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Texas and North Texas Population Characteristics and Trends Grayson College Denison, Texas April 1, 2015.

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Presentation on theme: "Texas and North Texas Population Characteristics and Trends Grayson College Denison, Texas April 1, 2015."— Presentation transcript:

1 Texas and North Texas Population Characteristics and Trends Grayson College Denison, Texas April 1, 2015

2 Y ear* Population Numeric Change Annual Percent Change 19507,711,194-- 19609,579,6771,868,4832.4 197011,196,7301,617,0531.7 198014,229,1913,032,4612.7 199016,986,5102,757,3192.0 200020,851,8203,865,3102.3 201025,145,5614,293,7412.1 201226,060,796 915,2351.8 201326,448,193387,397 1.4 201426,895,688447,495 1.7 * All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2014 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census Counts and Population Estimates

3 Population Growth, Texas, 1950-2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses

4 1950 19601970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Historic County Population, Texas Source: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial censuses

5 Total Estimated Population by County, Texas, 2014 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates

6 Estimated Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to 2014 6 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage. 102 counties lost population over the four year period.

7 Estimated Percent Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to 2014 7 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage.

8 Components of Population Change by Percent in Texas, 1950-2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

9 Estimated Number of Net Migrants by County, Texas, 2013 to 2014 9 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage.

10 Net Migration 10 Percent of 2013-2014 Population Change from Net Migration Midlan d Dalla s Houston Austin San Antonio Ft. Worth

11 U.S. Rank Population Change Population Change Percent of Change from Natural Increase Percent Change from Migration Percent of Migration that is international Harris County1 88,61848.6%51.4%54.0% Bexar County6 33,71242.8%57.2%23.2% Dallas County8 32,55569.6%30.4%116.3%* Tarrant County10 31,41750.8%49.2%38.5% Fort Bend County11 30,78419.4%80.6%17.3% Travis County12 28,39738.2%61.8%29.7% Collin County14 26,53026.1%73.8%20.1% Denton County16 24,21127.2%72.8%14.0% Montgomery County27 19,12917.9%82.1%10.4% Williamson County31 18,02523.2%76.8%7.8% *Dallas had net out domestic migration over this period. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates Top Counties for Numeric Growth in Texas, 2013-2014

12 Top Counties for Percent Growth* in Texas, 2013-2014 U.S. Rank 2013-2014 Percent Population Change Percent Change from Migration Percent of Migration that is International Hays County54.8%83.89%2.62% Fort Bend County64.7%80.6%17.27% Comal County94.0%90.1%3.04% Andrews County124.0%62.8%3.57% Montgomery County133.8%82.1%10.39% Williamson County143.8%76.8%7.84% Kendall County153.8%98.0%5.02% Ward County213.4%72.0%1.49% Denton County233.3%72.8%14.2% Collin County313.1%73.9%20.1% Aransas County323.1%110.8%4.3% Rockwall County353.0%78.3%7.8% Waller County362.9%77.2%5.3% Ector County372.9%59.9%2.0% Guadalupe County422.8%78.6%4.9% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates *Among Counties with 10,000 or more population in 2013

13 County Population Estimate 2014 Population Change 2013-2014 Components of Change* Net Migration 2013- 2014 Natural Increase 2013- 2014 Natural Increase Components Births 2013- 2014 Deaths 2013- 2014 Grayson123,5341,1919862071,4971,290 Hunt88,4939618281661,043877 Cooke38,761286170128539411 Lamar49,523203216-22628650 Fannin33,752108167-84320404 Montague19,416-1920-39228267 North Texas Counties 2014 Population Estimate and Components of Change, 2013-2014 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates *Components may not add to total change as residual is not presented

14 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample Percent of the Population that was Born in Texas, Census Tracts, Texas, 2009-2013

15 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample Percent of population that is of Hispanic descent, Census Tracts, Texas, 2009-2013

16 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample Percent of population that moved in to current residence in the past year, Census Tracts, Texas, 2009-2013

17 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample Median age of the population, Census Tracts, Texas, 2009-2013

18 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample Percent of population speaking a language other than English at home and speak English less than very well, Census Tracts, Texas, 2009-2013

19 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample Percent of population 25 years and older without a high school degree, Census Tracts, Texas 2009-2013

20 Percent of population earning $75,000 per year or more, Census Tracts, Texas, 2009-2013 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

21 Mean Commute Time in Minutes, Census Tracts, Texas, 2009-2013 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample 4.8-15 15.1-20 20.1-30 30.1-45 45.1-70.

22 Percentage of Population with Drive Times Longer than 25 Minutes, Texas Census Tracts, 1990 and 2010* 1990 2010* Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1990 decennial census and *American Community Survey, 2008-2012 5 Year Sample.

23 Texas Leads U.S. Job Growth, 2004-2014

24 29% 11% 7% 4% Texas California New York North Carolina Washington 4% Percentage of Total U.S. Job Gains Attributable to each State All Others

25 Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census count

26 Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, 2010 26 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

27 27 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

28 28 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

29 29 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

30 Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010-2050 30 Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections

31 Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2010-2050 31 Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections, Half 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

32 Trends in Educational Attainment of Persons in the Labor Force (25-64 Years of Age) in Texas by Race/Ethnicity – High School Graduates and Above Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample, 2001-2011

33 Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, 2030 Using Constant Rates, Texas 33 These should be going DOWNThese should be going UP Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS. Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

34 Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, and 2030 Using Trended Rates, Texas 34 These should be going DOWNThese should be going UP Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS. Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

35 Projected Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010-2050 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections. 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

36 Projected Percent Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010-2050 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections. 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

37 Contact Office: (512) 463-8390 or (210) 458-6530 Email: Lloyd.Potter@osd.state.tx.usLloyd.Potter@osd.state.tx.us Internet: http://osd.state.tx.us 37 Lloyd B. Potter, Ph.D.


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