BALANCING REALITY AND HOPE AS WE MOVE TOWARDS THE 2 ND WORLD CONFERENCE ON DISASTER RESILIENCE (06/08/2014 Draft ) Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA

THE 1 ST WORLD CONFERENCE WAS CONVENED SHORTLY AFTER THE DECEMER 26, 2004 BANDE ACHE, INDONESIA EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DISASTER, WHICH LEFT OVER 200,000 DEAD

THE 1 ST WORLD CONFERENCE WAS, BY EXTENSION, A PRODUCT OF THE INTERNATIONAL DECADE FOR NATURAL DISASTER REDUCTION (IDNDR), WHICH WAS ADOPTED UNANOMOUSLY BY THE UNITED NATIONS ON DECEMBER 31, 1089

THE 1 ST WORLD CONFERENCE WAS A PRODUCT OF THE FIRST FIVE YEARS OF LEADERSHIP OF THE INTERNATIONAL STRATEGY FOR DISASTER REDUCTIONDR) (ISDR)

THE 1 ST WORLD CONFERENCE WAS CONVENED IN KOBE, JAPAN IN JANUARY 2005, AND LED TO THE HYOGO FRAMEWORK FOR ACTION

GOAL: A GLOBAL CULTURE OF DISASTER RESILIECE IN OUR GENERATION

THE GOAL OF EVERY COMMUNITY DISASTERS RESIL- IENCE! …EVEN THOUGH NATURAL HAZARDS (E.G., FLOODS, SEVERE WINDSTORMS, EARTHQUAKES, DROUGHTS) ARE INEVITABLE FOR EVERY COMMUNITY. DISASTERS RESIL- IENCE! …EVEN THOUGH NATURAL HAZARDS (E.G., FLOODS, SEVERE WINDSTORMS, EARTHQUAKES, DROUGHTS) ARE INEVITABLE FOR EVERY COMMUNITY.

REALITY CHECK: ARE WE MORE OR LESS DISASTER RESILIENT NOW? THE ANSWER IS “PROBABLY NOT!” IN SPITE OF 25 YEARS OF CUMMULATIVE HIGH-QUALITY LEADERSHIP BY THE UNITED NATIONS DURING THE DECADE OF THE 1990’S UNDER THE IDNDR AND DURING THE PAST 1 ½ DECADES UNDER THE ISDR.

WE KNOW WHAT TO DO, HOW TO DO IT, WHY TO DO IT, WHEN TO DO IT, and WHERE TO DO IT

COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY DATA BASES AND INFORMATION HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS HAZARD MAPS INVENTORY VULNERABILITY LOCATION RISK ASSESSMENT RISK ACCEPTABLE RISK UNACCEPTABLE RISK ANTICIPATORY DECISIONS EDUCATIONAL SURGES MITIGATION PREPAREDNESS EMERGENCY RESPONSE RECOVERY and RECONSTRUCTION RISK MANAGEMENT

HAZARDSHAZARDS PHYSICAL ELEMENTS THAT CONTINUE TO LEAD TO DISASTERS IN EVERY NATION PHYSICAL ELEMENTS THAT CONTINUE TO LEAD TO DISASTERS IN EVERY NATION EXPOSUREEXPOSURE VULNERABILITYVULNERABILITY LOCATIONLOCATION RISKRISK

WHERE ARE THE COMMUNITIES THAT NEED ADDITIONAL CAPACITY 200 NATIONS AND 7+ BILLION PEOPLE 200 NATIONS AND 7+ BILLION PEOPLE NORTH AMERICA NORTH AMERICA CARIBBEAN BASIN CARIBBEAN BASIN SUB-SAHARA AFRICA SUB-SAHARA AFRICA MEDITER- RANEAN MEDITER- RANEAN ISLAND NATIONS ISLAND NATIONS ASIA SOUTH AMERICA SOUTH AMERICA EUROPE

IT’S TIME FOR A CRITICAL EVALUATION, SO TEN YEARS LATER IN 2015 THE GLOBAL COMMUNITY OF NATIONS IS PLANNING A 2 ND WORLD CONFERENCE

SO, IF IT IS NOT LEADERSHIP AND NOT KNOWLEDGE, WHAT IS KEEPING US FROM MEETING THE GOALS OF THE HYOGO FRAMEWORK FOR ACTION ON A GLOBAL SCALE?

WE HATE TO ADMIT IT, BUT WE HAVE TO CHANGE OUR WAY OF THINKING BEFORE WE CAN CHANGE OUR WAY OF ACTING

APATHYAPATHY SOCIAL ELEMENTS THAT PREVENT US FROM MEETING OUR GLOBAL GOALS UNWISE DECISIONS NARROW- MINDEDNESS IGNORANCEIGNORANCE RISKRISK

THE STRATEGY Engage a new generation of politicians, business leaders, scientists, engineers, the media,...others as stakeholders in a concerted effort to make every global community disaster resilient.

GIVE THEM A TITLE AND THE 2015 CHALLENGE Engage the new corps of “Ambassadors for Global Disaster Resilience” (i.e., those who are willing to commit to the goal of building global capacity for disaster resilience).

DISASTER RESILIENCE REQUIRES A “24/7” EFFORT A 24/7 EFFORT IS NEEDED TO BUILD THE CAPACITY NEEDED TO IMPLEMENT THE PILLARS OF DISASTER RES- ILIENCE.

