1. Demographic Characteristics and Trends in Texas: Implications for Colleges and Universities Texas Association of State Senior College and University Business Officers February 9, 2015 Austin, Texas

2. Y ear* Population Numeric Change Annual Percent Change 19507,711,194-- 19609,579,6771,868,4832.4 197011,196,7301,617,0531.7 198014,229,1913,032,4612.7 199016,986,5102,757,3192.0 200020,851,8203,865,3102.3 201025,145,5614,293,7412.1 201226,060,796 915,2351.8 201326,448,193387,397 1.4 201426,956,958451,321 1.7 * All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for 2012 and 2013 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census Counts and Population Estimates Note: Residual values are not presented in this table. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2013 2

3. Texas Population Growth 1950-2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census Counts

4. Components of Population Change by Percent in Texas, 1950-2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

5. Net Migration 12.1% – 50% 50.1% – 60% 60.1% – 70% 70.1% – 99% Percent of 2010-2013 Population Change from Net Migration Dallas Houston Austin San Antonio Ft. Worth Midland

6. One third of the top 40 fastest growing counties in the United States are in Texas, 2012 to 2013 6 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013 U.S. Rank GeographyPopulation EstimateChange, 2012 to 2013 20122013NumberPercent 5 Kendall County, Texas35,96837,7661,7985.0 9 Fort Bend County, Texas625,853652,36526,5124.2 10 Hays County, Texas169,013176,0267,0134.1 11 Andrews County, Texas16,13716,7996624.1 13 Dimmit County, Texas10,48110,8974164.0 22 Comal County, Texas114,590118,4803,8903.4 23 Ector County, Texas144,609149,3784,7693.3 25 Ward County, Texas10,88711,2443573.3 28 Williamson County, Texas456,359471,01414,6553.2 32 Montgomery County, Texas484,790499,13714,3473.0 35 Denton County, Texas708,050728,79920,7492.9 39 Gaines County, Texas18,39318,9215282.9 Counties in bold had growth associated with oil and gas extraction

7. One fourth of U.S. counties in the top 40 for numeric growth are in Texas, 2012-2013 7 U.S. Rank GeographyPopulation EstimateChange, 2012 to 2013 20122013NumberPercent 1Harris County, Texas4,253,9634,336,853 82,8901.9 6Bexar County, Texas1,785,7871,817,610 31,8231.8 8Tarrant County, Texas1,881,4451,911,541 30,0961.6 11Fort Bend County, Texas625,853652,365 26,5124.2 12Dallas County, Texas2,453,9072,480,331 26,4241.1 15Travis County, Texas1,096,2461,120,954 24,7082.3 22Denton County, Texas708,050728,799 20,7492.9 24Collin County, Texas834,674854,778 20,1042.4 33Williamson County, Texas456,359471,014 14,6553.2 35Montgomery County, Texas484,790499,13714,3473.0

8. County Population Change, Texas, 1950-2010 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Total Population by County

9. Estimated Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to 2013 9 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2013 Vintage. 99 counties lost population over the three year period

10. Estimated Percent Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to 2013 10 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2013 Vintage.

11. Estimated Number of Net Migrants by County, Texas, 2012 to 2013 11 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2013 Vintage.

12. Persons per Sq. Mile in the Austin-San Antonio Corridor 0 – 10 11 – 50 51 – 500 501 – 4,000 4,001 – 56,000 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Population Density by Census Tract, 1970-2010

13. Texas Leads U.S. Job Growth, 2004-2014

14. 29% 11% 7% 4% Texas California New York North Carolina Washington 4% Percentage of Total U.S. Job Gains Attributable to each State All Others

15. Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census count

16. Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, 2010 16 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

17. 17 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

18. 18 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

19. 19 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

20. Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010-2050 20 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

21. Texas Population Change by Age Group, 2010-2030 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

22. Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2010-2050 22 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections, 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

23. Trends in Educational Attainment of Persons in the Labor Force (25-64 Years of Age) in Texas by Race/Ethnicity – High School Graduates and Above Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample, 2001-2011

24. Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, 2030 Using Constant Rates, Texas 24 These should be going DOWNThese should be going UP Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS. Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

25. Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, and 2030 Using Trended Rates, Texas 25 These should be going DOWNThese should be going UP Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS. Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

26. Demographics and Destiny 26

27. Contact Office: (512) 463-8390 or (210) 458-6530 Email: Lloyd.Potter@osd.state.tx.usLloyd.Potter@osd.state.tx.us Internet: http://osd.state.tx.us Lloyd Potter, Ph.D., M.P.H. 27