1. William H. Frey The Brookings Institution Hispanics and the Changing Racial Demographics of the Intermountain West www.frey-demographer.org

2. n 2008: Greater Minority Turnout and Share of the Voter Population n “Fast-Growing” and “Slow-Growing” Purple States n Where did Minorities Win the Election for Obama? n Current Demographics and Polling in the Mountain West

3. Source: William H. Frey analysis of National Election Poll and VNS Democratic Margins by Race

4. Source: William H. Frey analysis of CPS November 2004, 2008 supplements Number of Voters: 2004, 2008 millions

5. Source: William H. Frey analysis CPS November 2008 Supplement Eligible Voters as Share of Total Population: * Non Hispanics Whites*Blacks*HispanicsAsians*

6. Source: William H. Frey analysis of CPS November 2004, 2008 supplements Turnout Rates, 2004 and 2008

7. Source: Lopez and Taylor, Pew Hispanic Center, 2009 Turnout Rates, 18-29 Year Olds

8. Source: William H. Frey analysis of CPS November 2004, 2008 supplements 2004-8 Growth: Eligible Voters and Voters

9. Source: William H. Frey analysis of CPS November supplements 2004 vs 2008 Comparisons PopulationEligible VotersVoters 200420082004200820042008

10. Source: William H. Frey analysis of CPS November 2008 supplement Hispanic Shares 2008 Populations, Voters States With Largest Hispanic Share Populations

11. Source: William H. Frey analysis Blue Red and Purple States, 2008 Solid Blue Solid Red Purple-Dem Purple-Rep

12. Source: William H. Frey analysis Fast-Growing Purple States, 2008 Purple-Dem Purple-Rep All Other

13. Source: William H. Frey analysis Slow-Growing Purple States, 2008 Purple-Dem Purple-Rep All Other

14. Source: William H. Frey analysis CPS November 2008 supplement 2008 Voter Profiles of State Groupings * Non Hispanics Fast Growing Purple Solid Red Slow Growing Purple Solid Blue

15. Source: William H. Frey analysis of CPS November 2004, 2008 supplements “Fast-Growing” vs “Slow-Growing” Purple State Growth, 2004-8

16. Source: William H. Frey analysis of CPS November Supplements Nevada, New Mexico Voters: 2004, 2008 NevadaNew Mexico

17. Source: William H. Frey analysis of National Election Poll and VNS Nevada – Democratic Margins

18. Source: William H. Frey analysis of National Election Poll and VNS New Mexico – Democratic Margins

19. Source: William H. Frey analysis of CPS November Supplements Florida, Virginia Voters: 2004, 2008 VirginiaFlorida

20. Source: William H. Frey analysis of National Election Poll and VNS Florida – Democratic Margins

21. Source: William H. Frey analysis of National Election Poll and VNS Virginia – Democratic Margins

22. Source: William H. Frey analysis of CPS November Supplements Ohio, Pennsylvania Voters: 2004, 2008 Pennsylvania Ohio

23. Source: William H. Frey analysis of National Election Poll and VNS Ohio – Democratic Margins

24. Source: William H. Frey analysis of National Election Poll and VNS Pennsylvania – Democratic Margins

25. Source: William H. Frey Where Minorities Won for Democrats 2004 - Kerry Took 20 States 2004 - Kerry Took 20 States 10 states-whites went Democratic 10 states-whites went Democratic (62 electoral college) (62 electoral college) 10 states-minorities won for Dems 10 states-minorities won for Dems (190 electoral college) (190 electoral college) 2008 - Obama Took 29 States 2008 - Obama Took 29 States 19 states-whites went Democratic 19 states-whites went Democratic (223 electoral college) (223 electoral college) 10 states-minorities won for Dems 10 states-minorities won for Dems (142 electoral college) (142 electoral college)

26. Source: William H. Frey analysis 2004 Blue States: Won by Whites and Minorities

27. Source: William H. Frey analysis 2008 Blue States: Won by Whites and Minorities

28. 2010 Population and Eligible Voters by Race-Ethnicity: US and Mountain West USAMountain West

