Vietnam ESCO Situation and Potential for Regional Cooperation International Cooperation Forum for REEEP ESCO Beijing 8 June 2005 Dr. Nguyen Duc Minh Research Center for Energy&Environment
Economic Situation ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ - Area: 329,297 km2 - Population : 80,560,000 persons - Structure of GDP (2003) + Agriculture: 21.83 % + Industry : 39.95% + Services : 38.22 - Grow Rate: 7,70% (2003) - GDP per capita: 460 USD
Electricity Situation ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ - Electricity Production (2003) 40.93 TWh -Electricity Production per capita 508 kWh - Level of Electrification: 90%
Electricity Projection ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ - Electricity Production (2020) 167 TWh - Electricity Consumption per capita 1489 kWh - Level of Electrification: 100%
Wind energy Installed capacity: 1840 MW (.35% of potential) Total generated electricity: 4.83 TWh/year (LF: 30%) Reduced CO2: 4.13 million tons of CO2 eq./year (emission factor: 0,855kg CO2/kWh) Economic: Investment cost: 870 UDS/kW O&M: 2% of investment/year Lifetime: 20 years Load factor: 30% Levelized generation cost: 5.32 cent/kWh
Solar energy Area Sunshine time (hours/year) Radiation intensity (kWh/m2/day) Sunshine (Month) North-West <1500 3.49 not suitable Apr. – Dec. North & Northern of central provinces 1500 – 2000 4.3-4.65 suitable May – Dec. Central 2000 – 2500 4.65-5.23 rich South 4.65-5.81 rich All year Whole country 1600 - 1700 4.6 rich
Biomass Energy Bagasses Rice husk Investment (USD/kW) 1200 1200 Discount rate: 12% 12 12 Lifetime (year) 20 20 Efficiency (%) 19.5 19.5 Fuel consumption (kg/kWh) 2.2 1.33 Fuel price (USD/ton) 0 6.7 Load factor (%) 60 55 O&M (%) 3.5 3.5 Levelized gen. cost (cent/kWh) 3.53 4.42
Biogas Energy Potential Biogas in 2001 is 3,000 million m3 Biogas to produce electricity 1m3 biogas 1kg coal 2 kg CO2 reduction 1m3 biogas 0.5kg oil 1.7 kg CO2 reduction 1m3 biogas 1.7 kWh 1.45 kg CO2 reduction If use 10% of potential – reduce 0.6 million ton CO2/year
E E & R E Programmes ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ - Demand side Management Programmes. - Energy Efficiency Programmes for SMS - Rural Energy Programmes - Renewable Energy Programmes
ESCO’s ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ - Central State Owned Energy Companies: EVN, LILAMA, COMA....... - Provincial and Local ESCOs: State owned - Private Sector for ESCO at Provincial and Local Level: Very small - ESCOs for Rural and Remote Arears Almos No Exist
Regional Cooperation ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ - Experiences learned from China - A Cooperative Framework Needed - Management by REEEP - A Regional REEEP Esco Project needed
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