,692 2,195,644 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 525,902 136,229 1,217,709 94,201 1,974,041 516,916 152,390 1,439,718 122,526 2,231,550 493,614 165,672 1,654,245 154,723 2,468,254 469,414 177,610 1,860,268 188,376 2,695,668 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 522,129 143,464 1,285,885 114,371 2,065,849 505,748 166,495 1,590,232 183,992 2,446,467 469,453 184,464 1,875,503 287,647 2,817,067 432,051 195,931 2,122,756 430,044 3,180,782 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

89 Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Bexar County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 30.3 6.9 58.7 4.1 100.0 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 28.1 6.8 61.0 2030 25.8 6.7 63.4 2040 23.7 6.6 65.7 4.0 2050 21.9 6.5 67.7 3.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 26.6 61.7 4.8 23.2 64.5 5.5 20.0 67.0 6.3 17.4 69.0 7.0 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 25.3 62.2 20.7 65.0 7.5 16.7 66.6 10.2 13.6 6.2 66.7 13.5 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

90 Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Travis County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 517,644 82,805 342,766 81,051 1,024,266 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 542,467 88,465 411,771 90,150 1,132,853 2030 536,215 91,785 478,734 95,689 1,202,423 2040 513,780 92,461 549,628 100,435 1,256,304 2050 486,487 91,175 616,939 102,802 1,297,403 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 564,581 90,350 439,296 106,656 1,200,883 573,841 95,516 545,978 132,872 1,348,207 558,255 97,481 666,649 162,469 1,484,854 545,614 96,850 794,234 194,266 1,630,964 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 588,721 91,589 467,601 125,349 1,273,260 614,740 96,704 614,488 182,710 1,508,642 598,425 96,434 777,758 260,243 1,732,860 591,906 91,337 944,620 362,957 1,990,820 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

91 Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Travis County Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 2010 50.5 8.1 33.5 7.9 100.0 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2020 47.9 7.8 36.3 8.0 2030 44.6 7.6 39.8 2040 40.9 7.4 43.7 2050 37.5 7.0 47.6 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 47.0 7.5 36.6 8.9 42.6 7.1 40.5 9.9 37.6 6.6 44.9 10.9 5.9 48.7 11.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 46.2 7.2 36.7 9.8 40.7 6.4 12.1 34.5 5.6 15.0 29.7 4.6 47.4 18.2 Source: Tx. State Data Center and Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

92 EDUCATION

93 Education Level Is Related to Employment and Earnings
Unemployment Rate Median Weekly Earnings Median: $827 Overall Unemployment Rate: 7.6% Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, June 2013/first quarter 2013

94 Mean Household Income by Race/Ethnicity,
Educational Attainment, and Occupation In Texas in 2010 Occupations Less Than High School /GED Bachelor's Degree Graduate/ Prof Degree NH White Managerial & Professional $ 72,446 $ 84,504 $ 120,792 $ 149,819 Technical, Sales, & Admin. 52,930 64,179 112,843 130,471 Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers 55,079 68,247 94,875 119,057 Operatives and Laborers 48,819 61,211 77,581 89,720 Total 50,533 64,975 114,698 144,714 NH Black $ 47,483 $ 52,186 $ 84,758 $ 99,073 33,980 43,933 75,416 80,852 42,767 53,192 82,885 69,805 37,811 46,296 66,181 63,707 31,072 42,465 78,933 94,490 Hispanic $ 52,178 $ 61,992 $ 88,036 $ 116,400 40,131 50,127 81,005 91,155 42,302 51,527 63,695 63,345 41,273 47,455 54,282 57,806 38,221 47,760 81,548 108,473 NH Asian & Other $ 84,172 $ 73,016 $ 103,737 $ 130,603 52,764 60,719 86,039 105,469 54,594 63,451 70,778 92,041 47,939 49,015 60,895 65,074 50,815 55,496 93,474 123,035 Source: Ruggles et al. 2010; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2010 Public Use Microdata Sample, 2011.