29. Total Population by Race-Ethnicity, 2010: Six Mountain West States

30. Eligible Voters by Race-Ethnicity, 2010: Six Mountain West States

31. Party Affiliation: US Registered Latino Voters Source: Pew Hispanic Center, "Latinos and the 2010 Elections" October 5, 2010 (Registered Latinos)

32. Party with More Concern for Hispanics Party with More Concern for Hispanics Source: Pew Hispanic Center, "Latinos and the 2010 Elections" October 5, 2010 (Registered Latinos)

33. Right Direction/Wrong Track? Source: UNLV/BROOKINGS MOUNTAIN WEST Survey CountryState (Adults.6 MT West States)

34. Country: Right Direction Minus Wrong Track Whites and Hispanics - MT West States

35. State: Right Direction Minus Wrong Track Whites and Hispanics - MT West States

36. Obama Favorability Source: UNLV/BROOKINGS MOUNTAIN WEST Survey (Adults: 6 MT West States)

37. Obama: Favorable Minus Unfavorable Whites and Hispanics - MT West States

38. Bush Favorability Source: UNLV/BROOKINGS MOUNTAIN WEST Survey (Adults: 6 MT West States)

39. Palin Favorability Source: UNLV/BROOKINGS MOUNTAIN WEST Survey (Adsult: 6 MT West States)

40. Congressional Democrat Favorability Source: UNLV/BROOKINGS MOUNTAIN WEST Survey (Adults: 6 MT West States)

41. Congressional Democrats: Favorable Minus Unfavorable Whites and Hispanics - MT West States

42. Congressional Republican Favorability Source: UNLV/BROOKINGS MOUNTAIN WEST Survey (Adults: 6 MT West States)

43. Congressional Republicans: Favorable Minus Unfavorable Whites and Hispanics - MT West States

44. State Democrat Favorability Source: UNLV/BROOKINGS MOUNTAIN WEST Survey (Adults 6 MT West States)

45. State Democrats: Favorable Minus Unfavorable Whites and Hispanics - MT West States

46. State Republican Favorability Source: UNLV/BROOKINGS MOUNTAIN WEST Survey (Adults: 6 MT West States)

47. State Republicans: Favorable Minus Unfavorable Whites and Hispanics - MT West States

48. Priority Issues for Whites Source: UNLV/BROOKINGS MOUNTAIN WEST Survey 157% Jobs/Econ Growth 250%Schools 349% Federal Govt Spending 449% Illegal Immigrants 543% Crime and Drugs (percent ranking issue as extremely important)

49. Priority Issues for Hispanics Source: UNLV/BROOKINGS MOUNTAIN WEST Survey 1 63% Jobs/Econ Growth 2 63%Schools 3 59% Crime and Drugs 4 48%Environment 5 47% Health Care (percent ranking issue as extremely important)

50. Obama Health Care Plan Source: UNLV/BROOKINGS MOUNTAIN WEST Survey

51. Financial Reform Source: UNLV/BROOKINGS MOUNTAIN WEST Survey

52. Income Taxes Income Taxes Source: UNLV/BROOKINGS MOUNTAIN WEST Survey

53. Arizona Immigration Law Arizona Immigration Law Source: UNLV/BROOKINGS MOUNTAIN WEST Survey

54. AZ Immigration Law: Goes Too Far Whites and Hispanics - MT West States

55. Stop Illegal Immigration Flows Federal Involvement Level? Stop Illegal Immigration Flows Federal Involvement Level? Source: UNLV/BROOKINGS MOUNTAIN WEST Survey

56. Illegal Flows: Need More Federal Involvement Whites and Hispanics - MT West States

57. Deal with Illegals Here: Federal Involvement Level? Deal with Illegals Here: Federal Involvement Level? Source: UNLV/BROOKINGS MOUNTAIN WEST Survey

58. Deal with Illegals Here: State Involvement Level? Deal with Illegals Here: State Involvement Level? Source: UNLV/BROOKINGS MOUNTAIN WEST Survey

59. Illegals Here : Need More State Involvement Whites and Hispanics - MT West States

60. Immigrants: Strength vs Burden Source: UNLV/BROOKINGS MOUNTAIN WEST Survey

61. Illegals: Pathway vs No Amnesty Source: UNLV/BROOKINGS MOUNTAIN WEST Survey