1. Summer and fall Weather outlook
Southwest Electric Distribution
Exchange Conference
April 26, 2016
We have made some changes to the drought presentation this month, thus changing the slide numbers as listed in the drought memo.
Page 1 of the memo refers to the drought dashboard (water supply status), formally slide 4, has been removed from the presentation.

2. 2015 rainfall

3. 2015 rainfall departure from normal

4. 2015 Texas weather stats
Wettest year on record, with inches (Previous record was inches in 1941)
Wettest January - June on record
Wettest spring on record
May was the wettest month ever recorded, with 9.06 inches.

5. May Record Rainfall

6. Texas May Rainfall Stats
Rainfall averaged 9.06 inches.
Wettest May on record.
Wettest month ever (Previous was 6.66 inches in June 2004).

7. May 24th Wimberley flood

8. Memorial day Austin area flood

9. October 30th Central Texas rain event

10. April 15-18, 2016 Southeast Texas flood

11. April 15-18, 2016 Southeast Texas flood

12. House Park-Austin

13. May Floods Dallas-Fort Worth Area

14. Memorial Day Floods Houston

16. Wimberley Flood Memorial Day Weekend

17. Wimberley Flood Memorial Day Weekend

18. Dallas Area Post Christmas Tornadoes

31. 2015 weather dominated by a strong El Niño
USA
China
Australia

32. 2015 tied with 1997 for strongest El Niño

33. Typical Effects of El Niño

34. Winter rains below normal

35. Warmest winter on record

36. Current Conditions

37. Year to date rainfall, departure from normal

38. Soil moisture anomaly

40. Tropical Pacific waters cooling

41. Summer and fall El Niño forecast
La Niña

42. Weather outlook for 2016

43. May
Aug
Nov
Jun
Sep
Jul
Oct

44. May
Aug
Nov
Temperature
Jun
Sep
Jul
Oct

45. Temperature
Precipitation
Temperature
Rainfall

46. NWS Rainfall Outlook

47. NWS Rainfall Outlook

48. NWS temperature outlook

49. NWS temperature outlook

50. Outlook for 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season

51. 2016 Hurricane Tracks

52. Sea surface temperature anomalies

53. Klotzbach/CSU outlook for 2016 season
A near average season overall
12 named storms (12)
5 of the 12 storms becoming hurricanes (5)
2 major hurricane (2)

54. Accuweather outlook

55. WeatherBell outlook

56. 2016 weather outlook
El Niño will weaken from now into early summer. A weak to moderate La Niña expected by fall
Above-normal rainfall expected through June. Trending drier than normal summer into fall
Near normal temps. through May. Trending hotter than normal this summer and fall.

57. Questions? Bob Rose LCRA Chief Meteorologist bob.rose@lcra.org