95 Percent of Population 25 Years of Age and Older in Texas Who Are High School Graduates and Higher or College Graduates and Higher by Race/Ethnicity, Educational Attainment Level NH White* NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total 1990 High School and Higher 81.5 66.2 44.6 79.1 72.1 College and Higher 25.2 12.0 7.3 41.3 20.3 2000 87.2 75.8 49.3 80.7 75.7 30.0 15.3 8.9 47.8 23.2 2010 92.0 86.4 59.6 87.1 34.1 19.7 11.6 46.0 25.9 * NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey, Census 2000, Summary File 3, Census of Population and Housing, 1990: Summary Tape File 3, 2012, 2002, 1990, 1991.

96 General Revenue Expenditures (in $2010) for Texas Public Elementary and Secondary Schools, Selected Education Programs, and Public Colleges and Universities, and Percent Change in Expenditures, 2000 and 2010 Expenditures Percent Change 2000 2010 Program Total Per Student Total Elementary and Secondary $29,237,537,256 $7,308 $36,491,096,511 $7,527.28 24.8 3.0 Bilingual/ESL 747,953,827 1,509 1,295,663,024 1,662 73.2 10.1 Gifted and Talented 311,414,735 930 418,034,678 1,136 34.2 22.2 Special Education 2,202,643,405 4,513 4,800,227,933 10,779 117.9 138.8 Career and Technology Education* 717,482,374 969 1,009,165,942 982 40.7 1.4 Total Public Colleges and Public Universities 3,406,851,607 4,079 3,746,005,091 2,935 10.0 -28.1 Note: Enrollment data based upon and school years. *Enrollment calculated from percentage distribution. Source: Texas Education Agency, , Elementary and Secondary Program Enrollment and expenditures, Academic Excellence Indicator System and State Profile Report; and , Public Education Information Management System Budget Report; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, and Public College and University Enrollment Database and 2000 and 2010, An Overview of Article III Senate Bill 1 81st Legislature, 2012.

97 Total Public Education (All Levels) and Public Elementary and Secondary School Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projections That Assume 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration for Texas Year NHa White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Total Public Education (All Levels)* 2010 2,137,393 832,202 2,805,785 348,791 6,124,171 2020 2,109,148 874,294 3,490,796 533,046 7,007,284 2030 2,128,376 955,194 4,428,574 682,196 8,194,340 2040 2,037,804 1,028,997 5,778,539 973,986 9,819,326 2050 1,979,109 1,095,342 7,207,206 1,469,755 11,751,412 Public Elementary and Secondary Schools 1,547,693 632,401 2,398,684 269,066 4,847,844 1,548,792 646,756 2,917,449 406,755 5,519,752 1,577,470 706,263 3,715,984 480,533 6,480,250 1,479,111 754,173 4,865,439 726,452 7,825,175 1,446,198 798,125 6,012,677 1,109,443 9,366,443 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Texas Education Agency, Enrollment in Texas Public Schools , 2011; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, Demographic Data for Public Community College and University Students for , 2011. *Excludes public health related educational institutions.

98 Percent of Total Public Education (All Levels), Public Elementary and Secondary School Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projections That Assume 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration for Texas Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Public Education (All Levels)* 2010 34.9 13.6 45.8 5.7 2020 30.1 12.5 49.8 7.6 2030 26.0 11.7 54.0 8.3 2040 20.8 10.5 58.8 9.9 2050 16.8 9.3 61.3 12.6 Public Elementary and Secondary Schools 31.9 13.0 49.5 5.6 28.1 52.9 7.3 24.3 10.9 57.3 7.5 18.9 9.6 62.2 15.4 8.5 64.2 11.9 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Texas Education Agency, Demographic Data for Public School Students for , 2011;Texas Education Agency, Enrollment in Texas Public Schools , 2011; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board 2011, Demographic Data for Public Community College and University Students for , 2011. *Excludes public health related educational institutions. Note: Enrollment data based on school years.

