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LONDON 2012 Managing risks for the London Olympic
THE INSPIRATIONAL OLYMPIC & PARALYMPIC GAMES Managing risks for the London Olympic Transport programme – A glimpse Dr Das Mootanah Olympic Delivery Authority Presentation to ACCA Network 30 June 2008 30 June 2008
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AGENDA Olympic Programme Overview Transport Programme Overview
Transport Risk Management Lessons Learnt so far Questions 30 June 2008
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Olympic Programme Overview
The Olympic Games is the world’s biggest event The Paralympic Games takes place two weeks later 203 countries 5,000 Olympic Family 17,800 athletes & team officials 22,000 media 7.7 million tickets sold 170 countries 1,000 Paralympic Family 4,000 athletes & team officials 4,000 media 1.4 million tickets sold 100,000 workforce including volunteers 4 billion global audience 30 June 2008
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LONDON 2012 OBJECTIVES To stage an inspirational Olympic Games and Paralympic Games for the athletes, the Olympic Family and the viewing public 2. To deliver the Olympic Park and all venues on time, within agreed budget and to specification, minimising the call on public funds and providing for a sustainable legacy 3. To maximise the economic, social, health and environmental benefits of the Games for the UK, particularly through regeneration and sustainable development in East London 4. To achieve a sustained improvement in UK sport before, during and after the Games, in both elite performance – particularly in Olympic and Paralympic sports – and grassroots participation 30 June 2008
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ODA OBJECTIVES Create infrastructure and facilities associated with Games venues to time and agreed budget in accordance with the principles of sustainable development Deliver Olympic and Paralympic venues to time, to design and building specification and to agreed budget, providing for agreed legacy use Deliver necessary transport infrastructure for Games, and devise and implement effective transport plans which provide for legacy use Deliver agreed sustainable legacy plans for the Olympic Park and all venues 30 June 2008
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OLYMPIC TIMELINE DEMOLISH DIG DESIGN THE BIG BUILD TESTING & FINAL
2006 / 7 TO BEIJING 2008 / 2011 2012 DEMOLISH DIG DESIGN THE BIG BUILD TESTING & FINAL PREPARATIONS START UP 30 June 2008
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OLYMPIC BUDGET Base costs: £5,117m ODA Base Budget = £6,090m
(incl. Site preparation & infrastructure, Venues, Transport, Other Park wide projects, Olympic Village, International Broadcast Centre / Main Press Centre, Programme Delivery, Tax) Project Contingency: £973m ODA Base Budget = £6,090m ODA Programme Contingency: £968m Funders’ Group Contingency: £1,041m Total funding available to the ODA: £8,099m Other costs and provisions (Non-ODA): Support for elite & community sport, Paralympics: £388m Policing & wider security: £600m Contingency for policing & wider security : £238m Total: £9,325m Funded by Lottery, Council Tax, the Mayor, Central Government Source: NAO Report, June 08 30 June 2008
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WHO WE ARE IOC ‘deliver venues, facilities and infrastructure LOCOG
and transport on time for the London 2012 Olympic Games and Paralympic Games that are fit-for-purpose and in a way that maximises the delivery of a sustainable legacy within the available budget’ LOCOG Contract holder Olympic Delivery Authority Olympic Act Land Olympic Park ODA Transport CLM Delivery Partners: TfL, NR, TOCs, Local Authorities, BAA, Highways Agency, Eurostar, Javelin – CTRL, Rivers Industry 30 June 2008
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LEVELS OF SCRUTINY DCMS
National Audit Office – Financial & Value for Money Office of Government Commerce Commission for Sustainable London Funders – GLA, LDA, Lottery, Sport England Olympic Family Members – OPRG, LOCOG, IOC, BOA Centre for the Protection of National Infrastructure Parliamentary Committees Funders Committee Government Departments – DfT, HMT -….THE MEDIA! 30 June 2008
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TRANSPORT PROGRAMME OVERVIEW
30 June 2008
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GAMES TRANSPORT: THE CHALLENGE
