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Crop Market Outlook Crop Management Clinic Ames, Iowa July 13, 2017

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Presentation on theme: "Crop Market Outlook Crop Management Clinic Ames, Iowa July 13, 2017"— Presentation transcript:

1 Crop Market Outlook Crop Management Clinic Ames, Iowa July 13, 2017
Chad Hart Associate Professor/Crop Marketing Specialist 1 1

2 U.S. Corn Supply and Use 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Area Planted
(mil. acres) 95.4 90.6 88.0 94.0 90.9 Yield (bu./acre) 158.1 171.0 168.4 174.6 170.7 Production (mil. bu.) 13,829 14,216 13,602 15,148 14,255 Beg. Stocks 821 1,232 1,731 1,737 2,370 Imports 36 32 67 55 50 Total Supply 14,686 15,479 15,401 16,940 16,675 Feed & Residual 5,040 5,280 5,120 5,425 5,475 Ethanol 5,124 5,200 5,224 5,450 5,500 Food, Seed, & Other 1,369 1,401 1,422 1,470 1,500 Exports 1,920 1,867 1,898 2,225 1,875 Total Use 13,454 13,748 13,664 14,570 14,350 Ending Stocks 2,325 Season-Average Price ($/bu.) 4.46 3.70 3.61 3.35 3.30 Source: USDA-WAOB 2 2

3 U.S. Soybean Supply and Use
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Area Planted (mil. acres) 76.8 83.3 82.7 83.4 89.5 Yield (bu./acre) 44.0 47.5 48.0 52.1 Production (mil. bu.) 3,358 3,927 3,926 4,307 4,260 Beg. Stocks 141 92 191 197 410 Imports 72 33 24 25 Total Supply 3,570 4,052 4,140 4,528 4,695 Crush 1,734 1,873 1,886 1,900 1,950 Seed & Residual 107 146 122 118 135 Exports 1,638 1,842 1,936 2,100 2,150 Total Use 3,478 3,862 3,944 4,118 4,235 Ending Stocks 460 Season-Average Price ($/bu.) 13.00 10.10 8.95 9.50 9.40 Source: USDA-WAOB 3 3

4 National Corn Crop Ratings
Source: USDA-NASS 4 4

5 National Soybean Crop Ratings
Source: USDA-NASS 5 5

6 2-week Temperature Outlook
Source: NOAA-CPC 6 6

7 2-week Precipitation Outlook
Source: NOAA-CPC 7 7

8 World Corn Production Source: USDA-WAOB 8 8

9 World Soybean Production
Source: USDA-WAOB 9 9

10 U.S. Meat Production & Prices
Source: USDA-WAOB 10 10

11 U.S. Meat Trade Million pounds Source: USDA-WAOB 11 11

12 Corn Export Sales Source: USDA-FAS

13 Change in Corn Export Sales
Source: USDA-FAS

14 Soybean Export Sales Source: USDA-FAS

15 Change in Soybean Export Sales
Source: USDA-FAS

16 Corn Grind for Ethanol

17 Current Corn Futures 4.16 3.99 Source: CME Group, 7/12/2017

18 Current Soybean Futures
10.21 10.09 Source: CME Group, 7/12/2017

19 2017/18 Crop Margins

20 Iowa Corn Prices vs. Costs

21 Iowa Soybean Prices vs. Costs

22 Thank you for your time. Any questions. My web site: http://www2. econ
Thank you for your time! Any questions? My web site: Iowa Farm Outlook: Ag Decision Maker:


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