The Dynamics of Population Change in New York’s Neighborhoods Presentation for the Macaulay Honors College The City University of New York January 24,

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Presentation transcript:

The Dynamics of Population Change in New York’s Neighborhoods Presentation for the Macaulay Honors College The City University of New York January 24, 2013 Joseph Salvo POPULATION DIVISION

The Population Dynamic

Population Change for the 10 Largest Cities in the U.S., 2000 to 2010 Ranked by Population in 2010 *Achieved population peak in 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 and 2010 Census PL Files Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

Population Change New York City and Boroughs, Source: U.S. Census Bureau: 2010 Census-Summary File 1 and 2011 Population Estimates Program Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

Estimated Components of Population Change New York City, Thousands Net International Migration Net Domestic Migration Population Change Natural Increase Net Migration Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2011 Estimates Program as revised by Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

5,401,440 5,239,633 Total Population by Nativity New York City, 1970 to ,137,246 6,457,740 1,670,199 1,437,058 Percent Foreign-born ,142, ,082,931 2,871,032 3,042,315 Source: U.S. Census of Population, 1970 to 2000; 2010 American Community Survey-Full Sample Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

New York City Top Countries of Birth for the Foreign-born New York City and United States, 2010 Total = 3,042,315 Total = 39,955,673 United States Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey-FactFinder Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning * Includes Hong Kong and Taiwan

Population Distribution by Race/Hispanic Origin New York City and Boroughs, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau: 2010 Census-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

Hispanic and Asian Subgroups New York City, 2010 Total = 2,336,076 Asian* Hispanic Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning *Includes a small number of Asians who are of Hispanic origin. ** Includes Taiwanese Total = 1,038,388

Population by Hispanic Subgroup New York City, Percent Change = Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Simulated Hispanic File; 2010 Census-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

Population by Asian Subgroup New York City, Percent Change = Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

Settlement Patterns for Selected Characteristics

Neighborhood Tabulation Areas* New York City, 2010 Bronx Queens Staten Island * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Source: Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning LAGUARDIA AIRPORT JOHN F. KENNEDY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT Manhattan Brooklyn

Population Growth by Race/Hispanic Origin New York City, Percent Change = Sources: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

Percent Change in Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area* New York City, 2000 to 2010 Bronx Queens Staten Island * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Source: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning LAGUARDIA AIRPORT JOHN F. KENNEDY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT Manhattan Brooklyn (8 neighborhoods) (25) (17) (31) (74) (17) (10) (6) Percent Change Gain of 15.0% or more 9.0% to 14.9% 6.0% to 8.9% 3.0% to 5.9% -6.0% to -8.9% -2.9% to 2.9% -3.0% to -5.9% -9.0% to -14.9%

Percent Change in the Black Nonhispanic Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area* New York City, 2000 to 2010 * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Source: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning Bronx Queens Staten Island LAGUARDIA AIRPORT JOHN F. KENNEDY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT Manhattan Brooklyn Less than 5,000 Black NH in 2000 and 2010 (3 neighborhoods) (9) (19) (15) (23) (10) (1) Percent Change 20.0% to 39.9% 10.0% to 19.9% 5.0% to 9.9% -10.0% to -19.9% -4.9% to 4.9% -5.0% to -9.9% -20.0% to -39.9% Loss of 40.0% or more

Percent Change in the White Nonhispanic Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area* New York City, 2000 to 2010 * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Source: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning LAGUARDIA AIRPORT Bronx Queens Staten Island LAGUARDIA AIRPORT JOHN F. KENNEDY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT Manhattan Brooklyn Less than 5,000 White NH in 2000 and 2010 (18 neighborhoods) (4) (8) (11) (25) (16) (22) (29) (6) Percent Change Gain of 40.0% or more 20.0% to 39.9% 10.0% to 19.9% 5.0% to 9.9% -10.0% to -19.9% -4.9% to 4.9% -5.0% to -9.9% -20.0% to -39.9% Loss of 40.0% or more

Percent Change in the Asian Nonhispanic Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area* New York City, 2000 to 2010 * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Source: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning Bronx Queens Staten Island LAGUARDIA AIRPORT JOHN F. KENNEDY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT Manhattan Brooklyn Less than 5,000 Asian NH in 2000 and 2010 (25 neighborhoods) (27) (5) (2) (3) (1) Percent Change Gain of 40.0% or more 20.0% to 39.9% 10.0% to 19.9% 5.0% to 9.9% -10.0% to -19.9% -4.9% to 4.9% -5.0% to -9.9%

Percent Change in the Hispanic Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area* New York City, 2000 to 2010 * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Source: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning LAGUARDIA AIRPORT Bronx Queens Staten Island LAGUARDIA AIRPORT JOHN F. KENNEDY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT Manhattan Brooklyn Less than 5,000 Hispanic in 2000 and 2010 (21 neighborhoods) (16) (24) (17) (24) (7) (14) (6) Percent Change Gain of 40.0% or more 20.0% to 39.9% 10.0% to 19.9% 5.0% to 9.9% -10.0% to -19.9% -4.9% to 4.9% -5.0% to -9.9% -20.0% to -39.9%

Persons by English Language Ability New York City, 2010 Total Persons Ages 5 and Over = 7,670,643 Speaks language other than English at home 49% 3,781,160 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey-Public Use Microdata Sample Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

Limited English Proficient Population by Language Spoken at Home New York City, 2010 * Includes Chinese, Cantonese, Mandarin, and Formosan Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey-Public Use Microdata Sample Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

Limited English Proficient Population for the Population 5 Years and over by Neighborhood Tabulation Area* New York City, Bronx Manhattan Queens Staten Island Brooklyn Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey-FactFinder Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Percent 50.0% or more 40.0 % to 49.9% 30.0% to 39.9% 20.0% to 29.9% Less than 20% (9 neighborhoods) (12) (40) (35) (92) NYC Average = 23.4%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey-Public Use Microdata Sample Population Division- New York City Department of City Planning 2 Persons 5 years and over 3 Persons 25 years and over 1 Includes Hong Kong and Taiwan Selected Socioeconomic Characteristics of New York City’s Top 10 Foreign-born Groups, 2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey-Public Use Microdata Sample Population Division- New York City Department of City Planning 4 Persons years old 1 Includes Hong Kong and Taiwan Selected Socioeconomic Characteristics of New York City’s Top 10 Foreign-born Groups, 2010

Data Links DCP Population Division Web site: New York City Census FactFinder: Census Bureau Web site: