MARCSMARCS Marine Accident Risk Calculation System.

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Presentation transcript:

MARCSMARCS Marine Accident Risk Calculation System

Accidents Modelled Ship-ship collisions Powered grounding Drift grounding Fire and explosion while underway Structural failure/foundering

Structure of MARCS Accident Consequence Data Accident Consequence Data Accident/Incident Frequency Data Accident/Incident Frequency Data Accident Frequency Factors Accident Frequency Factors Accident Consequence Factors Accident Consequence Factors Accident Frequencies Accident Frequencies Accident Consequence Calculator Accident Consequence Calculator Results Accident Frequency Calculator Accident Frequency Calculator Shipping Lane Data Shipping Lane Data Environmental Data Environmental Data Event Tree Analysis Event Tree Analysis Fault Tree Analysis Fault Tree Analysis OR

Tanker

GenCar

Bulk

Ferry

Oil Tanker Lanes - Case 1 < 0.1 Vessels / day Vessels / day Vessels / day Vessels / day Vessels / day > 10 Vessels / day

1,0e-1 - 1,0e-6 Accidents per year 1,0e-6 - 1,0e-5 1,0e-5 - 1,0e-4 1,0e-4 - 1,0e-3 1,0e-3 - 1,0e-2 >1,0 e-2

RATIO OF PREDICTED ACCIDENT FREQUENCIES TO HISTORICAL ACCIDENT FREQUENCES

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