Consider: What factors make someone more likely to be a Democrat? A Republican? The Last Word: Assignment 8 for tomorrow.

Unit 2: AP Gov

Patterns in Vote Choice  In terms of ideology, income, education, race/ethnicity, gender and religion…  Who is more likely to vote Republican?  Who is more likely to vote Democrat? Prospective vs. Retrospective judgment Which is more fair? Which should you use?

The GOPs “demographic problem”

Closing thought:  Did you know…  “People of color” already make up nearly a majority of the under-18 population nationally. (48% to 52%)

Consider: What makes a person more likely to vote? The Last Word: Assignment 9 for tomorrow. "Last night, Bobby Jindal announced that he is dropping out of the race for president. I guess that after talking it over with family and friends, he realized that even THEY didn't know he was running for president." –Jimmy Fallon "Jeb Bush is on Snapchat. He's been on for a while because he's cool too. The Bush campaign launched a contest people can enter to win a chance to have dinner with Jeb Bush. The contest is called, 'Will someone please come hang out with me?'" –Jimmy Kimmel "Bernie Sanders will deliver a speech tomorrow, which pundits say will seek to clarify his identity as a Democratic socialist. He’ll explain that 'Democratic' means he believes everyone should have an equal say, and 'socialist' means he’s not getting elected." –Seth Meyers "Governor Chris Christie said in an interview yesterday that New Jersey would not accept Syrian refugees. Which is too bad, because Syrian refugees would be the first people ever to arrive in New Jersey and say, 'Hey, this is MUCH better!'" –Seth Meyers

What factors make people more likely to vote?  Party ID - Who votes more: Dems or Reps?  Income and Education  Why might turnout actually decline as levels of schooling increase in some cases?  Age - Older more likely than younger…why?  Religious involvement – the more, the more likely…  Gender – women slightly higher  Race = whites more than blacks  Unless at same socioeconomic level (blacks more)  **The Type of Election  Impediments to participation…  Registration requirements  No cost to not participating  Too busy

Consider: What makes a person more likely to vote? The Last Word: Assignment 9 for Monday; quiz due date and MC test Tuesday.

How do people decide?  Cross-pressures sometimes make voting difficult for people  Examples of different “cross-pressures” that might make choosing a candidate difficult?

Voter Profile Quiz  For each of the descriptions that follow, determine:  A) Whether the person is a likely voter  B) What characteristics make them likely or unlikely to vote  C) If voting, which party they would be most likely to support  D) What current issues might be important to that person?

Voter Perspective 1  John is 46 year-old black male. He is an electrician who makes $65,000 a year, and has been a member of the Electrical Workers Union for approximately 20 years. He is very religious, attending a Methodist church each week. He is married with 3 children. He gets most of his news from newspapers and Fox News.

Voter Perspective 2  Maria is a Latino mother of 2 who just turned 35. She is a lawyer for a large law firm, and makes about $120,000 per year. She is a member of the Pennsylvania Bar Association, a devout Catholic, and has been married for 5 years. She uses the Internet for her news, pays attention to several political blogs, and occasionally responds herself to the postings she reads.

Voter Perspective 3  Eric is a white male, and a recent college graduate from Penn State in the area of business administration. He is 24, single, and just moved to New York City. He is not religious, and spends a good deal of his free time following sports and spending time out and about in New York City.

Voter Perspective 4  Sophia is a 73 year-old white female, and a grandmother of 6. She is retired from a lifetime as a public school teacher, and receives both a pension and social security. She and her husband live in a retirement community in Vermont, and attend their Methodist church every Sunday. She listens to NPR and watches PBS in order to stay current with the news.