99 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projection that Assumes 2000-2010
Total Public Community College, Public University, and Total Public College and University Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projection that Assumes Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Texas Year NH White* NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Public Community Colleges 2010 314,976 130,786 263,600 37,261 746,623 2020 299,721 149,167 370,868 58,999 878,755 2030 296,231 163,939 459,618 92,693 1,012,481 2040 297,987 181,123 590,855 117,643 1,187,608 2050 285,152 196,248 771,788 170,627 1,423,815 Public Universities 274,724 69,015 143,501 42,464 529,704 260,635 78,371 202,479 67,292 608,777 254,675 84,992 252,972 108,970 701,609 260,706 93,701 322,245 129,891 806,543 247,759 100,969 422,741 189,685 961,154 Total Public Colleges and Universities 589,700 199,801 407,101 79,725 1,276,327 560,356 227,538 573,347 126,291 1,487,532 550,906 248,931 712,590 201,663 1,714,090 558,693 274,824 913,100 247,534 1,994,151 532,911 297,217 1,194,529 360,312 2,384,969 * NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 Public College and University Enrollment Database, 2012.

100 and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Texas
Percent of Public Community College, Public University, and Total Public College and University Enrollment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Projection that Assumes Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Texas Year NH White* NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Public Community Colleges 2010 42.2 17.5 35.3 5.0 2020 34.1 17.0 6.7 2030 29.3 16.2 45.4 9.1 2040 25.1 15.3 49.8 9.8 2050 20.0 13.8 54.2 12.0 Public Universities 51.9 13.0 27.1 8.0 42.8 12.9 33.3 11.0 36.3 12.1 36.1 15.5 32.3 11.6 40.0 16.1 25.8 10.5 44.0 19.7 Total Public Colleges and Universities 46.2 15.7 31.9 6.2 37.7 38.5 8.5 32.1 14.5 41.6 11.8 28.0 45.8 12.4 22.3 12.5 50.1 15.1 Note: Enrollment data based upon school years. * NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 Public College and University Enrollment Database, 2012.

101 Education Expenditures (All Sources in $2010) for
Total Public Elementary and Secondary Schools and Colleges and Universities in Texas in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Population Projection that Assumes Age and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Rates of Net Migration Year Total Public Elementary and Secondary Total Community Colleges Total Public Universities Total Public Colleges and Universities 2010 $36,491,096,511 $1,202,291,349 $2,543,713,742 $3,746,005,091 2020 41,548,738,563 1,415,064,275 2,923,433,504 4,338,497,779 2030 48,778,679,381 1,630,404,029 3,369,225,935 4,999,629,964 2040 58,902,311,242 1,912,412,053 3,873,133,887 5,785,545,940 2050 70,503,872,542 2,292,777,556 4,615,597,840 6,908,375,396 Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Education Agency, Academic Excellence Indicator System, and , State Profile Report, 2012; Texas Education Agency, and Public Education Information Management System Budget Report, 2012; Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 An Overview of Article III Senate Bill 181st Legislature 2010, 2012, Sources and Uses of Funds Universities, Health-Related Institutions, Lamar State Colleges and Texas State Technical Colleges FY 2010, 2012.

102 Number of Students with Financial Need Unmet by Household Resources Enrolled at Public Colleges and Universities in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in and Projected to 2050 Using the Population Projection that Assumes Rates of Net Migration (1.0 Scenario)

103 Public Community Colleges Total Public Colleges and Universities
Percent Change in Projected Number of Students with Financial Need Unmet by Household Resources Enrolled at Public Colleges and Universities in Texas in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes Rates of Net Migration (1.0 Scenario) Year NH White* NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Public Community Colleges -4.8 14.1 40.7 58.3 22.7 -1.2 9.9 23.9 57.1 17.9 0.6 10.5 28.6 26.9 19.8 -4.3 8.4 30.6 45.0 22.9 -9.5 50.1 192.8 357.9 112.9 Public Universities -5.1 13.6 41.1 58.5 -2.3 24.9 61.9 17.3 2.4 10.2 27.4 19.2 15.9 -5.0 7.8 31.2 46.0 20.9 -9.8 46.3 194.6 346.7 93.8 Total Public Colleges and Universities 13.8 40.8 58.4 20.4 -1.8 9.2 24.3 60.0 17.6 1.6 10.4 28.1 22.3 18.1 -4.7 8.1 30.8 45.6 22.0 -9.7 48.3 193.4 351.3 104.0 * NH refers to Non-Hispanic; values for categories labeled NH are only for the Non-Hispanic persons in each race category. Hispanic includes Hispanics of all races. Source: Projections by the authors; and Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2010 Financial Aid Database, 2013.

