1. The Changing Population of Texas Bastrop County Rotary Club October 30, 2012 Bastrop, TX

2. Growing States, 2000-2010 2000 Population* 2010 Population* Numerical Change 2000-2010 Percent Change 2000-2010 United States 281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7% Texas 20,851,82025,145,5614,293,74120.6% California 33,871,64837,253,9563,382,30810.0% Florida 15,982,37818,801,3102,818,93217.6% Georgia 8,186,4539,687,6531,501,20018.3% North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,17018.5% Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,38524.6% Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000 and 2010. 2 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count. 65% (2.8 million) of this change can be attributed to growth of the Hispanic population

3. Percent Change Due to Y ear* Population Numerical Change Percent Change Natural Increase Net Migration 19507,711,194-- 19609,579,6771,868,48324.293.916.09 197011,196,7301,617,05316.986.7413.26 198014,229,1913,032,46127.141.5858.42 199016,986,5102,757,31919.965.8534.15 200020,851,8203,865,31022.849.6550.35 200924,782,3023,930,48418.854.0445.33 201025,145,5614,293,74120.6 201125,674,681 529,1202.154.7944.99 * All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for 2009 and 2011 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center, University of Texas at San Antonio. Note: Residual values are not presented in this table. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2011 3

4. Percent of Migrants to Texas between 2000 and 2009 by Race and Ethnicity 4 Sources: Percentages of domestic and international migrants by race and ethnicity derived from the 2006-2008 American Community Survey. Total numbers of domestic and international migrants between 2000-2009 are from Table 4. Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2009, U.S. Census Bureau (848,702 migrants ) (933,083 migrants) 52% of all migrants were international

5. Estimated domestic migration (2000-2008) by county as a percentage of 2000 population Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009. Map produced by the Texas State Data Center 5

6. Estimated international migration (2000-2008) by county as a percentage of 2000 population 6 Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009. Map produced by the Texas State Data Center

7. 7 http://www.forbes.com

8. 8 http://www.forbes.com/special-report/2011/migration.html

9. States with Largest Estimated Unauthorized Immigrant Populations, 2010 9 State Estimate (thousands) Range California 2,550 (2,350 - 2,750) Texas 1,650 (1,450 - 1,850) Florida 825 (725 - 950) New York 625 (525 - 725) New Jersey 550 (425 - 650) Illinois 525 (425 - 625) Georgia 425 (300 - 550) Arizona 400 (275 - 500) Source: Pew Hispanic Center estimates based on residual methodology applied to March Supplements to the Current Population Survey (February 1, 2011). 6.5% of Texas’ 2010 Population

10. Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census count

11. Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, 2010 11 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

12. 12 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

13. 13 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

14. 14 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

15. Total Population by County, 2010 15 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census

16. Total Population by County, 2010 16 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census

17. Change of the Total Population by County, 2000 to 2010 17 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2000 and 2010 Decennial Census

18. Percent Change of Total Population in Texas Counties, 2000-2010 18 Population increase for Texas was 20.6% during this period Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 and 2010 Decennial Census

19. Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections Year Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2000-2040 19

20. Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections, 2000-2007 Migration Scenario 20 Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2000-2040

21. Projected population by county, Texas, 2040 Source: Texas State Data Center, vintage 2008 Population Projections, 2000-2007 Migration Scenario 21

22. Percent Projected Change of Total Population in Texas Counties, 2008-2040 22

23. Sources:1980-2010. U.S. Census Bureau Counts; 2040: State Data Center 2000-2007 Migration Scenario Projection Population Growth in Austin-Round Rock MSA, 1980-2040 County19801990200020102040 Bastrop24,72638,26357,73374,171311,306 Caldwell23,63726,39232,19438,06664,262 Hays40,59465,61497,589157,107581,488 Travis419,573576,407812,2801,024,2661,181,101 Williamson76,521139,551249,967422,6791,363,538 Total585,051846,2271,249,7631,716,2893,501,695

24. Components of Change for Austin-Round Rock MSA, 2000 to 2009 County Population Births- Deaths Migration 20002009ChangeForeignDomestic Bastrop57,73374,87617,1433,9901,30812,027 Caldwell32,19437,8105,6162,3014962,977 Hays97,589155,54557,95610,9051,69745,351 Travis812,2801,026,158213,878102,65358,85556,907 Williamson249,967410,686160,71937,7055,965116,977 Total1,249,7631,705,075455,312157,55468,321234,239 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census Counts (2000); Estimate (2009)

25. Educational Attainment in Texas, 2010 Level of Educational Attainment Percent of persons aged 25 years and older State Ranking High school diploma or equivalency or greater 80.7%49/50 (tied with CA) Bachelors or greater25.9%31 25 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2010.

26. Race/Ethnic Composition by Education Level aged 25 years and more, Texas, 2009 26 Source: Derived from 2009 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates by the Office of the State Demographer. Less Than High School College and Greater

27. Projected Percent of Labor Force by Educational Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040

28. Teen Birth Rate by State, 2010 28 Source: National Center for Health Statistics at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention RankState Birth rate per 1,000 women ages 15-19 1 Mississippi55 2 New Mexico52.9 3 Arkansas52.5 4 Texas52.2 5 Oklahoma50.4 6 Louisiana47.7 7 Kentucky46.2 8 District of Columbia 45.4 9 West Virginia44.8 10 Alabama43.6

29. Projected Increase in Obesity in Texas by Ethnicity, 2006 to 2040 29 Source: Office of the State Demographer projections, using 2000-2004 migration scenario population projections

30. Demographics and Destiny 30

31. Contact Office: (512) 463-8390 or (210) 458-6530 Email: Lloyd.Potter@osd.state.tx.usLloyd.Potter@osd.state.tx.us Internet: http://osd.state.tx.us Lloyd Potter, Ph.D. 31