1. VTRA UPDATE: AGGREGATED B-H-I ACCIDENT FREQUENCY COMPARISON Assessment of Oil Spill Risk due to Vessel Traffic Docking at Cherry Point (BP), Washington
GWU Personnel:
Dr. Jack R. Harrald, Dr. J. Rene van Dorp, Dr. Greg Shaw,
Dr. Thomas A. Mazzuchi, Adil Caner Sener, Christian Salmon
RPI Personnel:
Dr. Martha Grabowski, Zhi Zhou, Zhuyu You, Michael Steward
VCU Personnel:
Dr. Jason R. W. Merrick, Christina Werner
July 31, 2008

2. On average: 4.00 Accidents in 11 Years
Only Average Grid Cell Potential
Number of Accidents per Year
(BP - Collision, Power, Drift or Allisions)
Remaining 12%
On average:
4.00 Accidents
in 11 Years
Average Return Time: 2.75 years
© GWU-RPI-VCU November 2007

3. On average: 7.5 Accidents in 11 Years
Only Average Grid Cell Potential
Number of Accidents per Year
(BP - Collision, Power, Drift or Allisions)
Remaining 26%
On average:
7.5 Accidents
in 11 Years
Average Return Time: 1.47 years
© GWU-RPI-VCU November 2007

4. On average: 8.23 Accidents in 11 Years
Only Average Grid Cell Potential
Number of Accidents per Year
(BP - Collision, Power, Drift or Allisions)
Remaining 23%
On average:
8.23 Accidents
in 11 Years
Average Return Time: 1.34 years
© GWU-RPI-VCU November 2007