Provide safe, secure and reliable transport for all client groups Keep London moving and make hosting the Games a positive experience for the whole city Leave a legacy and facilitate the regeneration of East London Achieve maximum value for money and minimise cost Prioritising athletes Getting the Olympic and Paralympic Families to their venues by road on the Olympic Route Network A public transport Games 100% spectator use of public transport, walking and cycling facilities An accessible Games Making the transport network more accessible to everyone and in good time for the Games A sustainable Games Use of existing network minimising need for additional Games specific projects and services and integrated plans for Olympic and Paralympic Games 30 June 2008
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GAMES TRANSPORT STRATEGY
Prioritising athletes Getting the Olympic and Paralympic Families to their venues by road on the Olympic Route Network A public transport Games 100% spectator use of public transport, walking and cycling facilities An accessible Games Making the transport network more accessible to everyone and in good time for the Games A sustainable Games Use of existing network minimising need for additional Games specific projects and services and integrated plans for Olympic and Paralympic Games 30 June 2008
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SUMMER 2012: KEY DATES Total Duration 60 days
13 July Olympic Village Opens 27 July Opening Ceremony 12 August Closing Ceremony 29 August Paralympic Opening Ceremony 9 Sept Paralympic Closing Ceremony 14 Sept Olympic Village Closes Total Duration 60 days Arrival & Training Games Time Departure, Arrival & Training Games Time Departure Games Timetable, Arrival and training before and between games periods Training venues???? Operation of Core ORN could be throughout the games but could be limited on certain sections if not in use. 30 June 2008
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OLYMPIC AND PARALYMPIC FAMILY TRANSPORT
55,000 Olympic Family and 16,500 Paralympic Family members - Athletes, Officials, Media representatives, VIPs, marketing partners Safe, secure and reliable service Olympic Family transported by cars, MPVs and coaches Aim for journey times of less than 30 minutes wherever possible Aim to set down Olympic and Paralympic Family personnel as close as possible to the entrance to the venue Distinct and separate coach transport for athletes, technical officials, accredited media and sponsors 30 June 2008
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GAMES TRANSPORT COORDINATION CENTRE
TCC - one facility to co-ordinate all modes of public transport and the Olympic Route Network 30 June 2008
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SPECTATOR TRANSPORT: THE OLYMPIC PARK
Best ever connected Olympic Park 10 Tube and rail lines Use 3 gateway stations One train will arrive every 15 seconds Capacity of 240,000 passengers an hour 80% of all spectators for the Park will travel by rail 30 June 2008
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WALKING AND CYCLING Low cost, healthy, sustainable and efficient mode of transport option for spectators and workforce for Games Assists with easing public transport overcrowding in peaks during Games Key element in delivering London 2012 sustainability themes (climate change, healthy living and inclusivity) London 2012 a great opportunity to boost long term development of walking and quality pedestrian environments in London Vision and Opportunity - The London 2012 Olympic Games offers a fantastic opportunity to give walking a boost London - Define walking (ODA Transport role) spectators and workforce in Games time (and some Games family) Benefits of walking are well rehearsed: - More on opportunity (health, obesity issues, great way to see London, low cost and efficient) - Practical benefits - Hits 2012 sustainability themes (Greenest Games ever) 30 June 2008
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ROUTES AND INFRASTRUCTURE
Investment in high quality ‘Green’ corridors Focus on Olympic Park and River Zone venues Improvements also being delivered at other London venues and venues outside London Other existing routes to be promoted for Games Focus investment on key links between rail interchanges, residential areas and OP. Off road, Green corridors into the OP. At least one on road corridor. includes ped. crossings. primary focus of 2km around OP venue for investment. Plugging into Games time entrance locations (which will also be legacy entrance locations). Looking at signage strategy within and around venue including Legible London 30 June 2008
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VENUE TRANSPORT PLANNING
