1. Marion Wichmann-Fiebig II 5 Abteilungsleiterin „Luft“ 1 Review of the Gothenburg Protocol Link to potential PM control under CLRTAP: – Specifies control options for PM precursors – Could be extented to NEC for primary PM – However: Many sources of primary PM are controlled by Protocol on Heavy Metals Legal requirement for review to start no later than one year after entry into force

2. Marion Wichmann-Fiebig II 5 Abteilungsleiterin „Luft“ 2 Review of the Gothenburg Protocol: Timetable WGSR through TF IAM to present a review report (50 to 75 pages) to CLRTAP EB in December 2007 TF IAM to present first draft to WGSR in April 2007 First drafting meeting with other Centres, TF and EG November 15 th 2006, Laxenburg

3. Marion Wichmann-Fiebig II 5 Abteilungsleiterin „Luft“ 3 Review of the Gothenburg Protocol: Objectives of the Review Report Are the emissions ceilings and the other obligations adequate for achieving the objectives of the Protocol? What progress has been made towards achieving the objectives? Assessment of the need to include PM in a future instrument

4. Marion Wichmann-Fiebig II 5 Abteilungsleiterin „Luft“ 4 Review of the Gothenburg Protocol: Draft outline of the Review Report Concentration and deposition levels Effects on human health, natural ecosystems, materials and crops National emission ceilings Emission limit values The role of hemispheric transport Relation to climate change issues Particulate matter (contribution tbd at this meeting) North America Progress towards achieving the objectives

5. Marion Wichmann-Fiebig II 5 Abteilungsleiterin „Luft“ 5 Review of the Gothenburg Protocol: Coordination with work on PM Common baseline and MFTR-scenarios to be used IIASA will differentiate contribution from primary and secondary PM 2.5 to total concentration data available for EU by end of 2006, for non-EU within EMEP area by spring 2007 abatement measures and costs will be available from the RAINS database no optimisation runs to take place in the course of the review

6. Marion Wichmann-Fiebig II 5 Abteilungsleiterin „Luft“ 6 Review of the Gothenburg Protocol: Consequences on Report of PM EG Concentrations in 2020 according to baseline – Quantitative information for full EMEP area will be available only in Spring 2007 – Preliminary information on contribution from primary and secondary PM available from EMEP and CAFE reports (to be added after para 26)

7. Marion Wichmann-Fiebig II 5 Abteilungsleiterin „Luft“ 7 Review of the Gothenburg Protocol: Consequences on Report of PM EG Primary PM – Abatement potential related to emissions as analysed in IIASA study (cmp. para 27 to 40) – Costs in RAINS database to be summarised by IIASA (extend para 42) – Preliminary information on abatement potential related to concentrations available from EMEP model runs and CAFE (to be added after para 40) – Quantification for full EMEP area only in Spring 2007

8. Marion Wichmann-Fiebig II 5 Abteilungsleiterin „Luft“ 8 Review of the Gothenburg Protocol: Consequences on Report of PM EG Secondary PM – Quantification of abatement potential for full EMEP area only in spring 2007 (extend para 41: potential of tighter NECs and ELV for precursors beyond Gothenburg to reduce secondary PM) – costs cannot be directely compared to primary emissions as benefits exists for other effects, e.g. eutrophication (how to incorporate?)

9. Marion Wichmann-Fiebig II 5 Abteilungsleiterin „Luft“ 9 Foreseen discussion of the draft Report at this meeting No discussion of para 1 to 20, i.e. – Mandate – Objectives – Characteristics of PM – Transboundary character of PM – Health impacts of PM – State of emission inventories

10. Marion Wichmann-Fiebig II 5 Abteilungsleiterin „Luft“ 10 Foreseen discussion of the draft Report at this meeting Agree on contents of – Key sectors contributing (para 21 to 26) with a view to additional information to come from the Gothenburg review process and the timing of a final draft Discuss how to deal with – abatement costs for precursor emissions (to be added to para 42) Discuss what information to incorporate on North America

11. Marion Wichmann-Fiebig II 5 Abteilungsleiterin „Luft“ 11 Foreseen discussion of the draft Report at this meeting Discuss – The potential for further abatement (para 27 to 41 and additional information to come from Gothenburg review) – Potential options how to address PM (para 44 to 60) – Conclusions (para 61 to 70 and potential additional conclusions) – Potential Annexes, e.g. more in-depth discussion of additional sectors, non-technical measures …

12. Marion Wichmann-Fiebig II 5 Abteilungsleiterin „Luft“ 12 Contribution of the PM EG to the Gothenburg Review Report Evidence on – on health impacts of PM – transboundary character of PM Current and future concentration of primary and secondary PM Abatement potential of prim. and sec. PM Uncertainty of emission data Any revision of NECs and ELVs on PM precursors should consider health impacts from PM exposure No prejudice how to control primary PM under CLRTAP (e.g. HM Protocol)

13. Marion Wichmann-Fiebig II 5 Abteilungsleiterin „Luft“ 13 PM Assessment Report by TFMM Initiative of TFMM endorsed by EMEP SB Aim of the Report – Describe the contribution made by long range transboundary transport to PM levels within the EMEP region – Contribute to the discussion on whether PM models sufficiently reflect reality

14. Marion Wichmann-Fiebig II 5 Abteilungsleiterin „Luft“ 14 PM Assessment Report - Outline Part A. The EMEP-wide Assessement – Are there significant differences in the PM climate across Europe? – To what extent is PM a transboundary problem? – How well do we understand the major PM components and their origins? – How important are natural PM sources? – To what extent do sources outside of Europe contribute to European PM? – How important is regional PM for urban PM levels? – How well can we link sources to observed PM levels with atmospheric models? – How large are the uncertainties in PM measurements and model predictions? – What improvements are required in PM monitoring, modelling and basic scientific understanding for the assessment of health and climate impacts of PM? Part B. National Assessments

15. Marion Wichmann-Fiebig II 5 Abteilungsleiterin „Luft“ 15 PM Assessment Report - Timetable Workshop hosted by INERIS, Paris November 29 th to December 1 st 2006 – Compile a first draft of Part A – Review of national assessments Review of first draft at TFMM, Spring 2007 Final draft to be presented to EMEP SB in September 2007

16. Marion Wichmann-Fiebig II 5 Abteilungsleiterin „Luft“ 16 Cost-effective control of urban air pollution Joint Workshop of TFMM and TF IAM November 16 th and 17 th, Laxenburg, AT Objective – update on the most recent findings from health impact studies – explore the connections between urban air quality and regional scale pollution based on monitoring data and modelling exercises – review methodological approaches for IAM to balance local and Europe-wide emission control measures