Major Demographic Changes in Minnesota Hazel Reinhart & Tom Gillaspy

The Rate of Minnesota Population Change Increased in the 90s

We are at the beginning of significant change in Minnesotas population Dimensions of this change will affect è Minnesota government budget and programs è Minnesotas self image è The future shape of Minnesota

Three dimensions of population change Aging Racial/ethnic diversity Geographic distribution of the population

Biennium--Approximately 2/3rds of the Minnesota State Budget Goes To Expenditures Related To Age of The Population

lMuch of Minnesota's state government budget is directly affected by changes in age of the population lPopulation is aging--the next two decades will see è K-12 enrollments will decline, reflecting lower numbers of births after è The traditional college age population will increase through this decade, falling thereafter. è Increases in the young old but slower growth in the old old, implying a shift in the emphasis of health costs. è Slower growth in the working age population will further aggravate the current labor shortage. è Maturing of the workforce fueled some of the remarkable growth in income in the 1990s. This effect will diminish in the future.

School Age Population Is On The Verge Of Decline

School Age Children Are Increasingly Concentrated in the Twin Cities Metro Area

Traditional College Age Will Increase This Decade

Minnesota's Population 65+ Will rise Even More Rapidly After 2010; The 85+ Population Will See Moderated Increases Through 2025

Older Workforce Is Growing Rapidly While Younger Workers Are Decreasing

Dependency Ratio is at an Historically Low Level Dependency ratio is population under 15 and over 64 divided by population 15-64

Minnesota is Approaching A Peak Number of People In Their Peak Earning Years Peak number of people in peak earning years (40s and early 50s) this decade. Contribute to increased income Contribute to increased purchasing

Minnesota is Becoming More Diverse More diverse but still much less than the nation More new immigrants and people of minority races and ethnicity Changes are related to strong economic growth and tight labor market Presents some challenges to government services, such as languages spoken at school

Proportion of Foreign born Population In Minnesota Is Beginning To Increase

Minnesota Is Becoming More Diverse But Still Less Than The Nation

Minnesota Projected Population Change

Non-English Speaking Students ; While Minneapolis and St. Paul Have The Largest Numbers, Some Smaller Districts Also Have Substantial Proportions

Minnesota Is Increasingly An Urban State Twin Cities suburban area now includes about 45% of the states population Most of the growth in the state is occurring in the Twin Cities suburban area Growth and congestion will continue to be issues

Population by area of the State

Most of Minnesotas Population Growth Is In The Suburban Ring Around The Twin Cities