Service Delivery Plans: Rail, bus and coach Local Transport Policies & Programmes Olympic Route Network Venue Transport Plans Parking & Traffic Management Venue Overlay design Active Spectator Programme Emergency Plans IOC IPC LOCOG 30 June 2008
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ACCESSIBLE TRANSPORT STRATEGY
Promotes an inclusive approach Games for the Nation Focus UK wide improvements Set out the planned, pre 2012 improvements Develop new ideas for Games time Games Network of Accessible Transport (GNAT) 30 June 2008
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KEY SCHEMES Olympic Family Transport Games-time Operations
Competition Venues & Supporting Events Surface Transport; Cycling & Walking Heavy Rail Stratford Regional Station Docklands Light Railway London Underground North London Line Park & Ride Javelin (Orient Way) 30 June 2008
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BACKGROUND SCHEMES Lead Project British Airports Authority
Terminal 5 Heathrow Phase 1 Terminal 5 Heathrow Phase 2 Heathrow Express Terminal 5 to London Extension to the Piccadilly underground line to Heathrow Terminal 5 London Underground Jubilee line upgrade Northern line upgrade Central line upgrade Underground stations upgrade Victoria line upgrade Heavy rail East London Line Phase 1 CTRL Project Phase 2 Southern Regional trains power upgrade Chiltern Line Asset renewals Docklands Light Railway (DLR) DLR to London City Airport DLR extension to Woolwich DLR train car upgrade DLR additional platforms at Stratford Transport for London (TfL) A13 road works East London Transit Greenwich waterfront Table 7.2: Spectator transport background schemes 30 June 2008
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£5 BILLION BACKGROUND SCHEMES WELL UNDERWAY
Jubilee Line: new signalling Northern Line: new signalling Victoria Line: new trains East London Line Extension King’s Cross St Pancras: new station High Speed 1: new railway Brussels is 1hr 40 mins from the Olympic Park Paris is 2 hrs 10 mins from the Olympic Park High speed services for Kent 30 June 2008
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PROGRAMME MANAGEMENT APPROACH
Accountability for success resides with client managers; responsibility for delivery with delivery partners 30 June 2008
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TRANSPORT PROGRAMME MANAGEMENT
Drive Transport programme budget & scope Assure timely and effective progress reporting Assure risk and opportunity management Provide programme assurance & change control Promote improvement to project performance Support for audits and gateway reviews Promote excellence and best practices Cross cutting functions: H&S; sustainability; environment; quality 30 June 2008
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REVIEW PLAN DO TRANSPORT PROGRAMME ASSURANCE MAINTAIN ASSURE CHANGE
Definitions ASSURE: A record that requirements have been met by which confidence in the output is expressed. MAINTAIN: Continuing, like for like, status quo, local update, simple, insignificant change. CHANGE: Challenge status-quo (brings significant change) TRANSPORT PROGRAMME ASSURANCE ISO Certificate ODA Corporate Plan ODA Finance Policy REVIEW ODA Business Plan Audit Reports & Action Plans ODA Executive Management Board ODA Risk & Audit Plans & Processes ODA Programme Assurance Processes Business Continuity policy PLAN PMO Team ODA Programme Board Transport strategy & Demand forecasting ODA Procurement Code and Policy Olympic Programme Procurement Review Board PMO Review & Challenge Transport Programme Key Milestones ODA Risk Management Strategy & Framework Olympic Programme Change Control Board Programme reviews Workstream plans Olympic Family & Surface Transport PEP ODA Sustainability Policy ODA Equality and Diversity Policy Budget reviews Risk Review Group Strategic Planning PEP ODA Health & Safety Policy Risk reviews MAINTAIN Rail Programme Execution Plan PM PEP ODA Communications Strategy & Policies Olympic Transport Project Board Contract reviews Programme and Projects Risk Registers Transport SSHEQ Plans ASSURE Joint Transport Executive Committee with LOCOG Change Control CHANGE Stakeholder & Comms PEP Olympic Transport Plan Olympic Transport Rail Steering Group Scope reviews Provide Safe, Secure, Inclusive, Fast, Reliable Transport for Olympic Family & Paralympic Client Groups Provide Frequent, Reliable, Friendly, Inclusive, Accessible, Environmentally-Friendly, Simple Transport for Spectator & Workforce Manage Boundaries & Interfaces Transport