104 Percent Change in Socioeconomic Resources Compared to Percent Change in Households, 2010 - 2050
Household Change: 127.6%

105 Per Capita Income in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households

106 Percent Change in Incidences
Projections of Incidences of Disease/Disorders and Percent Change in Incidences of Disease/Disorders in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration, 2010–2050 Year NH* White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Number of Incidences 2010 34,400,777 7,595,342 17,072,316 2,592,134 61,660,569 2020 37,891,233 9,970,823 25,851,970 4,393,091 78,107,117 2030 40,207,165 12,437,276 37,560,027 7,255,396 97,459,864 2040 41,072,929 14,796,133 52,332,506 11,200,174 119,401,742 2050 40,713,269 17,009,228 71,280,514 17,007,539 146,010,550 Percent Change in Incidences 2010–2020 10.1 31.3 51.4 69.5 26.7 2020–2030 6.1 24.7 45.3 65.2 24.8 2030–2040 2.2 19.0 39.3 54.4 22.5 2040–2050 -0.9 15.0 36.2 51.9 22.3 2010–2050 18.3 123.9 317.5 556.1 136.8 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from National Center for Health Statistics 2012c.

107 Coronary Heart Disease 63.1 35.1 10.3 10.2 21.7 40.4 4.9 14.3
Projected Percent of the Prevalence of Selected Diseases/Disorders in Texas by Race/Ethnicity and Type of Disease/Disorder for Adults (18 Years of Age and Older) for 2010 and 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration NH* White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Disease/Disorder 2010 2050 High Blood Pressure 54.2 26.7 15.0 14.0 26.4 47.0 4.4 12.3 Coronary Heart Disease 63.1 35.1 10.3 10.2 21.7 40.4 4.9 14.3 Angina Pectoris 65.6 35.6 7.9 8.2 21.4 41.4 5.1 14.8 Heart Attack 37.0 10.1 19.6 38.0 4.7 Other Heart Condition/Disease 67.7 39.6 10.4 11.3 18.1 36.9 3.8 12.2 Stroke 55.5 28.7 15.4 25.0 44.9 4.1 11.4 Emphysema 73.0 43.4 7.2 9.7 15.5 32.5 4.3 14.4 Asthma 51.9 25.7 12.6 28.5 48.1 5.3 13.6 Asthma Attack Past Year 51.2 23.6 13.3 11.0 29.0 49.3 6.5 16.1 Ulcer 58.3 10.6 26.2 46.7 13.7 Ulcer Past Year 46.3 19.0 37.4 57.6 Cancer 75.6 47.9 9.8 14.7 32.9 2.5 9.4 Diabetes 45.3 19.4 13.9 12.0 35.8 56.6 5.0 Hay Fever Past Year 62.3 31.6 21.6 41.9 5.7 16.4 Sinusitis Past Year 57.8 29.2 13.4 24.4 44.8 Chronic Bronchitis Past Year 61.2 33.2 11.5 23.7 44.5 3.7 10.8 Weak/Failing Kidneys Past Year 47.4 22.5 33.9 54.6 2.3 Liver Condition Past Year 45.2 17.7 8.5 39.4 61.4 12.4 Pregnancy related 32.6 11.6 8.4 50.7 68.2 Ever Worn Hearing Aid 75.9 49.9 5.2 16.6 35.7 8.7 Vision Impairment 51.6 24.7 29.9 51.5 Blindness 51.4 26.8 23.1 18.6 30.5 7.4 24.1 Lost All Teeth 61.3 32.2 23.4 3.3 10.0 Sad Past Month 41.2 17.2 41.1 63.8 8.9 Nervous Past Month 50.5 22.1 9.2 37.1 62.1 3.2 Restless Past Month 51.0 24.3 14.1 30.7 52.7 4.2 Hopeless Past Month 11.9 42.2 65.9 4.0 9.1 Everything an Effort Past Month 43.1 20.1 18.0 53.6 Worthlessness Past Month 19.9 12.8 37.5 61.6 3.4 Total 28.1 27.3 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from National Center for Health Statistics 2012c.

