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Alternative scenarios

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Presentation on theme: "Alternative scenarios"— Presentation transcript:

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2 Alternative scenarios

3 Alternative scenarios

4 Three windows on the energy transition

5 Economic backdrop

6 Three windows on the energy transition

7 Energy demand by sector

8 Energy demand in buildings

9 Energy demand in buildings and transport sector

10 Three windows on the energy transition

11 Regional energy demand

12 Energy mix by region

13 Three windows on the energy transition

14 Global energy by fuel

15 Diversified fuel mix

16 Three windows on the energy transition

17 Five key questions

18 Five key questions

19 Penetration of electric cars in 2040

20 Penetration of electric cars in 2040

21 Electric cars, shared mobility and autonomy

22 Liquid fuel demand from passenger cars

23 Global ban on internal-combustion engine (ICE) cars

24 Impact of ICE ban

25 Impact of ICE ban

26 Five key questions

27 Demand for oil and other liquid fuels

28 Demand for oil and other liquid fuels

29 Demand for oil and other liquid fuels

30 US tight oil: alternative scenarios

31 US tight oil: alternative scenarios

32 US tight oil: alternative scenarios

33 Five key questions

34 Rapid growth in renewable energy

35 ‘Renewables push’ scenario

36 ‘Renewables push’ scenario

37 Five key questions

38 Growth in natural gas demand

39 Possible risks to the outlook for natural gas

40 Possible risks to the outlook for natural gas

41 Five key questions

42 Carbon emissions continue to rise in the ET scenario

43 Impact of faster transition on global energy system

44 Conclusion

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