Trends in International and Regional Passenger Travel Inter-Regional Travel and Local Development Alan E. Pisarski
What we are going to talk about Some definitions of Tourism and Tourists World Tourism Trends World Travel and the US US Domestic Tourism Future Growth Factors Impacts
What is a tourist? UN/WTO definition persons traveling outside their usual environment for less than a year for activities not remunerated at the destination
Say that again! Outside usual environment - not local Less than one year - not an immigrant Unremunerated - not a traveling worker Think of link to balance of Payments
Tourists are a special case of Travelers Excludes Refugees, Nomads, Diplomats Tourists are overnight visitors Visitors include overnight and same-day visitors We are actually interested in Visitors
WORLD TOURISM IS BIG! Biggest Industry in the World? Probably! Tremendous Growth > 4%/year 2020 International Visitors Billion 2020 International Receipts - $2 Trillion YET TRIVIAL NEXT TO DOMESTIC
World Trends - WTO millions of international visitors
US is dominant destination in World # 1 in Foreign receipts, 16% of world # 2 or 3 in Number of Visitors France and Spain are other Leaders Approaching 50 million Visitors Approaching $100 billion in Receipts
Long Term US Visitor Trends
Big Payoffs from Foreign Visitors Trade surplus since ‘89; peaked at $26 b in ‘96 Largest service export, $91 billion in revenues ‘98 Ahead of agriculture, chemicals and vehicles 15.4 nights and $1569 in spending per overseas visitor (think $100/day)
Balance of Payments Trends
1998 VISITOR SHARES
Overseas visitor use our transport system
TRIP PURPOSES COMPARED
ATS BASIC DATA-BTS
THE MODES HAVE DIFFERENT PURPOSES
Business is a different modal world
MODES HAVE DIFFERENT DISTANCE ROLES
DISTANCES DON’T VARY MUCH BY PURPOSE
TRIPS & DISTANCE PERCENT TRIPS VS PERCENT MILES BY DISTANCE RANGE
WOMEN STILL TRAVEL LESS
Rates of Growth Approx Equal at About 60% but,Black, Hispanic Rate of 1995 Still Below White Rate of 1997
THE OLDER FOLKS LEAD TRIPS/CAPITA
Revenue per psgr mile trends (cents/psgr mile)
WHERE IS THE GROWTH IN PASSENGER MILES? (Billions of Psgr miles)
Growth in long distance travel and related factors - BTS
A Sense of Scale Int’l: 15 days (est) x 50 million Domestic: 4 trips x 4.3 days x 275 million Local: 4 trips x 365 days x 275 million
CALIFORNIA ANNUAL VISITOR FLOWS - 95BTS
OVERSEAS VISITORS MAIN POINTS OF ENTRY
California’s Tourism Role 20th in per capita travel #1 in intrastate travel #1 in outbound travel #2 in inbound travel #39 in thru travel # 1 in total domestic long distance travel #2 in visits by Overseas visitors
What’s next? Major world destination; visitors & revs. High travel propensity industrial structure Highly dispersed population High travel propensity population –age –discretionary income & time –linkages to world