University of Nebraska  Lincoln R School of Natural Resources CARC Update Allen Dutcher State Climatologist - Nebraska (402)-472-5206.

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Presentation transcript:

University of Nebraska  Lincoln R School of Natural Resources CARC Update Allen Dutcher State Climatologist - Nebraska (402)

University of Nebraska  Lincoln R School of Natural Resources Equatorial Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures

University of Nebraska  Lincoln R School of Natural Resources Water Year Precipitation

University of Nebraska  Lincoln R School of Natural Resources SMI maps The soil moisture index (SMI) scales the fraction of available water in a 50 cm (~20 in.) profile Scaled such that 0.0 is the equivalent of 50% available water –5.0 represents a soil at field capacity and -5.0 represents a soil at wilting point Measured under grass cover –Can be used to approximate soil moisture in nearby grain fields

University of Nebraska  Lincoln R School of Natural Resources Surplus or Deficit maps The surplus or deficit maps show how much water: –Is needed to get the soil profile back to 50% available water (shown on the map as a deficit) –Is left in the soil profile before the 50% threshold is reached (shown on the map as a surplus) The colored dot represents the SMI at that location Irrigation scheduling possibilities?

University of Nebraska  Lincoln R School of Natural Resources Water Year Precipitation Departures

University of Nebraska  Lincoln R School of Natural Resources Water Year Percent of Normal

University of Nebraska  Lincoln R School of Natural Resources Water Year Percent of Normal Precipitation - National

University of Nebraska  Lincoln R School of Natural Resources Current 7-Day Soil Temperatures

University of Nebraska  Lincoln R School of Natural Resources Platte River Update 2 Million acre-feet of runoff projected Current storage: 830,000 acre-feet Flood pool storage: 250,000 acre-feet Water releases increased by CNPPID with high flows for at least 30 days Near record to record river stages and doesn’t include southern branch flows Sudden warmth and/or heavy rainfall would aggravate the situation Irrigation will determine summer flood risk

University of Nebraska  Lincoln R School of Natural Resources June Temperature Outlook

University of Nebraska  Lincoln R School of Natural Resources June Precipitation Outlook

University of Nebraska  Lincoln R School of Natural Resources June-August Temperature Outlook

University of Nebraska  Lincoln R School of Natural Resources June-August Precipitation Outlook