Texas Demographic Characteristics and Trends Texas State University School Relations Retreat December 17, 2012 San Marcos, Texas

Growing States, Population* 2010 Population* Numerical Change Percent Change United States 281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7% Texas 20,851,82025,145,5614,293, % California 33,871,64837,253,9563,382, % Florida 15,982,37818,801,3102,818, % Georgia 8,186,4539,687,6531,501, % North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486, % Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261, % Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000 and Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census Count. 65% (2.8 million) of this change can be attributed to growth of the Hispanic population

Percent Change Due to Y ear* Population Numerical Change Percent Change Natural Increase Net Migration 19507,711, ,579,6771,868, ,196,7301,617, ,229,1913,032, ,986,5102,757, ,851,8203,865, ,145,5614,293, ,674, , * All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for 2011 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center, University of Texas at San Antonio. Note: Residual values are not presented in this table. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas,

Total Population by County, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census

Change of the Total Population by County, 2000 to Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2000 and 2010 Census Counts 79 counties lost population over the decade

Percent Change of Total Population in Texas Counties, Population increase for Texas was 20.6% during this period Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 and 2010 Decennial Census

The 10 Fastest Growing Metro Areas from April 1, 2010, to July 1, Percent Increase 1.Kennewick-Pasco-Richland, Wash Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, Texas Hinesville-Fort Stewart, Ga McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, Texas3.0 5.Raleigh-Cary, N.C Warner Robins, Ga Provo-Orem, Utah Charleston-North Charleston- Summerville, S.C Myrtle Beach-North Myrtle Beach- Conway, S.C Yuma, Ariz.2.6 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012

The 10 Metro Areas with the Largest Numeric Increase from April 1, 2010, to July 1, Numeric Increase 1.Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, Texas154,774 2.Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, Texas139, Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, D.C.-Va.-Md.- W.Va. 121, New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, N.Y.- N.J.-Pa. 118,791 5.Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana, Calif.115,964 6.Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, Fla.105,490 7.Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta, Ga.90,345 8.Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, Calif.80,146 9.Phoenix-Mesa-Glendale, Ariz.70, Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, Texas67,230 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012

The 10 Counties with the Largest Numeric Increase from April 1, 2010, to July 1, Numeric Increase 1.Harris, Texas88,452 2.Los Angeles, Calif.70,451 3.Maricopa, Ariz.63,127 4.Miami-Dade, Fla.58,331 5.Riverside, Calif.49,979 6.Dallas, Texas47,875 7.Orange, Calif.45,513 8.San Diego, Calif.44,756 9.Bexar, Texas41, Tarrant, Texas40,776 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012 Texas contains eight of the 25 counties with the highest numerical gains

Job Growth 10

Estimated domestic migration by county, Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, Map produced by the Texas State Data Center 11

Estimated international migration by county, Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, Map produced by the Texas State Data Center 12

13

14

Percent of Migrants to Texas between 2000 and 2009 by Race and Ethnicity 15 Sources: Percentages of domestic and international migrants by race and ethnicity derived from the American Community Survey. Total numbers of domestic and international migrants between are from Table 4. Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2009, U.S. Census Bureau (848,702 migrants ) (933,083 migrants) 52% of all migrants were international

Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census count

Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

18 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

19 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

20 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

Percent of the population 5 and over who speak English less than very well by state, 2009 Source: American Community Survey, 2009

Percent of the population 5 and over who speak Spanish at home, 2009 Source: American Community Survey, 2009

Percent of population that is foreign born, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample

Percent of the population 5 and over who speak Spanish at home, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample

25 Number of Linguistically Isolated Households, by County, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample

Median Household Income by County, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample

Percent of population aged 25 years and older with high school or equivalent degree or higher Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample

Percent of population aged 25 years and older with Bachelors degree or higher Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample

Educational Attainment in Texas, 2011 Level of Educational Attainment Percent of persons aged 25 years and older State Ranking High school diploma or equivalency or greater 81.1%48/49/50 (tied with CA and MS) Bachelors or greater26.4%29 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, One-year Sample, 2011.

Race/Ethnic Composition by Education Level in the Labor Force (aged 25 years and more), Texas, Source: Derived from 2009 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates by the Office of the State Demographer. Less Than High School College and Greater

One Year Persistence Rate of First-Time Entering Undergraduates by Parent's Educational Level Public University in Texas, Source: Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board Parent’s educational attainment Percent of student’s enrolling in second year

Projected Percent of Labor Force by Education Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040 Source: Texas State Data Center Population Projections, 1.0 Migration Scenario.

33 Projected Population Growth in Texas, Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections, Migration Scenario

Projected Population Change, Texas Counties, Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections Migration Scenario

Projected Percent Population Change, Texas Counties, Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections Migration Scenario

37 Texas P0pulation Pyramid, 2010 and 2050 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1 and Texas State Data Center o5 Migration Scenario

Demographics and Destiny 38

Contact Office: (512) or (210) Internet: Lloyd Potter, Ph.D. 39