1. 1 Thursday 28 th April 2011 Thailand’s Energy Situation Sompop Pattanariyankool Office of the Permanent Secretary Ministry of Energy

2. Content 1. Thailand’s Energy Demand 2. Thailand’s Energy Supply 3. Magic numbers Outline of today presentation

3. Content 1. Thailand’s Energy Demand 2. Thailand’s Energy Supply 3. Magic numbers Outline of today presentation

4. 4 Primary vs. Final energy consumption *Source: IEA Statistics Manual

5. 5 Primary Commercial Energy Consumption Unit: KBD crude oil equivalent 200720082009 20102011* Total Consumption 1,6041,6181,663 1,7831,851 - Oil 667 634643 652686 - Natural Gas 615 648682 784799 - Imported Coal 180 199205 211213 - Domestic Lignite 99 10198 108 - Hydro/Imported Elec. 43 3635 3645 Growth Rate (%) Total Consumption 3.80.92.8 7.25.6 - Oil -5.01.4 1.51.9 - Natural Gas 6.2 5.45.2 15.08.6 - Imported Coal 28.5 10.62.9 3.11.3 - Domestic Lignite -7.8 2.4-3.4 0.412.4 - Hydro/Imported Elec. -2.5-17.4-1.1 2.818.7 *Jan - Feb

6. 6 Oil Natural Gas Hydro/Imported Elec. Coal/Lignite Primary Commercial Energy Consumption 2010 1.78 million barrel of crude oil equivalent (BOE)/day

7. 7 Final Commercial Energy Consumption* Source: www.eppo.go.th 200620072008200920102011* Total Consumption 1,0401,0881,0981,1331,1911,222 - Oil 638652629640650684 - Natural Gas 597487106123135 - Imported Coal 91108125131138133 - Domestic Lignite 292120 1921 - Electricity 223233236237262249 Growth Rate (%) Total Consumption -0.64.60.93.25.12.8 - Oil -2.52.2-3.51.81.41.8 - Natural Gas 7.124.518.121.116.811.7 - Imported Coal 11.919.315.64.45.42.5 - Domestic Lignite -32.2-28.9-1.9-3.6-2.611.9 - Electricity 4.5 1.30.310.40.7 GDP (%) 5.14.92.5-2.37.8 Unit: KBD crude oil equivalent *Jan - Feb

8. 8 Final Commercial Energy Consumption 2010 1.19 million barrel of crude oil equivalent (BOE)/day Oil Coal/lignite Natural Gas Electricity *Source: www.eppo.go.th

9. 9 Final Commercial Energy Consumption by Sector *Source: www.dede.go.th

10. 10 Petroleum Product Consumption 2010 Petroleum productMillion litre/day Gasohol12.0 Gasoline8.3 Diesel50.6 Fuel oil7.2 LPG and NGV LPG (million kg./day)15.0 NGV (million cubic feet/day)210.0 7 *Source: www.eppo.go.th

11. 11 Natural Gas Consumption Consumption Share Sector200620072008200920102011* Power Generation 2,2572,3462,4232,4352,7282,446 GSP 527572583599652850 Industry 291347361387478493 Automobile (NGV)112477143 181218 Total 3,0863,2883,4443,5644,0394,006 Sector200620072008200920102011* Power Generation 73717068 61 GSP17 1621 Industry 911 12 Automobile (NGV) 0.412446 Total 100 Unit: MMSCFD Unit: % *Jan - Feb *Source: www.eppo.go.th

12. Electricity Consumption - 12 - 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 GWH 2011 *Source: www.eppo.go.th

13. 13 Electricity consumption by sector Sector200820092010Share (%) 2010 Residential 28,69230,25833,214 22.33% Commercial 33,11632,63435,980 24.19% Industry 60,05759,40265,957 44.35% Agriculture 288316335 0.23% Others 12,25912,18313,223 8.89% Total 134,412134,793148,709 Unit: GWh Source: www.eppo.go.th

14. 14 Energy and Economy Final commercial energy consumption (Kilo ton of crude oil equivalent) Ktoe, milion kWhBillion Baht Gross Domestic Produce (Billion baht) Electricity Consumption (Million kWh) *Source: www.eppo.go.th

