1. Demographics in Texas: Changes in Household Characteristics
and Changes in Family Structure
of the Dallas Area
Dallas Bar Association -
Family Law Section
February 9, 2012
Dallas, TX
Lloyd Potter is the Texas State Demographer and the Director of the Texas State Data Center based at the University of Texas at San Antonio.

2. 15.7% of numeric change in U.S.
Growing States,
2000
Population*
2010
Numerical
Change
Percent
United States
281,421,906
308,745,538
27,323,632
9.7%
Texas
20,851,820
25,145,561
4,293,741
20.6%
California
33,871,648
37,253,956
3,382,308
10.0%
Florida
15,982,378
18,801,310
2,818,932
17.6%
Georgia
8,186,453
9,687,653
1,501,200
18.3%
North Carolina
8,049,313
9,535,483
1,486,170
18.5%
Arizona
5,130,632
6,392,017
1,261,385
24.6%
8.1% of U.S. Population
15.7% of numeric change in U.S.
Note: Population values are decennial census counts for April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census Counts.
Texas is the second largest state in terms of population (2nd to CA) and area (2nd to AK). In terms of number of people, Texas’ growth exceeds that of all other states between 2000 and 2010.

3. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2011
Percent Change
Due to
Year*
Population
Numerical
Change**
Percent
Change
Natural
Increase
Net
Migration
1950
7,711,194 --
1960
9,579,677
1,868,483
24.2
93.91
6.09
1970
11,196,730
1,617,053
16.9
86.74
13.26
1980
14,229,191
3,032,461
27.1
41.58
58.42
1990
16,986,510
2,757,319
19.9
65.85
34.15
2000
20,851,820
3,865,310
22.8
49.65
50.35
2009
24,782,302
3,930,484
18.8
54.04
45.33
2010
25,145,561
4,293,741
20.6
2011
25,674,681
529,120
2.1
54.79
44.99
All values for the decennial dates are for April 1st of the indicated census year.
Values for 2009 and 2011 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau.
** Change is from previous decade/time period
Note: Residual values are not presented in this table.
Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center.
The components of change include natural increase (births-deaths) and net migration (in-out migration). In recent years, natural increase and net migration have contributed almost equally to Texas’ growth. Natural increase is much more predictable and stable than net migration. Net migration tends to fluctuate with economic factors.

4. Estimated Annual Net Migration to Texas, 2000-2009
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates.
Migration into Texas has made very significant contributions to our population growth for the past few decades. International migration is estimated to have made significant contributions this decade. Generally, international migration is regulated and tends not to vary substantially from year to year. Internal (state-to-state) migration is estimated to have increased significantly in the middle of this decade and has remained relatively high. However, with the economic downturn, internal migration into Texas is likely slowed. Internal migration is not regulated by the government and is largely driven by the presence or absence of jobs and economic opportunity. Therefore, internal migration tends to be variable and dependent upon economic fluctuations.

5. Estimated Domestic Migration (2000-2008) by County as a Percentage of 2000 Population
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
This map demonstrates DOMESTIC, or internal, migration made up largely of persons who are citizens or legal residents of the United States. International migrants are not included on this map. Generally, western counties had U.S. residents and citizens moving out and the areas around urban cores had U.S. residents and citizens moving in. Note that Dallas and Harris county have net out domestic migration indicating that persons from these counties may be moving to more suburban adjacent counties.

6. Estimated International Migration (2000-2008) by County as a Percentage of 2000 Population
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009.
Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
This map demonstrates in migration of international migrants. Domestic migrants are not included on this map. It is estimated that international migrants made significant contributions to population growth in large urban counties and along the border. Note that Dallas and Harris counties experienced substantial international migration resulting in a positive net in-migration to those counties.

7. Percent of Migrants to Texas by Race and Ethnicity, 2000-2009
52% of all migrants were international
(848,702 migrants )
(933,083 migrants)
Sources: Percentages of domestic and international migrants by race and ethnicity derived from the American Community Survey. Total numbers of domestic and international migrants between are from Table 4. Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2009, U.S. Census Bureau.

8. Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition,
Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census Counts.
As of the 2000 Census, about 53% of Texas’ population was non-Hispanic Anglo, about 32% where of Hispanic descent, about 11% where non-Hispanic African American, and about 4% were non-Hispanic Other.
In 2010, it is estimated that about 45% of the Texas population was non-Hispanic Anglo, 38% of Hispanic descent, 11% were non-Hispanic African American, and about 6% were non-Hispanic Other (largely of Asian descent).

9. Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Census Count.

10. Texas Population Pyramid by White (non-Hispanic), 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Census Count.

11. Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Census Count.

12. Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Census Count.

13. Total Population by County, 2010
Population % Change, 2000 to 2010
79 counties lost population over the decade
Source: U.S. Census Bureau P.L Redistricting Data.
Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.
Texas population growth is not occurring uniformly across counties. The map on the left shows the counties of Harris, Bexar, Dallas, Tarrant, and Travis are the most populated in the State. Collin, Denton, Fort Bend, Hidalgo, and El Paso counties also have significant population concentrations. Many counties west of Interstate 35 are more sparsely populated.
The darker blue colors on the map on the right indicate counties with greater percentage change. The counties that are shaded in tan mostly experienced negative change, or population decline. Thus, many of the more rural, less populated counties have experienced declines in population over the past ten years. Most counties experienced increases within 10% to 25%, while a smaller number of counties surrounding urbanized areas experienced significant growth beyond 25%.

14. Percent Change in Population by County, 2000 to 2010
Non-Hispanic White
Hispanic
Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 P.L Redistricting Data.
Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.
161 counties lost non-Hispanic Anglo population over the decade while 92 counties gained non-Hispanic Anglo population.
232 counties gained Hispanic population, while only 22 lost Hispanic population.

15. Percent Change in Population by County, 2000 to 2010
Non-Hispanic Black
Non-Hispanic Asian
Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 P.L Redistricting Data.
Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.
204 counties gained in Asian population while only 38 lost Asian population over the decade (12 counties remained unchanged).
117 counties gained Black population while 133 lost Black population.

16. Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2000-2040
Year
Source: Texas State Data Center Population Projections.
This graph represents variable population projections for the State under different migration scenarios. The base (brown dashed line) is the assumption of no migration. Under this scenario, the State will grow as a function of natural increase (births-deaths). The ½ scenario (the red split line) is the most conservative. The and scenarios reflect estimates of migration for those two periods and suggest more rapid population growth. Under any scenario, even no migration, Texas will continue to grow.

17. Projected Racial and Ethnic Population Percentages for Texas, 2000-2040
Source: Texas State Data Center Population Projections, Migration Scenario.
The migration scenario is likely the most realistic to consider in short term projections. Using this scenario, the number of Hispanics will likely exceed the number of non-Hispanic Anglos in the State around 2015.

18. Percent Population Change for Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Metro Area Counties, 1980-2010
Collin
82.63
86.22
59.12
Dallas
19.05
19.76
6.73
Delta
0.37
9.68
-1.80
Denton
91.11
58.29
53.04
Ellis
42.56
30.75
34.35
Hunt
16.46
19.04
12.45
Johnson
43.63
30.51
19.02
Kaufman
33.85
36.56
44.92
Parker
45.23
36.60
32.13
Rockwall
76.24
68.25
81.84
Tarrant
35.92
23.60
25.09
Wise
30.49
40.70
21.18
Note: Population values are decennial census counts for April 1.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Census Counts.

19. Components of Change for Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington MSA, 2000 to 2009
County
Population
Births-Deaths
Migration
2000
2009
Change
Foreign
Domestic
Collin
491,675
791,631
299,956
74,478
26,253
195,084
Dallas County
2,218,899
2,451,730
232,831
266,362
210,742
-270,188
Delta County
5,327
5,410 83
-67 -2
180
Denton County
432,976
658,616
225,640
63,268
15,076
144,388
Ellis County
111,360
151,737
40,377
10,632
2,895
27,189
Hunt County
76,596
82,831
6,235
3,282
1,604
1,843
Johnson County
126,811
156,997
30,186
8,773
2,041
19,912
Kaufman County
71,313
103,038
31,725
5,675
1,550
24,166
Parker County
88,495
114,919
26,424
4,188
797
21,740
Rockwall County
43,080
81,391
38,311
5,386
930
31,444
Tarrant County
1,446,219
1,789,900
343,681
166,565
72,330
114,035
Wise County
48,793
59,415
10,622
2,599
986
7,269
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Census Counts Population Estimates.
Y:\IDSER\Presentations\Texas and County Components of Change with FIPS.xlsx

20. Median Age and Change in Median Age, 2000-2010 in Select Metroplex Counties
County
Median Age 2000
Median Age 2010
Change in Median Age
Collin
32.9
35.0
2.1
Dallas
31.1
32.5
1.4
Denton
31.0
33.0
2.0
Ellis
33.2
1.8
Grayson
37.2
39.5
2.3
Hunt
35.5
37.8
Johnson
34.3
36.3
Kaufman
34.9
35.4
0.5
Parker
36.5
38.9
2.4
Rockwall
35.3
35.9
0.6
Tarrant
32.3
33.4
1.1
Wise
38.4
2.9
Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census Counts.

