IEc INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, INCORPORATED Proposed Methodology and Action Plan to Develop the Impact Assessment and Menu of Adaptation Options for Uzbekistan.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

DRM Working Group FAO Rome

Advertisements

Development Alternatives SOUTH ASIA E N V I R O N M E N T O U T L O O K.

P REDICTING EFFECTS ON W ATER P RODUCTIVITY AND THE W ATER B ALANCE DECISION SUPPORT TOOLS AND MODELS FOR:

RiceClima project review Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability and Adaptation: Sustaining Rice Production in Bangladesh Dhaka, Royal Norwegian Embassy,

The Horticulture Climate Change Action Plan –

AIACC Regional Study AS07 Southeast Asia Regional Vulnerability to Changing Water Resources and Extreme Hydrological due to Climate Change.

Twinning Project BG O7 IB EN 01 Strengthening the administrative capacity of Water Management authorities in Bulgaria for the implementation of Economic.

Introduction to the ADAPT project - context Context and new elements General overview of the methodology Work plan and timing.

Project: Climate change and security in the Dniester river basin Sonja Koeppel, UNECE Water Convention secretariat, Coordinator of climate change activities.

Improving the Energy Efficiency of the Heat and Hot Water Supply Presenter: Bayramgul Garabaeva, Programme Officer Decentralization and Community Development.

Adapting to Climate Change: Canada’s Experience and Approach Elizabeth Atkinson Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Directorate Natural Resources Canada.

Vulnerability and Adaptation Assessments Hands-On Training Workshop

The TNA Process in Costa Rica Experiences and lessons learned Francisco Sancho Advisor TNA

1 “Adaptation to the consequences of Climate Change: Progress achieved and capacity building needed” Budapest, November 19-20, 2007 Strategic Environmental.

1 ADB Support to Transboundary Water Resources Management in Central Asia Hong Wei Country Director Uzbekistan Resident Mission Asian Development Bank.

FAO NAMA learning tool to support NAMA preparation in agriculture

CTCN: Support implementation of NAMAs

AN INTEGRATED ASSESSENT OF IMPACTS, ADAPTATION AND VULNERABILITY IN WATERSHED AREAS AND COMMUNITIES IN SOUTHEAST ASIA Juan M. Pulhin Ekawati S. Wahyuni.

Delivering sustainable solutions in a more competitive world Kalvin Lai Adaptation to Climate Change.

Mali Work Packages. Crop Fields Gardens Livestock People Trees Farm 1 Farm 2 Farm 3 Fallow Pasture/forest Market Water sources Policy Landscape/Watershed.

The AIACC Project Assessments of Impacts and Adaptations to Climate Change in Multiple Regions & Sectors UNFCCC Workshop Bonn 9 June 2003.

UNFCCC secretariat, FTC, Technology Third synthesis report on technology needs identified by non-Annex I Parties: technologies for adaptation. Workshop.

Adaptation knowledge needs and response under the UNFCCC process Adaptation Knowledge Day V Session 1: Knowledge Gaps Bonn, Germany 09 June 2014 Rojina.

Sub-Regional Workshop for GEF Focal Points in Eastern and Southern Africa Nairobi, Kenya, May 2009 Leveraging national communications to integrate.

Regional Capacity Building Activities in the Caribbean UNFCCC Expert Workshop on Monitoring and Evaluating Capacity- building in Developing Countries Carlos.

Climate Change & Agriculture in Uzbekistan Awareness Raising and Consultation Workshop May 19, 2010 Tashkent Dr. William R. Sutton Senior Agricultural.

Moldova Country Program Gretel Gambarelli World Bank Chisinau, 28 October 2009.

Guidelines for Impact and Adaptation Assessment Design versus Implementation Issues RICHARD J.T. KLEIN POTSDAM INSTITUTE FOR CLIMATE IMPACT RESEARCH (PIK)

2 nd International Conference Graz, October 10 th, 2012 SHARP PP 2: Region of Western Macedonia Fig. 1: Comparing different scenarios with the use of DSS.

Adaptation Baselines Through V&A Assessments Prof. Helmy Eid Climate Change Experts (SWERI) ARC Egypt Material for : Montreal Workshop 2001.

Conservation Agriculture as a Potential Pathway to Better Resource Management, Higher Productivity, and Improved Socio-Economic Conditions in the Andean.

UNDP Handbook for conducting technology needs assessments and Preliminary analysis of countries’ TNAs UNFCCC Seminar on the development and transfer on.

ILO Management of Training Institutions Workshop Flexible Training Delivery Trevor Riordan ILO Senior Training Policy Specialist.

