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ASIAN INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY

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1 ASIAN INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
AN ASSESSMENT OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION AND CARBON EMISSIONS RELATED TO URBAN RESIDENTIAL DENSITY IN A DEVELOPING CITY Nurrohman Wijaya (107753) URBAN ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT SCHOOL OF ENVIRONMENT, RESOURCES AND DEVELOPMENT ASIAN INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 17 MAY2010 Nurrohman Wijaya

2 URBAN SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
INTRODUCTION Social sector Ecological systems Economic sector Background Intensive material accompanied by population growth & physical expansion Life style and behavior pattern (indirectly) Significant Impact to CLIMATE CHANGE Growth of energy use and carbon emissions in urban area Understanding the relationship among urban form, energy use & environmental impacts URBAN SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Nurrohman Wijaya

3 INTRODUCTION Statement of the research problem
Lack of understanding, awareness and knowledge by local government and citizens Making the adverse impacts Limited on quantifying of energy use and carbon emissions Difficulty in obtaining city-scale data, difference between political & functional city boundaries, major policy decisions at the national level. Lack of understanding, awareness and knowledge by local government and citizens makes the adverse impact Quantifying of energy use and CO2 emissions are usually seriously limited due to the difficulty in obtaining city-scale data, difference between the political and functional city boundaries. Also, major policy decisions on energy-related issues are made at the national level. Although there are many published papers but the study of effective measures which incorporate the factors contributing in local level in urban areas is fewer. There are many published papers Fewer studies on effective measures which incorporate the factors contributing in local level in urban area Nurrohman Wijaya

4 INTRODUCTION Research Questions and Objectives The main objective is to assess energy use and carbon emissions of urban residential density in a developing city context. What is the relationship between energy use and carbon emissions? To explain the relationship What are perceptions , responses, characteristics of citizens? To investigate responses, perceptions and characteristics What are factors contributing to energy use and carbon emissions? To determine significant factors contributing What are the current measures from local government? To recommend future measures in term of carbon emissions reduction and energy efficiency in the city What is the relationship between energy use and carbon emissions in urban residential sector? How are perceptions and responses of citizens related to energy use and emission in urban residential sector? What are the characteristics of citizens including gender aspect related to energy use and carbon emission in different urban residential density areas? What are factors contributing to energy use and carbon emissions in urban residential sector and how are interrelated with these factors? What are the current measures from local government in term of carbon emissions reduction and energy efficiency in urban residential sector? Nurrohman Wijaya

5 INTRODUCTION Scope and Limitations
The scope area of the study is urban residential area in Bandung City, Indonesia. The study is conducted on sampling of household survey. Limitation is only to energy use contributing of carbon emissions in residential sectors from anthropogenic activities. The assumption is that energy and carbon emissions resulted on transport purpose is getting from gasoline fuel, cooking purpose is from LPG fuel, and electricity purpose is from home appliance and equipments use. Residential density is calculated on the basis of gross land area referring to the total land area of a residential area. Nurrohman Wijaya

6 Energy Consumption by Sector Including Biomass in Indonesia
Source: Handbook of Energy and Economic Statistics of Indonesia, 2008 Percentage of CO2 Emission from Energy Consumption by Sector in Indonesia, 2007 Source: State of Environment in Indonesia, 2008

7 Urban Residential Development in Bandung City
Housing Development by Developers Expansion of Bandung City in Period Number of houses built (unit) Up to end of 1980 3,240 1981 – 1990 8,829 1991 – 2000 16,743 2001 – 2008 9,344 Source: Real Estate of Indonesia (REI) of West Java Province, 2008 Growing up from the inner city to periphery area by following concentric pattern and leads to the development of unplanned urban sprawl.

8 Map of Bandung City Nurrohman Wijaya

9 Contextual attributes
The Features of Three Urban residential Density Areas in Developing City Contextual attributes Low Density Area Medium Density Area High density area Gross residential density area <500 dwelling unit/km2 500-1,000 dwelling unit/km2 >1,000 dwelling unit/km2 Location Periphery/suburban area Between the center and periphery Geographical center the city Shape of land plot Regular/orderly arranged Irregular/ Unorderly arranged Land use Mostly residential uses Mixed use Single use Planning intervention Cluster planned Planned Unplanned Type of residential area Real Estate/Housing Estate Grid row pattern housing “Kampung” or Slums Resident income Middle-high income earners Middle income earners Low-middle income earners Note: A traditional kampung is an unplanned residential area, which is organically grown without sufficient development control (Permana et. al., 2008) Nurrohman Wijaya

10 Residential Plots in High Density Residential Area
Residential Plots in Low Density Residential Area Residential Plots in Medium Density Residential Area Nurrohman Wijaya

