1. GECAFS Implementation, Management and Funding

2.  Regional research projects  Vulnerability studies  Scenario development  Integrative studies GECAFS Implementation GECAFS will be implemented in four main ways

3.  Indo-Gangetic Plain food system  Caribbean food system  Pacific coastal fisheries  Southern Africa livestock-maize food system  Vulnerability science  Scenario development Initial GECAFS Projects

4. GECAFS Project on the Indo-Gangetic Plain Food System  The IGP food system is both threatened by GEC (esp. climate variability) and contributes to further GEC “forcing”.  In the face of increased climate variability, regional policy requirements are to develop strategies that: a)sustain/boost agricultural production and diversification while limiting further environmental degradation b)promote food provision systems which alleviate poverty and improve socioeconomic conditions for the more vulnerable c)encourage reduced intra-regional and rural  urban labour migration  Research needs to recognise marked socioeconomic and biophysical differences across the region.

5.  Based on a strongly interdisciplinary approach and include all 3 GECAFS Science Themes  Designed to improve regional-level policy formulation for increasing preparedness and reducing vulnerability to GEC  Address issues identified in consultation with regional policy makers and the regional and international science and donor communities  Maintain close links between researchers and end-users in project design, implementation and reporting & interpretation  Develop research agendas of equal interest to development and science agencies GECAFS Regional Research Projects

6. IGP Eastern Region low productivity – food deficit region poor infrastructure and low inputs of fertilizer and water high risk of flooding out-migration of labour Example GECAFS Issues Theme 1: How will climate variability and associated changes in flooding affect food provision? Theme 2: What are the institutional and market opportunities, social constraints and technical options for diversifying crops to make more effective use of flood and groundwater (e.g. deep- water rice, aquaculture)? Theme 3: How would diversification effect rural incomes, labour migration, water quality and regional biodiversity?

7. IGP Western Region high productivity – food surplus region high investment in infrastructure major use of fertilisers and ground-water for irrigation in-migration of labour Example GECAFS Issues Theme 1: How will climate variability affect change in water demand in IGP food systems? Theme 2: How can changes in water management (e.g. though policy instruments and/or agronomic aspects) reduce vulnerability of rice-wheat productivity to climate variability? Theme 3: What will be the consequences of changed water management on rural livelihoods, intra-regional trade, GHG emissions and water tables?

8. GECAFS IGP Research Areas assessment of vulnerability policy needs and responses scenario development institutional analysis food provision system development socioeconomic and environmental feedbacks data management and GIS development water management policy carbon management policy

9. Indices of human vulnerability based on a combined socioeconomic-biophysical approach. Comprehensive scenarios of future socioeconomic and environmental conditions. Region-specific recommendations on the institutional and technological factors that can reduce societal vulnerability to GEC. Quantitative methods for assessing the environmental and socioeconomic tradeoffs of scenario-based adaptations to food systems. Example GECAFS Research Products

10. GECAFS interactions with Sponsoring Programmes and Strategic Partners GECAFS CGIAR & NARS FAO IIASA MAWMO example collaborations in grey

11. 1.Scientific Advisory Committee (15) Executive Committee Chair (ex officio; Chair) Executive Committee Vice-Chair (ex officio; Vice-Chair) Executive Officer (ex officio; Secretary) 12 individuals invited from (i) international science, (ii) strategic-partner and (iii) donor communities (in a liaison capacity). 2.Executive Committee (6) Chair Vice-Chair Executive Officer (ex officio, Secretary) and one rep. from each of the sponsoring Programmes. 3.Executive Officer supported by an International Project Office GECAFS Management

12. Research Project funds  GECAFS vulnerability science  Developing comprehensive scenarios  GECAFS regional projects ( regional coordinators; commissioned reviews and studies; data gathering; synthesis workshops; publications )  Integrative studies Coordination funds  Scientific Advisory Cmmtt and Exec Cmmtt travel and admin  IPO costs (staff, travel, communications, admin)  Integration and networking fund GECAFS Funding Overview

13. General planning and IPO establishment ca. £200,000 NERC, ICSU, IGBP, IHDP, WCRP, US-NAS, FRN-Sweden, Research Council of Norway Regional Project Planning ca. £150,000 USAID, DFID, NOAA, IAI GECAFS Funding Planning Phase: 2001-02

14. GECAFS will build on UK research investment, e.g.: NERC: TIGER Programme: hydrology; GHG emissions; VBD; biodiversity…; Coordination of IGBP-agroecology & - fisheries research, and WCRP-CLIVAR ESRC: GEC Programme: institutional analyses; vulnerability; … BBSRC: impacts on crops, pests and diseases; SOM dynamics; … Tyndall Centre: adaptation studies, agent-based approaches;… Royal Society: GER Committee FCO/DEFRA: Climate Change Challenge Fund DfID: Environment Policy Dept; Rural Livelihoods Dept;… UK contributions to Framework Programme, GEF and CGIAR

15.  A robust framework for novel, interdisciplinary approaches to GEC research that examines vulnerability to impacts, adaptations and feedbacks.  A problem-oriented, policy-relevant approach which can bring together the GEC and Development agendas, and their donor communities.  A design for analyses at regional and sub-regional levels which will help develop effective policy to protect vulnerable sections of society.  A methodology which allows an analysis of trade-offs between managing resources for both food provision and environment. GECAFS “Distinguishing Features”