From Douglas fir to Dungeness crab: Land use change and ecosystem services in Hood Canal, WA J. Toft, M. Marsik, G. Spiridonov, D. Sutherland, J. Burke,

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Presentation transcript:

From Douglas fir to Dungeness crab: Land use change and ecosystem services in Hood Canal, WA J. Toft, M. Marsik, G. Spiridonov, D. Sutherland, J. Burke, M. Carey, A. Guerry, P. Levin, M. Plummer, M. Ruckelshaus

When do land-based activities affect the success of marine resource management?

freshwater water quality oysters crab and fish Simple models for application in the 3 systems?

The InVEST Tool Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs

Water Yield and Scarcity Reservoir Hydropower Production Freshwater Purification: Nutrient Retention Sediment Retention Avoided dredging and water quality regulation Managed Timber Production Crop Pollination Renewable energy: waves Coastal Vulnerability & Protection Aquaculture: finfish & shellfish Aesthetic quality Fisheries Recreation Habitat risk assessment Marine water quality

freshwater

Water Yield Model

Average Annual Discharge Compared To USGS and WADOE gauge observations Average Annual Discharge Compared To USGS and WADOE gauge observations 2006 Snapshot: Land Cover Available Water Content Soil Depth Topography Watersheds Sub-Watersheds Snapshot: Land Cover Available Water Content Soil Depth Topography Watersheds Sub-Watersheds Annual Values: Precipitation Potential Evapotranspiration Annual Values: Precipitation Potential Evapotranspiration LU Tables: Rooting Depth Plant ET coefficient Water Demand LU Tables: Rooting Depth Plant ET coefficient Water Demand

SubwatershedSourceYearsN-S DuckabushRiverBrinnon USGS Daily Hamma Hamma near EldonUSGS Daily SkokomishRiverPotlatch USGS Daily BigBeefCreekatmouth USGS Daily LittleQuilceneatMouth WA Dept Ecy Daily BigQuilceneRiveratmouth WA Dept Ecy Daily DosewallipsRiveratBrinnon WA Dept Ecy Daily

Nutrient Model: Total Nitrogen and Phosphorus Phosphorus, Total SubwatershedYearsDifference Duckabush Brinnon Skokomish Potlatch Big Beef at mouth Nitrogen, Total SubwatershedYearsDifference Big Quilcene at mouth Duckabush Brinnon Skokomish Potlatch Big Beef at mouth

water quality

Physical transport model

Skokomish Duckabush Hamma Dosewallips Big Quilcene Little Quilcene Big Beef Creek 2-Layer Box Model, 6 Regions Based on Babson et al. (2006), but rewritten in MATLAB for more general use 6 boxes in HC, 7 rivers IC’s: from MoSSea BC’s: from ADM001 DoE station ADM001 (DoE) Hans (ORCA) Physical transport model

Biogeochemical Cycling NPZDO modeling: Oxygen is added in proportional to nutrient uptake (Banas et al. 2009) or see:

Pacific oysters

Pacific Oyster Production Model $: Commercial and Recreational

Dungeness crab

Inputs Spatial structure of the population Fisheries Catch, harvest rates/strategies Life history details Age-structure, survival rates, fecundity, spawner/recruit, immigration rates Economics Price-per-pound, fixed & variable costs Numbers of crab harvested Commercial and Recreational Value of harvest Outputs

freshwater water quality Pacific oysters Dungeness crab

Eastern oysters Blue crab Striped bass Eastern oysters Blue crab Red drum Pacific oysters Dungeness crab Pacific salmon (sps TBD)

Uptake?