United Nations Regional Seminar on Census Data Dissemination and Spatial Analysis for Arabic Speaking Countries, Amman, Jordan May 2011 Identification.

The AIACC Project Assessments of Impacts and Adaptations to Climate Change in Multiple Regions & Sectors AIACC Asia-Pacific Region Meeting Chulalongkorn.

Principal Investigator: Dr. Amir Muhammed, Director Asianics Agro. Dev. International, Islamabad, Pakistan Countries Involved: Pakistan, India, Nepal,

UNFCCC Workshop on the preparation of national communications of NAI Parties, Manila, april 2004 Methodologies for, Approaches to, and Frameworks.

By: Dr. Sumaya Ahmed Zakieldeen Institute of Environmental Studies (U OF K) National Adaptation Plan Project (NAPP) workshop November.

Capacity Building in Analytical Tools for Estimating and Comparing Costs and Benefits of Adaptation Projects in Africa.

Vulnerability and Adaptation Assessment Hands-on Training Workshop Integration of V&A Analysis.

08 th Meeting of the Working Group on Flood Management and Climate Change Adaptation Kiev, Ukraine 13 December 2013 Project Overview Project: Climate Change.

IEc INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, INCORPORATED Responding to Climate Change in ECA Agriculture: Impact Assessments and Menu of Adaptation Options for Albania and.

NAPA Experiences First thoughts for the ECBI Workshop Naivasha, September 2006 Balgis Osman Elasha Tom Downing.

A practical methodology for technology needs assessment: Introduction and overview of preliminary issues Imperial College Centre for Energy Policy and.

United Nations Regional Seminar on Census Data Dissemination and Spatial Analysis for Arabic Speaking Countries, Amman, Jordan May 2011 Identification.

1 Compendium of Methods and Tools to Evaluate Impacts of, and Vulnerability and Adaptation, to Climate Change: structure and scope UNFCCC side event Adaptation:

UNDP Guidance for National Communication Project Proposals UNFCCC Workshop on the Preparation of National Communications from non-Annex I Parties Manila,

Regional Programme on Economic Statistics Asia and the Pacific Zeynep Orhun Girard Istanbul, November 2013 Workshop on the Implementation and Links between.

Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation: The Prairie Adaptation Research Cooperative Mark Johnston Forest Ecosystems Branch, Environment and Resource Management.

Leveraging national communications to integrate climate change issues into development policy Sub-Regional Workshop for GEF Focal Points in West and Central.

M.A.Wijeratne Tea Research Institute of Sri Lanka

1 Work on collection and dissemination of information on methods and tools to assess impacts of, vulnerability and adaptation to climate change. UNFCCC.

AF 42 1 IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE, VULNERABILITY AND ADAPTATION CAPACITY IN THE LIMPOPO BASIN OF SEMI-ARID LAND SOUTHERN AFRICA: THE CASE OF EASTERN BOTSWANA.

Community-Based Coastal Adaptation Planning Presenter Name Date.

Strengthening Planning Capacity for Low Carbon Growth in Developing Asia: Regional Technical Assistance Project Overview David Raitzer, Economist Economic.

Overview of Agricultural Extension Policy Formulation in Cambodia Murari Suvedi, Professor Michigan State University USAID/Food Security III Project.

8. Evaluating sets of measures 30 min Chapter 6 Ivan Nygaard Sara Trærup.

Prospects for Green Growth in Macedonia Modeling Approaches Michael Jacobsen Water Economist Skopje March 1, 2011.

Enhancing employers’ involvement in Social Protection policy debates

Regional Initiative on Empowering Smallholders and Family Farms for Improved Livelihood and Poverty Reduction Katalin Ludvig Deputy Regional Initiative.

The French National Agency on Water and Aquatic Environments

TECHNOLOGY NEEDS ASSESSMENT: EXPERIENCES FROM THAILAND

Progress of the preparations for a White Paper on Adaptation to Climate Change Water Directors’ meeting Slovenia June 2008 Marieke van Nood, Unit.

Integrated Methods and Models for Assessing Coastal Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Change in Pacific Island Countries University of the South.

Considerations in Development of the SBSTA Five Year Programme of Work on Adaptation Thank Mr. Chairman. Canada appreciates this opportunity to share.

