Memory, Bias, and Post-hockery. Memory – three Types  Sensory  short duration (the initial 200-500 ms)  large capacity (unlimited?)  Short-term 

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Presentation transcript:

Memory, Bias, and Post-hockery

Memory – three Types  Sensory  short duration (the initial ms)  large capacity (unlimited?)  Short-term  short duration (seconds to minute)  small capacity (magic number 7±2)  Long-term  long duration (days, months, years)  large capacity (unlimited?)

Memory – Processes and Biases  Encode – translating information into memory Store – retention of information over time Recall – retrieving the stored information Motivation – your focus and attention is selective Emotion! – strength, clarity, and valence

Memory – Processes and Biases Encode – translating information into memory.  Store – retention of information over time Recall – retrieving the stored information Misinformation – “post-event information effect” Time – memory can erode over time

Memory – Processes and Biases Encode – translating information into memory Store – retention of information over time  Recall – retrieving the stored information Emotion! – “mood congruence” Leading Questions Overconfidence

Post-hockery  Humans have a tendency to interpret new information in a way that confirms prior beliefs

Post-hockery  Humans have a tendency to interpret new information in a way that confirms prior beliefs “Barnum effect” Bible code Graphology Rorschach Hot-hand

Post-hockery  Humans have a tendency to interpret new information in a way that confirms prior beliefs “Barnum effect” Bible code Graphology Rorschach Hot-hand

Post-hockery  Humans have a tendency to interpret new information in a way that confirms prior beliefs “Barnum effect” Bible code Graphology Rorschach Hot-hand

Post-hockery  Humans have a tendency to interpret new information in a way that confirms prior beliefs “Barnum effect” Bible code Graphology Rorschach Hot-hand

Post-hockery  Humans have a tendency to interpret new information in a way that confirms prior beliefs “Barnum effect” Bible code Graphology Rorschach Hot-hand

Memory and Pseudoscience  Encode: Motivation, Emotion  Store: Misinformation, Time  Recall: Emotion, Leading Questions, Overconfidence  Post-hockery - tendency to interpret new information in a way that confirms prior beliefs - Alien Abductions, Sleep Paralysis, and Contamination Effect - Psychics, Nostradamus, Tarot Card readings, and Fortune Telling - Communicating with the Dead, Past Life Regression - Faith Healing, and Psychic Surgery - Media Paradox, Vividness, and Availability