11 Research Concept

12 Data Analysis Method and Sample Size
Primary data collected through various approaches. It was mainly obtained from the interview and discussion with public officials. The approaches that used for collecting primary data are: field observation, interview and questionnaire survey. Secondary data was collected from available reports and publications from the relevant institutions and agencies in Bandung City. No Target Area District No of samples 1 Low Residential Area Bandung Kidul, Buahbatu 40 HH 2 Medium Residential Area Antapani, Arcamanik, Bandung Wetan, Cicadas, Lengkong, Margacinta, Rancasari, Sukajadi, Sumur Bandung 100 HH 3 High Residential Area Coblong, Kiara Condong 60 HH Total population in Bandung is about 2,100,000 persons, with 420,000 HH

13 Multiple Regression Analysis and Conversion Factors
The household survey was evaluating the influencing factors to carbon emission and energy use and find out significant variables. Standard regression analysis was applied to determine whether which variables should be included as key influencing factors. The dependent variables are amount of carbon emissions and energy use. To aggregate amount of gasoline, fuel cooking and electric usage into a single carbon dioxide emissions and energy use index, it applies carbon and energy conversion factors. Energy use described in this study corresponds to the total fuel and electrical energy required for cooking, transport and home appliances used purposes, measured in gigajoules (GJ) or mega joules (MJ). Meanwhile, carbon emissions are measured as total metric ton (tones) of CO2 equivalents (eq.), which is calculated in accordance with IPCC (2007).

14 House Building Condition
Target area Total Low density area Medium density area High density area Permanent 40 100.0% 97 98.0% 45 75.0% 182 91.5% Semi-permanent 0.0% 1 1.0% 13 21.7% 14 7.0% Not permanent 2 3.3% 3 1.5% 99 60 199 Note: the number of respondents is contained within parentheses; significance at the level. House building condition in study area has high percentage in permanent condition. The statistical analysis is mentioned that there is significant association between house building condition and urban residential density area.

15 House Building Condition
Target area Total Low density area Medium density area High density area Permanent 40 100.0% 97 98.0% 45 75.0% 182 91.5% Semi-permanent 0.0% 1 1.0% 13 21.7% 14 7.0% Not permanent 2 3.3% 3 1.5% 99 60 199 Note: the number of respondents is contained within parentheses; significance at the level. House building condition in study area has high percentage in permanent condition. The statistical analysis is mentioned that there is significant association between house building condition and urban residential density area.

16 Profile of Respondents
Status of Respondent in Study Area Marital Status of Respondent in Study Area Age Distribution Education of Level

17 Households in percent using appliances (%)
Household Characteristic in Urban Residential Sector Related to Energy Consumption and Carbon Emission Type of appliances Households in percent using appliances (%) Low density area Medium density area High density area Electric coffee maker 17.9 6.0 0.0 Toaster 71.8 21.0 1.7 Refrigerator 100.0 94.0 63.3 Microwave 64.1 37.0 Rice cooker 90.0 78.3 Washing machine 94.9 79.0 35.0 Water heater and cooler 61.5 33.0 15.0 Pan 35.9 59.0 45.0 Air conditioner 43.6 22.0 Television 93.3 Radio 74.0 55.0 DVD Player 72.0 Computer 56.0 11.7 Notebook 53.0 Printer 49.0 3.3 Well pump 21.7 Telephone 80.0 25.0 Hand phone 73.3 Electric iron 91.0 91.7

18 Perception of Households in Using Electronic Appliances
Items Target Area Total Low Medium High Frequency of using cooking appliances*** More than one time in one day 26 86 34 146 One time in one day 13 18 44 Between one/day and one/week 1 3 One time in one week 5 Less than one time in one week 40 100 59 199 Attitude for using electronic appliance* Still connected to power supply every time 17 4 24 Connected if we need 29 58 121 Sometime connect and sometime not connect 7 25 22 54 39 60 *Significant at the level 0.1 or better (p<0.1); **Significant at the level 0.05 or better (p<0.05); ***Significant at the level 0.01 or better (p<0.01) Mostly the respondents are using electronic appliances more than one time in one day. In addition, there is significant correlation between frequency of suing electronic appliances and different urban residential density area. Majority respondents answer that they will use the appliances when they need. The attitude and behavior of respondents using electronic appliances will contribute to energy consumption and carbon emission in urban residential sector.

19 Relationship between Carbon Emissions and Energy Use
There is association between residential density with new urban development, particularly emerging as a primary issue for rigorous energy and environmental analyses (Newman and Kenworthy, 1999 & Gurin, 2003) Norman (2006) showed that low-density suburban development is more energy and GHG intensive than high-density urban core development on a per capita basis. The finding of ANOVA analysis of carbon emission and energy use in urban residential density is significantly associated. It can be explained that there is significant contribution carbon emission and energy use related to urban residential development.

