1. Lisa Goddard, Director goddard@iri.columbia.edu

2. Large El Nino event Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies 19902000 2010 1 st El Niño Forecast ‘86

3. El Niño Events Affect Climate Worldwide -- especially in the tropics 19902000 2010 ‘87

4. DROUGHTS Southern Africa Agriculture Animals/Livestock Infrastructure Air Quality/Health

5. FLOODS Peru Southern California INFRASTRUCTURE PROPERTY & LIVES

6. 19902000 2010 IRI Pilot Project Training (CU) ‘93 IRI’s Mission The mission of the IRI is to enhance society's capability to understand, anticipate and manage the impacts of climate in order to improve human welfare and the environment, especially in developing countries.

7. IRI’s Mission The mission of the IRI is to enhance society's capability to understand, anticipate and manage the impacts of climate in order to improve human welfare and the environment, especially in developing countries. 19902000 2010 IRI Pilot Project Prediction (Scripps) ‘94

8. 19902000 2010 ‘96 NOAA Cooperative Agreement IRI’s Mission The mission of the IRI is to enhance society's capability to understand, anticipate and manage the impacts of climate in order to improve human welfare and the environment, especially in developing countries.

9. 1997 - Present 19902000 2010 `97/98 Major El Niño Event

10. 1990 2000 2010 IPCC Process and Global Climate Change Source: IPCC 4 th Assessment Report, Working Group 1: The Physical Science Basis for Climate Change http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/wg1-report.html AR1AR2AR3AR4 ‘95‘01‘07

11. “Climate-Change Related” Impacts

12. Adaptation Resilience Sustainability Climate is more than “climate change”. Climate variability is of primary importance to all of these issues.

13. Temperature Most of the variability in the globally-averaged temperature is contained in the slowly varying “climate change” component. 65% 13% 21% Annual Mean Temperature Climate Variability & Change Globally

14. Climate Variability & Change in Colorado, USA TemperaturePrecipitation 12% 21% 65% 1% 19% 75%

15. Climate Information for Risk Management & Decision Making 19902000 2010 ‘09 WCC-3

16. 19902000 2010 ‘12 GFCS Relevance? Access? Capacity? Climate Information for Risk Management & Decision Making

17. Ingredients for Climate-Informed Policy/Decisions/Action Relevance Access Capacity SCIENCE Observations graph courtesy of U. Redding Physical Understanding and Modeling

18. Relevance Access Capacity Fcst Likelihood of Above-Average Temperature SCIENCE Early Warning Systems for Early Action Risk of Malaria due to Climate & Environment Ingredients for Climate-Informed Policy/Decisions/Action

19. Relevance Access Capacity The online digital climate map-room of Ethiopia: www.ethiomet.gov.et TECHNOLOGY Ingredients for Climate-Informed Policy/Decisions/Action

20. Relevance Access Capacity TECHNOLOGY Ingredients for Climate-Informed Policy/Decisions/Action

21. Relevance Access Capacity : Climate : Health : Environmental Monitoring : Agriculture : Water : Economics IRI Trainings (04/04-12/09) TRAINING Ingredients for Climate-Informed Policy/Decisions/Action

22. Relevance Access Capacity TRAINING 2010 Summer Institute on Climate & Public Health Ingredients for Climate-Informed Policy/Decisions/Action

23. Management & Institutional Support Fppdff Climate sdppd Science Regional & Sectorial Science Finance & Administration IT Communications Climate Program Support Health Agriculture Regional & Program Support Climate Diagnostics Climate Forecasts Near-Term Climate Change Environ. Monitoring Data Library Financial Instruments Shared appointments: CWC, CRED, Mailman SPH Climate Services Partnership, Secretariat 19902000 2010 ‘12

24. Opportunities 19902000 2010 ‘12

25. Opportunities 19902000 2010 ‘12