1. The role of TRANSPORTATION in a robust economy UTA Transit Academy
May 31, 2017

2. Our Mission: To develop and share economic, demographic and public policy data and research that help individuals and the community make informed decisions.
Our Vision: To be a vital gathering place and center for independent economic, demographic and public policy thought leadership.

4. Utah’s robust economy – past, present, future
Transportation and economies of agglomeration
A challenge…

5. April 2016 – April 2017 Job Growth
US = 1.4%
Source: Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute Analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics Data (CES)

6. Employment as a Percent of 2007 Peak
End of 2016: Utah and the United States
Source: Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics data

7. 25-Year Job Growth
, US = 28.4%
Source: Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute Analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics Data (QCEW)

8. 1990 – 2015: Utah, Nebraska, Arkansas, Mississippi
Total Jobs
1990 – 2015: Utah, Nebraska, Arkansas, Mississippi
Note: Vertical axis does not begin at zero.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (QCEW)

9. History: 1960-2016 & Projection: 2017 - 2065
Utah’s Population
History: & Projection:
Sources: Utah Population Estimates Committee, Utah Population Committee, Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute

10. Utah Components of Population Change
History: & Projection:
Sources: Utah Population Estimates Committee, Utah Population Committee, Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute

12. How did we get here? How do we get there? AGGLOMERATION ECONOMIES
Worker utility [productivity]
Number of workers

13. AGGLOMERATION EFFECTS Transportation networks are a key condition
Source: Centre for Cities
Transportation networks are a key condition

14. AGGLOMERATION DISECONOMIES
Congestion
Worker utility [productivity]
Number of workers
Pollution
Salt Lake Tribune

15. Mitigate Diseconomies
Extend Economies/
Mitigate Diseconomies
With Public Transit
Congestion
Worker utility [productivity]
Number of workers
Pollution
Salt Lake Tribune

16. CHALLENGE

17. U.S. Household Expenditures
The share of expenditures that are taxable is shrinking; growth in sales tax collections is not keeping pace with growth in the economy
U.S. Household Expenditures
Source: Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute analysis of the Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Expenditure Survey

18. Facebook.com/gardnerpolicyinstitute
Twitter.com/KemGardnerInst