108 Percent Change in Incidences
Projections of the Prevalence of Conditions Associated with Disabilities and Percent Change in Prevalence of Conditions Associated with Disabilities in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration Year NH* White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Number of Incidences 2010 2,540,162 603,721 1,107,393 178,505 4,429,781 2020 3,022,918 849,940 1,809,414 334,431 6,016,703 2030 3,491,401 1,148,456 2,896,541 600,144 8,136,542 2040 3,737,476 1,453,117 4,370,046 997,082 10,557,721 2050 3,711,228 1,710,472 6,230,801 1,584,249 13,236,750 Percent Change in Incidences 2010–2020 19.0 40.8 63.4 87.4 35.8 2020–2030 15.5 35.1 60.1 79.5 35.2 2030–2040 7.0 26.5 50.9 66.1 29.8 2040–2050 -0.7 17.7 42.6 58.9 25.4 2010–2050 46.1 183.3 462.7 787.5 198.8 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from National Center for Health Statistics 2012c.

109 Projected to Reflect Population's Race/Ethnicity Distribution
Health Care Personnel in Texas by Specialty and Race/Ethnicity in 2010 (Actual) and Simulated to Reflect 2010 and Projected 2050 Population Distribution by Race/Ethnicity Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration Health Personnel NH* White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Panel A: 2010 Actual Physicians 38,711 2,316 6,535 5,893 53,455 Dentists 16,889 964 2,511 3,739 24,103 Optometrists 1,924 103 300 750 3,077 Pharmacists 11,456 2,896 1,882 4,194 20,428 Registered Nurses 116,391 18,137 21,124 20,846 176,498 Veterinarians 5,521 58 84 65 5,728 Podiatrists 690 71 48 867 191,582 24,545 32,484 35,545 284,156 Projected to Reflect Population's Race/Ethnicity Distribution Panel B: 2010 Distribution 24,216 6,147 20,099 2,993 10,918 2,772 9,063 1,350 1,394 354 1,157 172 9,254 2,349 7,681 1,144 79,954 20,297 66,363 9,884 2,594 659 2,154 321 392 100 326 49 128,722 32,678 106,843 15,913 Panel C: 2050 Distribution 23,517 10,140 59,979 14,240 107,876 11,487 4,953 29,296 6,955 52,691 1,741 751 4,441 1,054 7,987 11,129 4,799 28,385 6,739 51,052 81,105 34,972 206,855 49,109 372,041 1,514 653 3,862 917 6,946 315 136 802 190 1,443 130,808 56,404 333,620 79,204 600,036 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived Texas Department of State Health Services 2012b.

110 Health Related Institutions
Enrollment of Texas Residents in Texas Health Related Institutions by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Numeric and Percent Change in Projected Enrollment to 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration Year NH* White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Health Related Institutions 2010 10,209 1,510 3,322 3,263 18,304 2020 10,027 1,803 4,830 5,100 21,760 2030 9,503 2,012 6,423 8,482 26,420 2040 10,086 2,226 7,935 10,545 30,792 2050 9,787 2,446 10,597 14,823 37,653 Numeric Change 2010–2020 -182 293 1,508 1,837 3,456 2020–2030 -524 209 1,593 3,382 4,660 2030–2040 583 214 1,512 2,063 4,372 2040–2050 -299 220 2,662 4,278 6,861 2010–2050 -422 936 7,275 11,560 19,349 Percent Change -1.8 19.4 45.4 56.3 18.9 -5.2 11.6 33.0 66.3 21.4 6.1 10.6 23.5 24.3 16.5 -3.0 9.9 33.5 40.6 22.3 -4.1 62.0 219.0 354.3 105.7 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board 2011c.