Chapter 5: Water management and adaptation

Main recommendations & conclusions (1)

Issues of Technology Needs Assessment for Climate Change

Global Meeting of the DS-SLM Project

Global Meeting of the DS-SLM Project

Presentation transcript:

IEc INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, INCORPORATED Proposed Methodology and Action Plan to Develop the Impact Assessment and Menu of Adaptation Options for Uzbekistan James Neumann Principal May 19, 2010

INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, INCORPORATED2 Overview Objectives of the study Introduce the Industrial Economics team of consultants (see Handout 1) Key Steps in the Process (see Handout 4) Initial Mission Impact Assessment of Climate Change on Agriculture Initial stakeholder consultations Capacity Building Workshop(s) Develop Initial Menu of Adaptation Options Second stakeholder consultations and National Workshop Goals for this visit

INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, INCORPORATED3 Objectives of the Study “Enhance the ability of four countries in Europe and Central Asia (ECA) to mainstream climate change adaptation into agricultural policies, programs, and investments.” The four countries are: Albania Moldova Macedonia Uzbekistan Strategies used: raising awareness of the threat analyzing potential impacts and adaptation responses building capacity among national and local stakeholders A key product of consultant team’s work is a menu of adaptation measures for crop and livestock production sector.

INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, INCORPORATED4 Key Staff of the Industrial Economics Consulting Team James Neumann, IEc, Project Manager Kenneth Strzepek, Univ. Colorado and MIT, Technical Director Ana Iglesias, Univ. of Madrid, Agronomist and Crop Modeler Peter Droogers, FutureWater, Crop and Water Resources Modeler Janusz Kindler, Warsaw University of Technology, Water Resources Expert Richard Adams, Oregon State Univ. and Brent Boehlert, IEc, Agricultural Economists Samuel Fankhauser, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, Economist & Expert Reviewer Andrew Schwarz, IEc, Participatory Process Expert

INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, INCORPORATED5

6 Initial Mission Learn from you about the Uzbekistan context: What are the key crops and livestock? Which of these seem particularly vulnerable to climate change? What has been done so far to respond? What major policies are under consideration? Identify data to support the modeling studies Identify key people and institutions to coordinate and jointly conduct the study Concludes with a detailed Inception Report and Data Request

INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, INCORPORATED7 Impact Assessment of Climate Change on Agriculture Climate Projections – three scenarios from among the 56 IPCC AR4 GCM options Crop Modeling – Process-based models (e.g., AquaCrop) for select crops Water Resource Availability “Screening Tool” – CLIRUN – projects runoff for key basins Basin-level Water Modeling – WEAP for one or two large basins in each country

INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, INCORPORATED8 Dimensions of the Impact Assessment Geographic Scope: Agro-ecological zone, with representative crop modeling for each region. Crops: Selected field crops/cereals, vegetables, fruit and nut trees, fiber crops – also livestock focus. Future Climate: Three future climate scenarios, wet/median/dry, reflect the range of GCM outcomes at the country level. Time: Decadal averages from 2010 to 2050 (i.e., 2015, 2025, 2035, 2045) Economic Baseline: current conditions/markets with FAO projections of market prices through 2050.

INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, INCORPORATED9 Example of a Water Model Interface (WEAP)

INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, INCORPORATED10 Capacity Building Workshop Conduct a formal training workshop at a central location for a specific impact assessment technique. Candidates include: Process-based crop modeling (e.g., AquaCrop) Screening tools for crop and water assessment (e.g., CLIRUN, CLICROP) Basin-level water resources modeling (e.g., WEAP)

INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, INCORPORATED11

INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, INCORPORATED12 Stakeholder Consultations Conducted in each AEZ, two sets of meetings At first meeting, present draft impact results for crop yields and water availability under climate change. Then, ask: Experts/analysts: Do the crop, livestock, water modeling results look reasonable to you? Farmers: What options would you employ in response to these outcomes? What other ideas do you have?

INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, INCORPORATED13 Develop Initial Menu of Adaptation Options Take results of impact assessment and stakeholder consultations. Generate farm-level estimates of net benefits of adaptation options, using readily available data and FAO price projections Rank initial set of adaptation options based on net benefit criteria Add a second, qualitative ranking based on the recommendations of our expert team Experts will also add country-level policy options (e.g., changes to water allocation scheme) to the menu

INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, INCORPORATED14 Overview of Approach

INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, INCORPORATED15 Second Stakeholder Consultations & National Workshop At second consultation meeting, present our draft adaptation menu, ask: Which of the recommended options do you favor? Do the economic parameters we used (e.g., price of fertilizer inputs, cost of irrigation improvements)? What barriers do you see to implementing the recommendations (economic, institutional, policy)? What options are missing from our list? Ask the same set of questions at the National Workshop

INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, INCORPORATED16

INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, INCORPORATED17 Goals for this Visit Identify most important and potentially vulnerable crops and livestock in Uzbekistan, based on your current experience Make contact with key institutions and people Discuss available data LISTEN AND LEARN!

IEc INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, INCORPORATED