NEXT: CAPACITIZING AND PARTNERNING Build capacity and partner- ships simultaneously in the community of politicians, business leaders, scientists, engineers, the media,... others and work together in a concerted global effort.

HOW TO FAIL FACT: NO COMMUNITY CAN BECOME DISASTER RESILIENT BY WORKING ALONE WITHOUT GOALS OR CAPACITY FACT: NO COMMUNITY CAN BECOME DISASTER RESILIENT BY WORKING ALONE WITHOUT GOALS OR CAPACITY FACT: NO COMMUNITY CAN BECOME DISASTER RESILIENT BY WORKING ALONE WITHOUT GOALS OR CAPACITY GUARANTEED!GUARANTEED! HIGH DISASTER RISK NO CAPACITY FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE EDUCATION THAT DOES NOT BUILD CAPACITY

HOW TO SUCCEED POLITICALPROCECESESPOLITICALPROCECESES PHYSICAL SCIENCES ENGINEERINGSCIENCESENGINEERINGSCIENCES SUCCESS: INCREASING DISASTER RESILIENCE IN EVERY COMMUNITY STRATEGIC GOAL: WORKING TOGETHER TO INCREASE CAPACITY IN EVERY COMMUNITY

COMMUNITY CAPACITY COMMUNITY CAPACITY GOAL: DISASTER RESILIENCE PRIVATE SECTOR PUBLIC SECTOR ACADEMIA FUNCTIONAL NETWORKING CHANNELS INFORMATION NETWORKING CHANNELS ORGANIZATION NETWORKING CHANNELS WORKING TOGETHER COMMUNITYSTAKEHOLDERS Stratec Consulting

A RENEWED GLOBAL SURGE OF HOPE AND ENTHUSIASM A HISTORIC EFFORT THAT WILL BENEFIT EVERY NATION

2015 IS A GOOD TIME FOR A GLOBAL SURGE IN EDUCATIONAL, TECHNICAL AND POLITICAL CAPACITY BUILDING TO MAKE ALL COMMUNITIES OF THE WORLD DISASTER RESILIENT

WE HAVE COMMON ASSETS SO, LET’S USE THEM

SURGE VISION: INFUSION OF KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCE BY 1,000,000+ NEW “AMBASSADORS FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE” IN AN ONGOING, CONCERTED EFFORT TO CREATE TURNING POINTS FOR DISASTER-RISK RESILIENCE IN EVERY NATION

THE KEY IS BEING STRATEGIC AND TACTICAL START NOW WHERE YOU LIVE! START WITH EXISTING PARTNERS AND ADD NEW PARTNERS! START WITH YOUR HOME! START WITH YOUR SCHOOLS! START WITH YOUR COMMUNITY!

THE BIG FOUR IN THE COMMUNITY MAKE THE DIFFERENCE EDUCATORS CITIZENS EDUCATORS CITIZENS STAKE- HOLDERS (PRACTI- TIONERS) POWER STRUCTURE (POLICY MAKERS ) STAKE- HOLDERS (PRACTI- TIONERS) POWER STRUCTURE (POLICY MAKERS )

FOUR STRATEGIES THAT WORK MAKE THE GOAL CLEAR MAKE THE GOAL AND ITS BENEFITS AND BARRIERS EASY TO VISUALIZE MAKE THE GOAL POPULAR MAKE THE GOAL A MANDATE FOR ADOPTING AND IMPLEMENTING A HIGHER-POWER STRATEGY

UNDERSTAND OUR COMMON BARRIERS TO SUCCESS

BARRIERS TO A GLOBAL SURGE “MYTH” A GENERAL SOLUTION WILL WORK FOR EVERY COMMUNITY “MYTH” A GENERAL SOLUTION WILL WORK FOR EVERY COMMUNITY “REALITY” EACH COM- MUNITY NEEDS SITE- SPECIFIC INFORMATION AND STRATEGIES “REALITY” EACH COM- MUNITY NEEDS SITE- SPECIFIC INFORMATION AND STRATEGIES

BARRIERS IN A GLOBAL SURGE “MYTH” PROFESSIONAL PRACTICE ALWAYS KEEPS PACE WITH KNOWLEDGE “MYTH” PROFESSIONAL PRACTICE ALWAYS KEEPS PACE WITH KNOWLEDGE “REALITY” EVERY DISASTER IS A NEW LEARNING EXPERIENCE FOR EVERY COMMUNITY “REALITY” EVERY DISASTER IS A NEW LEARNING EXPERIENCE FOR EVERY COMMUNITY

BARRIERS FACED BY CHAMPIONS OF SUSTAINABILITY “MYTH” PROFESSIONAL EDUCATION IS A SHORT PROCESS “MYTH” PROFESSIONAL EDUCATION IS A SHORT PROCESS “REALITY” PROFESSIONAL EDUCATION IS A LONG PROCESS THAT MUST BE NURTURED AND SUSTAINED “REALITY” PROFESSIONAL EDUCATION IS A LONG PROCESS THAT MUST BE NURTURED AND SUSTAINED

SURGE ATTRIBUTES LEADERSHIP INNOVATION PARTNERSHIPS FOCUS SURGE TARGETS SURGE TARGETS PROFESSIONAL EDUCATION CODES & STANDARDS COMMUNITY PLANNING IDENTIFY/ FIX VULNERABILITIES COMMUNITY READINESS PUBLIC AWARENESS