111 2010 Enrollment Differentials Enrollment Rates for Minority Groups
Projected Enrollment of Texas Residents in Texas Health Related Institutions by Race/Ethnicity in 2050 Using Alternative Enrollment Rate Assumptions Race/Ethnicity Assuming 2010 Enrollment Differentials NH* White Enrollment Rates for Minority Groups 9,787 NH Black 2,446 3,357 Hispanic 10,597 22,671 NH Asian & Other 14,823 Total 37,653 50,638 Source: Projections by the authors and data and rates derived from Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board 2011c.

112 Physician Contacts, Days of Hospital Care,
and Number of Nursing Home Residents in Texas by Age of Patient and Associated Costs for 2010 (in Thousands of 2010 Dollars) and Projected for 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration Age of Patient Number Costs (in thousands) Physician Contacts and Total Costs 2010 <18 11,436,718 $ 1,700,928 18–54 26,366,787 5,540,646 55–64 10,250,911 2,361,205 65–74 8,592,397 1,983,703 75+ 7,306,078 1,649,922 Total 63,952,891 13,236,404 2050 22,065,761 $ 3,281,735 54,167,902 11,373,952 22,394,710 5,158,420 26,846,530 6,197,986 30,508,457 6,889,684 155,983,360 32,901,777 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from National Center for Health Statistics 2011, 2012b, 2012a; C. Caffrey et al.2012.

113 Physician Contacts, Days of Hospital Care,
and Number of Nursing Home Residents in Texas by Age of Patient and Associated Costs for 2010 (in Thousands of 2010 Dollars) and Projected for 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration Age of Patient Number Costs (in thousands) Hospital Days and Associated Costs 2010 <18 1,017,380 $ 1,474,016 18–44 3,037,894 6,078,908 45–64 5,645,161 14,152,492 65+ 2,860,220 6,426,277 Total 12,560,655 28,131,693 2050 1,962,618 $ 2,843,509 6,294,833 12,596,130 13,834,182 34,682,474 12,281,087 27,592,866 34,372,720 77,714,979 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from National Center for Health Statistics 2011, 2012b, 2012a; C. Caffrey et al.2012.

114 Physician Contacts, Days of Hospital Care,
and Number of Nursing Home Residents in Texas by Age of Patient and Associated Costs for 2010 (in Thousands of 2010 Dollars) and Projected for 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration Age of Patient Number Costs (in thousands) Nursing Home Residents and Monthly Costs 2010 0–64 10,021 $ ,716 65–74 8,199 5,950 75–84 24,597 77,850 85+ 48,282 152,813 Total 91,099 288,329 2050 20,191 $ ,905 25,622 81,094 94,147 297,975 246,958 781,622 386,918 1,224,596 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from National Center for Health Statistics 2011, 2012b, 2012a; C. Caffrey et al

115 Panel A: CHIP Recipients 2010 121,959 72,463 352,025 28,455 574,902
CHIP Recipients in Texas, Percent Change in Projected Recipients, Percent of Recipients by Race/Ethnicity, and Net Change in Recipients, Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration, 2010–2050 Year/ Period NH* White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Panel A: CHIP Recipients 2010 121,959 72,463 352,025 28,455 574,902 2020 123,241 77,828 431,811 42,199 675,079 2030 123,836 84,859 543,429 50,350 802,474 2040 116,799 90,636 704,971 75,353 987,759 2050 114,209 95,904 866,631 112,723 1,189,467 Panel B: Percent Change in Projected CHIP Recipients 2010–2020 1.1 7.4 22.7 48.3 17.4 2020–2030 0.5 9.0 25.8 19.3 18.9 2030–2040 -5.7 6.8 29.7 49.7 23.1 2040–2050 -2.2 5.8 22.9 49.6 20.4 2010–2050 -6.4 32.3 146.2 296.1 106.9 Panel C: Percent of CHIP Recipients by Race/Ethnicity 21.2 12.6 61.2 5.0 100.0 18.3 11.5 64.0 6.2 15.4 10.6 67.7 6.3 11.8 9.2 71.4 7.6 9.6 8.1 72.9 9.4 Panel D: Number and Percent of Net Change in CHIP Recipients, 2010–2050 Number Percent NH White -7,750 -1.3 NH Black 23,441 3.8 514,606 83.7 NH Asian & Other 84,268 13.8 614,565 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Health Management Associates 2012a; Texas Health and Human Services Commission 2013a.

