The Investment Assessment Framework

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Presentation transcript:

The Investment Assessment Framework Should be finalised by end 2017, once GPS 2018 has been published

Effectiveness not used Rating includes Very High What’s changed Effectiveness not used Rating includes Very High Urgency Low Cost / Low Risk “99” BCR not used remove perceived overlap greater emphasis on business case assessment assessment before IAF VH rating on one factor sets the priority regardless of other factor timeframe required to address the problem replaces Minor Improvements < $1m e.g. Bridge Replacement will be “PV_EoL” Stock effluent facilities will have a generic BCR Business Cases should address the criteria which was included in Effectiveness, namely: is outcomes focused is integrated is correctly scoped is affordable is timely provides confidence VH Rating: Results Alignment refers to specific government priorities. Value for VH Cost-Benefit Ration to be confirmed. Urgency factor required for the Strategic Case Assessment. Provides context for assessment of following BCs. Low cost/low risk activities allow for stream-lined assessment process, while providing reasonable assurance of VfM. Not using 99 as it distorts average BCRs. Generic BCR for stock effluent faculties to be confirmed.

Proposed future state Investment Assessment Framework Change for 2018-21: move from a three to two factor assessment no effectiveness rating many of the elements of the current effectiveness structure are being considered in the Business Case Approach Results Alignment (Previously Strategic Fit) As before with aspects of the effectiveness assessment related to network context Cost-Benefit Appraisal Benefit cost ratios and cost effectiveness Not finalised until GPS 2018 published

Business case alignment to Investment Assessment Framework relationship DRAFT The business case principles and investment assessment are clearly linked. The Business Case Approach will be integrated with the decision making process through the Assessment of Business Case. Business Case Approach Point of Entry / Strategic Case Programme Business Case Indicative / Detailed Business Case Assessment of Business Case Investment Assessment Framework Results Alignment Cost-Benefit Appraisal Pass/Rework/Fail Relates to the stages of improvement application. Note that the Strategic Case module was developed as a result of feedback on current process.

Key assessment requirements Supported by: Results Alignment What is the significance of the case for change (Strategic Case) to the desired results in the Government Policy Statement (is it in the public interest)? Assessment of Business Case (pass / rework / fail ) Is there evidence that the proposed response best solves the problem identified (is it effective)? Cost-Benefit Appraisal How efficient is the proposal? Programme Support (3 / 10 / 10+ years) What is the urgency to address the problem?

Cost-Benefit Appraisal 2018-21 NLTP Priority Results Alignment VH H M L 1 1 1 1 5 4 3 2 6 5 4 2 2 Very High sets the priority – NB not finalised L M H VH Cost-Benefit Appraisal

Mapping impacts to benefits To be confirmed Access for Economic Growth Availability & access - increase/maintain Better Use Capacity Throughput - increase/maintain Easing of Congestion Comfort & customer experience - improve/maintain Efficient Supply Chains Travel time - increase/maintain Journey Time Reliability Reliability - increase/maintain Reduced Deaths and Serious Injuries Safety - improve/maintain (reduce deaths and serious injuries) More Transport Choice Availability & access - increase/maintain Positive Health outcomes Pollution - decrease/maintain or Noise - decrease/maintain Reduced Environmental effects Pollution and greenhouse gases - decrease/maintain Secure and Resilient network Reliability - increase/maintain

Miscellaneous Packages they’re back !! a collection of activities that deliver synergistic benefits development should be BCA-led to be set up within the Improvements template projects have the same assessment profile as their linked “lead activity” BCRs only default value is for Stock Effluent Facilities, all other instances where BCR of “99” was previously used should now use “PV_EoL” Packages functionality to be developed. We are assuming that there will be a “Lead activity” which holds the BCR information and the other activities will have greyed out, blank fields with a link to the lead activity. By doing this we will remove “double-counting” of benefits. Stock effluent facility value TBC

What does good look like? The NZ Transport Agency is working collaboratively with investment partners to deliver quality content that: Is evidence based Clearly articulates assumptions Shows consistent assessment Demonstrates programme delivery is well managed Allows reporting on objectives and outcomes Assessment of the business case – covered in the following sessions

Improvement activities which straddle two NLTPs Phases with funding approval: will continue into the 2018-21 NLTP will continue to be assessed using the 2015-18 NLTP Investment Assessment Framework Phases included in 2015-18 NLTP and submitted for the 2018-21 NLTP: have to be included in the 2018-21 NLTP will use the 2018-21 NLTP Investment Assessment Framework will require a strategic case Inclusion in 2018-21 NLTP is not automatic. Must meet requirements of new IAF. What to do if future phases no longer meet threshold ?? Unlikely, but… Ensure “Effectiveness” visible until end of current NLTP and will be in the 2018-21 NLTP extract. Activities which have an attached strategic case will have to create a strategic case in TIO and transfer the information to that – TBC but we may relax this for current activities.