1. The MINNI Project Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004 Development of an Integrated National Model as supporting tool to the International Negotiation on Atmospheric Pollution F.Monforti, P.Ornelli, T.Pignatelli, G.Vialetto, G.Zanini ENEA, Bologna and Casaccia Research Centres G.Brusasca, G.Calori, S.Finardi, P.Radice, C.Silibello ARIANET, Milano

2. Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004 The MINNI Project A 3 year project for the development of a National Integrated Modelling System Carried out under the leadership of ENEA in cooperation with ARIANET Project financed by ENEA and the Italian Ministry for the Environment (total investment 1,268 million Euros)

3. Ultimate Objectives : Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention The MINNI Project - Development of emission Scenarios, for SO2, NOx, NH3, VOC, O3 e PM - Development of national/regional cost curves, analysis of the abatement costs, optimised cost allocation - Analysis of impact on environment and human health TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004 - Analysis of pollutant transport, dispersion and multiphase chemical transformations - Development of deposition/concentration maps at national and regional level

4. Three different simulation models are integrated in a coherent framework: Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention The MINNI Project Meteorological model (RAMS) Pollution transport and chemistry model (FARM) Integrated Assessment Model (RAINS-Italy) TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004

5. Minni Modelling System – flow chart Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004

6. The meteorological sub-system Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention The MINNI Project TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004 Prognostic and non-hydrostatic model RAMS (Cotton et al., 2003) 2 way nested grid system ECMWF analysis fields and surface synoptic observations used as input data for RAMS simulations RAMS has provided the hourly meteorological fields of interest for the base year 1999. Assessment based upon cross-checking with available record data

7. Transport and Chemistry Model FARM Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention The MINNI Project TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004 Derived from STEM Model (Carmichael et al., 1998). Three-dimensional Eulerian model Acid pollutants are treated by means of the (Hov et al., 1988) chemical scheme Photochemical reactions are described by the SAPRC-90 chemical scheme Models-3/CMAQ Aero-3 module (Binkowski, 1999) used for PM Chemical boundary conditions are assigned by the EMEP Model

8. Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004 Example of FARM output : NOx concentration at soil level

9. Emission Sub-System Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention The MINNI Project TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004 Based upon the National Emission Inventory The reference year (1999) national emission inventory data are disaggregated at NUTS3 level (“Province”) by means of a number of specific activities indicators The emissions of the neighbouring countries are based upon the EMEP European inventory 140 Italian large point sources are considered individually.

10. The Rains Italy Model Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention The MINNI Project TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004 Subject of a joint research project IIASA-ENEA to be completed by December 2004 Emission and Cost Modules complete. EMCO used to develop emission scenarios for CAFÉ, NEC and CRLTAP 20 Administrative Regions 4 Metropolitan Areas, 1 National Sea Traffic Area 14 Large Power Sources

11. Grids – Comparison EMEP - MINNI Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004 EMEP 50 kmMINNI 20 km

12. Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004 Atmosferic Transfer Matrix for RAINS-Italy Piemonte “Atmosferic Transfer matrix” Implemented In RAINS-Italy

13. Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004 Deposition maps in RAINS-Italy Example of SOx deposition map (mgS/m 2 /y) using the Atmosferic Tranfer Matrix elaborated by the MINNI Eulerian Model. Map elaborated by Rains-Italy Dep Module (Web version). Emissions from Lazio region, only. Inventory data 1999 [IIASA, W. Schopp,]

14. Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004 The MINNI Project Eulerian Model RAINS Italy

15. Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004 The MINNI Project More details at: www.atmet.comwww.atmet.com RAMS www.aria-net.itwww.aria-net.it Atmosferic dispersion and chemistry