The ESPON Programme Peter Mehlbye European Parliament – REGI Committee 4 November 2009 in Bruxelles

Structure of Intervention ESPON current 2013 Programme: Mission and budget Programme priorities and progress Selective examples of ESPON results: Major challenges with territorial dimension Concentration, connectivity and cooperation Conclusions The REGI Committee and ESPON ESPON after 2013

The ESPON 2013 Programme Role in Structural Funds : – Support policy development with evidence on European territorial structures, trends, perspectives and policy impacts Mission: – Provide comparable information on territorial dynamics that can reveal territorial capital and potentials Budget : – 47 mill Euro, – 34 mill. Euro from the European Commission – 13 mill. Euro from 31 countries participating (EU 27 plus Iceland, Liechtenstein, Norway and Switzerland) Programme structure: – 5 Programme priorities

P 1 - Applied Research: First 6 Themes – Cities and Urban Agglomerations/Functionality and development opportunities for European competitiveness and cohesion (FOCI) – Development Opportunities in different types of Rural Areas (EDORA) – Demography and Migratory Flows affecting European regions and cities (DEMIFER) – Effects of Rising Energy Prices on Regional Competitiveness (RERISK) – Territorial Impact Assessment of Policies (TIP TAP) – Climate Change and Territorial Effects on regions and local economies (CLIMATE)

P1 - Applied Research: 11 new Themes (Deadline for proposals on 11 November 2009) – Attractiveness of European regions and cities for residents and visitors – European patterns of land use – Territorial cooperation in transnational areas and across internal/external borders – Accessibility at regional/local scale and patterns in Europe – Secondary growth poles in territorial development – European perspective on specific types of territories – Territorial dimension of innovation and knowledge economy – Continental territorial structures and flows (globalisation) – Services of General Interest – European Seas in Territorial Development – Territorial and Regional sensitivity of EU Directives

P 2 – Targeted Analyses: Use of ESPON results – The Case for Agglomeration Economies in Europe/CAEE (Manchester, Barcelona, Dublin and Lyon) – The Development of the Islands – European Islands and Cohesion Policy/EUROISLANDS (Ministry of Economy and Finance, GR plus 9 stakeholders) – Cross-Border Polycentric Metropolitan Regions/MetroBorder (Ministries in CH, LU, BE, DE and FR) – Success for Convergence Regions’ Economies/SURE (Campania Region plus regions in PO, ES and GR) – Spatial Scenarios: New Tools for Local-Regional Territories/SS-LR (Regions of Barcelona, Torino and Herault) – Territorial Diversity/TeDi (Ministries in NO, FI, CH, CY, MT, RO and SE)

P 2 - Targeted Analysis : Next projects and Interest Call for Proposals (deadline 11 November 2009): – Potential of Rural Regions/PURR – Transnational Support Method for European Cooperation/ TranSMEC Call for Expression of Interest (deadline 11 November 2009): – (Up to) 10 new project ideas from stakeholders

P 3 - Scientific Platform Projects underway or ongoing: – ESPON 2013 Database – Typology Compilation – ESPON Hyperatlas (update) – ESPON DataNavigator (update) – ESPON Online Mapping – Trends by updating existing data and maps Call for Proposals (deadline 11 November 2009): – Territorial Indicators/Indices

P 4 - Capitalisation Lines of Action: – Media and Publications – ESPON Website including Map of the Month – Territorial Observations – First Synthesis Report in autumn 2010 – European Seminars and Workshops – Workshop on New Functional Areas on 5 November 2009 – Conference, seminar and workshops in 2010 – Transnational Networking Activities by the ESPON Contact Point Network Call for Proposals (deadline on 11 November 2009): – Up to 7 Transnational Networking Activities carried through by groupings of ESPON Contact Points

Progress envisaged by spring 2010 –17 Applied Research projects ongoing –8 Targeted Analysis ongoing –10 Stakeholder Ideas for further projects in process for the call for proposals in summer/autumn 2010 –2 (of 3) major Scientific Platform projects running –5 Scientific Tools under development –5 Territorial Trends (map updates) implemented –(Up to) 7 Transnational Networking Activities (ECP) –2 nd screening among stakeholders on themes for further Applied Research projects

Examples of results of ESPON results: – Major challenges with territorial dimension – Concentration, connection and cooperation

Territorial imbalances in 2000

Economic development and current recession: Recovery and social impact, accelerating globalisation and new markets, technological innovation, regional diversity Climate change: Mitigation and adaptation, CO2 reduction, new hazard patterns and new territorial opportunities Demographic changes: Ageing of the population and migration pressure Energy challenge: Security of supply, alternative energy sources, development of energy prices Transport increase: Accessibility, saturation of EU-corridors, more environmentally friendly solutions Geographic integration: Further EU enlargements and integration of new territories, their regions and cities Major challenges with territorial impact

Demographic scenario: Population ageing 2030

Europe and its neighbourhood towards 2030

Main places driving the European territory Concentration (Pentagon) Signs of de-concentration Urban places drivers of economy Functionality the key for success

Economic Lisbon indicators Regional diversity of potential contribution 7 out of 14 Lisbon indicators: ( 1) GDP/capita, (2) GDP/employed person, (3) Employment rate, (4) Employment rate of older workers, (5) Gross domestic expenditure on R&D (6) Dispersion of regional (un)employment rates (7) Long-term unemployment rate.

Potential Multimodal Accessibility 2006 Index (EU27=100)

Potential Road Accessibility 2006 Index (EU27=100)

Potential Rail Accessibility 2006 Index (EU27=100)

Potential Air Accessibility 2006 Index (EU27=100)

Relative change (in %) Potential Air Accessibility EU27 = 7.8%

Aggregated natural and technological hazards

Flood recurrence Forest fires Winter & tropical storms Precipitation deficit Natural Hazards  Southern Europe: Forest fires and drought hazards  Western and Northern Europe: Winter storms, storm surges and floods  Climate change: Affects frequency, intensity and coverage

Share of World population by state ( )

Share of World GDP pps by state ( )

Conclusions: The REGI Committee and ESPON ESPON after 2013

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