Business Plan Olympic Transport Surface Steering Group Project Progress reviews with Delivery Partners Transport Programme Management Plan QMS Accreditation ISO Integrated Transport Planning Forum with LOCOG Transport SSHEQ Strategy Rail Projects Board Review Assure VFM Regeneration of East-London & Leave Positive Legacy Keep London & UK moving Senior management review Transport Stakeholder Comms Forward Plan Transport Procurement Strategy Staff performance and appraisals review Formal & Informal Management Meetings (ODAT) Training & Development requirements Transport Procurement Assurance Transport Risk Management Strategy Audit Reports Procure & Manage Suppliers Contract Management SSHEQ work Develop and Update Transport Programme and Projects Risk Registers Change Management Manage Projects, stakeholders impact Compliance with ISO Standards Transport Programme planning Project Management Best Practice Knowledge Management Programme Progress Dashboard reporting Monitor Commitments Register Compliance Develop & manage project funding & budgets CLM Programme Board Reporting Audit/Gateway Reviews Maintain Reports to Funders + Other Government Committees Compliance with ODA Legal and Contractual Requirements Management Information Reports Assure Programme Assurance Reports Projects Initiation Processes DO 30 June 2008
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TRANSPORT RISK MANAGEMENT
Risk assessment offers a view into the future – by taking past & current knowledge & experience, considering the “unknown knowns” and making an informed judgement about uncertainties and risks that could affect the set strategy/objectives/plans 30 June 2008
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KEY CHALLENGES THAT BRING RISK
Maintain strategic direction amidst changing circumstances and challenges (Olympics / high profile / mega projects / heavy scrutiny / compact location / multiple & diverse stakeholders) Managing risks between ODAT and stakeholders Diverse nature of projects and optimum project risk Immediacy of delivery risk from some projects Risks and opportunities in relation to operational planning Organisational transition between now (planning) and 2012 (operational) Increase focus on Games-time risks as we get closer Prepare for any future unknown unknowns 30 June 2008
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SCOPE OF RISK MANAGEMENT COVERED
Risks and opportunities in achieving ODA transport objectives and commitments Programmes and Projects delivery risks relevant to Transport portfolio Focusing on financial/funding and time/schedule/deadlines implications Areas such as Health & Safety; Security etc are major separate specialist pieces of work in their own right Evolving amidst rapid change and complex delivery: as we get closer to Games-Time, focus will change radically 30 June 2008
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RISK – 3 LINES OF DEFENCE 1st Line 2nd Line 3rd Line Leading Practice
External Stakeholders Risk Management “Lines of Defence” Key: Extended Enterprise First Line of defence Second line of defence Third line of defence 1st Line 2nd Line 3rd Line DCMS ODA Board Audit Committee Leading Practice LOCOG Corporate ODA EMB Other external stakeholders – incl GLA, LDA, IOC, Treasury etc. Risk Review Panel External Stakeholders Risk Management “Lines of Defence” Risk and Audit Programme Board Programme Assurance Tailored to meet specific 2012 needs Programme Delivery Partner Audit reviews Project Third Party Project teams
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ODA RISK GOVERNANCE FRAMEWORK
EMB EXECUTIVE RISK REVIEW PROGRAMME BOARD PROGRAMME RISK REVIEW Risk Management Teams P R O J E C T B O A R D S 30 June 2008
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ODA RISK MANAGEMENT REPORTS
Corporate / Board level Programme - wide Transport Projects and Games-time operational Risk Identification and Documentation Assessment & Analysis Risk Mitigation & Control Monitoring and Communication
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RISK MANAGEMENT CULTURE WITHIN ODA
RM – part of Corporate governance Board, Risk Committee, Audit Committee Staff job description – compliance with ODA risk mgt policy Project Sponsors, Managers need to know and manage risks to project objectives Risk management is integrated to what we do: Corporate and organisational Programmes and Projects Safety and Security Escalate Mitigate Prioritise Review Assess Record Identify
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WHERE ARE WE NOW IN MANAGING TRANSPORT RISK?
