The Changing Population of Texas Government Finance Officers Association of Texas October 25, 2012 San Marcos, TX

Growing States, Population* 2010 Population* Numerical Change Percent Change United States 281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7% Texas 20,851,82025,145,5614,293, % California 33,871,64837,253,9563,382, % Florida 15,982,37818,801,3102,818, % Georgia 8,186,4539,687,6531,501, % North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486, % Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261, % Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000 and Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census Count. 65% (2.8 million) of this change can be attributed to growth of the Hispanic population

Percent Change Due to Y ear* Population Numerical Change Percent Change Natural Increase Net Migration 19507,711, ,579,6771,868, ,196,7301,617, ,229,1913,032, ,986,5102,757, ,851,8203,865, ,782,3023,930, ,145,5614,293, ,674, , * All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for 2009 and 2011 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center, University of Texas at San Antonio. Note: Residual values are not presented in this table. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas,

Components of Population Change, Texas

Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census 2009 Estimates Estimated Annual Net Migration to Texas, 2000 to

Percent of Migrants to Texas between 2000 and 2009 by Race and Ethnicity 6 Sources: Percentages of domestic and international migrants by race and ethnicity derived from the American Community Survey. Total numbers of domestic and international migrants between are from Table 4. Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2009, U.S. Census Bureau (848,702 migrants ) (933,083 migrants) 52% of all migrants were international

Estimated domestic migration ( ) by county as a percentage of 2000 population Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, Map produced by the Texas State Data Center 7

Estimated international migration ( ) by county as a percentage of 2000 population 8 Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, Map produced by the Texas State Data Center

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States with Largest Estimated Unauthorized Immigrant Populations, State Estimate (thousands) Range California 2,550 (2, ,750) Texas 1,650 (1, ,850) Florida 825 ( ) New York 625 ( ) New Jersey 550 ( ) Illinois 525 ( ) Georgia 425 ( ) Arizona 400 ( ) Source: Pew Hispanic Center estimates based on residual methodology applied to March Supplements to the Current Population Survey (February 1, 2011). 6.5% of Texas’ 2010 Population

Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census count

Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

18 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

19 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

Total Population by County, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census

Change of the Total Population by County, 2000 to Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2000 and 2010 Decennial Census

Percent Change of Total Population in Texas Counties, Population increase for Texas was 20.6% during this period Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 and 2010 Decennial Census

Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections Year Projected Population Growth in Texas,

Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections, Migration Scenario 24 Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas,

Percent Projected Change of Total Population in Texas Counties,

Educational Attainment in Texas, 2010 Level of Educational Attainment Percent of persons aged 25 years and older State Ranking High school diploma or equivalency or greater 80.7%49/50 (tied with CA) Bachelors or greater25.9%31 26 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2010.

Race/Ethnic Composition by Education Level aged 25 years and more, Texas, Source: Derived from 2009 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates by the Office of the State Demographer. Less Than High School College and Greater

Projected Percent of Labor Force by Educational Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040

Median Household Income by County, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 3-Year Sample

Percent of Population Less than 18 Years of Age, Living Below Poverty During Past 12 Months, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 3-Year Sample

Source: American Community Survey Microdata, 2008 % Health Insurance Coverage by Ethnic Group and Type, Texas,

Teen Birth Rate by State, Source: National Center for Health Statistics at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention RankState Birth rate per 1,000 women ages Mississippi55 2 New Mexico Arkansas Texas Oklahoma Louisiana Kentucky District of Columbia West Virginia Alabama43.6

Projected Increase in Obesity in Texas by Ethnicity, 2006 to Source: Office of the State Demographer projections, using migration scenario population projections

Demographics and Destiny 34

Contact Office: (512) or (210) Internet: Lloyd Potter, Ph.D. 35