Baltic Sea Labour Network o International Tripartite Mid-Term Conference Vilnius, Lithuania on 11 May 2010 Social Dialogue in the Baltic States Charles Woolfson|Linköping University, Sweden

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010 Themes  Collective bargaining/trade unions  Contours of crisis in the Baltic States  The dilemma - ‚voice‘ or ‚exit‘?  Conclusions for social dialogue 2 *organi- sation‘s logo*

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010 Density of employer organisations in EU 3

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010 Collective bargaining coverage in EU

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010 Trade union membership in Baltic States

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010 Scale of the crisis in Baltics

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010 Percentage change in GDP in 2009 compared with the same quarter of qtr2qtr3qtr4qtr Estonia Latvia Lithuania

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010 Volume of retail trade % change compared with the same month of the previous year Sept 09 Oct 09 Nov 09 Dec 09 Jan 10 Feb 10 Estonia Latvia Lithuania

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010 Household final consumption expenditure 2009 compared to the same quarter of qtr2qtr3qtr4qtr Estonia Latvia Lithuania

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010 Unemployment rates January 2010 seasonally adjusted

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010 IMF Global Economic Outlook April 2010 Economies that faced the crisis with unsustainable domestic booms that had fueled excessively large current account deficits (Bulgaria, Latvia, Lithuania) and those with vulnerable private or public sector balance sheets (Hungary, Romania, Baltics) are expected to recover more slowly.

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010 The dilemma - ‚voice‘ or ‚exit‘?

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010 Riga 13 January 2009

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010 ‘Voice’

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010 Vilnius 16 January 2009

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010 Anger

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010 Tears and teargas on Independence Square

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010 ‘Exit’

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010 Lithuania official migration statistics NB. 60% underestimate of true figure suggests that actual figures equal the peak post-EU accession surge.

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010 Conclusions 1.Human resources needed to sustain recovery once global crisis ends 2.Trade unions are crucial in rebuilding Baltic societies and economies 3.Without ‘voice’ there will be ‘exit’ 4.Need for a renewal of social dialogue both at the top and at the base of society 22

*Name Surname – Organisation* *Title of Presentation* – BSLN mid-term conference May 11, 2010 Contact 23 Charles Wooolfson REMESO Linköping University, Campus Norrköping Holmentorget 10, Bomullsspinneriet SE , Sweden