1. Western Regional Technical Projects 2011 through 2013
October 31, 2011

2. Regional Technical Projects
Regional Haze Technical Report
Biogenic Emissions
Oil & Gas Emissions
WestJumpAQMS
FLF/3-State Project
Fire’s contribution to ozone

3. Regional Haze Progress Reports
IMPROVE Report
Contains tracking metrics and calculation methodology
Case studies of vs averages
Appendix G reports worst and best days by Class I area

4. Biogenic Emissions Inventory Project
Develop consistent Western biogenics emissions inventory:
Better land use and land cover information
Updated algorithms and factors
More highly-resolved input data
Will produce new MEGAN biogenics model
2008 biogenic emissions files for air quality modeling
Project start June 2011, complete January 2012
Task 1
Plant functional type fractional (PFTf) coverage data based on 30 meter Landsat satellite data,
Emission factors based on recent emission measurements in the Western U.S. and elsewhere and on improved U.S. species composition data, and
Leaf Area Index based on revised satellite measurements for a specific year with higher (8-day) temporal resolution.
Task 2
Assess the results by comparing against MEGAN v2.04 and SMOKE-BEIS 3.14 with standard configurations and input data

5. Western Oil & Gas Basins in Phase III Project

6. WestJump Modeling Overview
Model, Episode, and Domain selection
Impact Assessment Domains (IAD) one-way analysis
Detailed Source Apportionment Domains (DSAD) two-way analysis
Meteorological Modeling
Emissions
Photochemical Modeling
2008 Base Case Model Performance Evaluation
IAD and DSAD Source Apportionment
Website and Reporting

7. 2008 Emissions for WestJump
State-reported data
Regional data for key western source categories
International data – Mexico, Canada, Pacific marine shipping, Asia and rest of the world
Emissions Component
Configuration
Details
Model Code
SMOKE Version 2.7
Oil and Gas Emissions
WRAP Phase III plus Permian Basin update
WestJumpAQMS study 2008 updates to WRAP Phase III O&G emissions.
Area Source Emissions
2008 NEI Version 1.5
Western state updates, then SMOKE processing of
On-Road Mobile Sources
MOVES2010a
County specific emissions run for representative days during the modeling episode.
Point Sources
2008 hourly day-specific for CEM sources, 2008 NEI Version 1.5 for other
Use 2008 day-specific hourly CEM for actual and processed CEM for Typical 2008 emissions from major stationary sources with CEMS
Off-Road Mobile Sources
Based on EPA NONROAD model
Wind Blown Dust
WRAP Wind Blown Dust
WRAP WBD Model with 2008 WRF meteorology
Ammonia Emissions
Tentatively CMU Ammonia Model
Evaluate various options including NEI, State, WRAP and CMU ammonia models and latest results from NPS ROMANS
Biogenic Sources
MEGAN
Enhanced version of MEGAN from WRAP study
Fires
FINN placeholder and then 2008 DEASCO3 fire inventory
Fire Inventory from NCAR (FINN) used as placeholder until 2008 DEASCO3 fire inventory is available:
Temporal Adjustments
Seasonal, day, hour
Based on latest collected information
Chemical Speciation
CB6 Chemical Speciation
Updated rate constants, kinetics and reactions
Gridding
Spatial Surrogates based on landuse
 Develop new spatial surrogates using 2010 census data
Growth and Controls
 TBD
 Future attainment year(s) to be determined
Quality Assurance
QA Tools in SMOKE; PAVE, VERDI plots; Summary reports

8. 36-km CONUS, 12-km WESTUS and 4-km IMWD processing domains for meteorological and emission inputs to Photochemical Models

9. Example: Four Corners 4-km IAD includes San Juan Basin (one-way analysis)

10. Example: Proposed Uinta-Piceance Basins 4-km DSAD domain (two-way analysis)

11. WestJump Timeline
Phase I: Review of Model Design and 2008 Emissions and Meteorological Modeling (June through December 2011)
Phase II: Model Improvements & 2008 Base Case Modeling (December 2011 through March 2012)
Phase III: Source Apportionment & Future Analysis Issues (March through July 2012)

12. Federal Leadership Forum / 3-State Study
NPS, USFS, BLM, EPA, and state air agencies (CO, UT, and WY)
Support planning for the air quality impacts of energy development
Ozone focus
Additional rural monitoring stations
WGA staff to coordinate project
CIRA/CSU to construct a Data Warehouse to support future air quality modeling and other analyses
Possible extension for additional Data Warehouse development work
“Acceleration Phase”
Adds emissions and met modeling and analysis to the project during

14. Assessment of Smoke’s Contribution to Ozone
Turns complex technical analyses of historic events into web-accessible tables, charts, and maps
Describe how fires contribute to ambient ozone concentrations
Emission inventory development for wildland and agricultural fires in 2002 and 2008
Photochemical grid modeling with source apportionmentto better assess fire’s contribution to ozone

15. Assessment of Smoke’s Contribution to Ozone
Develop online tool for FLMs to access results
Collaborative review and analysis by NPS and USFS air program staff
Documentation and summary reports of methods and results
Starts October 2011, complete March 2013