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Towards a 100% Renewable Energy Supply “Renewables Working Together”

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Presentation on theme: "Towards a 100% Renewable Energy Supply “Renewables Working Together”"— Presentation transcript:

1 Towards a 100% Renewable Energy Supply “Renewables Working Together”
WWEC 2017, Malmö Sweden – June 2017 Monica Oliphant AO Past President ISES Adj A/Prof University of South Australia

2 Overview Talk will discuss Renewables Working Together, especially issues relating to Variable Renewables as we move towards the 100 % energy supply target.

3 REN21 Reporting of changes in Global Final Energy and Electricity Production
Between 2013 and 2015 the RE share of Global Final Energy Production went up 0.2%, (19.1% %), that is 0.1%/year. (At this rate how long will it take to reach 100%?) 2015 2016

4 GLOBAL NEW INVESTMENT IN RENEWABLE ENERGY BY TECHNOLOGY AND DEVELOPED VS DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, 2016, AND GROWTH ON 2015, $BN

5 2015 VRES Cumulative Installed Capacity by % of National Peak Load
32 countries that globally represent, • 89% of total installed VRES generating capacity • 87% of VRES electricity production

6 Currently, 24% of electricity in California is produced by intermittent renewables, with a nearly even split between solar and wind. Target is to increase this to wind and solar to 21% and 28%, respectively by 2030

7 13th May, 2017 RE peaks at 2/3 of California demand

8 ITALIAN DEMAND AND VRES EFFECT
  RE has resulted in a strong reduction in demand but also in operating hours of high efficiency CCGT Conventional generation could be required to ramp up and down beyond flexibility limits if no storage The large share in RE required significant changes to the Italian energy system including, € 6B will be invested into transmission improvements over the next 10 years. Ancillary services market costs are close to € 2B/year (doubled with VRES introduction). Pilot electrical storage systems both for T & D networks are already installed or under installation. New market designs are being developed to provide further opportunities for RE investments There have been reductions in ghg emissions & energy imports, and increased job opportunities

9 Growth of Large Scale Wind and Rooftop Solar in Australia (David Swift – AEMO)

10 South Australian Generation Mix and Wind Penetration by State
2005/06 to 2016/17 Post coal – May to August 2016

11 SA Demand Changes (David Swift – AEMO)

12 Benefits of good Co-location sites
Example: Snowtown Wind Farm South Australia

13 Benefits of good Co-location sites -2
Example: Snowtown Wind Farm South Australia Cost savings: Major savings can be obtained in the grid connection equipment and installation, operation and maintenance and development costs (including land costs, development approvals and studies). These savings are estimated at 3 to 13 percent for CAPEX and 3 to 16 percent for OPEX.

14 Solar Reserve Copiapo, Chile 2 x 130 MW CSP & 150 MW PV Up to 260 MW of firm baseload

15 Benefits of good Co-location sites - 3
Heat map highlighting the best combined wind + solar resource locations (poor wind (<35% CF) and poor solar resource (<16% CF) locations removed)

16 Benefits of good Co-location sites - 3
Heat map highlighting the best combined wind + solar resource locations (poor wind (<35% CF) and poor solar resource (<16% CF) locations removed) Geothermal Site – Innamincka Oil and Gas Site – Coober Basin

17 Conclusion As electricity grids globally move in the direction of high penetration variable renewables in our transition to 100% RE energy system, action needs to be taken now to optimize the grid for the upcoming changes by making best use of RE technologies working together. Co-location is one of these options that the Ren Alliance could work on together to provide valuable Resource maps of potentially high capacity factor sites.

18 Questions? Renewables Working Together

19 INVESTMENT IN POWER CAPACITY – RENEWABLE, FOSSIL FUEL AND NUCLEAR, 2008 – 2016, $BN

20 Energy Storage Technologies

21 Co-location Benefits for Community Power
Co-locating RE projects and getting high capacity factor and lower CAPEX and OPEX sites could mean much better pay back if Communities are able to go for such multiple RE sites. (This has long been the case in small community projects and Islands.) It is suggested that the Ren Alliance partners collaborate on developing a resource map of good sites for high capacity factor co-location round the world.


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