116 Panel A: Medicaid Recipients 2010 738,484 599,318 1,942,833 77,832
Medicaid Recipients in Texas, Percent Change in Projected Recipients, Percent of Recipients by Race/Ethnicity, and Net Change in Recipients, Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration, 2010–2050 Year/ Period NH* White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total Panel A: Medicaid Recipients 2010 738,484 599,318 1,942,833 77,832 3,358,467 2020 774,207 685,199 2,485,323 126,469 4,071,198 2030 796,516 779,897 3,263,488 191,214 5,031,115 2040 780,817 864,706 4,256,531 303,616 6,205,670 2050 766,659 943,901 5,386,378 468,110 7,565,048 Panel B: Percent Change in Projected Medicaid Recipients 2010–2020 4.8 14.3 27.9 62.5 21.2 2020–2030 2.9 13.8 31.3 51.2 23.6 2030–2040 -2.0 10.9 30.4 58.8 23.3 2040–2050 -1.8 9.2 26.5 54.2 21.9 2010–2050 3.8 57.5 177.2 501.4 125.3 Panel C: Percent of Medicaid Recipients by Race/Ethnicity 22.0 17.8 57.8 2.4 100.0 19.0 16.8 61.0 3.2 15.8 15.5 64.9 12.6 13.9 68.6 4.9 10.1 12.5 71.2 6.2 Panel D: Number and Percent of Net Change in Medicaid Recipients, 2010–2050 Number Percent NH White 28,175 0.7 NH Black 344,583 8.2 3,443,545 81.9 NH Asian & Other 390,278 4,206,581 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Health Management Associates 2012b; Texas Health and Human Services Commission 2013b.

117 Total Costs and State Costs (in Thousands of 2010 Constant Dollars) for
Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) and Medicaid in Texas by Race/Ethnicity of Recipients in 2010 and Projected to 2050 Using the Population Projection That Assumes 2000–2010 Rates of Net Migration Year NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Totala Panel A: CHIP Total costs 2010 $ 231,593.5 $ 137,603.3 $ 668,476.4 $ 54,034.5 $ 1,091,707.7 2030 235,157.9 161,142.6 1,031,942.2 95,611.9 1,523,854.6 2050 216,876.7 182,116.5 1,645,685.3 214,054.9 2,258,733.3 State costs 66,906.4 39,753.0 193,120.0 15,610.3 315,389.7 67,936.1 46,553.4 298,123.7 27,621.9 440,235.1 62,654.8 52,612.7 475,431.5 61,839.5 652,538.5 Panel B: Medicaid 5,980,855.3 4,853,773.7 15,734,671.3 630,348.0 27,199,648.3 6,450,846.5 6,316,252.1 26,430,429.7 1,548,609.4 40,746,137.6 6,209,039.8 7,644,492.3 43,623,351.7 3,791,142.6 61,268,026.4 1,783,556.0 1,447,448.1 4,692,250.0 187,976.6 8,111,230.7 1,923,712.5 1,883,575.0 7,881,841.4 461,812.2 12,150,941.0 1,851,603.1 2,279,670.7 13,008,957.6 1,130,560.0 18,270,791.3 Source: Projections by the authors and 2010 data and rates derived from Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services 2013; Health Management Associates 2012a, 2012b; Texas Health and Human Services Commission 2013b. aTotal costs computed from unrounded values.

118 Mean Household Income in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households

119 Mean Consumer Expenditures in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households

120 Percent of All Households in Poverty in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households

121 Aggregate Household Income (in $Billions) in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households Billions

122 Aggregate Consumer Expenditures (in $Billions) in and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households Billions

123 Aggregate State Tax Revenues (in $Billions) in 2010 and Projected for 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Socioeconomic Closure Between Minority and NonHispanic White Households Billions

124 The mark of a truly educated man is to be moved deeply by statistics.
George Bernard Shaw

125 For more information. including. Purchase information,. contact:
For more information including Purchase information, contact: Texas A&m press Fax: or go to: So were is the growth?

126 Website: http://hobbycenter.rice.edu
Steve Murdock Phone: Website:


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