Model Validation & Application for Significant Growth Areas in Florida Presented by: Myung-Hak Sung Thursday, May 12, 2011 TRB Planning Applications Conference.

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Presentation transcript:

Model Validation & Application for Significant Growth Areas in Florida Presented by: Myung-Hak Sung Thursday, May 12, 2011 TRB Planning Applications Conference

Population Projections by State (In Thousands)

Florida Population Growth by County Source: Bureau of Economic and Business Research

Percent of 2035 Florida Population by County Source: Bureau of Economic and Business Research

Tampa Bay Area Workers Per Household

A Transit Corridor Study Area

Gravity Model Friction Factor Trip Length Trip Probability

2035 Peak Period Travel Time Wesley Chapel to Hillsborough Time (Minutes) Number of TAZs in Hillsborough Congested TimeFree Flow Time

Orientation Ratio - Downtown CTPP Data Model (Original) Model (Updated)

Orientation Ratio - VA Hospital Survey Data Model (Original) Model (Updated)

Orientation Ratio - University of S. Florida CTPP Data Model (Original) Model (Updated)

2035 Population Southern Pasco County Original Updated ,000 3, ,001-9,000 9,000+

2035 Employment Southern Pasco County Original Updated ,000 2,001-4,000 4,001-8,000 8,000+

2035 Daily Work Trips OriginalUpdated

Questions….? Good Luck Modeling!!!