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Minnesota Schools And Demographic Change Tom Gillaspy, State Demographer Mn Dept of Administration January 2008.

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Presentation on theme: "Minnesota Schools And Demographic Change Tom Gillaspy, State Demographer Mn Dept of Administration January 2008."— Presentation transcript:

1 Minnesota Schools And Demographic Change Tom Gillaspy, State Demographer Mn Dept of Administration January 2008

2 Three Demographic Mega Trends Aging Suburbanization Increased diversity

3 The Next 15 Years Will See Changes In Growth In Key Age Groups State Demographer projections revised 2007

4 Minnesota Will See a 30 Percent Jump in Workers Turning Age 62 Beginning 2008 2005 ACS

5 Competition For The Future Workforce Will Increase Census Bureau US Proj, Mn State Demographer revised 2007

6 Total Minnesota High School Graduates Will Peak In 2008-09 State Demographer projection

7 Current Enrollment Is About 20% Larger In Grades 9-12 Than In Grades 1-4 Mn Dept of Education enrollment data

8 The Boom Generation Starts Turning 65 in 2011 65+ Passes School Age Around 2020 Budget Priorities May Change Census counts & State Demographer projection, revised 2007

9 The Metro Donut Is Growing Rapidly While Many Rural Areas See Loss

10 Upper Midwest Becoming More Diverse But Still Less Than The Nation Note: Population except white alone, not Hispanic, 2005 Census Bureau estimate

11 Students Of Color Are Increasing While White Students Are Declining Mn Dept of Education data

12 Twin Cities Metro See Large Difference In Trends Between Central Cities And Rest Mn Dept of Education data

13 Minnesota’s Children Are More Diverse Than Older People 2000 Census

14 Students Speaking Non-English Language At Home: Much Of The Growth In ESL Enrollment Is Directly Related To Growth In Local Employment Source: Mn Dept of Education data, Districts of more than 100 enrollment.

15 Education Is The Key To Productivity Minnesota High School Graduation Ratio 2004-05 through 2005-06 graduates. Based on 10 th grade enrollment three years earlier.


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