LATIN AMERICA AND GLOBAL GHG EMISSIONS. (c) WWF-Canon / Juan PRATGINESTOS TROPICAL DEFORESTATION.

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Presentation transcript:

LATIN AMERICA AND GLOBAL GHG EMISSIONS

(c) WWF-Canon / Juan PRATGINESTOS TROPICAL DEFORESTATION

GLOBAL CO2 EMISSIONS AND DEFORESTATION ~80% Fossil Fuel ~20% Land Deforestation

DEFORESTATION VS FOSSIL FUELS

MAJOR DEFORESTATION COUNTRIES (2000) WRI (2005) GHGs (MtC eq)

DEFORESTATION IN THE BRAZILIAN AMAZON (2003) Fonte: INPE PRODES Digital, Deforestation 2002/2003 Deforestation until millions ha/yr deforested 60 millions ha deforested 16% of Brazilian Amazon

2050 BUSINESS AS USUAL Deforested 2,698,735 km 2 (16 PgC by 2050) Forest 3,320,409 km 2 Non-forest 1,497,685 km km Soares-Filho et al. 2004

2050 ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO Deforested 1,655,734 km 2 (Reduction: 40%) Forest 4,363,410 km 2 Non-forest1,497,685 km km Soares-Filho et al Solutions: - Public governance & Law enforcement - Land use management - Sustainable forest management - Protected areas

ENERGY SECTOR

IN BRASIL By Growth in power consumption slashed by 40% - Power avoided = five times the Itaipu hydropower plant - USD 15 Billion savings, 10M new jobs

SOLUTION 1 DOMESTIC APPLIANCES  Represent a 1/3 of residential power demand  According to IEA, potential for large power savings  By 2020, ambitious efficiency standards would:  Reduce average refrigerator consumption by 40%  Energy savings of over 4.5 Billion USD

1/3 of home electricity bills, 8% of national power needs Consumers’ cost ~ $ 10 $ 1800 in electricity generation and distribution Electric water heating for 5 million new homes = one large dam in the Amazon or 5 coal fired power station THE PROBLEM ELECTRIC WATER HEATERS

SOLUTION 2 SOLAR WATER HEATERS Consumers’ cost ~ 1100 for 4-people solar water heater Monthly power bill cut by up to 50%, bay-back period of 3 years Architectural and consumers’ credit barriers

Growing production/trade of biofuels Biofuels are a climate solution provided the reduce GHGs emissions Potential pilot project in Brazil to produce sustianable biofuels (eg biofuels supply for the bus fleet of the London Greater Authority SOLUTION 3 BIOFUELS

SOLUTION 1 INDUSTRIAL MOTORS  Power plants have a low efficiency ~40%, that is 60% waste energy in the atmosphere  In Brazil, over 50% of industrial power consumption depends on electric motors  With a 5% efficiency improvement would:  save energy equivalent to 6,5 billions kWh  R$ 1.04 billion per year