21. Average Family Size in North Texas Counties, 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Decennial Census, SF1 .
Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.

22. Average Family Size in Select Metroplex Counties, 2000-2010
County
Average Family Size 2000
Average Family Size 2010
Change in Average Family Size
Collin
3.18
3.25
0.07
Dallas
3.34
3.41
Denton
3.24
0.06
Ellis
3.31
0.00
Grayson
3.00
3.02
0.02
Hunt
3.08
3.12
0.04
Johnson
3.20
3.22
Kaufman
3.29
0.05
Parker
3.11
3.09
-0.02
Rockwall
3.23
Tarrant
Wise
3.14
3.16
Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Decennial Census, SF1 .

23. Percent of Households that are Married Couple Families in North Texas Counties, 2000-2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Decennial Census, SF1 .
Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.

24. Change in Percent of Households that are Married Couple Families in North Texas Counties, 2000-2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Decennial Census, SF1 .
Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.

25. Percent and Change of Households that are Married Couple Families in Select Metroplex Counties,
County
Percent of Families with Married Couple 2000
Percent of Families with Married Couple 2010
Change in the Percent of Married-Couple Families
Collin
62.1
59.5
-2.6
Dallas
46.9
43.6
-3.3
Denton
57.9
55.6
-2.3
Ellis
64.8
61.2
-3.6
Grayson
55.2
52.0
-3.2
Hunt
56.2
53.2
-3.0
Johnson
64.7
60.0
-4.7
Kaufman
63.1
60.9
-2.2
Parker
65.6
62.0
Rockwall
71.0
67.4
Tarrant
52.6
50.2
-2.4
Wise
66.1
62.3
-3.8
Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Decennial Census, SF1 .

26. Percent of Households Headed by a Single Female
Percent of Households Headed by a Single Female* in North Texas Counties, 2010
*Note: No spouse present.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Decennial Census, SF1.
Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.

27. Change in Percent of Households Headed by a Single Female
Change in Percent of Households Headed by a Single Female* in North Texas Counties,
*Note: No spouse present.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Decennial Census, SF1.
Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.

28. Percent of Households Headed by Single Females
Percent of Households Headed by Single Females* in Select Metroplex Counties,
County
Percent of Family Households that are Female Headed, 2000
Percent of Family Households that are Female Headed, 2010
Change in Percent of Family Households that are Female Headed
Collin
7.5
9.6
2.1
Dallas
14.1
16.0
1.9
Denton
8.6
10.2
1.6
Ellis
11.0
12.4
1.4
Grayson
11.4
12.2
0.8
Hunt
1.2
Johnson
10.0
11.5
1.5
Kaufman
11.3
1.1
Parker
8.7
9.4
0.7
Rockwall
8.0
9.3
1.3
Tarrant
13.8
Wise
8.2
9.5
*Note: No spouse present.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Decennial Census, SF1 .

29. Demographics and Destiny
Texas is growing – with more people being added than in any other state we added 4 additional seats to our representation in the U.S. Congress.
Texas is becoming more urban. Many rural counties are losing population. Urbanized metropolitan areas have been growing dramatically over the decade.
Texas is becoming more diverse – much of our growth is attributable to growth of the Hispanic population.

30. Texas and DFW Demographics
Growing more and faster than all states, DFW is grower faster than most (if not all) metro-areas
Growth driven by natural increase and migration variable across the metro-area
Increasing diversity driven by growth of Hispanic population
Declines in percentage of traditional nuclear family households
Increases in family size and families headed by single females

31. Contact Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.
Office: (512) or (210) Internet:
Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.
The Office of the State Demographer and the Texas State Data Center are committed to supporting your work through providing you with the best, most accurate, and objective information we can identify about our greatest asset, the people of Texas.