WP3: Fixing RES-H/C targets Lukas Kranzl, Andreas Müller RES-H Policy Kick-off, October 2008

2 Determine options for 2020/2030 RES-H/C targets and their trajectories in the seven target countries/regions. Involve national stakeholder and in particular policy makers in that process Split up the target into different energy sources, technologies and sectors Assist member states in setting up sector- specific targets in the national action plans. WP3 - objective

3 GR LT NL PL UK AT (Upper-Austria, Styria/national level?) Target countries

Analysis of existing RES-H/C scenarios and potentials 3.2. Top-down assessment of RES-H/C targets 3.3. Bottom-up approach to determine RES-H/C targets 3.4. Production of target reports 3.5. Stakeholder dialogue Task overview

5 Timetable

6 Target report for each region (~ 50 pages each, national language and english) Month 10 (July 2009) Synthesis report of consultation process for each region (~10 pages each, national language and english) Month 9 (June 2009) Documentation of the consultation workshops (~5 pages each, national language and english) Month 10 (July 2009) Deliverables / Output

7 Review of regional / national / European studies Output: Dataset to assess possible RES-H/C market developments (BAU/policy scenarios?) Task 3.1 existing scenarios and potentials

8 Basic Structure for literature/scenario review: Time series for various scenarios and/or potentials: –RES-H/C generation by energy sources (biomass, solar, geothermal, ambient heat) –RES-H/C generation by sectors (residential (single dwelling, multiple dwelling, …), service sector, public buildings, industry, …) –RES-H/C generation by technologies (type of biomass boilers, type of solar collectors …) –Energy demand and efficiency improvements (building insulation), if available –Documentation of assumptions, methodology, background data

9 Task 3.1 next steps Each partner from target regions provides a list of relevant regional / national / (European) literature and scenarios with a few words describing the content (14 November 08) EEG (together with ISI) provides consolidated list and first draft of data structure (28 November 08) Each partner fills in scenario data into data structure (16 January 09) Documentation of literature / scenario review for the target report (each partner, end of January 09) All partners comment on the outcomes of task 3.1 (end of February 09)

10 Task 3.2 top-down Idea: in Task 3.1. different studies with different methodologies are the basis for the analysis. In this task: common methodology from a single model. Green-X model runs include scenarios for RES- H/C in each member state until Use previous model runs of Green-X to get reference scenarios for RES-H/C development.

11 Task 3.2 next steps Preparation and documentation of Green-X results (EEG, ISI, February 09) Discussion with partners (March 09)

12 Task 3.3 bottom-up Solar thermal: –Available roof area –Solar radiation data –Achievable solar fractions for different applications Biomass: –Available biomass potentials (e.g. EEA 2006) –Penetration rates in different types of buildings and applications Heat pumps: –Buildings with good thermal quality and low temperature heating systems –Number of those buildings (currently and dynamic) –(Large scale industrial heat pumps: penetration rates)

13 Task 3.3 bottom-up For buildings: integration of the results in the simulation tool INVERT For industrial processes: ECN- RES-HC model

14 Task 3.3 next steps Structure for regional/national data requirement (EEG, (ISI), 28 November 08) (ECN???) Data collection (each target region partner, January 09) Integration of regional data into models INVERT and RES-HC model (EEG, (ISI), ECN, March 09) Result documentation (EEG, (ISI), ECN, April 09)

15 Task 3.4 target reports Draft report: Synthesis of literature/scenario review (3.1), top-down (3.2) and bottom-up (3.3) Final report include outcomes of the stakeholder dialogue Target reports include technology and sector specific targets

16 Task 3.4 next steps Draft target report structure (EEG, November 08) Draft target report (all target country / region partners, April 09) Comments of all partners on draft target reports (May 09) Final target reports (all target country / region partners, July 09)

17 Task 3.5 stakeholder dialogue Stakeholder consultation: input / comments on findings of tasks 3.1, 3.2, 3.3 and draft target report (web-based questionnaire) Consultation workshops in each target region: reports on the consultation and the draft reports will be circulated at least 14 days before the workshop Target groups: –Policy makers (including representatives of national action plans for RES-directive) –Energy agencies –Companies / associations representing RES-H/C technologies –Researchers

18 Task 3.5 next steps Stakeholder information (all partners November 08) Preparation of questionnaire –Draft structure: EEG, March 09 –Web implementation: OEKO?, Mid of April 09 –Regional specification: each target region partner, End of April 09 Consultation process: each target region partner, May 09 Synthesis report of consultation: each target region partner, Mid of June 09 Consultation workshops: each target region partner, June 09 (July 09)

19 Timetable