15. Content 1. Thailand’s Energy Demand 2. Thailand’s Energy Supply 3. Magic numbers Outline of today presentation

16. 16 Energy supply and transformation *Source: IEA Statistics Manual

17. 17 Crude Oil Supply Oil import accounted for 85% of supply in 2010 200620072008200920102011* Benjamas50,00442,13244,96029,06726,66526,998 Sirikit 18,77520,51120,94221,32421,80819,652 Tantawan 8,2967,7036,5056,1963,8604,822 Unocal (Big Oil Project)38,67939,21535,55933,76636,99828,853 Jusmin8,64919,26718,29213,63713,86812,859 Bualaung --3,3248,9168,3276,529 Songkha --2875,0637,9268,023 Lanta---5,3197,0193,453 Others 4,5475,73514,06630,75326,70324,637 Total Domestic Prod. 128,950134,563143,935154,041153,174135,826 Import 829,300804,242811,561803,362816,201779,439 Grand Total 958,250938,805955,496957,403969,375915,265 Unit: Barrels/Day *Jan - Feb *Source: www.eppo.go.th

18. 18 Crude oil import by sources 20072008200920102011* Growth Rate (%) Share (%) 20102011* Middle East 36,74739,14536,60134,553 4,714-5.6-19.564 Far East 3,4693,1284,9513,825 426-22.8-60.06 Others 6,4564,9525,0688,987 2,17277.3238.230 Total 46,67147,22546,62047,365 7,3111.6-3.3100 Unit: Million Litres *Jan - Feb *Source: www.eppo.go.th

19. 19 200620072008200920102011* Share (%) 2011* Domestic Production 2,3532,5152,7782,9903,5113,74784 Import (Myanmar) 86990682880385370216 Total3,2223,4213,6063,7944,3644,449100 Unit: MMSCFD Natural gas supply 19 *Jan - Feb *Source: www.eppo.go.th

20. 20 Electricity generation by source 2010 Oil Natural Gas Hydro Coal Import Renewable *Source: www.eppo.go.th

21. Power generation installed capacity EGAT 14,998 MW (49%) IPP 12,152 MW (39%) Import/Exchange 1,588 MW (5%) SPP 2,182 MW (7%) 21 *Jan - Feb *Source: www.eppo.go.th

22. Content 1. Thailand’s Energy Demand 2. Thailand’s Energy Supply 3. Magic numbers Outline of today presentation

23. 23 Stories behind the number A picture is worth a thousand words. A number can tell (quite) a lot of stories !!! (too).

24. 24 In 2010, Thailand’s energy expenditure on energy is more than 1.79 trillion baht. Influenced by high oil price 17.7% of GDP Policy energy efficiency Government policy on energy price subsidy

25. 25 Thailand imports more than 80% of crude oil. Direct impact from high oil price Limited domestic reserve/production Policy on alternative fuel such as NGV and biofuel (ethanol/biodiesl International cooperation on petroleum security 2010 crude import = 751 billion baht

26. 26 Natural gas accounts for 70% of fuel for power generation. Risk from highly dependence on single fuel source Public acceptance problem other technology ie. coal Power development plan with diversified fuel source Development of emergency response

27. Securing Energy Resources Ensure Fair Energy Price Set Renewable Energy as National Agenda Preserving Environment coupled with Energy Development and Consumption Encouraging Energy Conservation 1 2 3 4 5 Oil Natural Gas Electricity Alternative Energy E85 Ethanol based oil Bio Diesel NGV Wind /Solar / Biogas/ Biomass/ Small Hydro energy Conservation Measure Efficiency Standard Encouraging Private Investment Price structure reflect its genuine cost Develop Services Quality Safety in Energy Related business Green house Emission Reduction Support CDM Projects Policy Thailand’s Energy Policy Presented to the Parliament on Dec 30 th 2008

28. กระทรวงพลังงาน – www.energy.go.th Energy Policy and Planning Office- www.eppo.go.thwww.eppo.go.th Department of Mineral Fuels– www.dmf.go.thwww.dmf.go.th Department of Energy Business– www.doeb.go.thwww.doeb.go.th Department of Alternative Energy Development and Efficiency - www.dede.go.thwww.dede.go.th