Warm Season Aviation Weather and Resources National Weather Service Chanhassen, MN Center Weather Service Unit Farmington, MN.

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Presentation transcript:

Warm Season Aviation Weather and Resources National Weather Service Chanhassen, MN Center Weather Service Unit Farmington, MN

Outline National Weather Service background TAF information Radar Resources you can use

Weather Forecast Offices (WFO)

National Weather Service WFO Chanhassen, MN Located about 25 miles west of Minneapolis/St. Paul International Airport 25 full-time staff members At least 2-3 per shift

WFO Aviation Weather Services TAFs Aviation Forecast Discussion Airport Weather Warnings (KMSP) Ballooning Forecasts Soaring Forecasts

TAF Sites

Center Weather Service Unit Farmington, MN Located within the City of Farmington, MN about 20 miles S of MSP airport Staffed by 4 NWS meteorologists from 5:00 am – 8:30 pm, 7 days a week.

CWSU Aviation Weather Services Provide Professional Meteorological Services to FAA Air Traffic System Accomplished with: -Center Weather Advisories, CWA (immediate hazards to aircraft) -Meteorological Impact Statements MIS (Planning Product for air traffic system) -Collaborative Convective Forecast Product, CCFP (Coordinated 6 hour Thunderstorm forecast) -In-person and telephone briefings

A Little Bit About Thunderstorms All thunderstorms have updrafts and downdrafts. Any thunderstorm can produce downbursts, severe turbulence, severe icing, heavy rain, and deadly lightning Updraft: part of the storm where air rises (usually on the west or southwest side of the storm) Downdraft: part of the storm where air sinks

TAFs Forecast for a specific point (w/in 5 SM of center of the airfield) No PROB30 groups used in the first 9 hours Forecasters express uncertainty or variability of conditions (especially TS) by using: - VC - TEMPO - CB (BKN030CB)

TAFs TAF KMSP Z KT P6SM SCT040CB FM KT P6SM VCSH BKN040CB TEMPO G50KT 1SM TSRA BKN030CB OVC050 FM KT P6SM –SHRA BKN040CB FM KT P6SM SCT040 Indicates –TSRA may be developing SHRA/TSRA between 5 and 10 SM from the airfield 50% chance of occurrence 50% of the time

TAF Tips Watch trends/changes with each issuance Watch for amendments Read the Aviation Forecast Discussion

TAF Tactical Decision Aid Enter TAF Identifier

Radar: Warm Season What are you seeing? What can you expect? Where can you find it?

Radar-Composite Reflectivity

Radar…What can you expect? Greens - light precipitation - minimal visibility restriction - weak updrafts Yellows - moderate precipitation - visibility of a few miles - stronger updrafts/downdrafts possible…turbulence - icing possible or nearby

Radar…What can you expect? Reds/Purples - heavy precipitation…hail? - low visibility…1SM or less possible - Strong updrafts/downdrafts…turbulence - gusty winds - icing STAY CLEAR!!!

Click on the map to see nearest radar image

Click an arrow to view adjacent radars Click to loop images

ATC Radar Display

Additional Aviation Weather Resources

Prog Charts Useful to see the weather pattern up to 48 hours out A good first look for planning

Prog Charts

Aviation Forecast Discussion Issued by most local offices that issue TAFs Explains the reasoning behind the TAF May also indicate confidence in the forecast and potential deviations that may occur Can also help provide info for conditions between the TAF sites

CCFP

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