i.enhance agricultural competitiveness while limiting further environmental degradation. ii.develop food systems which enhance the social security of the more vulnerable. iii.create more rural employment opportunities to reduce labour migration and urbanisation. IGP Regional Policy Priorities Established during s/holder dialogues

GECAFS Conceptual Framework Conditions & Scenarios Current Food Systems Adapted Food Systems Vulnerability & Impacts Feedbacks Adaptation Decision Support

Decision Support Conditions & Scenarios Current Food Systems Adapted Food Systems What will be the consequences of changed water management on rural livelihoods, intra- regional trade, GHG emissions and water tables? How will GEC and increasing non-farm demands affect change in water supply and demand and consequent food system vulnerability? How can changes in water management (e.g. though policy instruments and/or agronomic aspects) reduce food system vulnerability to GEC? IGP Western Sub-Region Example GECAFS Questions high productivity – food surplus region high investment in infrastructure major use of fertilisers and ground-water for irrigation in-migration of labour

Decision Support Conditions & Scenarios Current Food Systems Adapted Food Systems How would diversification effect rural incomes, labour migration, water quality and regional biodiversity? How will GEC affect vulnerability of food systems to flooding and drought, and how will this exacerbate existing socio- economic inequities? What are the market opportunities, social constraints and technical options for adapting food systems to GEC? IGP Eastern Sub-Region Example GECAFS Questions low productivity – food deficit region poor infrastructure and low inputs of fertilizer and water high risk of flooding out-migration of labour

Outputs from CPW&F BFP funding to GECAFS IGP 1.Food systems documented in five case study sites across the IGP and interactions with water stress and water management analysed. 2.Methodology developed for basin- scale analysis based on analysing the diversity of food systems and their vulnerability to water stress in diverse case studies. 3.Understanding improved of the vulnerability of food systems to interactive socio-economic and environmental stresses. Conditions & Scenarios Current Food Systems Adapted Food Systems Vulnerability & Impacts Feedbacks Adaptation Decision Support

1.Identify the vulnerability of case-study food systems in IGP to GEC in the context of socioeconomic issues/changes. 2.Enhance capacity within the APN scientific community to raise awareness of the vulnerability of case-study food systems in IGP to GEC within the policy making community. 3.Improve policy formulation by district and national institutions to enable and enhance district and national strategies for identifying adaptation strategies to reduce the vulnerability of IGP food systems to GEC. GECAFS IGP APN Project Main Objectives

Conceptual & methodological research on generic topics based on science and policy issues identified in regional projects. GECAFS Research Approaches Policy-relevant research at regional-level on impacts, adaptation and feedbacks based on improved conceptual understanding and methods. Conditions & Scenarios Current Food Systems Adapted Food Systems Vulnerability & Impacts Feedbacks Adaptation Decision Support Indo-Gangetic Plain Caribbean Southern Africa Others? Food Systems Concepts Vulnerability Concepts Scenario Construction Decision Support

Identify Adaptation to GEC (Options) Analyse Implications (DS-Systems) Develop GEC - FS Scenarios (Plausible Futures) Assess Vulnerability to GEC (Conditions) GECAFS Decision Support (feedbacks, trade-offs,...) Adapted Food Systems Current Food Systems Stakeholders Researchers Establish Agenda GECAFS Decision Support Research

raising awareness and analysing trade-offs 1.Establishing how best to establish and maintain dialogue between scientists and policy makers for GEC-food security research. 2.Learning how best to involve policy makers and resource managers in collaborative research, e.g. scenarios exercises. 3.Networking with science-policy and adaptive mgmt groups.

Australia Gabriele Bammer, ANU: Knowledge management, exchange and implementation. BangladeshAhsan Ahmed, BUP: National case-study site research and coordination, and policy links. IndiaRajinder Sidhu, PAU & Shiraz Wajih, GEAG: National case-study site research and coordination, and policy links. NepalAjaya Dixit, NWCF: Project coordination, Nepal site research and coordination, and policy links. New ZealandWill Allen, Landcare Research: Integrated information frameworks for decision making. PakistanNazim Ali, GCISC: National case-study site research and coordination, and policy links. USAGreg Kiker, UF: GECAFS decision support systems development and QnD. GECAFS IGP APN Project Members (PIs) involved