20 Single-factor ANOVA Analysis of Carbon Emission and Energy Use in Urban Residential Density Areas
Aspect Source of Variation Sum of Square (SS) Degree of Freedom Mean Square (MS) F statistic Significant level Carbon emission Between Group Within Group Total 51,291, 379,288, 430,579, 2 197 199 25,645, 1,925, 13.320 0.000 Energy use 441,552, 951,501, 1.393E9 220,776, 4,829, 45.710 Residents who live in different of urban residential density area behave differently with respect to carbon emission and energy consumption. Carbon emission and energy use have significance difference with three types of urban residential density area. Urban residential density form has an influence on energy consumption and carbon emissions.

21 Energy Use at Household Level in Urban Residential Density
Source: Household survey, 2009 The average total of energy consumption in study area is dominated by transport energy (2, MJ/HH/month). Energy consumption in low density area is higher than medium and high density area.

22 Carbon Emission at Household Level in Urban Residential Density
Source: Household survey, 2009 The total average of carbon emission in study area is dominated from electricity used by residents (1, tonCO2eq/HH/month). Low density area has high number of carbon emission in every activities.

23 Result of Significant Factors Influencing Carbon Emissions
No. Independent variables Coefficients t-value Significant level 1 Electricity using (kWH) 3.894 6.132 0.000** 2 Electricity cost 0.005 4.064 3 Condition of public transport 3.577 4 Total household members in low education level -2.625 0.009** 5 Total household members in compulsory educational level 33.139 2.209 0.028* 6 Expenditure level more than IDR 2,000,000 -3.443 0.001** 7 Number of car 2.422 0.016* 8 Awareness to energy efficiency 2.068 0.040* Adjusted R2 0.937 F-test 0.000 *Significant at the 0.05 level or better (p<0.05); **Significant at the 0.01 level or better (p<0.01)

24 Current Policies in Residential Sector
Measures Description Urban greening program Regulated by the National Act No 26/2007 on Spatial Planning that every city should provide a minimum of 30% open spaces of the total area. The One Million Trees Program Energy saving program In the national level policies, under the Ministry of Resources and Energy by providing lamp that can increase energy safety in the house and also campaign to turn off the electricity if it is not used anymore. Mass transportation and reduce private vehicles The Government of Bandung City is planning to establish a bus lane called the Trans Metro Bandung (TMB). Gasification of cooking fuel Changing kerosene use to LPG. This program is targeted especially for the low-income people who mostly use kerosene for their cooking stove. Urban planning The city’s plan is formulated under the Spatial Plan of Bandung City Urban design policies (building codes/ regulations) Government of Bandung City has also formulated several building regulations.

25 Potential Measures in Different Urban Residential Density Areas
Response to Potential Measures High Density Area Medium Density Area Low Density Area Type of housing Status of housing Condition of public transport Number of vehicles Electricity cost Transportation cost Awareness of respondents Gender perspective Regulatory measure Land use planning *** ** * Building design and standard Economic measure Financial incentives Tax incentives Subsidies Suasive measure Awareness campaign Public education *Low; **Average; ***Strong Three main kinds of Environmental Management Measures (EMM) are considered as a response to key influencing factors, current policies and respondents respond.

26 Conclusions It can be found that high density area has generated much lower energy use and carbon emission rather than low and medium density area. Thus, the behavior and attitude of consumers of residents in different type of residential density areas have influenced the energy use and carbon emission. In general, factors contributing to carbon emission are energy use, public transport, and individual factor. In addition, factors contributing to energy use are energy use, housing factor, and individual factor. There are several potential measures which address on key influencing factors and respondent responds for each type of environmental management measures, such as urban land use planning and building standards, financial incentives, subsidies and awareness campaign. Because high density area’s residents are not much using vehicle to destination place and not much home appliances that they used because mostly the people who stay in this place are low-medium income people. It differs than low density area that percentage of home appliance and vehicle using is much higher than high density area. Nurrohman Wijaya

27 Recommendations It needs integrated public transport by considering quantity and quality, especially in low density suburban area, and improvement the condition of high density area to build high rise building such as apartment, multi-stories low cost building, etc. by considering the availability of facilities and better environment. An Approach to Energy Efficient City and Low Carbon City Related to Urban Residential Sector Integrating energy efficiency and carbon emission in spatial planning measure. Encouraging financial incentives in term of green energy and building. Promoting public education to citizen about energy efficiency and carbon emission reduction to local authorities and citizens with purpose to enhance awareness and knowledge.

28 Energy Efficiency City and Low Carbon City
Towards Energy Efficient City and Low Carbon City Related to Urban Residential Density in A Developing City Energy Efficiency City and Low Carbon City Integrating energy efficiency & carbon emission in spatial planning measure Promoting public education Encouraging financial incentives

29 THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION


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