The Changing Population of Texas BP Business Leaders November 8, 2012 Austin, TX.

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Presentation transcript:

The Changing Population of Texas BP Business Leaders November 8, 2012 Austin, TX

Growing States, Population* 2010 Population* Numerical Change Percent Change United States 281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7% Texas 20,851,82025,145,5614,293, % California 33,871,64837,253,9563,382, % Florida 15,982,37818,801,3102,818, % Georgia 8,186,4539,687,6531,501, % North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486, % Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261, % Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000 and Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census Count. 65% (2.8 million) of this change can be attributed to growth of the Hispanic population

Percent Change Due to Y ear* Population Numerical Change Percent Change Natural Increase Net Migration 19507,711, ,579,6771,868, ,196,7301,617, ,229,1913,032, ,986,5102,757, ,851,8203,865, ,782,3023,930, ,145,5614,293, ,674, , * All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for 2009 and 2011 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center, University of Texas at San Antonio. Note: Residual values are not presented in this table. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas,

Components of population change, Texas,

Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census 2009 Estimates Estimated Annual Net Migration to Texas, 2000 to

Estimated domestic migration ( ) by county as a percentage of 2000 population Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, Map produced by the Texas State Data Center 6

Estimated international migration ( ) by county as a percentage of 2000 population 7 Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, Map produced by the Texas State Data Center

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9 Texas Shale Plays

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States with Largest Estimated Unauthorized Immigrant Populations, State Estimate (thousands) Range California 2,550 (2, ,750) Texas 1,650 (1, ,850) Florida 825 ( ) New York 625 ( ) New Jersey 550 ( ) Illinois 525 ( ) Georgia 425 ( ) Arizona 400 ( ) Source: Pew Hispanic Center estimates based on residual methodology applied to March Supplements to the Current Population Survey (February 1, 2011). 6.5% of Texas’ 2010 Population

Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

16 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

17 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

Total Population by County, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census

Change of the Total Population by County, 2000 to Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2000 and 2010 Decennial Census

Percent Change of Total Population in Texas Counties, Population increase for Texas was 20.6% during this period Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 and 2010 Decennial Census

Median Household Income by County, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 3-Year Sample

22 Projected Population Growth in Texas, Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

Projected Population Change, Texas Counties, Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections Migration Scenario

Projected Percent Population Change, Texas Counties, Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections Migration Scenario

Educational Attainment in Texas, 2010 Level of Educational Attainment Percent of persons aged 25 years and older State Ranking High school diploma or equivalency or greater 80.7%49/50 (tied with CA) Bachelors or greater25.9%31 25 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2010.

Projected Percent of Labor Force by Educational Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040

Demographics and Destiny 27

Contact Office: (512) or (210) Internet: Lloyd Potter, Ph.D. 28