The Vehicle(s) in Your Future Jason Mark Director, Clean Vehicles Program

The Transportation Challenge Oil Dependence –> $500,000/minute to import oil –Oil imports = ¼ of last year’s trade deficit –Passenger vehicle fuel economy at 20 year low Air Pollution –160 million Americans breathe unhealthy air –Local “hot spots” Climate Change –Scientific consensus –US transportation sector emits more heat-trapping gases than most countries release from all sources together

Climate Change: Avoiding Dangerous Levels

Global Carbon Budget: Dangerous Emissions Levels Approaching 550 ppm v stabilization 450 ppm v stabilization Sources: IPCC SRES Emission Scenarios Version 1.1. A1G scenario from MiniCAM. 21 st century carbon budgets for WRE stabilization curves from IPCC 2001 Synthesis Report, Table 6-1.

Technology Solutions

Source: Conventional Vehicles: Readily available, cost-effective solutions

Hybrid Vehicles: Not all hybrids are created equal Source:

Alternative Fuel Vehicles: Higher risk, higher return

Technology Solutions: Passenger Vehicle Oil Demand Source: UCS Calculations

Technology Solutions: Passenger Vehicle Oil Demand Source: UCS Calculations

Technology Solutions: Passenger Vehicle Oil Demand Source: UCS Calculations

Technology Solutions: Passenger Vehicle Oil Demand Source: UCS Calculations

Source: Transportation Energy Data Book. Edition Data. US Petroleum Demand: Cars are the first—but not the only—step

Policy Solutions

Signs of Hope