RM Phase Identification / capture Assessment Validation Prioritisation, escalation, reporting Ownership and management Achieved a good view of our quantified risk exposure and contingency requirements towards 2012 Achieved structured reporting Risks and mitigations are actively discussed with risk owners Scope-related risks also included and dealt with to achieve scope clarity and reduce risk exposure 2012 Risk management vision forward 30 June 2008
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WHERE ARE WE NOW IN MANAGING TRANSPORT RISK?
STRUCTURED RISK REGISTERS Monthly reviews & reports to Senior Management & Programme Board but new risks captured as and when known Active Risk Management Process: Risk owners challenged on progressing mitigation actions Escalation: depending on relevance for Board Management action, overall impact on the programme and any dependence with other areas Risk Management used as an active decision-making tool RM Phase Identification / capture Assessment Validation Prioritisation, escalation, reporting Ownership and management 30 June 2008
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RISK ASSESSMENT APPROACH
Olympic Family Transport Games-time Operations Competition Venues & Supporting Events Surface Transport; Cycling & Walking Heavy Rail Stratford Regional Station Docklands Light Railway London Underground North London Line Park & Ride Javelin (Orient Way) Split into 25 work-packages/projects 30 June 2008
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RISK CLASSIFICATION – PRUDENT & PROPORTIONATE APPROACH
Projects that are fully funded and/or managed by ODAT Projects for which ODAT might incur risk, albeit very small Projects which are part-funded by ODAT (under Funding Agreement) and for which the funding is capped These risk classifications are based on the current agreements/contracts between ODAT and its delivery partners and is correct at this point in time. As the project progresses the risk profile will change and projects will move from one class to another. 30 June 2008
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EXAMPLE RISK CATEGORIES / THEMES (NOT EXHAUSTIVE & IN NO PARTICULAR ORDER)
Objectives and Strategy Stakeholders Complexity and Programmes interfaces, interdependencies Scope change / creep Specification and design Contracts and procurement Organisation, procedures, processes Economic and Financial Resources Estimating uncertainty Access / possessions Property and Land issues Consents, Statutory, Regulatory External Events Security Health & Safety Quality & Performance Environment, Sustainability Access & Inclusion Statutory Taxes and Fees Operational planning and implementation Technical Approvals Insurance Unforeseen ground conditions 30 June 2008
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QUANTIFIED RISK ANALYSES FOR PROJECTS (ILLUSTRATIVE GRAPHICS – NOT REAL)
Statistical analysis of risk events (likelihood and impact) based on Monte-Carlo simulation Where P80 is the 80% confidence level that the project cost won’t be exceeded 30 June 2008
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CONTINGENCY MANAGEMENT
Quarterly review of quantified risk assessment for the whole programme Any change in project contingency is heavily scrutinised and go through a strict change control process We are focusing on active risk management and prevention as far as possible 30 June 2008
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RISK MANAGEMENT: FIT FOR PURPOSE
Clear and transparent Risk and assurance process and ownership Practical risk capture Live assessment Effective escalation of key risks Risk and opportunity management fit for purpose and adds value Board Programme-wide Operational Projects 30 June 2008
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LESSONS LEARNT SO FAR Risk Management is the Conscience of an organisation People-based approach (top-down and bottom-up) Build a culture of risk awareness, prioritisation and mitigation Assign risk ownership to the right level of responsibility Though necessary, be wary of over-quantifying risk Set your risk appetite, focus on risk prevention, control and reduction Allow for potential unknown unknowns in the assessment – especially amidst complexity, change, time & budget constraint and high profile circumstances 30 June 2008
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SUMMARY The sheer scale and complexity of the programme is mind-blowing and demands brilliant execution We are committed to the delivery of the programme and to sound risk governance The challenge facing Risk Management is immense and akin to that facing the athletes taking part…. to achieve the best We are prepared for the challenge. 30 June 2008
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