Olivier Marquette 19 September 2016

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Presentation transcript:

Olivier Marquette 19 September 2016 The low carbon energy strategy and the challenges for the coal power generation in the future Olivier Marquette 19 September 2016

The electricity industry is experiencing rapid and unprecedented changes UK power prices go negative as renewables boom distorts market A surge in solar and wind farms has helped drive down UK energy prices so much that power stations have started paying for some of their electricity to be taken off their hands. On one sunny Sunday this month, May 8, when overall power demand was low and there was a glut of electricity, generators paid more than £30 a megawatt hour as prices briefly went negative. Portugal runs for four days straight on renewable energy alone U.S. Economic Growth Decouples from Both Energy and Electricity Use In a stunning trend with broad implications, the U.S. economy has grown significantly since 2007, while electricity consumption has been flat, and total energy demand actually dropped. Zero emissions milestone reached as country it powered by just wind, solar and hydro-generated…Electricity consumption in the country was fully covered by solar, wind and hydro power in an extraordinary 107-hour run that lasted from 6.45am on Saturday 7 May until 5.45pm the following Wednesday, the analysis says.

Different markets have different needs Europe Gas declines after 2027 Renewables become 70% of generation Africa Access Middle East Gas declines to 33% of energy Renewables are least-cost option after 2030 China No new coal post-2020 Renewables growth S.E. Asia Coal and gas consumption increases India North America Gas replaces Coal Renewables cheaper than thermal Latin America Diversity from Hydro and Oil

Coal generation will continue to play an important role in power generation … Source : US Energy Information Administration

… Because it meets market needs Dispatch flexibility – generate any energy between minimum and maximum load Firm capacity – no dependence from ambient conditions Energy independence – if local fuel (like lignite) is used Diversity of the energy matrix Affordability Job creation

Coal generation needs to be developed in the most efficient, effective and responsible manner In markets where fossil fuel generation is the right choice for development, we are working to ensure those resources are used in the most efficient, effective and responsible manner. In Europe, we built and operate coal plants with the most up-to-date equipment which meets all national and European requirements for safety and environmental protection and also conforms to World Bank and European Union environmental standards, to ensure optimal air quality, water management and safe waste storage, soil and groundwater preservation. Our state-of-the-art Maritza plant is one of the cleanest sources of coal generation in South-Eastern Europe.

Renewable energy will make up the vast majority of new capacity addition … Source : Bloomberg New Energy Finance

… Due to the substantial decrease in the cost of renewable energy New entrant cost in EUR/MWh

Energy storage will support the development of renewable energy Source : AES

Energy storage is expected to grow exponentially in the next 10 years Source : Navigant

AES operates the largest fleet of energy storage facilities in the world Source : AES

AES is developing a wide range of energy solutions Thermal power Renewables Energy Storage Thermal power Renewables Energy Storage Energy Storage LNG Terminal and Combined Cycle power plant in the Dominican Republic Energy Storage in the Netherlands Solar in Chile

Thank you for the attention! Questions?