2005 WRAP Work Plan WRAP Board Meeting Salt Lake City, UT November 10, 2004

Schedule – Major Milestones First Quarter  Complete Phase I attribution report  Complete 2002 base case emissions inventory  Complete 2002 base case modeling inputs Second Quarter  Complete 2002 base case modeling and performance evaluation  Identify Class I areas each plan should address  Submit first Annex compliance report

Schedule – Major Milestones Third Quarter  Complete 2018 base case emissions projections  Complete 2018 model-based apportionment  Identify potential stationary source control scenarios  Identify local or subregional control options Fourth Quarter  Start Phase II attribution

Workshops / Conferences January Offroad retrofit workshop for program managers. April Dust contribution and control workshop. Possibly co-sponsor with CA ARB. June Inter-RPO meeting to review visibility calculation methods July Offroad retrofit conference for broader community. Uncertain Smoke management technical and policy workshop.

Emission Inventories 2002 Base Case  Review point sources and enhance oil & gas  Update mobile sources with new model and regs  Review and enhance inventories for tribal lands  New windblown dust and ammonia inventories  Actual and “representative” fire emissions  AK aviation and representative communities

Emission Inventories 2018 Emissions  Base case projections  Representative fire emissions  Develop inventories for control scenarios  Coordinate with RPOs, Canada, and Mexico

Air Quality Modeling Develop a model for Alaska Enhance the model for the Lower 48  12 km grid resolution  Global model for boundary conditions  More comprehensive review of met data  More complete performance evaluation Modify chemistry and other parameters to incorporate best available science

Ambient Data Analysis Analyze air quality trends Compare 2002 to other years in the baseline ( ) Initiate receptor-based modeling / source apportionment Determine visibility baselines and presumptive progress goals

Attribution of Haze Synthesize emissions, modeling, and ambient data analysis to characterize the impacts of major source categories and source regions on each Class I area and several tribal areas Finalize Phase I attribution (2002 test run) Initiate Phase II attribution ( )

Other Major Activities 309 Implementation  EPA review and promulgation  Emissions and energy tracking Fire Emissions  Fire tracking system  Quantification of emission reduction techniques  Sensitivity analyses  Regional coordination of smoke management  Technical and policy workshop

Other Major Activities Dust Emissions  Continue with projects to … Define and categorize dust Analyze ambient dust data Quantify the size distribution of dust particles Update and maintain fugitive dust control handbook  Document major dust events  Sponsor workshop on sources and controls  Analyze sources and control options in high dust areas

Other Major Activities Support Western Clean Energy Initiative Promote control of offroad mobile sources Assemble state, tribal socioeconomic data Implement web-based technical data portal Continue building tribal capacity Continue supporting state, tribal coordination Identify health and environmental improvements resulting from haze control Sationary sources (to be discussed later)