Introduction to the American Political Process Making Legislation: The Powers of The President.

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Presentation transcript:

Introduction to the American Political Process Making Legislation: The Powers of The President

Presidential Primaries ● Iowa Electronic Markets

Iowa Electronic Market ● Buy “shares” in candidates ○ Investments limited to $500 per trader ○ Total size of market ranges from a dozen to over 500

Quote as of 2/26/04 –7:45 AM Symbol Bid Ask LastLow HighAverage

Republican National Convention BUSH DOLE FORBES McCAIN QUAYLE RCROF Prices

Domocratic National Convention Prices BRADLEY DCROF GORE

PRESOO_WTR 2000 U.S. Presidential Election Winner-Takes-All Market Dem Reform Rep Prices

Overview ● Still talking about public policy, but shifting discussion to the President ● Themes ○ Formal Powers of the President ○ Informal Powers ○ Bargaining ● Vetoes ● Executive Orders

Formal Powers of the President ● Veto ● Executive Order ● Commander-in-Chief ● Judicial Appointments ● Diplomacy ● Pardons ● Administration of the Bureaucracy

Informal Powers ● Is this the makings of “the most powerful person in the world?” Truman: “He’ll sit here, and he’ll say, ‘Do this! Do that!’ And nothing will happen.Poor Ike—it won’t be a bit like the Army. He’ll find it very frustrating.”

Informal Powers ● Neustadt: “The power to persuade.” ● Agenda Setting ○ Bully Pulpit ○ State of the Union Address ● Still…doesn’t take into account full range of power

Vetoes ● Veto ○ Take it or leave it ○ Pocket Veto ○ Line-item veto (RIP) ● What’s the big deal? ○ Veto rarely used ○ Between 1945 and /17,000 bills vetoed

Vetoes ● Bill importance ○ Vetoes more frequent on important bills, especially with divided government ● Veto power comes through “the logic of anticipation.”

The Second Face of Power ● Bargaining as a multi-stage game ○ Congress acts, then the president acts ○ Role of uncertainty ● Who is the veto pivot? ● What is the President’s ideal point? ○ Veto is a powerful tool for bargaining

Executive Orders ● Presidents can issue Executive Orders ○ Have the force of law until the president or a successor retracts it, Congress nullifies it, or a federal court rules it nconstitutional ○ : 13,000 orders issued ○ Over time, fewer Executive Orders, but more “significant” Executive Orders.

Executive Orders ● Vary greatly in importance ○ Executive Order 9983: Exemption of Garland S. Ferguson from Compulsory Retirement for Age. ○ Executive Order 13154: Establishing the Kosovo Campaign Medal. ○ Executive Order 9981: Establishing the President's Committee on Equality of Treatment and Opportunity in the Armed Services

The Second Face of Power ● Types of Executive Orders ○ Management orders (EO 1058 : smoke-free workplace) ○ Create Agencies (Nixon: EPA) ○ Enact major policy changes ● Truman integrating military ● Ike: EO –Little Rock ● Abortion counseling: Reagan to Clinton to Bush

The Second Face of Power ● Create new Status Quo ○ Example: EO 9981 ● 1948 Selective Services Bill: 7 desegregation amendments fails ● 1950 Extension of Selective Services Act: pro-segregation amendments fail