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Demographic Characteristics and Trends in Texas Texas Farm Bureau April 13, 2015 Austin, Texas.

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Presentation on theme: "Demographic Characteristics and Trends in Texas Texas Farm Bureau April 13, 2015 Austin, Texas."— Presentation transcript:

1 Demographic Characteristics and Trends in Texas Texas Farm Bureau April 13, 2015 Austin, Texas

2 Y ear* Population Numeric Change Annual Percent Change 19507,711,194-- 19609,579,6771,868,4832.4 197011,196,7301,617,0531.7 198014,229,1913,032,4612.7 199016,986,5102,757,3192.0 200020,851,8203,865,3102.3 201025,145,5614,293,7412.1 201226,060,796 915,2351.8 201326,448,193387,397 1.4 201426,895,688447,495 1.7 * All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2014 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census Counts and Population Estimates

3 Population Growth, Texas, 1950-2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses

4 1950 19601970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Historic Population, Texas Counties, 1950- 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial censuses

5 Total Estimated Population, Texas Counties, 2014 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates

6 Estimated Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010 to 2014 6 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage. 102 counties lost population over the four year period. 95 counties lost population between 2013-14 Of these: 36 (38%) had natural decline 89 (94%) had net out migration 30 (32%) had both natural decline and net out migration

7 Estimated Percent Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010 to 2014 7 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage.

8 Percent Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

9 U.S. Rank Population Change Population Change Percent of Change from Natural Increase Percent Change from Migration Percent of Migration that is international Harris1 88,61848.6%51.4%54.0% Bexar6 33,71242.8%57.2%23.2% Dallas8 32,55569.6%30.4%116.3%* Tarrant10 31,41750.8%49.2%38.5% Fort Bend11 30,78419.4%80.6%17.3% Travis12 28,39738.2%61.8%29.7% Collin14 26,53026.1%73.8%20.1% Denton16 24,21127.2%72.8%14.0% Montgomery27 19,12917.9%82.1%10.4% Williamson31 18,02523.2%76.8%7.8% *Dallas had net out domestic migration over this period. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates Top Counties for Numeric Growth in Texas, 2013-2014

10 Top Counties for Percent Growth* in Texas, 2013-2014 U.S. Rank 2013-2014 Percent Population Change Percent Change from Migration Percent of Migration that is International Hays54.8%83.89%2.62% Fort Bend64.7%80.6%17.27% Comal94.0%90.1%3.04% Andrews124.0%62.8%3.57% Montgomery133.8%82.1%10.39% Williamson143.8%76.8%7.84% Kendall153.8%98.0%5.02% Ward213.4%72.0%1.49% Denton233.3%72.8%14.2% Collin313.1%73.9%20.1% Aransas323.1%110.8%4.3% Rockwall353.0%78.3%7.8% Waller362.9%77.2%5.3% Ector372.9%59.9%2.0% Guadalupe422.8%78.6%4.9% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates *Among Counties with 10,000 or more population in 2013

11 Estimated Number of Net Migrants, Texas Counties, 2013 to 2014 11 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage.

12 Texas Leads U.S. Job Growth, 2004-2014

13 29% 11% 7% 4% Texas California New York North Carolina Washington 4% Percentage of Total U.S. Job Gains Attributable to each State All Others

14 14

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17 Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census count

18 Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, 2010 18 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

19 19 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

20 20 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

21 21 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

22 Percent of the Population that is of Hispanic Descent, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 22 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

23 Percent of the Population that is Non-Hispanic Black, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 23 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

24 Percent of the Population that is of Asian Descent, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 24 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

25 Percent of the Labor Force Employed in Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, Mining, Texas Counties,2009-2013 25 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

26 26

27 Percent of Farms Operated by Corporations, 2007 and 2012 27 2007 2012

28 28

29 Average age of Operators by County, 2007 and 2012 29 2007 2012

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33 33

34 Percent of the Population Born in Texas, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 34 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

35 Mean Travel Time to Work, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 35 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

36 Percent of Households with Income of $150,000 or More, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 36 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

37 Median Age, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 37 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

38 Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010-2050 38 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

39 Projected Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010-2050 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections. 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

40 Projected Percent Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010-2050 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections. 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

41 Texas Population Change by Age Group, 2010-2030 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

42 Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2010-2050 42 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections, 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

43 Demographics and Destiny 43

44 Contact Office: (512) 463-8390 or (210) 458-6530 Email: Lloyd.Potter@osd.state.tx.usLloyd.Potter@osd.state.tx.us Internet: http://osd.state.tx.ushttp://osd.state.tx.us Twitter: @TexasDemography Lloyd Potter, Ph.D. 44


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